Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Monday, June 19, 2006

Bush's Abuse of History
Snow's Battle of Bilge


The president of the United States is in some ways the nation's leading public historian. More people hear about American history from him than from virtually any other source, with the possible exception of Hollywood.

It has therefore been dispiriting to witness the falsehoods about American history consistently purveyed by the Bush administration. Bush and his officials have repeatedly made allegations that simply are not true, but they sin most grievously against the muse of Clio with their flat-footed and implausible analogies.

On Sunday, the most prominent among Bush's spokesmen from the ranks of Fox Cable News anchors, Tony Snow, did it again. He compared our current situation in Iraq to the Battle of the Bulge. This battle began in mid-December, 1944, a little over 3 years after the US entered the war. Snow also suggested that the American public was ready to throw in the towel at that point in the war!

Is the only way this tawdry administration can make itself feel good to defame the Greatest Generation? My late uncle used to tell us stories of how he fought at the Battle of the Bulge. Is Tony Snow saying he was a coward? That the Americans back at the homefront were?

From CNN on Sunday:


BLITZER: "Let's talk a little bit about troop withdrawal potentials for the U.S. military, about 130,000 U.S. forces in Iraq right now.

In our most recent CNN poll that came out this week, should the U.S. set a timetable to eventually withdraw troops from Iraq, 53 percent said yes; 41 percent said no.

Senator Dianne Feinstein wrote a piece in the San Francisco Chronicle today. She's going to be on this show, coming up.

She wrote this: "We have now been in Iraq for more than three years. And we believe that the time has come for that phased redeployment to begin. It is also time for the Bush administration to provide a schedule and timetable for the structured downsizing and redeployment of U.S. forces in Iraq."

"Does that make sense?"

SNOW: "The president understands people's impatience -- not impatience but how a war can wear on a nation. He understands that. If somebody had taken a poll in the Battle of the Bulge, I dare say people would have said, wow, my goodness, what are we doing here?

But you cannot conduct a war based on polls. And you can't conduct this kind of activity. What you have to do -- and the president's been clear about this -- is take a look at the conditions on the ground. Let's think for a moment of the alternative.

If the United States pulls out -- and what's been interesting is that most people realize that simply pulling out would be an absolute, unmitigated disaster, not merely for the people of Iraq but the larger war on terror."


On the question of American faintheartedness in the face of the Ardennes assault by the Germans, here is what was on the front page of the New York Times on December 20, 1944:



"nothing but confidence in our ability to deal with . . ." "It has long been foreseen that the enemy might make some such counter-stroke . . ." "the risks of powerful armies closing in on his flanks seem even greater . . ." Oh, yeah, we were obviously petrified! Why, it is amazing that Gen. Patton didn't just slink away for very shame at our pusillanimity!

Not only were the Americans determined in the face of the Nazi assault, but the NYT reported that the Belgian resisters to the Nazis urgently requested permission to line up to fight the German army, a request that Gen. Erskine declined. Ragtag Belgian irregulars weren't afraid, much less the public and military of the United States of America!

And here is the concluding para. of the NYT editorial on Jan. 13, 1945:



So let me get this straight. The NYT editorial says, "This state of affairs calls not merely for watchfulness on the part of the allies but also for the recovery of the general control of strategy as soon as possible."

So Tony Snow thinks a poll would have shown that the US public was shaking in its booties at the Battle of the Bulge? He thinks the New York liberal press was calling for an abandonment of the war? What a steaming crock!

So his premise is just not true. But neither is his analogy on the mark. We are not at the Battle of the Bulge in Iraq. We are at the beginning of 1983 and we are the Soviets in Afghanistan. Here is what wikipedia says about that era:

"1983

The Muslim insurgency remains locked in military stalemate against Soviet and Afghan troops. The government controls the cities, while the guerrillas control the countryside. There are conflicting reports on the success of the regime in either neutralizing the insurgency movement or crushing it with the aid of some 110,000 Soviet troops. Reports on the war are sketchy and probably biased, since they are based on accounts given either by Pakistan-based rebel groups or by journalists taken on conducted tours by the government. President Karmal is firmly in command of the ruling PDPA. Infighting between the Parcham and Khalq factions of the party is less evident in 1983 than in previous years, and it appears that the Soviets have succeeded in bringing them under control. Afghanistan continues to depend on the Soviet Union for economic aid and food assistance."


Three years later, Soviet documents show, Gorbachev had decided he could not win in Afghanistan, and that he would have to withdraw. Shortly thereafter, the CIA gave Stinger shoulder-held missiles to the Mujahidin (including to our then ally Gulbuddin Hikmatyar), and Gorbachev had to accelerate his plans. In 1988 the Soviets withdrew. A year later the Soviet empire lost its Eastern European satellites, and in 1991 it collapsed.

Would the Soviets have been better off getting out of Afghanistan in 1983? Without any doubt whatsoever. Would the chaos in the country have been worse than what eventually happened, in the 1990s? Highly unlikely.

As for Snow's contention that for the US to get out of Iraq would be a defeat in the war on terror, it is exactly the opposite. The US occupation of Iraq is now reviving the terror movement among Muslim radicals. This is the conclusion of experts such as Fawaz Gerges and Steven Simon and Daniel Benjamin. The quicker we end the miltiary occupation, the sooner we will stop inadvertently training the next generation of terrorists who want to hit us.

And, anyway, as the killing of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi demonstrates, there is no real need to worry about terrorism flourishing in western Iraq. The neighbors-- Jordan, Syria and Turkey-- would never put up with it, for fear it would spill over onto them. And as that operation showed, the Jordanians are better at tracking down Arab terrorists than the US military (yes, it soes help to know Arabic fluently).

Moreover, there is some danger of Bush's imperial over-stretch imperiling our republic. Our budget deficits, enormous indebtedness, the sinking dollar, and other effects of imperial overstretch and Republican Party irresponsibility could lead to a crisis of epochal proportions.

Everything Snow said was wrong, and most of it was insulting-- whether to my late uncle, to the greatest generation in general, or just to our intelligence.

28 Comments:

At 1:46 AM, Blogger Keith M said...

Black oil

 
At 2:04 AM, Blogger Paul said...

Here here.

 
At 2:52 AM, Blogger dan said...

Dear Professor Cole,
Tomorrow morning as many other mornings I will treat a patient who served in the Battle of the Bulge. This particular gentleman often fluctuates between defending the Bush administration and allies "those democrats have nothing on Tom Delay!" Yes-with my very own ears) and Jesus-there were alot of good people we killed-hell, alot of those Germans were better men than those around me-clean, sharp uniforms...."
I'm not even sure why I'm finally commenting other than to say I don't want to explain the US actions in 60 years to anyone-I can't even now
Dan

 
At 2:53 AM, Blogger Sulayman said...

Excellent analysis. Why can't we have more people dig this deep into issues? Why do I have to watch the Daily Show to see video of Dick Cheney lying and contradicting his video interview the year before? Did investigative journalism die off after the OJ trial?

 
At 3:23 AM, Blogger DC4AlGore said...

My sense is we give Tony Snow and the rest too much credit. We think they know something about history but in fact they are very ignorant about most things.

 
At 4:06 AM, Blogger johnMccutchen said...

I didn't bother to watch the Snow Job. When I heard he was coming on (apparently doing the rounds) I turned to Brazil-Australia. Snow was capping a peak of performances (puns reserved) that began with Bush's so-called "strategy review", which we now know to have been a publicity stunt; continued through the "debate" in the Congress which we now know to have been a publicity stunt, thence to the GOP appearances on talk shows (Lindsay Graham "the killing of Zarqawi represents a sea change"!!!!!) which by Sunday were obviously publicity stunts too. Brazil-Australia was boring but at least it was real.

I regret missing my Senator DiFi - a little. But I read the Feinstein/Dodd OpEd in the Chronicle. Not exactly a model of clear writing but at least it was real - I think.

Here.

 
At 4:10 AM, Blogger tiro said...

Indeed, the administrations words and actions are insulting to our intelligence. Yet the political opposition seems to have great difficulty presenting its case as clearly as Prof. Cole does here.

I wish some brilliant political sociologist [like Wallerstein] would lead the opposition talking points in balance to Snow/Rove.

 
At 4:31 AM, Blogger Joe M said...

did you see this document that was written by khalilzad that was leaked to the WAPO? you know things are bad when he is writing this kind of realism...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/opinions/graphics/iraqdocs_061606.pdf

 
At 4:47 AM, Blogger zenobia said...

The French philosopher Jean Baudrillard has a very interesting take on the WOT (Ooh, the White House won't like this!):

"This strategy is directed not only at the future, but also at past event -- for example, at that of 11 September, where it attempts, by war in Afghanistan and Iraq, to erase the humiliation.... Bereft of any objective or finality of its own, it merely take the form of an incantation, an exorcism. This is also why it is interminable, for there will never be any end to conjuring away such an event. It is said to be preventive, but it is in fact retrospective, its aim being to defuse the terrorist event of 11 September...."

I find this persuasive and, interestingly enough, it means that the grunts in Iraq are right: it is about 9/11.

 
At 6:58 AM, Blogger PeesLizerd said...

The IQ gap

Why don't we just stop trying to argue with stupid, uneducated people. Neither president Bush nor his supporters care about what really happened in history. Like the third grade bully who enjoys beating up on first graders, Bush and Co. understand that "might makes right", and that when you have enough nuclear weapons to put an end to human history several times over again "history" is whatever you decree history to be;-)

 
At 7:10 AM, Blogger harbinger of harmony said...

Yes. Controlling history is the best way to control the masses, wouldn't you say? Short of scaring the shit out of them...er, us, that is.

When I began to receive a real education (meaning, once of out school and able to read because I wanted to learn, not because I had a report to do), this fact became utterly clear. And I wondered why so much truth is hidden from children.

Of course, now I understand that, as well.

Thanks for pointing this out, once again. It's good for people to know the true history of the world. Until we do, we are stuck learning the same lessons over and over. And never benefitting.

 
At 7:37 AM, Blogger 632C5R09OW8 said...

Low oil prices actuality helps china at the expense at Russia. Russia’s Economy is 50% Dependent on oil revenues, cheap oil is only achieved through surplus of oil supplies on the world market. The result being that china faces no military threat, or challenge form Russia in the near future, Russia fears china’s future Economic, political, and military strength that’s why it won’t sell it oil. This leaves it free to lunch an all out attack on America. China has 200 plus years of coal reserves,The world has 300 plus years of reserves. Coal oil would properly sell for $20/25 a barrel. But we getting by on $70 plus per barrel of crude oil caused by speciation, OPEC and Iraq war. Coal right now sells $10 a bag and technology would keep reducing cost of coal liquidation over the coming years. South Africa supplied most of their fuel from coal oil. Nazi Germany produced 57% of all its fuels from coal oil from 25 coal liquidation plants if they had built enough coal liquidation plants say 60 instead of 25 they would prolong the war by just a year. It was difficult to do because the very extensive bombing from the RAF/USAF air forces. Coal and oil are underground sources of energy hence safe from Ariel bombing but refineries/liquidation plants are vulnerable to Ariel bombing. Since china has 200 plus years of coal reserves it could make 100% of its own fuels, it would reduce its reserves 100 years but that’s an other matter. At the moment china is hoping to produce 10% of liquid fuels domestically from its coal and its other energy sources. It also has enormous reserves of shale oil.The U.S. can lunch a navy blockage of china’s oil from the gulf and other regions.Denied of access to Iraqis oil wouldn’t make that much of a difference because America won’t buy a once of Iranian oil. Only a complete occupation of the Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the gulf states could America have control of china’s oil exports in theory but unlikely due to reasons listed above. Plus America would never get round or met the time frame for a complete occupation of the Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the gulf states. Even if Iran is bombed tomorrow, it will still sell oil to china,
A naval blockage of china’s oil from the gulf and other regions would be an act of war. So such an event could would take place over Taiwan but china would never attack Taiwan if it was not sure it could fight the U.S. Armed forced forces. There will no war between America and china because china will always avoid confrontation and very deep economic relationship between the two countries. China’s war plan will be to seek a quick and overwhelmingly victory if war is to take place in the coming decades. If china won a quick and overwhelmingly victory in a U.S./China war. America would automatically lose its petroleum empire and Find very difficult to fight back militarily and economically recover afterwards. China could achieve this victory by sending troops through the Iranian/Pakistan corridor and a dense Iraqi Insurgency.Israel armed forces would start to decay if America stood in “front” of Israel rather than “behind”. Its military strength would so depleted that it would overran by its Arab neighbours in the event of a possible China/America war in the coming decades. Already Israel is sending increasing amounts on Social welfare and decreasing amounts on defence. Also it would be blamed for the iraqi occupation even due this was entirely George bushes Pipedream/enterprise. The final decision for the war/occupation lay with Bush. It will make her Arab neighbours more determined than ever to destroy her. This time for real not a case of getting even as in peveious wars.

no Offence meant just a tought

 
At 9:22 AM, Blogger Via said...

Why is it that these grossly inaccurate statements go unchallenged except in the blogosphere? If the so called Democratic 'leadership' cannot be moved to demand the air time to rebut comments like Snow's, is there not some mechanism by which bloggers such as yourself can do it? Every time this happens, this should be challenged and rebuttal time exacted, immediately if not sooner.

 
At 9:35 AM, Blogger ent lord said...

Having talked with several veterans of the Battle of the Bulge over the years, their view was that American morale at that time was very high and the end of the war was anticipated.
The Germans attacked planning on rolling up the American (and British) units, either killing or capturing enough of the enemy to ensure the Germans would reach the Meuse River.
While many Americans did surrender, most did so only after days of bitter fighting and running out of ammunition. Everywhere, the Germans encountered small units of Americans who made stands which stymied the German advance. It was these small units, often fighting without outside contact, with limited ammunition and resources, that halted the German advance.
It has often been pointed out that one advantage the American soldier enjoys over his adversaries is his ability to take the initiative and to act either in small units or singly without orders or direction from a superior.

 
At 9:42 AM, Blogger wishblog said...

What is even more amazing than the Patton idolitry that makes him the savior, and therefore minimizes the desperation of the German offensive, is the complete ignoring of the Russian's slow grinding down of the Wehrmacht. The war was decided at the Battle of Kurst, years before, and everybody but Hitler knew it.

The planning for Hitler's assasination by members of the German General Staff was well underway before D-Day. The Allied invasion of Europe was the crushing blow, and the war was effectively over as soon as the Allies established their beachhead.

Not to denigrate the sacrifices of the western front, but the bigger half of the war was Russian.

Similarly, we can kill the occasional Zaqarwi, but the war for the "Hearts and Minds" of Islam is over. We lost. Every child named Osama is a defeat for us.

 
At 9:59 AM, Blogger sherm said...

This LA Times article about US control of the use of Iraq's airspace and Iraqi airpower should put to rest the notion of "standing their army up so we can leave".

The article states that the US has no intention of giving control of Iraqi airspace to the Iraqis in the forseeable future. It also states that the there are no plans to build a Iraqi Air Force that has significant firepower - if any at all.

The US foot soldiers in Iraq almost never venture into danger without air backup. Helicopter gunships and fighter bombers are always on call. Yet, the new Iraqi army will have none of this to call their own. The plan seems to be that US airpower will be in Iraq forever. And you can bet this airpower will be used per US wishes and wims, not Iraq's.

Assuming the article is accurate, Bush's notion of "standing up and standing down" is as superficial as lipstick, rouge, and mascara.

 
At 11:12 AM, Blogger Wild Bill said...

Snow is carrying on the tradition of buffoonery and mendacity started by Ari Fleischer and passed down by McLlellen. The ignorance of the neocon crowd knows no bounds. The only things they are more ignorant of than US history is ME history. Of course, it could be worse, Bush could've made Jonah Goldberg, another talentless mamma's boy, his PR flack.

 
At 1:04 PM, Blogger sherm said...

The first thing taught to Whitehouse press secretaries:

You can fool some of the people some of the time, but you can fool the fools all of the time.

 
At 3:31 PM, Blogger Dean said...

Oy. The Battle of the Bulge was NOTHING like the occupation of Iraq. They share nothing militarily other than the presence of US troops.

I'm not surprised, though, from a White House that talked about FDR's 'betrayal' at Yalta.

 
At 3:34 PM, Blogger mommybrain said...

Facts are just a liberal construct, as we all know. How silly to bother with getting them all right;D

Thanks for all you do, every day, to deepfry the morons among us.

 
At 3:51 PM, Blogger : smintheus :: said...

I commented about Snow's arrogant and preposterous statements on CNN yesterday at Daily Kos. The section quoted by JC was merely the beginning of a Blitzer interview that was pretty devastating for Mr. Snow and the administration.

 
At 4:06 PM, Blogger Matthias said...

Prof. Cole, your posts are always at their best when you investigate historical context.

It blows my mind that I have to go to a Blog to read such educated insight while the mainstream media cannot pick up on such gross misrepresentations by the administration. Whatever benefit these "journalists" may gain in the short term, in the long run they will sink with the ship just as everyone else, so what gives?

If our fate will in some way truly be comparable to what happened to the Soviet Union after their bad decisions in 1983, it is not only well deserved but a necessity to break the masses out of their ignorance and put the country back on a realistic path. It's just a pity that the already most unfortunate part of the population will have to deal with the brunt of its impact.

My dad fought in the 'Battle Of The Bulge' on the German side when he was 19, the only action he saw, which brought many of his friends to their grave and himself into an American POW camp.

Having grown up in modern Germany where the schools have made it their mission to prevent another fascist, militaristic society by hammering the learned lessons into our brains, I wonder why none of these lessons can take a foothold in the media or schools over here.

I will always look up to America for what it has done to West Germany after WWII and I felt blessed and proud when I was able to become a legal immigrant. But now I am incredibly saddened to have become a first hand witness of America’s potential downfall, based on the same insatiable greed that has brought so much suffering to my parent generation.

 
At 4:46 PM, Blogger Pere Ubu said...

For all the blathering these wankers do about how the WoT is JUST LIKE World War 2, you think they could get their history straight...

 
At 7:04 PM, Blogger johnMccutchen said...

Reed Hundt Tony Snow's disgraceful sense of history

Cross polinating Juan

 
At 7:58 PM, Blogger ernest said...

It is deja vu all over again! On two separate ocasions during past several months Bill O'Reilly has gotten WW2 wrong. He was debating Wes Clark both times and claimed American soliders murdered surrendering German soliders. The opposite was the case.

 
At 9:29 PM, Blogger tony said...

tony said
I feel like Mathias, that I came to this country from under the soviet yoke and trusted that the practical american spirit will last forever, but nothing last forever, and the sad recognition is that the 'peer pressure' of the society can cause havoc anywhere.
The pragmatism of America is fading and the economic consequences will be dire.

 
At 9:33 PM, Blogger tony said...

I understand Mathias' frustration. I grew up under the communists and their propaganda is still vivid in my memory. Some things today remind me of those times.

 
At 2:30 PM, Blogger johnMccutchen said...

Polling during the Battle of the Bulge?

You bet. Josh Marshall's got the story here complete with graphics!

In any case, Snow clearly believes he can get away with this malarkey because he thinks polls weren't taken at the time.

But he's wrong. They were taking them. And they pretty clearly belie Snow's whole point.

My great friend and former graduate student colleague James Sparrow dropped me a line last night to tell me that "Hadley Cantril, at Princeton, did secret polling for FDR throughout the war on public support for the war, and specifically focused on trendlines, noting shifts from event to event."


If there's anything or person that crowd wouldn't defame or smear or lie about, I can't imagine what it would be.

 

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