Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Thursday, January 04, 2007

Al-Maliki Hints at Early Departure
Saddam Executed by Militiamen


Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has said that he would like to step down before the end of his 4-yeat term and that he certainly would not seek a second term. Al-Maliki has been criticized for failing to restore security to Iraq, for not cracking down on Shiite militias, and for allowing the hanging of Saddam Hussein to turn into a fundamentalist Shiite circus.

Al-Maliki is defending his hasty execution of Saddam, which one judge called illegal because 30 days were supposed to pass after the appeal ruling. The PM says he was afraid that guerrillas would storm Saddam's prison and free him. That doesn't make any sense. Saddam was in US custody at a US base. Can Mr. al-Maliki name any US bases that have been stormed by guerrillas in Iraq?

The NYT says that Iraqi authorities arrested a guard for his alleged role in illicitly videotaping the execution with a cell phone. Prosecutor Munqidh Faraon has alleged that the real videotapers were high Shiite officials. The NYT also reports more pro-Baath demonstrations in Sunni Arab areas:


' The manner of Mr. Hussein’s execution appeared to give a boost to the remnants of his outlawed Baath Party. In the town of Huwaish, north of Baghdad, hundreds of people led by gunmen calling themselves the “mujahedeen of the Baath Party” marched in protest, and in the once prosperous Baghdad neighborhood of Monsour, a large black banner proclaimed that Mr. Hussein’s death would set off fighting against “the Americans and their followers.” The banner was signed, in nicely printed lettering, “Baath Party.” '


A Ministry of Interior official admitted to Reuters on Wednesday that Saddam's execution was carried out by militiamen rather than by IM security guards, as planned. It is alleged that militiamen infiltrated the guards. That is, the earlier Sunni charges that Saddam was handed over to the Mahdi Army of Muqtada al-Sadr for execution were more or less correct. The Sunni-owned al-Zaman is having a field day with this.

Even the noose that hanged Saddam has ended up in the possession of Muqtada al-Sadr. A Kuwaiti businessman is trying to buy it as a momento. Saddam killed Muqtada's father and also invaded Kuwait.

The same al-Zaman article reports that there is a real possibility that al-Maliki will be replaced as prime minister, either by current vice president Adil Abdul Mahdi or by Iyad Allawi, both of whom are considered more likely to be able to make peace with Iraq's Sunni Arabs than al-Maliki. I can't imagine the current parliament coming up with 138 votes (out of 275) for Allawi, an ex-Baathist with an animus against Iran, and am baffled as to why al-Zaman even brings him up. Abdul Mahdi, in contrast, has a real shot if he can mollify the Sadrists, the Virtue Party, and the Da`wa Party within the Shiite coalition.

Then, John Negroponte doesn't want his job, either. The director of national intelligence is alleged to consider the patchwork of intelligence agencies under his purview "a mess" and is taking a demotion to become an assistant secretary of state. If the Times of London is right that he will be in charge of defending a medium-term increase in the number of US troops in Iraq, my guess is that he hasn't yet seen what a real mess looks like.

See Tom Engelhardt on the "surge" option and "let's do it again."

Saddam's execution has provoked further tensions between Iraqi Shiites and the Sunni world, but it is doing wonders for Iraq-Iran friendship, according to the Iranian press.

Solomon Moore of the LAT reports on the increasing violence in Diyala Province to the northeast of Baghdad. Diyala, where a strident Shiite minority rules a sullen Sunni majority, is the best argument for the need to hold new provincial elections without delay.

5 Comments:

At 9:58 AM, Blogger Frank said...

Dear Professor Cole

Could Mr Negroponte's move herald the return of Dr Rice to Academia.

She has been noticeable by her absence from most things for the last month.

The Baker Commission report really did make her absence very obvious.

 
At 7:18 PM, Blogger The Buffalo In The Midst said...

Pullquote:
Al-Maliki is defending his hasty execution of Saddam, which one judge called illegal because 30 days were supposed to pass after the appeal ruling.

Forget about what the Iraqi judicial system thinks. They are NOT in charge. Further, the Iraqi government violated signed international treaties when they lynched Saddam Hussein.

Case in point:
“She (U.N. spokesperson Michele Montas) said that under international treaties that Iraq had signed, Hussein had the right to appeal to the appropriate authorities for consideration of commutation or pardon.” Source: Inter Press Services

Another treaty ignored...
MY! They ARE learning alot from U.S. culture and history...

I also want to mention that the fellow professor Cole quotes in regard to Saddam's involvement with the U.S. State Department and the CIA is NOT convincing, except it DOES convince me that double-talk and disingenuity are a way of life in official American foreign policy discussion with the "common people". The problem is... I'm not common, and I'm not buying into this sematic BS.

To wit: "There were penetrations of the Party, "but no liaison with it." http://www.juancole.com/2007/01/conflicting-accounts-of-cia-and-saddam.html

Professor Cole, I was an New York based antiwar activist in the 1960s, and I watched as the movement was 'penetrated' by the U.S. government. When the Chicago police killed Black Panther Fred Hampton in the middle of the night at his apartment in Chicago, they knew EXACTY where he was sleeping. Penetration... a different definition perhaps, but quite relevant to the discussion.

They never ...'liasoned' with the BPP, yet they indirectly steered it, caused turmoil within it, and destroyed it.

The organization I was in (name on request)... Of ...20 core members, 25 percent turned out to be informers, feds, or police.

I could see it in some... others were much better at... "penetration".

Needless to say, these people...

(Google or NameBase George Demmerle, for a start)

...never liased(sic) with me or anyone else in the group..

My point Professor Cole: Your friend is walking you into a semantic minefield.
Don't go there.

The CIA was intrinsically involved, and anyone who's ever dealt with the FBI, a major city's B.S.S or 'Red Squad', knows their role in an organization's structure, aims, and goals is tangential, as was your acquaintance's statement.

 
At 9:43 PM, Blogger datta said...

Check out this chilling testimony and confession by a returned iraq war vet.

http://fenian-fenianrising.blogspot.com/2007/01/iraq-veteran-speaks-about-real-policies.html

 
At 9:44 PM, Blogger datta said...

check out this vet's testimony.

http://fenian-fenianrising.blogspot.com/2007/01/iraq-veteran-speaks-about-real-policies.html

 
At 11:50 PM, Blogger Charles said...

Re Negroponte going to State. As American Ambassador to Honduras he was point man for the U.S during Latin America's Dirty wars. Similarly, he was deployed to Baghdad during a crucial phase in the establishment of the "central front of the war on terror".

Now that the decider is deploying forces to attack Iran, and possibly Syria, whom the Israeli's were urged to attack as well/instead of Lebanon, a reliable veteran operator during this run-up is crucial. Rice is sent on the fake diplomacy circuit, marginalized, fragged by Cheyney, recently returned from the Saudis.

There is no talk of a Palestinian state, but rather of a nascent anti-Shia crescent to contain Iran, or confront it. Talk of a surge to victory in an intact Iraq would seem to truly bode more violence all around, and not just in Iraq.

Negroponte is the perfect asset in a multi-state operation. His diplomatic experience, longevity and propinquity to various terror fronts speak to his enduring worth in this regard. No stink appears to have stuck to him. Further, as Rev. Falwell has assured us of a mass casualty attack on the Homeland in 2007, surely somebody as valuable as Negroponte could not be left holding the bag on that one.

Whatever he found at Homeland Security, Negroponte's proven forte's are offensive rather than defensive. Mass violence rather than diplomacy is the legacy left in his area of operations to date. The cable traffic from his Honduran days shows that his mission was to ensure domestic security by facilitating mass murder abroad.

This is not an encouraging development.

 

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