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Carville Thinks It Is Over James

Juan Cole 11/03/2004

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Carville thinks It is Over

James Carville has essentially called the election for Bush. He says his contacts in Ohio are not able to give him any good news.

Carville has been around the block and should be taken seriously. But he isn’t infallible and I’d rather wait and see the numbers from Cleveland and Cincinnati.

It seems likely that the final numbers will still be close. But 51% takes home the whole election.

That isn’t any consolation. It is now often forgotten that Reagan’s 1984 landslide victory over Mondale was close in a lot of states. But you rack up enough 51%’s and you win by a landslide, in the American system.

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About the Author

Juan Cole is the founder and chief editor of Informed Comment. He is Richard P. Mitchell Professor of History at the University of Michigan He is author of, among many other books, Muhammad: Prophet of Peace amid the Clash of Empires and The Rubaiyat of Omar Khayyam. Follow him on Twitter at @jricole or the Informed Comment Facebook Page

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