Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Sunday, September 02, 2007

Maliki Blames Wahhabis for Karbala
Sistani Aide Assassinated

The Shiite world has been roiled for weeks by statements of Saudi, Wahhabi clergy in Mecca that Shiite shrines are works of idolatry and should be pulled down. Prime Minsiter Nuri al-Maliki used these anxieties politically to explain the violence at Karbala on Tuesday. Problem: the violence in Karbala was between two factions of Shiites and had nothing to do with Sunnis or Wahhabis or Saudis. While the Wahhabi threats against Shiite holy shrines is condemnable and contemptible, the Saudi fatwa should not be used to divert attention from the serious intra-Shiite faction-fighting that is becoming ever more widespread in the Shiite south.

The Bushies have been very critical of Britain's record in the Shiite deep south, including in Basra, at least in not for attribution interviews. General Sir Mike Jackson of the British armed forces has just repaid the compliment. He thinks the Americans messed up Iraq through a series of bafflingly bad decisions.

Iranian shelling has displaced hundreds of Kurdish villagers in the north. Iran maintains that the PEJAK Kurdish terrorist group is operating from Iraqi Kurdistan and hitting targets in Iran.

Another aide of Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani has been assassinated, this time in Basra. Several such aides have been killed or kidnapped in recent weeks.

The LA Times profiles Ammar al-Hakim, the young cleric who is very possibly the new leader of the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council, since his father Abdul Aziz has cancer. The article correctly stresses the contradictions-- that Ammar is very close to Iran but also takes positions that benefit the Bush administration, including opposing the setting of a timetable for US military withdrawal from Iraq.

USA Today's Baghdad correspondents cover the maneuverings of Iyad Allawi that are aimed at unseating PM Nuri al-Maliki. The sources quoted think it is a long shot.

The journalists are still falling for the false Bush administration story that the death toll for US troops has fallen this summer because of the surge. First of all, the death toll has always fallen in the summer because it is hot as hell in Iraq then. Second, the death toll is way more than previous summers, and the total number of US dead this year is much greater than for the same period in 2006. Larry Johnson weighs in on this issue, as well.

And, see Kevin Drum's chart.

From Barnett Rubin at the Global Affairs blog: Rollout to War with Iran, on the controversy over his initial report of a planned propaganda campaign to whip up war fever against Iran in September.

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6 Comments:

At 10:18 AM, Blogger eurofrank said...

Dear Professor Cole

We Europeans are not being prepared for military action against Iran yet.

Despite stuff in the well known sister publication of Faux News, the Times (it used to be known as the Thunderer and be a Newspapaer of record) we are not having our opinion stirred up against the Iranians.

More so we are being conditioned to see American military luncacy as the problem.

Just as an anecdote. The US Embassy in Grosvenor Square used to be a nice building in a nice square. These days it is surrounded by corrugated steel fences and armed police and looks like a Marine fortress at Da Nang.

I overheard two Londoners discussing the eyesore as they walked past. One said "They deserve all they get, all they do is attack people"

 
At 1:33 PM, Anonymous Alex said...

The Shiite world has been roiled for weeks by statements of Saudi, Wahhabi clergy in Mecca that Shiite shrines are works of idolatry and should be pulled down.

I looked briefly at the question of these alleged fatwas the other week for a journalist friend who doesn't read Arabic. I only found Shi'ite writings which didn't cite their sources. And the Saudi embassy denied that such fatwas ever existed.

Do such fatwas really exist?

Given that there are religious madmen everywhere these days, I would imagine that there is some kind of basis for the stories. But is not the real story the way the issue is being whipped up within Shi'ite circles in Iraq?

 
At 4:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

RE: "Another aide of Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani has been assassinated, this time in Basra. Several such aides have been killed or kidnapped in recent weeks."

Who is doing all this assasinating and kidnapping of Sistani aides? And why? Is this a clerical power struggle? Is it political intimidation? What's happening?

 
At 8:31 PM, Anonymous Bedblogger said...

in The British are in the process of pulling out of their base at Basra Palace, to be completed over the next couple of hours. They are moving into the airport. The "ceasefire" of al Sadr is being cited as a reason for the timing.

 
At 10:13 PM, Blogger james_speaks said...

Anonymous said...

RE: "Another aide of Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani has been assassinated, this time in Basra. Several such aides have been killed or kidnapped in recent weeks."

Who is doing all this assasinating and kidnapping of Sistani aides? And why? Is this a clerical power struggle? Is it political intimidation? What's happening?


My guess, it is a prelude to silencing Sistani for that great moment in history when the US attacks Iran. Now, who would want that?

 
At 8:43 PM, Blogger Craig said...

Propaganda Blowback Coming?

As you've noted, it's striking how many press reports are touting a reduction in US casualties over the past few months, even though casualties were higher this summer than last.

It would be great if the proclaimed reduction indicated a real trend anyway, but if it's not, and if the number of casualties takes an unfortunate, undeniable jump (I've noticed that November has tended to be very bad), the public's fickle, short-term memory may work to amplify the sense of disappointment with Bush's policies.

Reality bites.

 

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