Clean Disruption: Why Conventional Energy and Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030

Tony Seba |

“Tony Seba gives the keynote address at the NZ SmartGrid Forum at the Te Papa museum in Wellington, New Zealand, March 31, 2014.

The keynote is titled “Clean Disruption: Why Conventional Energy and Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030″.

In this keynote, Seba highlights four areas where the combination of exponentially improving technologies, business model innovation, and product innovation will disrupt the conventional energy industry:
– Solar Energy
– Energy Storage
– Smart Devices
– Electric Vehicles

This keynote is based on Seba’s book “Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation” ”

Tony Seba: “Clean Disruption: Why Conventional Energy and Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030”

One response

  1. That was an excellent lecture. I hadn’t been aware of the multiplier/synergy effects before.
    A couple of things I’d point out are:
    The need for standard batteries that can be swapped out at recharging stations. These will also be needed for larger vehicles like semi trucks. Elon Musk is probably thinking about this already.
    There’s a loss in converting DC to AC current. I think that’s around 20% or more. The grid will have to remain AC because DC won’t work in transformers and transmission loss is far greater with DC. A large power plant will need some heavy duty conversion capacity and it’s unclear to me how this will be done.
    If it rains for a couple of days and my car hooked to the grid has had its batteries drained, how happy will I be when I go to use it?
    Oil, coal and natural gas will still be with us because they’re useful for many other things. Natural gas for instance supplies ammonia fertilizer for crops. The list of products that come from hydrocarbons is almost endless. You can get 120 gallons of crude oil from a ton of coal. Coal may be due for a nap but I wouldn’t count it out of the game yet.
    Even with EVs and green power Malthus will still be with us. Copper, silver and lead will be mined out in 40 years or so. There isn’t enough left to build out a totally green energy system worldwide.
    Unless we get a grip on population green energy will only slightly extend the life of civilization.
    Anyway, Mr. Serba’s lecture has given me a bit of extra hope for the immediate future however a lot more needs to be done for the long term. Number one on the list should be population control and good luck with that.

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