Comments on: Maliki ahead in Key Shiite Privinces http://www.juancole.com/2010/03/maliki-ahead-in-key-shiite-privinces.html Thoughts on the Middle East, History and Religion Tue, 14 Feb 2012 00:17:06 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: harmis4 http://www.juancole.com/2010/03/maliki-ahead-in-key-shiite-privinces.html#comment-2503 harmis4 Sun, 14 Mar 2010 23:36:52 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5026#comment-2503 Results as Sunday 7PM EST<br /><br />The IHEC has released election PDF files of 10 provinces on it's website. Perhaps 10% of the national vote is listed. The combined totals and the estimated seat distribution based on Iraqi Electoral Law and the partial totals are as follows.<br /><br />State of Law - 345,005 57 Seats<br /><br />Iraqi National Movement - 290,724 58 seats<br /><br />Iraqi National Alliance - 276,403 48 seats<br /><br />Kurdistan Alliance - 130,409 14 seats <br /><br />Iraq Unity Coalition 31,150 4 seats<br /><br />Iraq Accordance - 30,360 9 seats<br /><br />Change - 22,948 2 seats<br /><br />Kurdistan Islamic Group - 12,511 1 seat<br /><br />Islamic Union of Kurdistan - 11,173 1 seat<br /><br />Others 70,085 0 seats<br /><br />Total: 1,220,768 194 of 310 regular seats. <br /><br />More of the mainly Sunni Provinces are in in than the Shia or Kurd.<br /><br />Based on these results the final seat totals may look something like this.<br /><br />Rule of Law - Maliki - 90 to 95 Seats<br /><br />National Movement - Allawi/Hashimi 80 Seats<br /><br />Iraq National Alliance - Hakim/Sadr<br />75 to 80 seats<br /><br />Kurdistan Alliance - Talabani/Barzani 40 seats<br /><br />Small Parties - 75 Seats including 8 religious minority seats Results as Sunday 7PM EST

The IHEC has released election PDF files of 10 provinces on it's website. Perhaps 10% of the national vote is listed. The combined totals and the estimated seat distribution based on Iraqi Electoral Law and the partial totals are as follows.

State of Law – 345,005 57 Seats

Iraqi National Movement – 290,724 58 seats

Iraqi National Alliance – 276,403 48 seats

Kurdistan Alliance – 130,409 14 seats

Iraq Unity Coalition 31,150 4 seats

Iraq Accordance – 30,360 9 seats

Change – 22,948 2 seats

Kurdistan Islamic Group – 12,511 1 seat

Islamic Union of Kurdistan – 11,173 1 seat

Others 70,085 0 seats

Total: 1,220,768 194 of 310 regular seats.

More of the mainly Sunni Provinces are in in than the Shia or Kurd.

Based on these results the final seat totals may look something like this.

Rule of Law – Maliki – 90 to 95 Seats

National Movement – Allawi/Hashimi 80 Seats

Iraq National Alliance – Hakim/Sadr
75 to 80 seats

Kurdistan Alliance – Talabani/Barzani 40 seats

Small Parties – 75 Seats including 8 religious minority seats

]]> By: Paul Torek http://www.juancole.com/2010/03/maliki-ahead-in-key-shiite-privinces.html#comment-2500 Paul Torek Sun, 14 Mar 2010 00:49:19 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5026#comment-2500 Regardless of whether the <i>results</i> are tampered with, the fact remains that the deck was stacked by the exclusion of some important candidates. After the Iraqi courts ruled that the exclusion of some candidates was invalid, al-Maliki managed to make the exclusion stand - but how? I'm not clear on the details. I hope Juan will explain. Regardless of whether the results are tampered with, the fact remains that the deck was stacked by the exclusion of some important candidates. After the Iraqi courts ruled that the exclusion of some candidates was invalid, al-Maliki managed to make the exclusion stand – but how? I'm not clear on the details. I hope Juan will explain.

]]> By: Anonymous http://www.juancole.com/2010/03/maliki-ahead-in-key-shiite-privinces.html#comment-2489 Anonymous Sat, 13 Mar 2010 01:55:49 +0000 http://www.juancole.com/?p=5026#comment-2489 The minute Chelabi walked into the vote counting build, his votes should have been nullified. The minute Chelabi walked into the vote counting build, his votes should have been nullified.

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