Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Friday, October 05, 2007

Iraq turns to China for Arms
Shiite Bloc Denounces US arming of Sunnis


WaPo says that the Iraqi government has made a $100 mn. deal with China for the purchase of light weaponry, especially AK-47 assault rifles. Some observers are afraid that these arms will actually end up in the hands of sectarian militiamen or anti-government guerrillas, through graft or theft or because much of the Iraqi police and army is made up of militiamen. The Iraqi government maintains that the US arming of its police and army is not going fast enough and that large numbers of policemen are essentially unarmed for lack of equipment. (It is, however, alleged that large numbers of policemen sold off their weapons and even ammunition in the face of grinding poverty and salary arrears).

Stung, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates pledged to speed up US arms deliveries to the Iraqis.

My guess is that this is a step toward Iraqi government independence of the US military, and that the US military is deliberately going slow on providing some kinds of equipment because it still does not trust the Iraqis.

Also, President Jalal Talabani and PM Nuri al-Maliki are desperately afraid of the new Sunni Arab tribal levies that the US military is creating and the arming of which it is facilitating, and the Chinese arms for Kurdish and Shiite troops may be an answer to the US-sponsored "Awakening" groups.

The largest bloc in parliament, the Shiite United Iraqi Alliance, recently demanded that the US stop arming the Sunni Arab tribesmen, many of whom are involved in guerrilla groups that have targeted Shiites or the Iraqi government in the past.

(Radio Sawa says in Arabic that the Sunni Arab bloc, the Iraqi Accord Front, criticized the Shiite UIA for its criticism of the new American policy.)

The Shiite mayor of Iskandariya, a member of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (ISCI) was killed with four bodyguards by a roadside bomb on Thursday. The city is in a mixed Sunni-Shiite area where members of each branch of Islam have been trying to ethnically cleanse the other.

The US arrested an Iraqi member of parliament from the Sunni Iraqi Accord Front, apparently on suspicion of having links to the guerrillas. Naif Muhammad Jasim was taken into custody in Sharqat on Wednesday. The US also arrested a man they accused of being a banker for the jihadi volunteers who flocked to Iraq.

Reuters reports civil war violence for Thursday. One US soldier was killed, and over a dozen Iraqis were killed in a wave of bombings.

Religious fanatics in Basra who have appointed themselves a morals police are attacking and killing women who do not veil to the extent the extremists demand. Every month in the southern port city, 15 female bodies show up in the streets, murdered by the puritans.

AT the Global Affairs group blog, Farideh Farhi on the implications of the North Korean deal for Iran. And, part two of Barnett Rubin's interview by Josh Marshall.

At the Napoleon's Egypt blog, a comment on the trials and tribulations of late eighteenth-century civilian contractors who went along on Bonaparte's invasion in hopes of making a pile (and who were among the social forces arguing for the invasion in the first place):


"What a number of people have been taken in, my dear girl! All those sudden acquirers of fortunes, or rather all those robbers(7), are pitifully down in the mouth, and would, I believe, be very happy to return from whence they came. It gives me a deal of pleasure to see, that the majority of them will rather have lost than gained by their speculations. Some, indeed, have done tolerably well, but they are very few; and few as they are, have sweated pretty handsomely for what they have got."


The more things change, the more they stay the same.

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9 Comments:

At 5:32 AM, Blogger Dennis Dale said...

Is it just me or does the China-Iraq arms deal signify a major act of defiance on the part of the Iraqi government delegitimizing our presence further?

Combined with Iraqi government opposition to our organizing Sunni militias to fight AQI (arming their opposition), demands to expel Blackwater, opposition to our protection of MEK, etc.; how on earth does anyone maintain a straight face while speaking as if our occupation has the moral legitimacy of Iraqi sanction?

And why does the sickening slow drive into Iran seem to be finding traction in presenting the public with yet another false question, are Iranians arming Shi'ite militias, when we have not established, not through physical control or moral justification, our right to be there in the first place?

 
At 7:15 AM, Blogger HenryFTP said...

On what authority can the United States Army arrest a member of the Iraqi parliament in Iraq? I don't want to sound naïve, but wouldn't the Army have to obtain a warrant from some Iraqi governmental body to make such an arrest legally? I realize of course that we have the physical power, if not the legal authority, to do anything we want in Iraq. But I have a very hard time understanding how such a maladroit approach, so humiliating to the Iraqi government we are allegedly trying to support, can be anything but counterproductive to the counterinsurgency.

 
At 9:58 AM, Blogger The Buffalo In The Midst said...

"...Secretary of Defense Robert Gates pledged to speed up US arms deliveries to the Iraqis."

Ohhhhh Goooood!

Just what Iraq needs. More guns... But where's the 'butter' for everyone else who DOESN'T have an axe to grind... a vendetta to settle?

Does anyone even care if Iraqis EAT?

They're getting gunned down by American snipers for picking up spools of wire on the ground instead.

PLUS The UN is talking about backing the Bush administration's play in Iraq (if they haven't already done so in some made-in-a-back-room deal...) by returning to the country. So where's UNICEF et al. Where are the human rights people? The food? Blue helmets to keep US war policy there under SOME control.

Maybe Bolton was right... If a number of floors went away at the Secretariat, who WOULD notice?

 
At 12:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Re report of Iraqi arms purchase from China

Our military keeps decrying Iraqi logistic ability, But it's clear that we are also hobbling their army, to control their ability to conduct internal warfare. Given the broad discussion (some of it 'kinetic') on whether Team Maliki is expendable or even survivable, why would they not open an arms account w/ Walmart's supplier?

China is the biggest underwriter of our war debt. Their is no question that they can deliver arms to Iraq at lower cost, higher margins, and fewer restrictions than the US. China is a huge security player in the Gulf, selling missiles to all comers, and negotiating oil and gas development and delivery deals.

Tom Barnett used to comment that "in a perfect world, China would have 40,000 troops in Iraq". Tom also points out that the US security product is like a Cadillac. In a bad way; not what the world wants or needs.

Whoever loses, China wants to win.

 
At 12:14 PM, Blogger Chris said...

Juan said "The largest bloc in parliament, the Shiite United Iraqi Alliance, recently demanded that the US stop arming the Sunni Arab tribesmen, many of whom are involved in guerrilla groups that have targeted Shiites or the Iraqi government in the past."

Actually from what I read the Alliance issued a public criticism Oct. 4 condemning the United States for creating Sunni militias that operate "outside the law". That's exactly the same criticism the US military regularly levels against Shiite militias - specifically Badr, members of al-Sadr's militia who have not "stood down" as ordered by al-Sadr.

For example the newly-formed Sunni Arab tribal groups operating in Ninewah province against insurgents were authorized by the Iraqi government, although they are organized and trained by the US military. The Alliance is saying they SUPPORT the US militaries arming and equipping Sunni Arab tribes as long as they are authorized by the Iraqi government.

Also one Shiite driver who takes passengers for hire from Baghdad to Syria and back said Shiites are THRILLED with the way the Anbar tribes are keeping the road to Syria safe for Shiites. The Anbar Awakening volunteers were trained and are paid by the US military to operate check-points along the road. Therefore it has seemed that that the Iraqi Shiite public fully understands and appreciates how important the tribal awakening is to the future of Iraq, although it's regularly CONDEMNED by Juan Cole.

However the Iraqi government hasn't provided the Anbar police with weapons and ammunitions, much less vehicles, to counter insurgents. That's one reason for Iraq's major purchase from China ($100 million) to equip the police - the purchase had to be approved by the US military. The insurgents generally way out-gun the local police so the US military arms and equips police, who are authorized and paid by the Iraqi government. Juan Cole regularly blasts this practice.

Also there continue strong warning for the US not to attack Iran - Prime Minister al-Maliki said an attack on Iran was "in the cards" but said it would be a disaster for Iraq and the entire Middle East. Even the Admiral in charge of Central Command has blasted the war-mongers in Congress, saying he was trying to negotiate an agreement with Iran concerning incidents at sea. Essentially the pro-Israeli lobby is more POWERFUL in our corrupt Congress than our own Central Command!

Finally Kuwait's ruler, Sheikh al-Saba, joined the chorus from the Middle East blasting Biden's amendment, which passed the Senate 76-22, as "dangerous for the whole region". In Iraq Biden's plan has been publicly attributed to Israel. Kuwait's ruler also publicly called on the US to keep its troops in Iraq until stability is seen on the ground, a similar position to Saudi Arabia. Link: http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSL0450461620071004

 
At 2:39 PM, Blogger Syrian Nationalist Party said...

Sorry that you deleted my excellent comment about Iraqi in previous post Dr. Cole. But really, when is it time to tell those Iraqis to “GET A LIFE”. When 10 millions are dead? Or Just when all Sunni’s are either dead or living in Syria on prostitution income.

They have a freely elected Parliament (more free than U.S. Congress), democratically elected Government (more democratic than American, counting parties), free press more than any country in the Middle East, even no AIPAC sensors standing by. Saddam and henchmen are dead and under ground….. Pathetic, that they could not take control as of yet.

 
At 6:54 PM, Blogger Sinomania! said...

China's arms sales, particularly in that region of the world, are a matter of commerce not any sort of geopolitical stategy in the sense that the WaPo implies. Everyone knows the Chinese supplied BOTH sides in the Iraq-Iran war. Fact is, Iraq was a big market for China, number 2 behind Russia even after the UN 1990 arms sanctions. $100 million is a small way back to a market that had been worth billions. It should not hold water if the "powers that be" media giants and/or the upstarts (Fox) decide to make this a US versus China line.

As for your comment about the US deliberately being slow in arms transfers, etc., a friend 'in the know' in these matters told me a year ago that the dilemma for the US military was that the Iraqis are interested only in 'big toys' and the directive was to stall rather than say no outright.

 
At 7:12 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

To SNP
from Shane
It was interesting to read your comment - Sometimes I write in a satirical vein but hopefully it comes across as just that.
Were you being satirical?
I'm not sure if you were or not -

You state things in your comment that on the surface may be true but in reality none of these facts have any real substance in Iraq
today.
Were you being satirical?
Are you merely deluding yourself?
Were you being Republican?

 
At 5:12 AM, Blogger Syrian Nationalist Party said...

How many Iraqis there are, 40+ millions!! there are just 130,000 Americans and not even 3000 foreign fighters. Shane, GET A LIFE or you too belong in Iraq.

 

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