Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Monday, March 12, 2007

More Shiite Pilgrims Hit;
Iran says it Wants Iraq Stability


Iraqi guerrillas killed two US GIs on Sunday.

Meanwhile, as some Americans were risking their lives, Bush campaign guru Karl Rove had it sweeter than ever. Not only was he betraying the United States of America by outing a covert CIA operative, Valerie Plame Wilson-- McClatchy reveals that he was also helping get federal attorneys fired for not being far rightwing Republicans. Why is this man still in the White House?

Iraq's sectarian civil war exploded into violence again on Sunday, leaving at least 75 dead and dozens wounded in a wave of bombings and attacks, many of them aimed at Shiite pilgrims coming back to Baghdad from the holy city of Karbala. Some 40 pilgrims were wounded and in serious condition late Sunday. The major incident was a bombing in Karrada of returning pilgrims, which killed over 30 persons, according to al-Hayat, writing in Arabic.

Another bomber hit a mini-bus near Mustansiriya University. Elsewhere, guerrillas bombed a bus in Baladruz. In the major northern city of Mosul, guerrillas attacked the HQ of the Islamic Accord Front, the Sunni fundamentalist coalition that has been willing to sit in parliament and cooperate (if often sullenly) with the Americans. Three guards were killed and one injured. Reuters gives details of the bombings.

The Sunni Arab guerrillas are targeting Shiite pilgrims in hopes that they will in turn attack Sunnis, and that the ensuing turmoil will force the US out of the country.

Damien Cave of the NYT reports that guerrillas are using house burnings in their quest to ethnically cleanse neighborhoods of members of the opposite branch of Islam.

Kudos to Solomon Moore of the LAT for this excellent piece on the need to hold early provincial elections in Iraq. The last provicial elections, in January, 2005, were boycotted by the Sunni Arabs. The article points to the problems of Shiite dominance in Diyala and Baghdad provinces in the absence of very many powerful Sunni Arab members of the provincial councils. But even in al-Anbar and Salahuddin Provinces, there are the problems of lack of representativeness in the provincial councils. If so many did not vote, the politicians on these bodies don't have much of a constituency.

The LAT reports that some in the military favor an El Salvador option, of getting most US troops out of Iraq and using a small force rapidly to train Iraqi troops.

A major Iranian bank, Bank Melli,, will open an Iraq branch.

The Kurdistan Regional Government stands accused of suppressing the language and customs of the Assyrian Christians.

The Sunni fundamentalist vice president of Iraq, Tariq al-Hashimi, praised Shiite Iran during his recent visit there for its help in getting Iraq back on its feet.

Tom Engelardt discusses 'surge creep' in Bush administration Iraq policy, while Michael Schwartz looks at the risks of alienating the Shiite Iraqis and their Iranian allies implicit in current Bush policy.

Presidential candidate Barak Obama says that if the Iraqi government does not implement key reforms, the US troops will simply have to be taken out the country.

Former British diplomat Jeremy Greenstock, blocked by the Blair government from publishing his critiques of the Iraq occupation authorities' policies, has written them as a history of WW I. He wrote an introduction to the memoir of a British officer who witnessed the disastrous British campaigns in Iraq of the teens of the last century.

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12 Comments:

At 5:09 AM, Blogger Spin proof said...

If, as you say:

.. "The Sunni Arab guerrillas are targeting Shiite pilgrims in hopes that they will in turn attack Sunnis, and that the ensuing turmoil will force the US out of the country"

..would they stop if the Americans leave? If so, why not get out then?

We can test that by having an exit date, guaranteed by a complete funding cut-off, as some US leaders are suggesting.

The reason given for not declaring an exit date is comical: they would wait us out! Surely, if they want to do that, they would stop all violence to get the Americans to leave, then resume after that. And if "waiting us out" means a break from violence, I will certainly settle for that.

The jihadis, declared as the new global threat, do not want the endless supply of US infidels to kill to end. They, like the American imperialists, want the occupation to continue.

 
At 6:32 AM, Blogger Sha said...

I assume executive privilege will protect Rove from being fired...but are there any ways that he can be denied security clearances?

It's clear to me that Karl Rove should not be allowed information that is important to the security of this country inasmuch as there is a high probability that he will politicize it in some way - to the detriment of the country.

 
At 7:51 AM, Blogger Alamaine said...

"Why is this man still in the White House?"

Recall that Rove is a sheep is wolf's clothing. He's still trying to get some institutional notoreity, someone who never made the grade (college drop-out, no less) and seeks to find his sense of approval by nob-hobbing with 'geniuse stars' like Younger George who not only was popular in social circles but also gots hisself a degree in the business of being a 'Massuh.'

Recall that on 6th August 2004, we were told of the Buscist agenda,

'"Our enemies are innovative and resourceful - and so are we," the US president told a high-level meeting of Pentagon officials.
"They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people - and neither do we."'*

The issues surrounding Plame and Iraq and various other targets of the Administration hinge on this one telling statement. While some might pass this off as being a dumbbell stumbling over fumbled thoughts and words, sometimes the most honest remarks are made when speaking without a script -- or a net. While there are any number of people who can seek excuses for their words being taken out of context, the simple formula for Younger George is to amass enough verbal gaffes in order to not be held accountable for anything he says, leaving it up to the Fleischers, McClellans, and Snow-jobbers to provide the translations and nuanced news. While the confusion at the top remains unchecked, the real manipulations are being done behind everyone's backs, sort of like what happened to Angie Merkel when Younger George snucked up on 'er and 'er back. Without constant minding and handling, the real importance and intent of various actions can be gauged by what happens in a supposed 'spontaneous' outpouring of words or actions.

Adamant in his desire to affect the Middle East and to effect a wholesale conflagration of the region simply due to an immature and thoughtless personal vendetta, the poor feller has been a useful dupe, encouraged to use his office as a means of not only satisfying his nefarious needs but those of others who might be a little more inclined to employ him in executing their agendas as well, with Iran -- literally -- on the horizon (as it has been since at least 1953, not only 1979). The initial 'thinking' might have included 'liberating' the Iraqis, putting them in a beholding pattern to the Buscists, instead of pitting them against and spitting on one another. With indigenous 'allies,' the second 'Gulf War' might have turned also into the second 'Iran-Iraq War,' using not only Americans to perform combat duties but using the Iraqis to finish off what Saddam Hussein was unable to do in the 1980ies. 'Iraqi-isation' might have been an early part of the plan with the Americans as advisors.

Iran holds the keys to the Straits of Hormuz, essentially holding all of the oily countries in the region hostage to that passage and the passing of ships in the night and day therethrough. Without a 'stable' government in Tehran, 'last call for alco-oil' might be something the thirsty might hear earlier and more often.

Of course, there is a LOT of speculation about what is and what ifs but the eminences grises like KR provide the religious fervour for the wannabe warmongers and those who might be distracted by unsubstantiated claims about friends and fiends alike. While everyone is hopping mad about ILL ('Scooter') being possibly pardoned, the distraction serves a purpose, one of which is finding out as much about the internal workings of this WH camarilla for potential POTUS evil-doing. This like a sport in which there are many balls in play and each one can score points.

Only the most ardent fans are able to keep track of what is happening on the playing field, the sidelines, and with the refereeing, all of which are seemingly in control but, all together, are nothing but a chaotic incoherence. KR is akin to one of those guys in the booth who relays information to the coaches who, in turn, tells their star QB, Younger George, how to get the next plays off. But, again, there are others and other balls in play, minimising the sacking of their star QB, his fumbles, and the interceptions he throws. KR may not be even third string but he knows which strings need to be played and pulled.

And, once more, KR gets to be the big man on game day if only because he never has to 'suit up' and get his duds dirty nor his knees skinned, sweaty or smelly. He might even wear gloves to keep the strings from cutting into his pudgy little fingers. He is, after all, the fan's man standing with the clan, he who has the can-do, can't-do, and can-don't plans. But, then, it's a matter of whose game he's really advising and who really will be the big winner.


* http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/3541706.stm
Video @ site

 
At 10:18 AM, Blogger Minion said...

Re: Karl Rove

"Why is this man still in the White House?"

Because he is willing to commit treason and subvert justice for the sake of his president.

Which should tell you something about what qualities the president most values in his servants.

 
At 12:50 PM, Blogger Arnold Evans said...

What to make of these calls for provincial elections supposedly emanating from the US but held up by the Shiites?

Informed Comment: August 4, 2005:

Patey was also concerned lest the Mahdi Army turn into an armed state within a state on the model of Hizbullah in Lebanon. I was told by an American official who had been in Baghdad that Iraqi provincial elections had been postponed because there are indications that Muqtada al-Sadr's movement is growing in popularity in the Shiite south and his lists might sweep to power. So Patey's fear is misplaced. The real prospect is that the Sadrists will be the government of Iraq, not just an armed outsider.

The United States is just as opposed to elections as the Shiites, (and by "Shiites we are talking about only Hakim/Badr who would probably do poorly in a contest against Sadr who is both Shiite and nationalist).

We have to be clear that the US does have an agenda in Iraq, far beyond democracy. The US wants long term bases in Iraq against the vehement wishes of most of Iraq's population.

Hakim seems to be willing to go along, in exchange for help marginalizing Sadr and the Sunnis. Sadr is adamant against it, as are the Sunnnis.

 
At 1:15 PM, Blogger John Koch said...

An "El Salvador solution" in Iraq is about as plausible as a "Chalabi cakewalk." The US did not set out to erradicate El Salvador's armed forces or officer corps. Salvador's insurgents were not displaced insiders. Iraqi Sunnis displaced by the occupation, unlike El Salvador's FMLN, were not a marginal faction: they actually ran the country for decades before the US occupation. Salvadoran insurgents had no appetite for suicide bombings, and adverse publicity eventually curtailed government massacres. Neither Salvadorans nor surrounding peoples had any religious enmities towards gringos. Marxist penetration among Salvadoran poor was not remotely comparable to that of Islam, clerical influence, or tribe among poor Iraqis. The FMLN controlled a few rural pockets, but only a tenuous urban presence. After 1986, Soviet support disappeared and Gorbechev all but told the Latin American Left to embrace capitalism. Most Salvadorans, even the FMLN, accepted a return to electoral democracy, without any sectarian rifts standing in the way. Finally, there was no monopoly resource like oil to make control of the state an eat or starve proposition. Wage remittances from millions of emigrants, or earnings from multiple coffee, spice, or apparel producers, make the El Salvador's "income" (although unequal) far more atomized and plural. On the other hand, oilocracies with large populations tend to foster central rule and corrupt civil society.

In short, no one at RAND, AEI, CSIS, or any other think tank will be able to prescribe any convincing West Hemisphere "model" of counter-insurgency. There are no useful examples from other times or regions. Urbanization, oil, and religious revival limit application models of even Iraq's own past under the Ottomans British Protectorate.

 
At 1:58 PM, Blogger johnMccutchen said...

If Michael Schwartz's assessment is accurate (and I've never known them to be otherwise), so much for Gen Petraeus and his "new tactics" - SOS with little police stations at the end.

I've said all along that Petraeus was chosen for his PR talent. The US military doesn't do counterinsurgency and even if it did, it wouldn't make much difference

 
At 4:20 PM, Blogger Mark said...

Is it over yet?? Please make it be over.... I thought when I turned my clocks ahead they would all be gone, oh well. The big Dick is out taunting us with his fear and guilt mongering again, no mater the facts. He scares me most of all.

 
At 5:14 PM, Blogger gandhi said...

An astonishing piece of neocon nonsense from Robert Kagan in the Washington Post today:

Some observers are reporting the shift. Iraqi bloggers Mohammed and Omar Fadhil, widely respected for their straight talk, say that "early signs are encouraging." ... The Fadhils report, "One difference between this and earlier -- failed -- attempts to secure Baghdad is the willingness of the Iraqi and U.S. governments to commit enough resources for enough time to make it work."

That's right, folks. Bush's "surge" is working because Omar and Mohammed Fadhil say it it!

More on these neocon puppet bloggers here, including backlinks to old Bushout posts.

 
At 8:33 PM, Blogger Jim King said...

I noticed that the rat, Dick Cheney, was getting cheers today from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) conference as he was saying that critics of his Iraq invasion are undermining our troops, not supporting our troops, not backing our troops and being disloyal to our troops. As Dick becomes more internationally isolated by his filthy Iraq invasion, it is perfectly understandable that the only group left to support him would be the Zionists - the primary enemies of Saddam Hussein and the cause of the conflict and instability in the Middle East with their arrogant 1948 invasion of Palestine. It won't work, Dick. Trying to deflect criticism away from yourself and Dubya and toward the troops won't work. We aren't criticizing the troops, Dick. We are criticizing you and Dubya, the military commanders who created this fiasco in the first place. And we are perfectly entitled to criticize you.

 
At 2:35 AM, Blogger larkrise said...

Karl Rove is still licking boots because he fits the Bush job requirements to a T: Incompetent, arrogant, vicious, deceptive,hypocritical, divisive, duplicitous, avaricious and shallow. He is a team player on a team of thugs. Birds of a feather flock together. Bush, Cheney, Rice, Rove and (sitting in the wings)Rumsfeld did not find one another by accident. They have beautifully matching character flaws; along with a "Buck is the Bottom Line" philosophy. Anything goes, as long as it leads to profit and power. Torture. Go right ahead. Human rights. Who needs 'em. Lie. As long as it gets you what you want. Pollute. No problem. Poison the environment and the public for profit. Kill, maim, destroy. And lose no sleep over it. Men like Rove have sold their souls long ago. Unfortunately, the Mainstream Media and the Conservative True Believers allow them to continue to spew their poison on the rest of us. That is why Rove is not in prison, where he belongs. Bush needs Rove's particular brand of evil, and the Media gives him a free pass.

 
At 8:58 PM, Blogger johnMccutchen said...

Mark

"Fabius Maximus" at DNI replies:


Insurgency's Over, Let's Move On

 

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