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War with Iraq Certain

Juan Cole 01/15/2003

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[published from Cole’s private email archives, 6/30/12]

From ???@??? Wed Jan 15 02:14:21 2003
X-Sender: jrcole@j.imap.itd.umich.edu
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 4.3
To: XXXXX@yahoogroups.com
In-Reply-To:
From: Juan Cole

Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 01:49:03 -0500
Subject: Re: Iraq

I don’t think there is much doubt that the US will go to war against Iraq
this spring. I’d say the chances are 90%. And, I think this was decided
on very early in the Bush administration as a plan, but only became
feasible given the public mood after 9/11 and given that Afghanistan went
so well.

There were two chances to stop it. One was the congressional vote last
fall. The other was the Security Council vote in November. Probably only
the Congressional vote could have effectively derailed it.

There is nothing in the world to stop Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld from going
through with this now. Powell would probably like a second UN resolution,
but the administration does not really need that.

cheers Juan

www.juancole.com

Filed Under: Uncategorized

About the Author

Juan Cole is the founder and chief editor of Informed Comment. He is Richard P. Mitchell Professor of History at the University of Michigan He is author of, among many other books, Muhammad: Prophet of Peace amid the Clash of Empires and The Rubaiyat of Omar Khayyam. Follow him on Twitter at @jricole or the Informed Comment Facebook Page

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