Sadly I see as likely the catastrophic prediction of Juan Cole, however I would have two critical remarks on its conclusion:
1) I do not think that Israelis would emigrate abroad in large numbers for fear of Palestinian rockets from Jordan, any more than they did so far for those who came from Gaza (or many years ago from Lebanon);
2) Israel's security would deteriorate? It depends on the definition that you give for the word "security": maybe for Israeli decision makers, reared all along on the strategy of the iron wall and confident in their military strength and US support, utmost chaos outside their border would not be a scenario of particular concern. Or rather.
Sadly I see as likely the catastrophic prediction of Juan Cole, however I would have two critical remarks on its conclusion:
1) I do not think that Israelis would emigrate abroad in large numbers for fear of Palestinian rockets from Jordan, any more than they did so far for those who came from Gaza (or many years ago from Lebanon);
2) Israel's security would deteriorate? It depends on the definition that you give for the word "security": maybe for Israeli decision makers, reared all along on the strategy of the iron wall and confident in their military strength and US support, utmost chaos outside their border would not be a scenario of particular concern. Or rather.