Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Dozens Massacred in Diyala
80 Dead in Kirkuk Bombings



Sunni Arab gunmen massacred dozens of Shiite villagers near Muqdadiya in Diyala province the night of Monday into Tuesday morning, according to a police source. Also on Tuesday, "In Baghdad, the deadliest bombing occurred when a suicide driver detonated his vehicle near an Iraqi army patrol in Zayouna, a mostly Shiite area of eastern Baghdad, killing 10 people, including six civilians, police said. Police said 11 people, including seven civilians, were wounded."


The LAT reports on the three bombings that roiled the northern city of Kirkuk on Monday and which its interviewees blamed on "al-Qaeda."

I am horrified at the loss of innocent life, and hate to see the incident used for politics. I would be very suspicious of assigning blame to "al-Qaeda" for this one. The bombs hit the party offices of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan in Kirkuk as well as (Kurdish) policemen. The Kurds are trying to annex oil-rich Kirkuk province to their Kurdistan provincial confederacy. Turkmen and Arabs do not want to be annexed. Turkey does not want to see it annexed.

There are lots of social forces that would like to hit the PUK over this issue, not just "al-Qaeda." The Kurds know that blaming the bombing on that organization (does anyone in Iraq really have Bin Laden`s phone number?) will gain them the sympathy of clueless Americans for their planned annexation. Everyone in the US now complains about the way we were spun by corrupt financier Ahmad Chalabi. But it is seldom appreciated how much Kurdish leaders like Jalal Talabani and Hoshyar Zebari were involved in feeding the US loads of bull about Iraq. Their ultimate goal is partition of the country, and they are manipulating Washington toward that end.

Kirkuk has been growing in instability for some time. It will be even hotter later this year when there is a referendum on its future, which the Kurds will win. This bombing is the writing on the wall.

Altogether on Monday alone some 96 were killed and 205 wounded the bombings and mortar attacks in Kirkuk and Baghdad.

The Sadr Bloc, with 32 seats in the 275 seat parliament will end its boycott of parliamentary sessions, a spokesman said. But since the Sadrists oppose most of Bush`s "benchmark" legislation, their return does not materially enhance the prospect of parliament getting something done soon. And, anyway, I understood that the MPs will go on recess for August.

The Sunni Arab bloc is still boycotting parliament over the dismissal of Mahmud al-Mashhadani (a Sunni) as speaker of the house.

KBR, formerly a division of Halliburton, has received $20 bn. in mostly no-bid US government contracts for work in Iraq. Dick Cheney is the former head of Halliburton. Recently KBR tried to charge $110 mn for work on bases that no longer exist.

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7 Comments:

At 10:16 AM, Blogger dancewater said...

While you are assuming that it was Sunni extremist doing the killing in Diyala, the BBC said this:

Gunmen in Iraq wearing military uniforms have killed 29 people in a village in Diyala province north of Baghdad, security officials said.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6902349.stm


I would assume it is Iraqi military, maybe Sunnis, maybe Kurds, maybe al Qaeda, maybe Shi'as with revenge on their minds.

 
At 10:17 AM, Blogger John Koch said...

No amount of road checkpoints, high tech surveillance, aerial drones, or neighborhood sweeps have managed to stop the bombings. It would probably be far cheaper, less destructive, and fruitful simply to pay anyone a handsome bounty for all bomb materials, detonator materials, small weapons, or other dangerous substances turned into or reported to athorities for impoundment or destruction.

 
At 11:10 AM, Blogger eurofrank said...

Dear Professor Cole

Do you suspect that the battle for Kirkuk will spill over into Mosul.

Wikipedia seems to describe it a bit of a Belfast of a place with a wide mix of races and religions with the river as a defacto deividing line.

There is apparently a kurdish claim to have this the third largest city in Iraq included in Kurdistan.

Do we have any idea how University of Mosul might be funded in the event of a breakup of Iraq following the American departure?

 
At 12:08 PM, Blogger McCutchen said...

Thanks for the trenchant observation re; Kurdistan.

Their irredentism and secessionist aims have never been a secret, save from the American people, and in fact, have been, in my view, the driving force behind the insurgency as the Kurds have never had any interest in a unified Iraq. With Iran, their objective has been plain all along. They aim to have the US bleed as much as possible for their greater good.

Kurdistan is the 800 pound fat lady and she's about to sing.

 
At 7:41 PM, Blogger Bill said...

The WaPo's recent interview with an AQ in Iraq leader seems to leave little reason for hope of reconciliation or stability at any point. The Sunni militants seem intent on provoking the civil conflict, while the Shia militias seem intent on ethnic cleansing (the Kurds, meanwhile, seem intent on separatism). A massacre like this will certainly lead to a terrible revenge attack. Expect to see reports of dozens of kidnapped and murdered Sunnis in the next days.

 
At 9:25 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I just saw Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina on the PBS News Hour, explaining what he hopes for in Iraq. His interview aired just 50 minutes ago in Colorado, 7:35 PM MST.

It was very illuminating.

He says that he honestly believes that the recent apparent success in the al-Anbar Governate is the model for success and stability in the rest of Iraq.
He was referring to the appearance that tribal leaders have formed an alliance with our foreign military force that is conducting a brutal occupation of their territory,
in order to jointly pursue and eradicate the salafist takfirist jihadis coded as “al-Qaeda in Iraq.”
On this tenuous alliance he builds his hopes for the future of a unified Iraq.

If this doesn’t pan out, though, he believes that the US military should stay in Iraq indefinitely, presumably with the same or higher troop levels, to keep the various antagonist factions from fighting each other, and to keep Iraq and Syria from exerting influence.

I appreciate his candor.

But there is also some dishonesty there.
He is pretending that the al-Anbar model is sustainable.
This model depends on tribal chiefs submitting voluntarily to the oppression of occupation, for the indefinite future.
Senator Graham is a smart guy, and he knows that, in an honor society, that is impossible.

So what he really is calling for is war without end, Amen.


May I belabor the point that you cannot steal elements of the “Model Communities” approach, but leave out the central precept, and still make it work ?
The central precept is that authentic indigenous local leaders must be the de facto local government, not the lackeys of occupation officials pretending to divest a fraction of authority to Quislings.

It’s all about the culture of family and tribal honor, about the dignity of the local population, and showing genuine respect for their leaders.
Until we can treat Iraqis like human beings, deserving of those rights our Declaration of Independence proclaims are given by God to all, including the brown-skinned,
There is just no way we can succeed there.

If we will never grant this respect, we might as well pull out precipitously.
Staying there with our racist, ethnocentrist attitude will only make things worse.
.

An Avid Student

 
At 9:32 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

link to Graham interview:

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/indepth_coverage/middle_east/iraq/index.html

.

 

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