Comments on: Al-Maliki’s Polling Shows His Party Getting Nearly 1/3 of Seats in Parliament, with Allawi’s Iraqiya at 1/5 http://www.juancole.com/2010/02/al-malikis-polling-shows-his-party.html Thoughts on the Middle East, History and Religion Tue, 14 Feb 2012 00:17:06 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Anonymous http://www.juancole.com/2010/02/al-malikis-polling-shows-his-party.html#comment-2409 Anonymous Mon, 08 Mar 2010 06:26:38 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5000#comment-2409 When the Diyala Provincial Council was being established in early 2009, Allawi's group and the Mutlaq group were cooperating very closely in an attempt to form the government and later in opposition. Whether that has continued - and whether that translates into votes is less clear. However, I would also add, that the three members of the Diyala PC from the Iraqi National List were all Sunnis - including some with considerable local support - although they identified themselves as secular Iraqis rather than by confession. When the Diyala Provincial Council was being established in early 2009, Allawi's group and the Mutlaq group were cooperating very closely in an attempt to form the government and later in opposition. Whether that has continued – and whether that translates into votes is less clear. However, I would also add, that the three members of the Diyala PC from the Iraqi National List were all Sunnis – including some with considerable local support – although they identified themselves as secular Iraqis rather than by confession.

]]> By: Anonymous http://www.juancole.com/2010/02/al-malikis-polling-shows-his-party.html#comment-2281 Anonymous Thu, 25 Feb 2010 13:13:08 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5000#comment-2281 When the Diyala Provincial Council was being established in early 2009, Allawi's group and the Mutlaq group were cooperating very closely in an attempt to form the government and later in opposition. Whether that has continued - and whether that translates into votes is less clear. However, I would also add, that the three members of the Diyala PC from the Iraqi National List were all Sunnis - including some with considerable local support - although they identified themselves as secular Iraqis rather than by confession. When the Diyala Provincial Council was being established in early 2009, Allawi's group and the Mutlaq group were cooperating very closely in an attempt to form the government and later in opposition. Whether that has continued – and whether that translates into votes is less clear. However, I would also add, that the three members of the Diyala PC from the Iraqi National List were all Sunnis – including some with considerable local support – although they identified themselves as secular Iraqis rather than by confession.

]]> By: Anonymous http://www.juancole.com/2010/02/al-malikis-polling-shows-his-party.html#comment-2280 Anonymous Thu, 25 Feb 2010 13:09:03 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5000#comment-2280 Apart from the black hole you mention, the credibility of these pollsters is poor.<br /><br />The Kurdish Alliance now faces a very serious opposition who have 45% of the Kurdish Parliament seats. So, the 10% nationally seems high to me.<br /><br />There is no way Maliki could get even half of the 30%. He has been in charge of a horribly inept and corrupt government and most Iraqis hate his guts.<br /><br />The sectarian voting is not as strong as you suggest. Both Sunnis and Shiite are happy to vote for better candidates from other sects or religions. 2010 is very different from 2005. Apart from the black hole you mention, the credibility of these pollsters is poor.

The Kurdish Alliance now faces a very serious opposition who have 45% of the Kurdish Parliament seats. So, the 10% nationally seems high to me.

There is no way Maliki could get even half of the 30%. He has been in charge of a horribly inept and corrupt government and most Iraqis hate his guts.

The sectarian voting is not as strong as you suggest. Both Sunnis and Shiite are happy to vote for better candidates from other sects or religions. 2010 is very different from 2005.

]]> By: Anonymous http://www.juancole.com/2010/02/al-malikis-polling-shows-his-party.html#comment-2278 Anonymous Thu, 25 Feb 2010 10:06:11 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5000#comment-2278 .<br />If Iraqis credit al-Sadr with the Bush surrender, rather than al-Maliki, then I think they will show their appreciation at the polls.<br />. .
If Iraqis credit al-Sadr with the Bush surrender, rather than al-Maliki, then I think they will show their appreciation at the polls.
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