Your statement that AN's outrageous speech at the UN aimed at an domestic audience was promptly confirmed by today's Friday sermon of Hojatoleslam Sedighi (Mr Boobquake), who boasted that his beloved "president" has sent out the "valiant people's firm message to the blackmailers and managed to accuse the U.S. regime even of the 9/11 events." http://www.peykeiran.com/Content.aspx?ID=22165
Interestingly Sedighi was also adamant that the Revolution is not over...
Thank you for your reply. It is difficult to answer, when you insist on blocking out half of the story, nevertheless I will try to do so. You say "the regime has been helped by relatively high oil prices and expansion of its Japan & Chinese markets", but you apply this statement to a void, just as if other economic parameters would not exist: due to AN's disastrous policies Iranian economy suffers from a heavy decline, which started already three or four years ago. Add the sanctions to this bleak picture and you get an idea, how devastating their effects must be.
Very obviously other nations try to fill the gap, but I doubt that they will succeed in doing so, especially due to heavy additional costs and the losses caused by necessary economic reorientation. Surely the IR has to pay a hefty price for expanding its Japanese and Chinese markets, which reduces its incomes severely. Presumably you assume that the regime acts like other sensible nations, which is certainly not the case. A majority of these trade expansions is directed by the IRGC corporate raiders, mostly interested in their short-term profits.
On the other hand sanctions have already started to work, even though implemented only two months ago: many major projects in the energy sector were abandoned (e.g. South Pars), and oil exports have been reduced due to bans on shipping companies etc.
Apart from these international effects, the domestic outcome of sanctions is equally negative: Iranian businessmen shy away from investing in a targeted economy, searching for foreign markets instead (statement of the head of Iran's Chamber of Commerce on Khabar Online).
Today this same news agency reported that the rate of bounced checks has reached an unprecedented level this year, amounting to a sum of $ 8,524 billions: http://www.khabaronline.ir/news-93774.aspx
A healthy regime and economy, unaffected by sanctions, looks different to me...
Apparently you have not the slightest idea about day to day realities in Iran, otherwise you would not fall for the regime's propaganda. Even 15 months after the rigged elections AN has not succeeded in solving urgent economic problems: while the 5th Budget Plan (2010-2015) has not yet started, domestic experts say the 4th Budget Plan has been implemented by 40% at most. On the other hand unemployment and inflation rates soar even before subsidy cuts have become operative. And the alleged domestic gasoline production will further reduce national income due to halted exports of petrochemical products.
All these data are available in English, but obviously do not fit this uninformed comment.
As for rising political conflicts on the domestic level, I recommend you to read EA's latest entries: Mahmoud the Great Pretender...
Your statement that AN's outrageous speech at the UN aimed at an domestic audience was promptly confirmed by today's Friday sermon of Hojatoleslam Sedighi (Mr Boobquake), who boasted that his beloved "president" has sent out the "valiant people's firm message to the blackmailers and managed to accuse the U.S. regime even of the 9/11 events." http://www.peykeiran.com/Content.aspx?ID=22165
Interestingly Sedighi was also adamant that the Revolution is not over...
Thank you for your reply. It is difficult to answer, when you insist on blocking out half of the story, nevertheless I will try to do so. You say "the regime has been helped by relatively high oil prices and expansion of its Japan & Chinese markets", but you apply this statement to a void, just as if other economic parameters would not exist: due to AN's disastrous policies Iranian economy suffers from a heavy decline, which started already three or four years ago. Add the sanctions to this bleak picture and you get an idea, how devastating their effects must be.
Very obviously other nations try to fill the gap, but I doubt that they will succeed in doing so, especially due to heavy additional costs and the losses caused by necessary economic reorientation. Surely the IR has to pay a hefty price for expanding its Japanese and Chinese markets, which reduces its incomes severely. Presumably you assume that the regime acts like other sensible nations, which is certainly not the case. A majority of these trade expansions is directed by the IRGC corporate raiders, mostly interested in their short-term profits.
On the other hand sanctions have already started to work, even though implemented only two months ago: many major projects in the energy sector were abandoned (e.g. South Pars), and oil exports have been reduced due to bans on shipping companies etc.
Apart from these international effects, the domestic outcome of sanctions is equally negative: Iranian businessmen shy away from investing in a targeted economy, searching for foreign markets instead (statement of the head of Iran's Chamber of Commerce on Khabar Online).
Today this same news agency reported that the rate of bounced checks has reached an unprecedented level this year, amounting to a sum of $ 8,524 billions: http://www.khabaronline.ir/news-93774.aspx
A healthy regime and economy, unaffected by sanctions, looks different to me...
Apparently you have not the slightest idea about day to day realities in Iran, otherwise you would not fall for the regime's propaganda. Even 15 months after the rigged elections AN has not succeeded in solving urgent economic problems: while the 5th Budget Plan (2010-2015) has not yet started, domestic experts say the 4th Budget Plan has been implemented by 40% at most. On the other hand unemployment and inflation rates soar even before subsidy cuts have become operative. And the alleged domestic gasoline production will further reduce national income due to halted exports of petrochemical products.
All these data are available in English, but obviously do not fit this uninformed comment.
As for rising political conflicts on the domestic level, I recommend you to read EA's latest entries: Mahmoud the Great Pretender...