Did Anyone win the Gaza Conflict? Was it even a “War”?

By Ramzy Baroud (Maan)

In the rush to analyze the outcome of Israel’s 51-day war in Gaza, dubbed Operation Protective Edge, some may have neglected an important factor: this was not a war by traditional definitions of warfare, thus the conventional analyses of victory and defeat is simply not applicable.

That being the case, how can we explain Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s triumphant statement on 28 August, and the massive celebrations on the streets of Gaza regarding the resistance “victory” over Israel?

To be truly fathomed, they must be understood in context.

Soon after the ceasefire declaration on August 26, ending Israel’s most destructive war on Gaza yet, Netanyahu seemed to have disappeared from the scene. Some Israeli media began predicting the end of his political reign. Although this notion was a bit hasty, one can understand why. Much of the man’s political career was predicated on his “anti-terror” stance and Israeli security agenda.

He served as prime minister from 1996 to 1999, with the decided aim of defeating the Oslo “peace process.” He argued it compromised Israel’s security. Then as a finance minister in Sharon’s government (2003-05), he was troubled by Ariel Sharon’s intentions regarding re-deploying out of Gaza. In fact, it was the Gaza “disengagement plan” that ended the Netanyahu-Sharon alliance.

It took Netanyahu a few years to fight his way back from the seeming oblivion in Israel’s complicated political landscape. He fought a grueling political battle, but managed to redeem only some of the right-wing Likud party’s past glory through fractious alliances. He served as prime minister from 2009-2013, and for a third term (a rarity in Israeli history) from 2013 to the present.

Not only was Netanyahu the king of Israel, but its kingmaker as well. He did keep his friends close and enemies closer, and cleverly balanced out seemingly impossible coalition odds. He succeeded, not simply because he is a shrewd politician, but also because he managed to unite Israel around one goal: security.

This he did by fighting “Palestinian terror,” a reference to various Palestinian resistance groups, including Hamas, and building Israeli defenses. He had such command over that political discourse that no one came even close, surly not the newcomer centralist politician Yair Lapid, or even right-wing and far-right hawks Avigdor Liberman and Neftali Bennet.

But then, Gaza happened, a war that could possibly become Netanyahu’s biggest miscalculation, and perhaps the reason for his downfall. Aside from the collapse in his approval ratings, down from 82 percent on 23 July, to less than 38 percent shortly after the ceasefire announcement, the man’s own language in his post-ceasefire press conference is telling enough.

He seemed desperate and defensive, arguing that Hamas failed to achieve its war objective, although it was Israel, not Hamas, that instigated the war with a list of objectives — none of which were achieved anyway. Hamas responded by mocking his statement as the group didn’t start the war, nor had any demands then, a group official told Al Jazeera. The demands were made in the subsequent ceasefire talks in Egypt, and some of them were in fact achieved.

Netanyahu is twisting language and stretching the truth in a despondent attempt to score a political victory, or to simply save face. But few are convinced.

Writing in Foreign Policy on 20 July 20, Ariel Ilan Roth came to an early conclusion about the Gaza war, which has proven to be only partly true. “No matter how and when the conflict between Hamas and Israel ends, two things are certain. The first is that Israel will be able to claim a tactical victory. The second is that it will have suffered a strategic defeat.”

Wrong.

Even the tactical victory was denied this time around, unlike previous wars, most notably the so-called Operation Cast Lead (2008-09). The Gaza resistance must have learned from its past mistakes, managing to withstand a 51-day war with a destructive outcome unprecedented in all past Gaza conflicts. When the Egypt-mediated ceasefire was announced, every Israeli soldier was pushed behind Gaza’s borders.

Almost immediately after the agreement, a Hamas official from Gaza read a statement in which he called on Israelis living in the many evacuated border towns to return to their homes, in a statement of defiance also unprecedented. Shortly after, hundreds of fighters representing all factions, Fatah included, stood at the ruins of the Shujaiyya neighborhood in Gaza City. “There is no room amongst us for that defeated, weak Arab,” the military leader of the Gaza resistance Abu Ubaida declared, as throngs of people showered the fighters with kisses.

He too declared some kind of victory. But is his “victory” statement any different from that of Netanyahu’s?

“Israel has a history of claiming victory when in fact it has suffered defeat; the October 1973 war is the best example,” wrote Roth in Foreign Policy. The difference back then is that many in Israel accepted false victories. This time around they refuse to do so, as various opinion polls by Haaretz, Channel 2 and others are showing. Furthermore, the chasm in Israel’s political class is wider than it has been in many years.

Irrespective of this, “victory” of the resistance cannot be understood within the same context of Israel’s own definition of victory, or false victory. Surely the resistance “was able to establish deterrence, displaying an incredible level of resilience and strength, even when equipped with primitive weapons,” as argued by Samah Sabawi.

The very idea that powerful Israel, and the likes of Netanyahu, can use Palestinians as a testing ground for weapons or to enhance approval ratings seems to be over. The Sharon old wisdom that the Arabs and Palestinians “must be hit hard” and “must be beaten,” as a precondition for calm, or peace, was challenged like never before in the history of Arab-Israeli wars.

Gaza’s ceasefire “celebrations” were not the kind of celebrations that would follow a football match win. To comprehend it as an expression of mere joy is a mistake, and reflects a lack of understanding of Gaza society.

It was more of a collective statement by people who lost 2,143 people, mostly civilians, and have over 11,000 wounded and maimed to care for. Let alone the total or partial destruction of 18,000 homes, 75 schools, many hospitals, mosques, and hundreds of factories and shops.

No, it was not a statement of defiance in the symbolic sense either. It was a message to Israel that the resistance has matured and that Israel’s complete dominance over when wars start and how they end is over.

Only the future could prove how accurate such an assessment is and how consequential it will be for the West Bank and East Jerusalem, which are under military occupation. Interestingly, “liberating Jerusalem,” was in fact a dominant theme among jubilant Palestinians in Gaza. Another theme was the insistence of national unity among all Palestinians. After all, this was the real reason why Netanyahu had launched his war on Gaza in the first place.

Resistance discourse is now the most dominant in Palestine, and it goes beyond factional divides, or the tired discussion about useless “peace talks” that garnered nothing for Palestinians but territorial loss, political division and much humiliation. That sentiment is already reverberating in the West Bank. But how it will be translated in the future is yet to be seen, considering the fact that the Palestinian Authority there is weak in its dealings with Israel, and very intolerant of any political dissent.

Israeli pressure on PA President Mahmoud Abbas will continue. In his first press conference after the ceasefire Netanyahu repeated the same ultimatum. Abbas “needs to choose what side he is on,” he said.

After failing to end the Gaza resistance, Netanyahu is left with nothing other than pressuring Abbas, 79, whose choice, after Gaza’s war, means so little to begin with.

Ramzy Baroud is an internationally-syndicated columnist, author and the founder of PalestineChronicle.com. His latest book is My Father Was a Freedom Fighter: Gaza’s Untold Story.

The views expressed in this article are the author’s and do not necessarily reflect Ma’an News Agency’s editorial policy.

Mirrored from Maan News Agency

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Related video added by Juan Cole:

RT: “UN: 18,000 homes destroyed in Gaza, number of refugees still rising”

4 Responses

  1. The conflict gave the Israeli government a “black eye” in several ways:

    1. American young adults 35 and under who were polled blamed the conflict on the Israeli government over Hamas by a 29%-21% margin.

    2. There was worldwide revulsion at acts of the Israeli public in (A) Sderot in sitting on rooftops and cheering Israeli warplanes drop bombs on Gaza, and (B) hundreds chanting “Death to Arabs” to a Jewish and Arab couple marrying at a wedding in Tel Aviv while the Gaza conflict raged.

    3. Obama publicly questioning the necessity of the IDF blockade of Gaza.

    4. Intense U.S. media coverage of Gazan children being maimed and killed by IDF action with no apparent military purpose.

    5. A Dutch lawyer returning to the Israeli embassy his medal for sheltering a Jewish child during the Holocaust after learning Gazan relatives were killed by the Israeli air force in a bombing of their home.

    6. A group of Holocaust survivors in and their relatives signing in London a public petition both denouncing Israeli action in Gaza and encouraging the BDS movement.

    7. Thousands of Jewish Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting the Gaza assault.

    8. Revelation that Israel received weaponry from the Pentagon during the conflict while circumventing the necessary approval from the White House.

    9. An estimated 20% of all businesses in southern Israel are expected to fold due to the conflict.

    10. The apparent targeting of U.N. relief shelters for IDF aerial bombardment.

    Israel’s greatest failure in this Gaza conflict is the unprecedented international disgust it has generated over its conduct and corresponding sympathy generated due to the perceived suffering of innocent Gazan civilians – even among certain quarters in the United States where Israel has traditionally enjoyed very positive public relations.

  2. Mark….not bad ..only thing ,it’s short lived…at this rate Hamas will have to go through this exercise in futility again and again and again,and still not gain any viable thing for their long suffering population…..it’s good for propaganda..but is that a way to run a country?

  3. So was it a “war” or not? Maybe more of a street-gang beat-down of a 98-pound weakling they’ve been extorting and starving and laughing at?

  4. Netanyahu’s state sponsored terrorism against the people of Palestine will mainly be a Victory for U S arms manufactures and Israel’s puppets in the U S Congress.
    The U S will replace all the munitions used to kill Palestinians and Israel’s supporters in Congress will get even more money from American Zionists and, thanks to recent decisions by the Supreme Court, secret money direct for Israel.

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