Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Turkish Planes Pound Iraqi North;
Condi: Iraq is Hard

Turkish war planes pounded northern Iraq on Monday, seeking to punish members of the Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK) who are implicated in bombings and other attacks inside Turkey.

Secretary of State Condi Rice said Monday that the Iraq War has been "harder, longer, and more difficult than I personally imagined" and she warned that victory is not assured.

Condi waited until political and financial stories were sure to drawn out her comments, which stand as a stark indictment of her boss and his policies in Iraq. They also point to the dangers in having ignorant but cocky leaders like herself.

Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has decided to seek a strong "united" government, offending Kurds who are committed to the soft partition of Iraq or even eventual Kurdish statehood. Al-Maliki's stance puts him at odds with Joe Biden, who argues for a weak federal Iraq.

US oil majors hoping to develop Iraq's petroleum should take a lesson from Nigeria, argues AP. Factional violence in the latter country has made the offshore operations the most practical ones.

McCain in 1992: Christianity and Oil Drive US Wars in Middle East

From "Larry King Live," August 3, 1992: McCain gave two reasons for US military involvement in the Middle East. We are a "Judeo-Christian nation" [so it really is a Crusade?] and "as long as the world's energy resources come from that part of the world . . ."

' [Larry] KING: Quickly - El Paso. We're running out of time. Go ahead.

10th CALLER: [El Paso, Texas] Yes, Jim Hagan [?], and my question is, why should we start with the assumption that the United States should send any force into Iraq or Yugoslavia, when the Western European nations, the Arabs, have more wealth, more manpower, the Russians-

KING: All right, John, quickly, tell us why we do help them?

Sen. [John] McCAIN: Very quickly, Jim, that's one of the reasons why we have not gone into Bosnia-Hercegovina, because of that very reason. And the Europeans should lead; although, over time, we may be forced, as a Judeo-Christian nation, to intervene. But in the Middle East, my friend, as long as the world's oil resources come from that area of the world, we have to be vitally involved."

McCain 1991: Unwise for US to Invade Iraq

On CNN's Larry King Live, April 23, 1991, Sen. John McCain opposed invading Iraq to overthrow Saddam Hussein on the grounds that 1) we'd turn Saddam Hussein into a hero; 2) we could not do it with air power and would need to commit ground troops; 3) we wouldn't be able to tell Sunnis from Shiites; 4) once we entered Baghdad we would start taking casualties [i.e. from guerrilla attacks]

' Rep. STEPHEN SOLARZ, (D-NY) Foreign Affairs Committee: I think we're in a very difficult situation, Larry. There's no question we won a great victory but, so long as Saddam Hussein remains in power, our victory will be less than complete. . .

KING: So what are you saying?

Rep. SOLARZ: I think that the only real solution lies in removing Saddam. I don't think this is an American responsibility alone. I think it's an international responsibility and I think that what we should do, Larry, is go back to the United Nations and seek another Security Council resolution demanding the resignation of Saddam and his regime-

KING: And if we don't get it?

Rep. SOLARZ: -and if he refuses to comply, authorizing the use of force in order to remove it. I do not believe that would necessarily require American ground forces to go in. Air power alone might be sufficient . . .

KING: You're going to eliminate the Iraqi people.

Rep. SOLARZ: On the contrary, Larry-

KING: We pounded them into submission. You're going to send them back into eternity.

Rep. SOLARZ: The Iraqi people would welcome us as liberators. . .

KING: John?

Sen. [John McCAIN: I hesitate enormously to disagree with not only Steve Solarz but Barbara Bush as well, as you know - and that's a hard pair to take on - but the fact is, if we went in on the ground into Baghdad that's the only way I know of that the Arab world could turn Saddam Hussein from the bum that he is into the hero that Nasser was, number one.

Number two is I don't think you could do it with air power. Unbeknownst to a lot of people, we tried bombing- We weren't trying to kill him, but we were just trying to bomb every place we thought he might be or could possibly be.

Third of all, I'm not sure that if we did go in on the ground we could tell a Shiite from a Sunni, even from a Kurd. And who is it that we'd be fighting and battling against on the streets of Baghdad? And, if we got into Baghdad, we would lose all of our military supremacy and we would take casualties. . ."

McCain Funded Righwing Contra Death Squads

Many of the "contras" or members of right wing guerrilla groups fighting the Sandinista government in the 1980s were drug smugglers and terrorists. High government officials of the Reagan and Bush, Sr. administrations knew very well about the drug running.

It has been alleged that the Contra drug smuggling sparked the crack cocaine crisis among African-Americans in Los Angeles.

John McCain sent the Contras money from his own pocket. Was that even legal?

'The Associated Press
February 9, 1988

Contras Ask U.S. Citizens For Help
BYLINE: By RICHARD COLE, Associated Press Writer

Contra leaders have postponed peace talks with the leftist Nicaraguan goverment and are asking Americans to donate money to help fund their civil war because Congress rejected military aid.

"We are now faced with the challenge of conserving the integrity and morale of our forces," Azucena Ferrey, a director of the Nicaraguan Resistance, said Monday. "In order to surmount this challenge, we need your financial support and appeal to the generosity which has always characterized the American people.

"This support is essential to overcome the present situation, even though it cannot substitute the aid of the American government nor match the aid received by the Sandinistas from the Soviet Union," she said.

Contributions already have been received from presidential candidate Sen. Bob Dole, R-Kan., and from Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. Dole gave $500 and McCain $400."

Keating: "Certainly hoped" he Bought Influence with McCain

Charles Keating on ABC Nightline, May 14, 1990: certainly hoped that the money he gave Sen. John McCain and other politicians influence them to take up his cause.

' TED KOPPEL: [voice-over] It's been called the biggest financial mess in U.S. history: the savings and loan disaster that's left taxpayers holding the bag for an estimated $250 billion. And this is the man who's accused of responsibility for the single most expensive S&L failure of them all. Charles Keating and his family are accused of looting the Lincoln Savings & Loan Association of more than $1 billion. He says the federal government itself is responsible for his misfortune. . .

WALKER: [voice-over] Take a 50-minute drive outside Phoenix, and you'll find another Keating extravaganza called Estrella. Keating spent $133 million of Lincoln's money, again, federally insured dollars, to buy this 17,000-acre development that was supposed to become a city for 250,000 people. But while he built two lakes, installed some roads and water lines, the development remains largely the home of cactus and jackrabbits. How come?

Mr. KEATING: It was beautiful, everything was in place, we had builders, we had custom lots being sold. In walks the federal government, and look what happens. You can see all around you where trees have died, the grounds aren't being kept up. And there's nothing wrong with Estrella, had we been permitted to build it out. There's nothing wrong with any of these developments. They took them away and ruined them.

WALKER: [voice-over] Despite Keating's determination to blame Uncle Sam for Estrella's problems, federal officials who studied the Phoenix-Tucson real estate market in 1987 concluded it would take 40 years to sell all the houses that Lincoln S&L was proposing to build. But Keating was never one to look back. When the federal regulators began turning up the heat on him in 1986, he turned to the so-called Keating Five for help: United States Senators DeConcini, McCain, Riegle, Cranston and Glenn. Keating's contributions either directly or indirectly to the five senators totaled $1.3 million. What did he expect in return?

Mr. KEATING: [KPNX, April, 1989] One question among the many raised in recent weeks had to do with whether my financial support in any way influenced several political figures who took up my cause. I want to say in the most forceful way that I can, I certainly hope so.'

Monday, October 06, 2008

McCain Campaign No. 1 at Self-Parody;
McCain support for Mujahideen Papered Over

Sarah Palin's jab at Barack Obama on Sunday attempting to tie him to terrorism (!) is another in a long line of gaffes that will hurt her ticket tremendously.

You always suspected that McCain, if he got in trouble with the electorate, really would stoop to calling his rival a terrorist.

Saturday Night Live writers don't even have to create parodies any more. They've just been quoting Palin verbatim.

The comedy writers have another wild statement from Palin/McCain to work with now.

As for the real terrorism, someone should please ask McCain about his support in the 1980s for the mujahideen (Muslim holy warriors) blowing up things in Afghanistan, which ultimately led some of the mujahideen to form al-Qaeda. Or about McCain's friendship and support for Gen.Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan, who refused to help capture Bin Laden in 1999 and who continued to support and use the Taliban.

Oh, I forgot, if you declare yourself right wing, it is all right to foment terrorism and the corporate media will never question you about it because, well, because it is the corporate media.

Saudi Arabia mediates between Karzai Gov't, Taliban

Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah recently hosted talks in Mecca, between Taliban and the Karzai government.

And that's the good news!

11 Family Members killed in US Raid;
GI likely torured in Iraq;

A US raid on a suspected guerrilla safe house left 11 members of a family dead on Sunday, including three women and three children. The US military insists that the dead men were members of "al-Qaeda" and that the house was full of arms, and that, indeed, some of the destruction was caused by a secondary explosion. Iraqis seem to be denying the US charges.

The main political significance of the dead women and children is that they certainly will be thought relevant by at least the Sunni Arabs in parliament to the status of forces agreement being hammered out between Prime Minister al-Maliki and the Bush administration.

A bomb attack on a British convoy in Basra on Sunday wounded an Iraqi civilian.

One of the reasons the US military prefers to follow the Geneva Conventions, which forbid torture, is that when America tortures it encourages its enemies who capture GIs to torture them. It is therefore sad to know that Bush, Cheney, Rice and Rumsfeld ordered that prisoners be tortured and that "the parents of Spc. Byron Wayne Fouty believe he was tortured by his captors . . ." Fouty was from Texas.

Egyptian foreign minister Ahmad Aoul Gheit made a surprise visit to Baghdad on Sunday and talked about reopening the Egyptian embassy. The last Egyptian diplomat sent there was killed. For his part, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak roiled relations with Iraq by saying that Arab Shiites are more loyal to Iran than to their own countries. But Egypt needs energy and Iraq has a lot of oil, and Cairo is inching back toward a correct relationship with Baghdad.

Turkey, facing a terrorism threat from radical Kurdish separatists based in Iraq, asks the US and Iraq to control Iraqi borders.

Internally displaced Iraqis are being pressured to return to the former domiciles, with aid being withdrawn and tents taken down by the government. This despite the changed political geography of Iraq in the wake of the 2006-2007 massive ethnic cleansing, which has left many Sunni areas without Shiites and vice versa. Shiites cannot return to towns such as Habbaniya because they would stand out like a sore thumb. Anyway, many of them have been personally threatened by name by militias of the other sect, and will not go back as long as they think those militiamen who menaced them are still active and armed.There is no more effective threat than one backed up by thousands of previous murders.

Tina Susman of the LAT reports that more Iraqis are still fleeing the country than are returning, and that the brain drain of professionals is still extensive..

Iraq is rebuilding the Askariya Shrine in Samarra, the destruction of which kicked off the Shiite campaign of ethnic cleasning of Sunnis. Some hope the rebuilt shrine will improve Sunni-Shiite relations.

McClatchy reports other political violence in Iraq on Sunday:

' Nineveh

. . .Gunmen killed four men and injured six in a drive by shooting that targeted a funeral in Al Zinjili area in Mosul. One of the deceased was Iraqi army officer.

- Police found three bodies in Wahda neighborhood in Mosul. The three men were kidnapped yesterday.

- Gunmen attacked a police patrol in central Mosul injuring two policemen.

Diyala

- Gunmen attacked Hussein Al Hamad village near Khan Bani Saad area, about 18 miles south of Baquba, killing three citizens and destroying five houses.

Kirkuk

- Police found one dead body of a Kurd young man near a bridge one day after his kidnapping.'

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Sunday, October 05, 2008

Is Karzai's Brother a Drug Lord?

Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai's brother may be involved in the drug trade.

Actually, a majority of Afghans are involved in raising poppies or making and exporting heroin. A good third of the country's gross domestic product derives from the drug trade and 85% of Europe's heroin comes from Afghanistan.

Some of the Pushtuns the US and NATO call "Taliban" seem to me actually to just be villagers angry that US or Afghan troops forcibly eradicated their poppy crops.

A British commander has expressed doubts that an "absolute military victory" can be won in Afghanistan and suggested negotiating with the Taliban.

President Karzai is way ahead of him, and has asked the Saudis to help mediate the conflict.

Meanwhile, NATO and the US continued their search and destroy missions, killing 12 "Taliban" in Jalai, it was announced on Saturday.

15 Turkish Soldiers Dead in Fighting with Kurds;
2 GIs wounded in Helicopter Crash;
Sadrists Denounce Negroponte Visit

Fighting between Turkish government troops and Kurdish guerrillas in eastern Turkey and northern Iraq left 15 Turkish soldiers and 23 Kurdish fighters dead. Sounds like a big deal to me-- countries that lose 15 men in one day are always tempted to send in more troops.

Two US blackhawk helicopters crashed in Baghdad. One Iraq soldier was killed and four people were wounded, including 2 US soldiers.

Sawt al-Iraq reports in Arabic that the Basra police claim to have arrested 8 wanted men (probably militiamen of the Mahdi Army with which the army clashed in the city late last March).

The Sadr movement in the Iraqi parliament rejected the visit to Iraq of State Department envoy John Negroponte. MP Uqayl Abdul Husain said that Negroponte was pressuring Iraq to accept quickly a status of forces agreement with the US. He said that the envoy was also attempting to add paragraphs to the agreement that would detract from Iraq's sovereignty. He maintained that given the recent successes of the Iraqi army in subduing local militias, Iraq did not even need US troops any more and thus the agreement is superfluous. (That is rich; the successes of the Iraqi army were against the Mahdi Army, the paramilitary of the Sadr Movement!)

The United Arab Emirates is developing the natural gas in Kurdistan over the objections of the Iraqi federal government. Kurdistan on such matters acts like an independent country and does not seek permission from Baghdad.

Poland is ending its role as a member of the coalition of the willing, which in general is coming to look like a coalition of the unwilling.

Sectarian warfare in Iraq has spilled over onto Lebanon, argues Nir Rosen.

Reuters reports political violence in Iraq the last couple of days:

' . . . MOSUL - A roadside bomb killed two policemen and wounded another on Friday in central Mosul, police said...

MOSUL - Gunmen entered a Christian-owned shop in central Mosul, 390 km (240 miles) north of Baghdad, and shot the owner dead, police said. . . .

MOSUL - The bodies of two people who had been kidnapped were found on Friday, bearing gunshot wounds, in southeastern Mosul, police said. Another body was found in western Mosul. . .

BAGHDAD - U.S. forces killed a senior al Qaeda militant, along with one woman, on Friday in the Adhamiya district of northern Baghdad, the U.S. military said.'

Gaza's Tunnels Are Lifeline for Territory under Siege

Aljazeera English reports on the tunnels that Gazans use to blunt the impact of the siege imposed on them by Israel (and Egypt).



The smugglers are sometimes killed in tunnel collapses or by demolitions by the Egyptian government.

Human rights protesters against Israel's virtual siege of the civilian population have sailed from Cyprus to Gaza, bringing aid.

Israeli journalist Gideon Levy lays out a case against Israeli policy in Gaza.

A Scottish human rights activist filmed Israeli sailors shooting at unarmed civilian Gazan fishermen.

Tuvalu Threatened by Rising Sea Water

As global warming melts land ice and causes ocean levels to rise, islands like Tuvalu are in danger of being inundated. The 10,000 people in the island nation are pleading with Australia to take them in when the waters rise further.

Internet devotees will remember Tuvalu as the nation licensed to give out the .tv domain name. Ironically, the domain name and an internet connection may be the only thing left of the country soon. Tuvalu may become the first virtual nation.

Kiribatu and the Maldives are in a similar plight.

If Tuvalu is a problem, what will the world do about Bangladesh,which could have 30 million climate refugees this century . . . That would be sort of like New York and Pennsylvania combined.

Saturday, October 04, 2008

You Betcha, Get out Those Snorkels, *Wink*

The bad news is that 250 million years ago, global warming almost killed the planet.

'Through the darkest days, the planet was a barren wasteland. Ocean circulation, so vital to our modern climate, had shut off. Huge algal blooms sucked the seas dry of oxygen. Poisonous hydrogen sulfide built up to lethal concentrations in the water and may have even been belched into the atmosphere, suffocating organisms on shore.'


The good news is that the 160 feet along the shoreline where the waves come in aerated the water and created a narrow band where crustaceans and other forms of life could survive until the planet cooled down again.

So if humans do unalterably again poison the planet by digging oil and coal up out of the ground and pumping carbon dioxide into our atmosphere, apparently it will be we who get boiled and the lobsters that laze about all day snapping their pincers.

Friday, October 03, 2008

US Soldier Killed in South;
Provincial Elections Bill Passes Presidential Council

Shiite guerrillas deploying a roadside bomb killed a US soldier in Amara.

Iraq's presidency council approved the enabling legislation for provincial elections scheduled early next year. The council had shot down the first such bill, in part over the question of how the disputed oil province Kirkuk would be dealt with.

Aljazeera English interviews former British foreign secretary Lord David Owen on the Iraq War. Owen had supported the war but says he did so in part because Tony Blair lied to him about Saddam's nuclear and biological weapons programs. He admits that the war, which he had supported, has been an unimitigated disaster.

The Non-Debate

It was not a debate. Just as television in prime time has been largely emptied of drama and innovative comedy, with a few exceptions, in favor of empty-headed "reality shows," so the political debates have mostly been gutted.

Judging "how the candidates did" is rather like weighing in on the wittiness of the libretto of "Big Brother" or the pace of character development in the latest episode of "Keeping up with the Kardashians." The genre of the political review assumes that both candidates are credible in their roles. It becomes self-parody when one candidate is a ditzy nonentity cynically foisted on the public in the same way a 'reality show' is, based on a targeted demographic and without regard to quality.

It reminded me of the excruciating first episodes every season of "American Idol," when a single candidate is found who has the voice of an angel and then everyone else auditioned sounds like fingernails on a blackboard.

The news organizations and civic groups that sponsor political debates have allowed the campaigns to push them around so vigorously that nothing like a debate is any longer possible. The Bushies even tried to force the networks to hide the fact that John Kerry was taller than his rival in 2004. It is not about debating but about how your candidate looks on television.

Not only was there no debate but Sarah Palin was not required actually to answer any of the questions put to her, and she announced before she began that she was just going to throw up on us all the talking points that she had binged on in Arizona for the past few days.

She mugged for the camera, winked like a bar fly, and just went on talking and talking and talking, oblivious to whatever anyone else said. Not only did she ignore most of Gwen Ifill's questions,she paid no attention to what Joe Biden said. When he choked up over the loss of his family, she did not have the decency to express any kind of condolences. It is almost as though she is narcissistic and unable to connect with human beings.

Not only was it not a debate and not only did Palin answer virtually none of the questions put to her, but the whole idea of such an event was ridiculous.

Joe Biden has been either the chairman or the ranking minority member on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations Committee for many years, and is one of our foremost foreign affairs experts and legislators. His acumen and expertise are wide-ranging.

Palin has revealed her real self in the Gibson and Couric interviews, and clearly knows nothing and offers only rubbery expressions and glib repetition, for all the world like a rasping myna bird, of a stream of memorized slogans that sound as though they were disinterred from a time capsule originally buried in William F. Buckley Jr.'s back yard several decades ago.

It was not a debate, and pretending that it was and judging "performance" is to fall into the trap set by the campaign spinmeisters and talking point pimps.

Iraqis Blame lack of Political Progress for Bombings

Al-Hayat reports in Arabic on the aftermath of the horrific bombings on Thursday at Shiite mosques in Baghdad that left 26 persons dead and dozens wounded.

Wa'il Abd al-Latif, an independent member of parliament saw a relationship between the bombings and the sources of the recent political tension that have not been resolved. One of these contentious issues is the security agreement being negotiated by PM al-Maliki with the Bush administration. He said that there is a crisis of confidence over the ability and willingness of the (Shiite-dominted) government and the Awakening Councils (Sunni Arab Iraqis willing to take a US salary to fight the Muslim radical vigilantes).

Murtada al-Qazwini, the Friday prayers sermonizer at the al-Husayn shrine complex in the Shiite holy city of Karbala, requested the government during his Eid or holy day sermon to refuse to sign the security agreement being worked out with the Bush administration, because, he said, the current draft allows US troops in Iraq to commit crimes against Iraqis and the things they hold sacred without recourse for the victims to Iraqi courts.

Muhammad Ismail al-Khazraji of the Fadhila (Islamic Virtue) Party blamed the Iraqi government for the escalation of violence, saying it had failed to implement a plan for national reconciliation. He said the bombings were done by political actors who sought concrete goals.


McClatchy reports political violence in Iraq on Thursday:

' Baghdad

A suicide bomber wearing a suicide vest targeted a Shiite mosque in Baghdad al-Jadeeda, eastern Baghdad after Eid prayers, at 7.45 a.m. Thursday, killing at least twelve civilians, injuring twenty five.

A suicide car bomb targeted a Shiite mosque in Zafaraniyah, southeastern Baghdad at 7.45 a.m. Thursday killing eight people including four Iraqi Army members, injuring ten including one soldier.

A suicide car bomb targeted a U.S. military convoy in Ameriyah, west Baghdad at noon. A U.S. army vehicle was destroyed and two Iraqi civilians were injured according to Iraqi police. The U.S. military confirmed the incident, adding that the investigation was ongoing.

One mortar round slammed into the Green Zone near the Ministry of Defence, said Iraqi Police. No casualties were reported.

One unidentified body was found in Nidhal Street, central Baghdad by Iraqi Police today.

Nineveh

Gunmen attempted to assassinate Radhwan Izuddin, religious sheikh of al-Furqan Mosque in al-Zuhur neighbourhood, eastern Mosul. Izuddin survived the attack that took place in front of the mosque with superficial injuries.

Diyala

Gunmen opened fire upon a Kia minibus from a speeding car in Wajihiyah, 20 km to the east of Baquba killing three women, one man and two children ages five and six, injuring two people: a woman and a man.'

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Palin Pads Resume Again: Didn't Actually Meet British Ambassador

Sarah Palin BUSTED!! Forced to apologize to British ambassador for lying about participating in "talks" with him that never actually took place!

"In an answer to questions about her foreign policy experience ahead of tonight's make-or-break vice presidential TV debate, her aides listed numerous contacts with foreign officials - including Britain's ambassador to Washington, Sir Nigel Sheinwald. However the meeting never occurred. Officials at the embassy swiftly contacted the McCain-Palin campaign to inform them of the discrepancy. A British Embassy spokesman said the error arose after Sir Nigel's name was listed among those who had attended a US Governor's meeting in July."