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	<title>Comments on: Iran Threatens to Pull out of Nuclear Deal over new UN Sanctions</title>
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	<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html</link>
	<description>Thoughts on the Middle East, History and Religion</description>
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		<title>By: Rehmat</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4479</link>
		<dc:creator>Rehmat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 16:10:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4479</guid>
		<description>Both Israel and Afrikan South Africa had very close relations in various fields - from military, espoinage and state terrorism. South Africa did have &#039;untested&#039; nuclear bombs - but became the first state to destroy its nuclear arsenal under former president Nelson Mandela.

Alain Gresh wrote in Le Monde:“During the Gaza war, South Africa expressed its strong solidarity with the Palestinians. No one here has forgotten the collaboration between Pretoria and Israel under apartheid, and many see parallels between the Palestinian situation today and that of Black and cloured South Africans back in the days of White rule”

http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2010/02/12/20th-anniversary-of-mandelas-freedom/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Both Israel and Afrikan South Africa had very close relations in various fields &#8211; from military, espoinage and state terrorism. South Africa did have &#8216;untested&#8217; nuclear bombs &#8211; but became the first state to destroy its nuclear arsenal under former president Nelson Mandela.</p>
<p>Alain Gresh wrote in Le Monde:“During the Gaza war, South Africa expressed its strong solidarity with the Palestinians. No one here has forgotten the collaboration between Pretoria and Israel under apartheid, and many see parallels between the Palestinian situation today and that of Black and cloured South Africans back in the days of White rule”</p>
<p><a href="http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2010/02/12/20th-anniversary-of-mandelas-freedom/">link to rehmat1.wordpress.com</a></p>
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		<title>By: hass</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4476</link>
		<dc:creator>hass</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 15:27:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4476</guid>
		<description>Iran did not &#039;reneg&#039; on the original deal. They specifically said that they only agreed to it &quot;in principle&quot; and needed additional concerns addressed, specifically, that they didn&#039;t trust the US to allow any of the LEU converted to fuel to be returned to Iran -- so they proposed (quite reasonably) a simultaneous exchange on Iranian soil. The US said &quot;my way or the highway&quot; and so the Iranians backed out, until the Turks stepped in and resolved that concern. Once again, the Iranians did not &quot;reneg&quot; on anything.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Iran did not &#8216;reneg&#8217; on the original deal. They specifically said that they only agreed to it &#8220;in principle&#8221; and needed additional concerns addressed, specifically, that they didn&#8217;t trust the US to allow any of the LEU converted to fuel to be returned to Iran &#8212; so they proposed (quite reasonably) a simultaneous exchange on Iranian soil. The US said &#8220;my way or the highway&#8221; and so the Iranians backed out, until the Turks stepped in and resolved that concern. Once again, the Iranians did not &#8220;reneg&#8221; on anything.</p>
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		<title>By: mauisurfer</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4459</link>
		<dc:creator>mauisurfer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 03:49:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4459</guid>
		<description>so guess who is the real nuclear proliferator on earth?

Revealed: how Israel offered to sell South Africa nuclear weapons

Exclusive: Secret apartheid-era papers give first official evidence of Israeli nuclear weapons

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/may/23/israel-south-africa-nuclear-weapons</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>so guess who is the real nuclear proliferator on earth?</p>
<p>Revealed: how Israel offered to sell South Africa nuclear weapons</p>
<p>Exclusive: Secret apartheid-era papers give first official evidence of Israeli nuclear weapons</p>
<p><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/may/23/israel-south-africa-nuclear-weapons">link to guardian.co.uk</a></p>
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		<title>By: Rehmat</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4450</link>
		<dc:creator>Rehmat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 May 2010 21:41:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4450</guid>
		<description>As Gilad Atzmon wrote a few months ago that Iran must build a nuclear bomb because that&#039;s the only language the US and Israel understand. As I have written at my blog several times that Washington&#039;s problem with the Islamic Republic has nothing to do with the later&#039;s nuclear program but it support for the Islamic resistance groups Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Hizbullah. The existing 2 mW TRR is &#039;Made in USA&#039; and during Shah&#039;s regime, the Washington proposed to build over dozen of nuclear reactors in Iran - to be operated by US/Israel technicians.

Personally, I believe Tehran should not go for the swap because it could be a trap - based on my following reasons:

http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2010/05/18/nuclear-swap-is-it-a-trap-for-islamic-republic/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As Gilad Atzmon wrote a few months ago that Iran must build a nuclear bomb because that&#8217;s the only language the US and Israel understand. As I have written at my blog several times that Washington&#8217;s problem with the Islamic Republic has nothing to do with the later&#8217;s nuclear program but it support for the Islamic resistance groups Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Hizbullah. The existing 2 mW TRR is &#8216;Made in USA&#8217; and during Shah&#8217;s regime, the Washington proposed to build over dozen of nuclear reactors in Iran &#8211; to be operated by US/Israel technicians.</p>
<p>Personally, I believe Tehran should not go for the swap because it could be a trap &#8211; based on my following reasons:</p>
<p><a href="http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2010/05/18/nuclear-swap-is-it-a-trap-for-islamic-republic/">link to rehmat1.wordpress.com</a></p>
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		<title>By: chet380</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4424</link>
		<dc:creator>chet380</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 May 2010 00:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4424</guid>
		<description>&quot;It is comprehensively sad that the Obama has turned out to be one bitter disappointment.&quot;

In a little over a year, so many promises have been broken - it is so disheartening that a man with so much promise would turn out in this way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;It is comprehensively sad that the Obama has turned out to be one bitter disappointment.&#8221;</p>
<p>In a little over a year, so many promises have been broken &#8211; it is so disheartening that a man with so much promise would turn out in this way.</p>
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		<title>By: Iran, vers « une communauté internationale » post-occidentale ? &#124; Comprendre le Monde</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4416</link>
		<dc:creator>Iran, vers « une communauté internationale » post-occidentale ? &#124; Comprendre le Monde</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 May 2010 18:36:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4416</guid>
		<description>[...] avant tout au lobby pro-israélien et à la volonté d’apaiser le gouvernement Nétanyahou (« Iran Threatens to Pull out of Nuclear Deal over new UN Sanctions », Informed Comment, 21 mai [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] avant tout au lobby pro-israélien et à la volonté d’apaiser le gouvernement Nétanyahou (« Iran Threatens to Pull out of Nuclear Deal over new UN Sanctions », Informed Comment, 21 mai [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4397</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 May 2010 08:15:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4397</guid>
		<description>.
The US only has 11 Carriers, and a Carrier makes one 6-month cruise every 2 years, generally.  So, at any given time, there are only 3 or 4 carriers able to go to sea.  
One is more-or-less permanently at Yokohama, Japan.  One is either in the Persian Gulf or in the Arabian Sea/ Gulf of Aden, looking for barefoot pirates.  One is often in the Atlantic, cruising to the Mediterranean.  When a 4th one is available, it&#039;s usually steaming between the West Coast and Hawai&#039;i.  
Supposedly two more carriers can be put to sea within 30 days in an emergency, and 2 more in 90 days, but that is only for a short surge.  
At any given time, one carrier is undergoing a refueling that takes over 2 years, and 2 or 3 are being drydocked, upgraded and repaired.  

A supercarrier is a phenomenal weapons system, but unless it happens to be nearby when the next war starts, it will be pretty much useless.  It&#039;s aircraft can only go out about 750 miles before they have to turn back.  So, they have to loiter where we project they will be needed.  Airbases in Qatar and Pakistan are much better ideas. 
.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>.<br />
The US only has 11 Carriers, and a Carrier makes one 6-month cruise every 2 years, generally.  So, at any given time, there are only 3 or 4 carriers able to go to sea.<br />
One is more-or-less permanently at Yokohama, Japan.  One is either in the Persian Gulf or in the Arabian Sea/ Gulf of Aden, looking for barefoot pirates.  One is often in the Atlantic, cruising to the Mediterranean.  When a 4th one is available, it&#8217;s usually steaming between the West Coast and Hawai&#8217;i.<br />
Supposedly two more carriers can be put to sea within 30 days in an emergency, and 2 more in 90 days, but that is only for a short surge.<br />
At any given time, one carrier is undergoing a refueling that takes over 2 years, and 2 or 3 are being drydocked, upgraded and repaired.  </p>
<p>A supercarrier is a phenomenal weapons system, but unless it happens to be nearby when the next war starts, it will be pretty much useless.  It&#8217;s aircraft can only go out about 750 miles before they have to turn back.  So, they have to loiter where we project they will be needed.  Airbases in Qatar and Pakistan are much better ideas.<br />
.</p>
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		<title>By: Arnold Evans</title>
		<link>http://www.juancole.com/2010/05/iran-threatens-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-exchange-deal-over-new-un-sanctions.html#comment-4396</link>
		<dc:creator>Arnold Evans</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 May 2010 08:14:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.juancole.com/?p=7143#comment-4396</guid>
		<description>Good article.  A couple of things are wrong:

&lt;i&gt;Turkey and Brazil, with full backing from Washington DC and in close cooperation with the Obama administration, had apparently succeeded by Monday morning in negotiating a deal whereby Iran would send over half of its low enriched uranium to Turkey, which would then send it on to (presumably) France and Russia for enrichment to 19.75 percent for use in Iran’s medical reactor for the production of medical isotopes. The deal was nearly identical to the one sought last October in Geneva by the Obama administration. Iran had agreed to something like this arrangement, but then reneged.&lt;/i&gt;

1) By now 1200 kgs is probably slightly less than Iran has on hand, but it is very close.  Saying over half is probably slightly less accurate than saying about half.  But I would not consider that misleading.  

2) The LEU, though is not to leave Turkey until Iran gets the fuel.  It will not be Iranian uranium that makes the fuel plates but rather Russian uranium diluted from weapons grade back to whatever France requests for the fuel plates.  

3) Iran did not renege on any agreement.  Iran accepted a fuel swap in principle in early October 2009.  By late October a) there was the terrorist attack, which Iran believed was supported by the US that killed many Iranian officers b) the West presented an offer that gave no assurances that Iran would ever actually get the fuel, and that left the US room to use returning the fuel as negotiating leverage to try to force Iran to stop enriching uranium. But while Iran was not in a mood to accept a take it or leave it offer from the West with unacceptable terms, that does not mean it reneged on any offer.  The late October offer, to this day, has never been spoken of positively by any Iranian official at any level.  The idea of a swap has always been acceptable, but never the late October offer.

&lt;i&gt;There are four domestic political forces affecting Iran policy. The War Hawks, including the more hard line of the Israel lobbies, would like to see the US back on the war footing with Iran characteristic of the late Bush administration.&lt;/i&gt;

4) This is a common misconception.  The late Bush administration was far more cooperative with Iran than the Obama administration.  You&#039;ll notice that a new NIE is being produced about Iran&#039;s nuclear program.  This NIE will not be released to the public the way the 2007 NIE was. If you ask, why was the 2007 NIE, which reduced essentially to zero the chance that Bush could either attack Iran or even get new sanctions was released if the Obama administration demonstrates that the White has the power to refuse to release an NIE, the answer is that it was released as a deliberate gesture.  A tangible gesture far more convincing than any of Obama&#039;s speeches to the Iranian people.

Along with that the Bush administration by the end of its term was in close cooperation with Iran regarding a US exit plan for Iraq.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good article.  A couple of things are wrong:</p>
<p><i>Turkey and Brazil, with full backing from Washington DC and in close cooperation with the Obama administration, had apparently succeeded by Monday morning in negotiating a deal whereby Iran would send over half of its low enriched uranium to Turkey, which would then send it on to (presumably) France and Russia for enrichment to 19.75 percent for use in Iran’s medical reactor for the production of medical isotopes. The deal was nearly identical to the one sought last October in Geneva by the Obama administration. Iran had agreed to something like this arrangement, but then reneged.</i></p>
<p>1) By now 1200 kgs is probably slightly less than Iran has on hand, but it is very close.  Saying over half is probably slightly less accurate than saying about half.  But I would not consider that misleading.  </p>
<p>2) The LEU, though is not to leave Turkey until Iran gets the fuel.  It will not be Iranian uranium that makes the fuel plates but rather Russian uranium diluted from weapons grade back to whatever France requests for the fuel plates.  </p>
<p>3) Iran did not renege on any agreement.  Iran accepted a fuel swap in principle in early October 2009.  By late October a) there was the terrorist attack, which Iran believed was supported by the US that killed many Iranian officers b) the West presented an offer that gave no assurances that Iran would ever actually get the fuel, and that left the US room to use returning the fuel as negotiating leverage to try to force Iran to stop enriching uranium. But while Iran was not in a mood to accept a take it or leave it offer from the West with unacceptable terms, that does not mean it reneged on any offer.  The late October offer, to this day, has never been spoken of positively by any Iranian official at any level.  The idea of a swap has always been acceptable, but never the late October offer.</p>
<p><i>There are four domestic political forces affecting Iran policy. The War Hawks, including the more hard line of the Israel lobbies, would like to see the US back on the war footing with Iran characteristic of the late Bush administration.</i></p>
<p>4) This is a common misconception.  The late Bush administration was far more cooperative with Iran than the Obama administration.  You&#8217;ll notice that a new NIE is being produced about Iran&#8217;s nuclear program.  This NIE will not be released to the public the way the 2007 NIE was. If you ask, why was the 2007 NIE, which reduced essentially to zero the chance that Bush could either attack Iran or even get new sanctions was released if the Obama administration demonstrates that the White has the power to refuse to release an NIE, the answer is that it was released as a deliberate gesture.  A tangible gesture far more convincing than any of Obama&#8217;s speeches to the Iranian people.</p>
<p>Along with that the Bush administration by the end of its term was in close cooperation with Iran regarding a US exit plan for Iraq.</p>
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