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Poll Shows Mixed Results For Bush

Juan Cole 12/01/2005

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Poll Shows Mixed Results for Bush

Highlights of the CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll on Bush and Iraq. It is a very small poll with a whopping plus or minus %5 percent margin of error, but presumably the errors should all run the same way, so it does tell us something.

Does Bush have a plan that will achieve victory for the US in Iraq?

Yes: 41%; No: 55%

How has Bush handled the Iraq War?

Well: 44%; Poorly: 54%

Can a democratic government in Iraq be established that won’t be overthrown?

Likely: 47%; Unlikely: 49%

Will Iraq be able to prevent terrorists from using their country as a base of operations?

Yes: 33%; No: 63% (!!!)

But then 48 percent said that the war will make the US safer from terrorism in the long run. (43 percent said no.) I guess the item above is short to medium term.

I interpret this poll as fairly good news for Bush. His base still thinks he is doing a good job. A big majority think the Iraq war will prevent terrorism in the long run, though with a lot of short term dangers. About half think Iraq can be stood up as a democratic regime. Although a majority think Bush is doing a bad job in Iraq and hasn’t a clue how to achieve victory, it isn’t a really big majority and the Red States seem still to be with him.

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About the Author

Juan Cole is the founder and chief editor of Informed Comment. He is Richard P. Mitchell Professor of History at the University of Michigan He is author of, among many other books, Muhammad: Prophet of Peace amid the Clash of Empires and The Rubaiyat of Omar Khayyam. Follow him on Twitter at @jricole or the Informed Comment Facebook Page

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