In the Age of Big Climate Change we have to stop Farting Carbon

By Juan Cole | (Informed Comment) | – –

This past year is what the era of Big Climate Change looks like. We are only at the beginning of the massive changes we are making to our environment by farting 41 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide (a heat-trapping gas) into our atmosphere every year, but we can already see the shape of the future and it is alarming. (“Emissions” as a word is bland and means nothing to most people. Inform them that they are annually farting 18 tons of stuff into the atmosphere that you could light a match to, and maybe they will be a little embarrassed).

Despite the urgency of the crisis we have done almost nothing to reduce carbon farting on a global scale. In fact it increased 2% last year.

The oceans are hotter than they have ever been in nearly 140 years of recorded history. Tellingly, the study that nailed this finding is from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, not the Koch Brothers/ Mercer family US oligarchy, which is suffocating American science. (Hint: hot oceans produce more destructive hurricanes). Puerto Rico was flattened by two hurricanes in a row. One of them chugged along as an unprecedented category 6 for hundreds of miles, fed by a Caribbean that was a startling 2 degrees F. hotter than normal. St. Martin had 85% of its built environment razed by Hurricane Irma. As we speak, the Seine is five times its normal level, flooding Paris and threatening the Louvre Museum.

My alma mater, the University of California Los Angeles, almost burned down in December as wildfires invaded the city of the angels. Boston suffered from a bomb cyclone (hurricanes used not to be able to get much above North Carolina on the east coast because cold water causes them to peter out; but as the Atlantic heats up further north, it opens a pathway for cyclones to come on up, which is what happened to New York with Hurricane Sandy).

Any one of these events can’t be chalked up to climate change, but trends over the past 40 years can. The mean size of California chaparral fires has been increasing, as has the higher temperature range of places there (reaching 120 F. this summer). Caribbean cyclone intensity has risen significantly in just the past 20 years. In the past 35 years flood disasters have more than doubled in Europe.

US cable television news, which has big positions in fossil fuels stocks, reports on these calamities only episodically and desperately avoids linking them to carbon farting.

The coming crisis can be challenging, severe or catastrophic. We have that choice. We can reduce it to only challenging by swinging into action. In a big way. Now. Coal needs to be outlawed ASAP, as French President Emmanuel Macron has pledged to do by 2021, in only three years. (And no, the pledge isn’t meaningless and no the market doesn’t dictate everything; public policy is important). China’s industrial Hebei Province next to Beijing has cut coal use by 44 million tons since 2013 and is going to cut out another 5 million tons this year! The Chinese Communist Party is simply setting emissions standards for the factories, which they have to meet. Air quality in Beijing, which is very bad, is nevertheless a little better as a result. (I was there in 2015 and went out to see the Great Wall with my little Nikon camera and all I got were pictures of smog.)

Elon Musk’s mega-battery in Australia earned its owner $800,000 over two days recently and is successfully smoothing out power generation, stepping in when coal plants go out. That is something gas turbines used to do, and they are no longer needed. In fact, neither is the coal any longer needed if you can combine solar and wind with mega-batteries. Which is the next step.

For people who have to drive and aren’t in the Tesla 3 queue, the Chevy Bolt (the best-selling electric vehicle in the US) is an attractive option at the moment, and it is only the beginning of the Chevy electric fleet. Combine it with rooftop solar panels and you’ll pay off both in 7 years after which fuel for house and car is free.

A challenging amount of global heating will be difficult. You will like severe even less. The third level and possibility is catastrophic, which speaks for itself. It all depends on how much we fart.

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Bonus video:

Guardian News: “Drone footage shows Paris flooding”

2 Responses

  1. Bruno Latour, the French polymath, continues his decades of work to understand the modern frame that has allowed us to not respond to what he calls The New Climate regime. And he points out that it is the most important political actor today. Under its authority the nations of the world came to the agreement in COP21. The book reviewed below follows from his Gifford Lectures in which he argues that science, politics and religion have to be brought together to see what is going on. He is now on a 2 year project situated in Germany to bring together artists and others to represent the anthropocene so earthbounds can begin the diplomatic work to collectively respond to the earth.

    Human-caused climate change reawakens an apocalyptic sensibility, altering everything we do, think, and feel, whether we acknowledge it or not. “We have become the people who could have acted thirty or forty years ago – and did nothing, or far too little.” Political cataclysms are as much part of this “new climate regime” as hurricanes and wildfires: after the US election, Latour described the “innovation” of Donald Trump as “a mad dash for maximum profit while abandoning the rest of the world to its fate.” Trump would be the first truly ecologically-oriented president, through pure negativity: “For the first time, climate change denial is determining all political decisions.”2

    What would it take to shake us out of our denial, delusional hope, or numb passivity—all these ways in which “ecology is making us crazy”? We need new senses and new tools for thought, Latour contends. Not just more carefully verified observations and arguments, but “plays, exhibitions, art forms, poetry, and maybe also rituals” that can sensitize us to the feedback loops between our smallest actions and their consequences near and far.3 “Gaia” is one such conceptual experiment.

    WE HAVE NEVER KNOWN MOTHER EARTH

  2. The second part of the climate disaster rarely ever gets talked about: deforestation. If this is not addressed, then all the clean energy in the world wont help. I highly suggest studying Viktor Shauberger’s works on water and forestry. The problem we face is much more severe than most people are understanding and no one is even considering alternatives.

    “Researchers found that forest areas in South America, Africa and Asia – which have until recently played a key role in absorbing greenhouse gases – are now releasing 425 teragrams of carbon annually, which is more than all the traffic in the United States.”

    The above should be a huge cause for alarm, yet I have only ever seen this published in the Guardian.

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