Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Sistani Aide: Americans Bomb both Sides
4 US GIs killed on Friday


Al-Sharq al-Awsat reports that Ahmad al-Safi, a representative of Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, preached a Friday prayers sermon in the mosque attached to the shrine of Imam Husayn, the revered martyred grandson of the Prophet. He said he hoped Saddam Hussein would be hanged in the Shiite holy city of Karbala. He also implied that the Sunni Arab neighborhood of Adhamiya and the Shiite neighborhood of Kathimiya in northern Baghdad were both taking incoming mortar fire not from one another, but from the United States military. (I am sorry to see a representative of Sistani fall into this kind of conspiracy theory. Sunni and Shiite forces are obviously lobbing mortar shells at one another. It isn't the US military doing it.)

If Sistani thinks like al-Safi, the US is in even more trouble in Iraq than I had feared. And that is saying something.

In Kufa, Shaikh Jabir al-Khafaji, a representative of young Shiite nationalist Muqtada al-Sadr, preached the Friday prayers sermon. He demanded that Saddam be executed swiftly. He said he hoped other countries would not attempt to impose their law on Iraq in hopes of protecting Saddam. (He is referring to European countries that oppose the death penalty). The congregation chanted, "Execution, execution, is the least punishment of Saddam!"

Sadr al-Din Al-Qubanji of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq preached at the Great Fatimah Mosque in Najaf. Of the threat of Sunni Arab blocs in parliament to resign and withdraw from politics if they continue to be shut out of the political process, he urged them to be more mature. He also slammed Harith al-Dari of the Association of Muslim Scholars, a hard line Sunni grouping. He said al-Dhari had declined to sign the Mecca Pact that forbade Sunnis to shed Shiite blood and vice versa.

Reuters reports political violence in Iraq on Friday; highlights:


BAGHDAD - Four American troops were killed in two separate incidents in Iraq, the military said on Friday.

BAGHDAD - Gunmen abducted a police lieutenant colonel in northern Baghdad, interior ministry sources said.

YUSUFIYA - Gunmen in four cars broke into two houses in Kwerisha village, near the town of Yusufiya 15 km (9 miles) south of Baghdad overnight, and abducted and killed 14 people, police said. The bodies were found dumped in a field.

TAL AFAR - A suicide car bomber hit an army checkpoint, killing a colonel and four soldiers, and wounding 17 people including 10 soldiers in Tal Afar, about 240 km (260 miles) northwest of Baghdad, police said.'


If 20% of Iraqi police recruits quit every year and 40% don't show up to work, that leaves only 40% at their precinct houses or on the streets. If they supposedly have 177,000 trained police, they actually only have 70,000 or so. As for that "trained" part, I wouldn't exactly take it to the bank.

Trita Parsi argues that former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld led the charge to reject Iran's 2003 offer to cooperate with Washington and also sought to use the terrorist group, MEK, against Iran. Now, the US needs Iranian help in Iraq, and Parsi thinks the new SecDef, Robert Gates, has the experience and savvy to seek it. The only problem I see is that it may not be easy to just go back to the status quo ante of 2003. Iran has changed presidents and the relative influence of the militants in the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps and in the Basij and the Quds Brigade is therefore now greater. Rumsfeld may have cause us to miss an epochal chance, and because he ensured that reformers like former President Khatami were kept in the cold, he may have helped push Iran to the Right.

Louise Roug reports that Iraq's decrepit hospital system is causing more citizens to die:

' Thousands of Iraqis are believed to have died from shortages of medicine, vital equipment and qualified doctors, despite an infusion of nearly half a billion dollars from U.S. coffers into this country's healthcare system, Iraqi officials and American observers say. Raging sectarian violence as well as theft, corruption and mismanagement have drained health resources and made deliveries of supplies difficult. Exacerbating the crisis, hundreds of doctors have been killed, and thousands have fled Iraq. The child mortality rate, a key indicator of a nation's health, has worsened since the U.S.-led invasion in 2003, according to Iraqi government figures. '


In addition, she says, Sunni Arabs allege that the Shiite-controlled Health Ministry systematically denies them drugs and treatment.

Italians have the opportunity on their tax forms to pay a little extra in taxes to support culture if they like. Silvio Berlusconi's kleptocracy secretly usurped that money to pay for Italy's part in the Iraq War!

Meditations on Veteran's Day in a time of war, over at Tomdispatch.com.

7 Comments:

At 5:31 AM, Blogger dancewater said...

"It isn't the US military doing it."

How do you know? After the gay S & M porno photos, I would say anything is possible.

 
At 11:16 AM, Blogger MonsieurGonzo said...

Mortars Become Weapon of Choice in Iraq : “[An] exchange of mortar fire began in earnest this month...

This is a serious development in Baghdad/Iraq in that now the reality on the ground actually does resemble what most people think of when they think "Civil War." Now the conflict is "open warfare," with two distinct groups, squaring off and firing at one another from "entrenched positions" in ethnically-cleansed neighborhoods; de facto "battle lines," eg., either a major street or river, etc., must exist, thus ~ and Shi'ite and Sunni militias are engaging one another in artillery barrages using the heaviest weapon available to these combatants in the theatre...

iow, any illusion that violence in Baghdad was tantamount to "street gangs" and/or "criminals / lawlessness" has been shattered: and what the AngloAmerican occupierss (and the Iraq Study Group) are now facing is honest-to-god War within the Muslim world.

 
At 11:29 AM, Blogger Arnold Evans said...

I am sorry to see a representative of Sistani fall into this kind of conspiracy theory. Sunni and Shiite forces are obviously lobbing mortar shells at one another. It isn't the US military doing it.

What specifically makes it obvious that al-Safi is wrong? Is it that is it obvious that the US is too moral to engage in a dastardly strategy such as mortaring Iraqi neighborhoods and blaming Iraqis? Is it obvious because the US does not have the resources necessary to pull off such a strategy? Is it obvious because increased tensions between Sunnis and Shiites is not consistent with US regional priorities regarding Iraq?

Americans should be hesitant to argue with prominent Iraqis about what is currently happening in Iraq. If an American must argue, it is not enough to just say it is obvious that the Iraqi is wrong.

I've read similar conspiracy theories from Sunnis. Americans like to say the conspiracy theories are wrong, but the same Americans cannot explain why the US invaded Iraq and what the US is accomplishing by remaining in Iraq indefinitely.

On the one hand, US machinations are opaque and the people of the republic have no idea of what is being done in their name and why. On the other hand, we can, from the United States, dismiss and rule out Iraqi assertions about what the US is doing in Iraq if they do not match our image of valiant and true US military, foreign service and intelligence apparatuses.

 
At 2:13 PM, Blogger ent lord said...

Since 2003, Iran has also strengthened its standing in the region, especially in terms of forging ties with the Chinese. Also, judging from IBA television and the Jerusalem Post, it seems that Hizbullah's success in Lebanon has also enhanced Iran's stature as its client is the first Muslim force to actually enjoy any success against the IDF. The Israeli public seems to be going through a Viet Nam style moment in which it is being decided that the IDF really did win the war and Hizbullah really did lose and the Lebanese are really grateful to the IDF.
Since the report that Iran's nuclear facilities are too dispersed for a single air strike take-out, the right wing hardliners are now pushing for a series of nuclear strikes across Iran, taking out infrastructure, reasearch facilities and military assets. These folks literally don't know which way the wind blows to advocate a radioactive Iran.

 
At 4:14 PM, Blogger sherm said...

I wonder if the Nov 7 exit polls detected any sorrow on the part of the voters for all the damage we have done to Iraq. I don't think the mass media has reported much citizen remorse about creating a living hell in that country. If the Republican "thumping" just adds up to resentment of the cost in American lives and money, and not in any moral resentment of the invasion and destruction, then it will be business as usual in a few years - but with a much higher ratio of bloodless (on our part) bombing to foot soldiering.

Rummy's replacement, Mr Gates (with an R not a B), is a charter member of the "Arrogance of Power Brotherhood". Its doubtful that he or fellow Brotherhood member, Mr. J. Baker, will introduce a human value based blueprint for ending the Iraq nightmare.

The only boogeyman in Iraq with name recognition is al-Sadr, so he and his followers will be the easiest prizes to sell to the American public - sort of the new Zarkowi. That will keep us content until the Brotherhood figures out how to exit and place the blame for failure on the Democrats.

 
At 4:43 PM, Blogger Michael Murry said...

Reading of the "politically retired" religious leader Al Sistani's sermon slavering for Saddam Hussein's hanging reminded me of Blaise Pascal's timeless observation:

"No one ever does evil quite so completely or cheerfully as when he does it from religious conviction."

If the Iraqi Shiites and their on-again/off-again political/spiritual leader Al Sistani succeed in having their American patrons hang the secular Baathist Saddam Hussein for them, the Potemkin proceedings should give hope to Inquisitions everywhere that the age-old practice of "religious conviction" has indeed reasserted itself with a vengeance.

 
At 7:29 PM, Blogger sherm said...

Interesting NY Times article about Iraqi Army loyalties.

 

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