Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Hundreds Arrested in Punjab;
Suspension of Civil Liberties;
Some set Out on Long March on Capital

Well, I already used "crisis deepens in Pakistan," so what should I say about the news that the Pakistan People's Party government has had hundreds of attorneys and Muslim League (N) party activists arrested , invoking Section 144 of the Criminal Procedure Code throughout Punjab Province and in its capital, Lahore. This provision, which dates to British colonial methods of controlling the population, allows the government to forbid "all kinds of gatherings of five or more persons, processions, rallies and demonstrations at public places, distribution of hand bills and pamphlets, wall chalking, use of loud speakers and display of arms and ammunition . . ." The arms and ammunition thing aside, it is obviously a Draconian suspension of basic rights of speech and assembly. The section is clearly being abused by the Zardari government insofar as it is not public turmoil that is being forestalled but rather a simple march and demonstration-- the Long March called for by the PML-N leadership on Islamabad to demand the reinstatement of deposed chief justice Iftihar Chaudhury, who had been dismissed from the Supreme Court by former military dictator Pervez Musharraf. (This Long March repeats similar past demonstrations, especially the Long March of last June).

On the other hand, Pakistan Muslim League (N) leader Nawaz Sharif, who spent nearly a decade in exile in Saudi Arabia, seems to me to have gone round the bend. He has been threatening a rebellion and a revolution against the elected government, which which he had initially been allied. Now he is more or less accusing his PPP rivals of planning to whack him.

Sharif's incendiary rhetoric about a revolution and raising the standard of rebellion appears to have provoked the government to invoke section 144. If he had instead pledged a non-violent protest, perhaps it could have gone forward.

The ability to lose an election gracefully and to act as a loyal opposition is a key prerequisite for a party to participate in parliamentary democracy. The Muslim League is signally failing in that regard. Nawaz Sharif has long had dictatorial tendencies, and when he was last prime minister in the mid- to late-1990s, he started closing down newspapers, jailing journalists and editors, and stacking the decks against other parties.

As for the issue of the deposed supreme court, I don't understand why parliament could not simply pass legislation for a one-time measure to retire the justices appointed by the dictatorship and to appoint new ones, who would have legitimacy since they would be appointees of a popularly elected government. Iftikhar Chaudhury was brave to stand up to Musharraf in 2007, but he did validate Musharraf's coup, and Musharraf made him chief justice, in 2005. So you could argue that his original appointment was the fruit of a poisoned tree. It is odd that Sharif is so insistent on his return to the bench, since Chaudhury helped prolong Sharif's exile and justified the 1999 coup against him.

Anyway, no one seems in a mood to compromise.


Route of June 2008 Long March for Deposed Judges, courtesy BBC

This lawyers' procession is what the PPP is trying to prevent

' Lawyers and political parties across Pakistan are commencing long march form today (Thursday) for the independence of judiciary and reinstatement of deposed judges.

Lawyers had announced to stage sit-in protest on Shara-e-Dastoor Islamabad from March 16 until the restoration of judiciary on November 2 position.

According to lawyers, the processions of long march will get under way at 10am on Thursday which will be headed by President High Court Bar Association (PHCBA) Rasheed A. Rizvi from Sindh High Court Karachi and President Supreme Court Bar Association (PSCBA) Ali Ahmed Kurd from Balochistan High Court Quetta.

The lawyers’ procession will be joined by political leaders and activists at the tomb of Quaid-e-Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah in Karachi and it will arrive Sukkur through Hyderabad while lawyers’ procession appearing from Quetta will arrive Sukkur in the evening on March 12.'


If the elected, civilian leaders of Pakistan cannot find a way to compromise and avoid the massive confrontation that appears imminent, then they are unwittingly inviting the military to make yet another coup. For Pakistan to fall back into dictatorship, either through a military coup or through a presidential coup, would be a huge tragedy for stability in South Asia. (Contrary to what people keep saying, none of Pakistan's military governments actually brought social or political stability).

End/ (Not Continued)

12 Comments:

At 5:29 AM, Blogger Arnold Evans said...

I'm speechless.

Juan Cole, you obviously don't like Sharif but goodness gracious.

It is absolutely a betrayal for Zardari to refuse to reinstate Chaudhury. This was the central agreement that formed the basis of PML-N's alliance with PPP to topple Musharraf.

By going back on this, and instead watching Musharraf's client court *BAN SHARIF FROM POLITICS* Zardari clearly provoked demonstrations by both Sharif and the many Pakistanis who took to the streets over Musharraf's removal of Chaudhury.

Zardari is the US favorite, as his wife was but the situation in Pakistan today is not a matter of two sides refusing to compromise.

It looks from here more like Zardari trying to take the Mubarak/Abbas route of transitioning from legitimate leader to US-backed permanent dictator.

And right now Barack Obama seems overwhelmed by foreign policy. He is also suffering from his huge mistake of surrounding himself with the right-wing of the Democratic party in his foreign policy appointments and now has no reasonable voice in the White House counseling to stop this.

Zardari gets most of the blame here. Sharif may get some, but less than Obama. This is a bad moment for Pakistan and quite possibly for the US.

 
At 7:39 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nothing happens in Pakistan right now without US approval. The US fears Sharif as he is not a US puppet as is Zardari and Musharraf. Sharif and Imran Khan will never kneel and they are thus respected in Pakistan. But, the tUS has other goals and The Pakistanis all know this. Any wonder they are angry at America?

 
At 7:42 AM, OpenID m.idrees said...

Dear Juan, I'm afraid you are misrepresenting events in Pakistan again mostly because of the familiar biases that obscure the judgment of most western liberal commentators. Since your obvious sympathies lie with the PPP (which you called 'centre-left secular' -- 'secular', the magic word!), given its obvious abuse of authority, you feel obliged to do the fair-and-balance thing by apportioning blame equally to the PML-N. What you don't seem to realize is that 'Inquilab' ( meaning revolution) is a common rhetorical adornment that most politicians throw into their speeches, with a connotation roughly equivalent to that of 'Intifada' in Palestine. For example, when Benazir on her return to Pakistan during the Zia-era was going around saying 'Mein baghi houn', no one accused her of sedition. Even Zia could distinguish rhetoric from reality.

PPP's Zardari-clique is clearly in the wrong here and I fear their eagerness to consolidate power threatens to run the country to ground more than any overblown rhetoric from a rival. I hope the lawyers and all the political parties who for whatever reasons are championing their cause emerge victorious. They brought down Musharraf, they can bring down Zardari too. Time for Inquilab is now.

 
At 9:19 AM, Blogger Chris said...

"The ability to lose an election gracefully and to act as a loyal opposition is a key prerequisite for a party to participate in parliamentary democracy."

You could expand that theory to any democracy. Let's hope that the Republican Party in the U.S. can accomplish the same.

 
At 9:21 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I posted way back when the elections were held that these political leaders are utter scum. We need to face facts: these parties are controlled by people who dont care about Pakistan. This will go on and on, then the military will take over, then well have the whole Musharraf thing again, then again with the corrupt parties etc etc etc..........

 
At 9:27 AM, Blogger Richard said...

I don't think all the blame for this mess can entirely be blamed on the US, although much of it could be.

To select and support the wildly corrupt husband of dear Benazir as President was enough.

Now. America, you have created an arc of instability from Iraq to India.

How are you going to deal with it?

 
At 10:14 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

There is some hope that the Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani will be able to keep the democracy on track. Prime Minister Gilani, it appears, has broken ranks with President Zardari, who is becoming unpopular by the minute, and have asked the President to withdraw the Governor Rule from Punjab province and let the provincial assembly elect a new leader.

This is good news and I am hoping that the Prime Minister will prevail this time as well. Last week he forced the President to withdraw an ordinance issued unconstitutionally by the President.

Given the Parliamentary rules in Pakistan, the President cannot issue an ordinance when the House is in session.

Two bold moves by the Prime Minister to assert the strength of Parliamentary democracy in Pakistan.

 
At 12:33 PM, Blogger thatliberalguy said...

The ability to lose an election gracefully and to act as a loyal opposition is a key prerequisite for a party to participate in parliamentary democracy.

I'm going to suggest that it's also a prerequisite for one country to trust the actions of another country enough to enter into an agreement with that country that has the potential for disastrous consequences. For example, allowing non-state groups to act freely to recruit suicide bombers or fire rockets into the adjacent country's territory.

 
At 7:12 PM, Anonymous farida Batool said...

its very clear that nawaz sharif wants just power and he is using lawyers movement to fulfil his desire to get to the 'throne'. the whole movement is doubtful because it is mainly being channelized by PML N political agendas. there are different ways of protesting and staging and recording protests. the inability to see beyond one's personal gain has been the hall mark of many politicians and political parties for the last many years, leading pakistan into a series of crises which we are facing and bearing fruits these days. you must be blind to see Nawaz Sharif as an innocent protestor, he who was a dictator himself in his practice and wanted to bring nafaz e sharia to attain supreme powers. Imran khan should also concentrate on the social works where he is good at. we cannot afford to have people like him who support fundamentalists. the protest should have been focusing on mobilising people, civil society and a continues struggle for independent judiciary in a much more peaceful manner, with continued dialogue, march and protests, without threats of destruction. when will we learn to use our political rights with a positive long term vision? . the lawyers should have been able to maintain the difference between the protesting approach of religious fanatics and liberal activists. pakistan is at a threshold of major crises both outside and within its borders. we need to strengthen our system to fight against the wrong doings of past military dictators. its strange that many people who support nawaz now were part of zia regime. i am not writing in support of zardari at all, but promoting a more appropriate political approach for protesting a right cause in the times of crises.

 
At 9:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

With a due tip of the hat to former Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage, perhaps after Pakistan's civil war it will be they who bomb US into the stone age.

 
At 12:45 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

.
Is there an ethnic component to this divide ?
I am under the impression that Sharif is Punjabi and the Bhuttos and Zardari are Sindh. Is that a factor ?

Inquiring Student
.

 
At 1:42 AM, Blogger Cal Blue said...

The parties need to empower themselves. The problems stem from the clientism. Cut out Sharif and Zardari both and come to an agreement and terms on which to define partisan approaches to government. Democracy is not compatible with this level of personalization and ego.

 

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