Allawi Rejects al-Maliki's charge of Treason
US Kidnaps another Iranian from the KRG
Al-Hayat reports in Arabic that Iraqi PM Nuri al-Maliki slammed his rival, Iyad Allawi of the National Concord Movement, for engaging in secret talks with the Izzat al-Duri branch of the Baath guerrilla movement, aimed at bringing it in to the political process. Al-Maliki said that such activities equated to terrorism. On Wednesday, two members of Allawi's 25-member bloc, Safiya Suhail and Hajim al-Hasani, announced their withdrawal from it according to al-Sharq al-Awsat, saying that Allawi was behaving high-handedly and that they could not understand what the party's strategic vision was.
Al-Sharq al-Awsat reports in Arabic that Allawi responded on Thursday, saying that it was the al-Maliki government that was talking to the Baathists, not he, and that he rejected what were clearly "hollow threats" by al-Maliki.
Al-Sharq al-Awsat also reports in Arabic that Iraq's Sunni vice president, Tariq al-Hashimi, says that Iraqi politicians are maneuvering to call a vote of no confidence in the al-Maliki government. Only 55 MPs are needed for such a move, and it is not clear that the government could survive the maneuver.
The US kidnapped another Iranian from Iraqi Kurdistan, alleging that he is an officer in the Quds Force section of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and an arms smuggler. The Kurdistan Regional Authority says that he is Aghai Farhadi, a trade representative of Kirmanshah Province in Iran.
Either the US suspicions about Farhadi are baseless, or the Kurds are the major conduit for Iranian arms into Iraq. Five other Iranians were kidnapped from Irbil by the US military. Farhadi would not be doing what he was doing in Sulaimaniya unless he was the guest of Iraqi President Jalal Talabani. If he was smuggling in arms, he was smuggling them to the Peshmerga, the Kurdish paramilitary, which is allied with the United States. Presumably this means that the Peshmerga is either transfering the weapons to the Badr Corps or selling the arms off on the Iraqi black market. If this scenario is correct, then it is pure propaganda for the USG to complain so loudly and bitterly about Iranian meddling in Iraq, when it is being facilitated by some Kurds, who are in turn putative US allies.
The cholera outbreak in northern Iraq has now reached Baghdad. This article reveals that chlorine shipments into Iraq from Jordan are being held up, presumably by the US military. Sunni Arab guerrillas have launched several chlorine truck bomb attacks, and presumably the chlorine ban responds to such threats. But without chlorine, water purification plants won't work, which means Iraqis downstream of a big city are drinking sewage.
The Turkish military has launched an operation in eastern and southern Anatolia against guerrillas of the Kurdistan Workers Party. The Turks charge that the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government is harboring Kurdish terrorists who hit targets in Turkey, so the operation could have spill-over effects in northern Iraq.
Tareq Y. Ismail presents a severe evaluation of the 'surge' or troop escalation and its architects from an Iraqi point of view.
At the Napoleon's Egypt blog: A French officer writes home about preparations to rescue a caravan from the predations of the deposed beys and their Mamluks.
Labels: Iraq


10 Comments:
All the Iraqi political blocs, excpet the Kurdish (for now), are in great danger of falling apart. This is good news, but it also means that the system constructed by the Americans in 2002/3 is collapsing.
It is difficult to predict what is going to happen. On the one hand, just about everone except the bloc of four (Barzani, Talabani, Hakim, and Maliki) now rejects the ethno-secterian system which is planned to be constantly-sick just like in Lebanon. Ont the other, the calibre and ethics of the second tier politicians who are vying to replace the failed leaders is unknown.
Did I read somewhere that the Senate was debating a resolution to condemnt Admiral William Fallon for talking trash about General Petraeus?
juan cole -- please consider responding to tariq ismail's commentary on petraeus and crocker. i know your regular readers would appreciate your reaction.
Concerning the Kurdistan Regional Government calling the arrest of this Iranian businessman "illegitimate" and demanding that he be released, UN resolutions place the US military in charge of protecting Iraq's sovereignty. Prime Minister al-Maliki has made clear he views those resolutions as remaining in force - they end around the end of the year. However the US apparently hasn't denounced shelling of Kurdish villages by Turkey.
Maliki may not survive a no-confidence vote, but there is no plausible way to get a pro-US government elected in Iraq. Which I feel I've read here before expressed by Juan Cole maybe using different words.
The US can replace the government by fiat, using its military but the Shiites will fight that and the Shiites are far stronger today than they were when their threat to fight foiled US plans to install a puppet indefinitely in 2003.
The only choice the US has is between breaking the country up or living with a stable anti-US Iraq. And a stable anti-US Iraq would still be possible, even easy, if not for US opposition. That outcome is preferable to breaking up the country through civil war for the vast majority of direct stakeholding actors in Iraq except the US.
But by supporting the secessionist Shiites over the nationalists, by advocating effective independence for the Kurds and now by arming the Sunnis directly, the US is demonstrating that it prefers to dissolve the country rather than allow it to join Iran, Hezbollah, Syria and Hamas as enemies of the US/Israeli regional vision.
The violent breakup of Iraq will continue to cause a huge amount of suffering for the Iraqi people.
It is not an unusually immoral US policy for the Middle East. It is brought by the same country that said sanctions that killed a million children were "worth it".
The same country that would prefer 100 million people live under authoritarian dictatorships in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan than encourage electoral reforms that could produce governments hostile to Israeli measures and policies aimed at retaining a Jewish political majority.
The same country that threatens, even if it may not carry out the threat for its own strategic reasons, to launch massive airstrikes against Iran that would kill hundreds of thousands of civilians to ensure that Iran does not have technologies that would give it a theoretical capability to create a nuclear weapon at some hypothetical time in the future.
So breaking up Iraq is not an unusually immoral US policy in the Middle East, but it is a typically immoral policy for the US, which is to say intensely immoral and at least bordering on evil.
The problem with that assertion is that it is based on the assumption that Farhadi was in Sulaymaniyah to support weapons smuggling there. The reality is that Quds Force officials have multiple covers and also in engage in business and political activity. Therefore both statements can be true - he can have supported weapons smuggling in other parts of the country, but been in Kurdistan on business.
The idea that Iran is either directly or through Kurdish authorities is arming Iraqis contradicts Bush administration's statement regarding financing the Sunnis in Anbar province.
General Peatreus has been saying that they are not arming the Sunnis, just financing them. His point is that the groups in Iraq don't really need any weapons as they are plenty of weapons at the Iraqi resistance disposal.
Afghanistan is even more tribal than Iraq, with even easier access to weapons. Thanks to their opium cash crop, you would think they don't need either the money or weapons to fight the central government.
AFAIC, the propaganda message that Iran is behind the resurgence of taliban (Iran's arch enemy) or Iraqi resistance is just that. Yet another dis-information campaign by Bush administration to distract from its incompetence.
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US soldiers entered a hotel in Suleimaniyeh and kidnapped a certain Mr. Farhadi. The regional Kurdish government of Massud Barzani has protested the crime. The Iranian delegation to which Mr. Farhadi was attached was officially invited by Mr. Barzani for talks on transnational economic links and arrived on 18 September. The Iranians have vowed to suspend trade with Kermanshah Province if Mr. Farhadi is not released.
Major Winfield Danielson says Farhadi is guilty...of something but he won't tell.
daryoush
it sounds so harsh when you call the journalistic efforts of the Lincoln Group "Propaganda" or "dis-information."
They are under contract to General Petraeus to report the "good news" that otherwise does not get reported.
For you to turn around and say such mean things about their reporting is not very nice.
When they get a scoop, for example, about Iranian backing of Sunni Salafist Jihadis, and are the first ones to break it, even before there are sources or facts or evidence, you disrespect their efforts.
They are just doing their job.
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Avid Student
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