Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, May 19, 2007

Al-Hakim in US for Cancer Treatment
Sistani Aide: US not Serious on Terror
Militia Rule in Basra


Robin Wright reports that Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, the leader of the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council (SIIC), is in the US for treatment for lung cancer. Apparently arranging for al-Hakim to see US military physicians was part of what Dick Cheney was doing in Iraq recently. Al-Hakim is the last major leader in his family in his generation. He says that Saddam killed 64 of his relatives. His older brother Muhammad Baqir, a more dynamic figure, was assassinated by a huge truck bomb at Najaf on Aug. 29, 2003. Although al-Hakim's elder son, Ammar, is eloquent and has been helping his father, it is not clear that he is old enough or experienced enough to head SIIC effectively. Despite his closeness to Iran, Abdul Aziz al-Hakim has been a major ally of Bush in Iraq and in December he called for US troops to remain in the country.

Abdul Mahdi al-Karbala'i, the preacher who represents Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani in the Shiite holy city of Karbala, said Thursday that the United States is not serious [Ar.] about fighting terrorism in Iraq. Al-Karbala'i's sermons are held to reflect the thinking of Sistani.

AFP reports that "Five US soldiers were killed and 10 more were wounded in three separate attacks in and around Baghdad, the US military said on Friday." Reuters rounds up violence on Thursday. So does McClatchy, more extensively, reporting that 25 bodies were found in Baghdad on Thursday. Some 15 bodies turned up in Baquba to the northeast.

Sawt al-Iraq reports in Arabic that the inflation rate there has reached 70% and rising. As a result, the state payscale for employees is increasingly inadequeate, and government workers are protesting their shrinking purchasing power. The government is the largest employer in Iraq, where the unemployment rate is estimated to be as high as 60 percent.

That the American invasion of Iraq liberated Iraqi women has been a constant talking point of the Bush administration. To anyone who actually knows the score, the claim provokes as many tears as guffaws. Nadje al-Ali of Exeter University explains the actual history here and looks at the deterioration in women's lives under American rule. Her book, Iraqi Women: Untold Stories is just out in paperback.

Al-Sharq al-Awsat reports in Arabic that Basra is still without a governor, given the political split on the governing council. It says violence spiked during the past month, though the past week as been calmer with regard to street battles. The action has shifted to assassinations. In one set of killings, 9 government figures were mown down. The city remains "heaven for oil smugglers."

Ghaith Abdul Ahad, writing in the Guardian, is convincing on the dominance of Basra by Shiite militias. I don't think his evidence for his allegation that Iran is deeply influential is nearly as good. Like many Iraqis, he tends to code all Shiite Iraqis as pawns of Iran. In fact, I don't think the Fadhila Party, or most of the Sadrists, or most of the tribal militias, much care for Iran. A lot of Basrawis don't have good memories of the Iran-Iraq War. Some more extreme Sadrists even burned the Iranian consulate at Basra. The most important ally of Iran is the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council, to which he devotes little space.

But militia rule, that sounds about right.

Nearly 1,000 civilian contractors have now been killed in Iraq. The Iraq War has been an enormous boondoggle for elements of the private sector, but when civilians go to war, they get killed just as the soldiers do.

Peter Moore at Salon.com on the Coalition Provisional Authority documents that his 8 year old son recovered through Windows' "track changes" function. They show that the CPA really didn't have a clue when it came to understanding the Sunni Arab guerrilla war.

a career State Department official at an embassy abroad who spoke out about the large number of political appointees among US ambassadors, was abruptly transferred to Iraq. He had complained that inexperienced political appointees are constantly making gaffes that the professional diplomats had to run around trying to fix. The ambassador under whom he was serving in Helsinki was herself such a political appointee. He has now retired from the foreign service.

6 Comments:

At 3:52 AM, Anonymous fed up iraqi said...

Gaith Abdul Ahad is Christian, not Sunni. Do you dispute that Iran has a large influence in Iraq.

 
At 7:07 AM, Blogger fratliff said...

'He had complained that inexperienced political appointees are constantly making gaffes that the professional diplomats had to run around trying to fix.'

It could be said that the prestige of the United States is such that they are only leveling the playing field by appointing less than career diplomats to posts around the World. If there was any actual consideration for professionalism, the others countries would be so outmatched and outclassed that it would seem like the Americans were beating up on them po' ol' ferruhners. This might be seen as a tough call, trying to balance the skills of the appointees with the talents (or lack thereof) of the less prestigious nations' envoys. Americans should be accepted in any case simply because they are who they are, only trying to be in many ways conciliatory to the desires of the less advantaged who want a shepherd dog that won't nip at their hindquarters too much nor too often.

And, of course, as we all know, the cow jumped over the Moon and the fork ran away with the spoon ...

With less rhyme and more reason, it seems almost ironical that they would reassign the errant fellow Davnie to Baghdad where most of those 'serving' in most positions are political selectees, the bringing of a seasoned diplomat almost antithetical to the Philistinism of the current Adminstration. I mean, after 'Boots' Bremer and a few of the underlings who were deemed qualified because of their American party affiliation, this might be an actual move in the right direction, were it not for the fact that no one could get anything done and correctly in the situation as it exists at this time, regardless of the presence or absence of skills, talents, experience, or other proven qualities. It could be likened to sending the abstinence czar into a hookers' convention, with predictable results. All that any of them are interesting in is maximising their income while minimising their output, putting money before morals, their procurers' bling before customer service.

 
At 9:29 AM, Blogger Minke12 said...

No doubt the lives of Iraqi civilians particularly women and children deteriorated in Iraq since the invasion. Rather than making things more democratic, the occupying power has maintained Article 130 of the penal code which permits greatly reduced sentences for "honor killings"; therefore this type of vengence is on the rise. This seems to be in response to the rise of the powers of the clergy in Iraqi government, although "honor killings" are on the rise even though no Islamic text condons it. Would you speak to the accuracy of the previous statement.

 
At 1:55 PM, Anonymous fatima said...

Abdul Mahdi al-Karbala'i also said that US soldiers and other security Forces are seen by witnesses in areas that get bombed , and he also said on tv , that many terrorists who are caught by the Iraqi forces are often released within hours or days .

 
At 3:31 PM, Blogger mikevotes said...

Just a quick word on al Hakim's "medical treatment" in Houston.

Houston is about the nearest major city to Crawford where the Bushes will be spending the weekend.

"
The Bushes are spending the weekend in Crawford, Texas. On Sunday and Monday, they will host NATO Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer and his wife, Jeannine.
"

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070518/ap_on_go_pr_wh/bush_3

Houston is about 4 hours from Waco by car, but less than 35 minutes by jet.

(I'm wondering if this is a pre-meeting for the Iran talks.)

Mike

http://bornatthecrestoftheempire.blogspot.com/

(Sorry for the duplicate comment. I accidentally placed the first one on the wrong post.)

 
At 6:12 PM, Anonymous Montag said...

mikevotes, Houston is THE place to go for the best cancer treatment is all (M.D. Anderson Hospital). It's just a coinkydink that our Commander Guy bought a hog farm in Crawford and glorifies it as a "ranch."

 

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