Informed Comment Homepage

Thoughts on the Middle East, History and Religion

Header Right

  • Featured
  • US politics
  • Middle East
  • Environment
  • US Foreign Policy
  • Energy
  • Economy
  • Politics
  • About
  • Archives
  • Submissions

© 2025 Informed Comment

  • Skip to content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Member Profile

Total number of comments: 3 (since 2013-11-28 16:54:08)

PaulG

Showing comments 3 - 1
Page: 1

  • Israel - Iran Military Comparison
    • Paul 02/29/2012 at 6:46 pm with 1 replies

      Hi,
      What about their respective missile forces? There is an analysis on the NBC site that says Iran possesses thousands of Shabab mid-rage missiles and could possibly overwhelm Israel’s missile defense capability.

    • Paul 02/29/2012 at 2:39 pm

      Perhaps an overlooked comparison which might be clearer than "wars launched" is territory taken and illegally occupied. As far as I know Iran has not invaded and seized territory from any of its neighbors while the state of Israel most certainly has. And then there is the question of territory blockaded and used as a free –fire zone. As far as I know Iran is blockading no one and is not on a regular basis launching massive disproportionate offensive operations against a civilian population under a guise of “self-defence”.

  • Why Egypt 2011 is not Iran 1979
    • PaulG 02/03/2011 at 2:11 pm

      From an admittedly narrowly informed perspective (I've neither been to Egypt nor do I know any Egyptians) the events in Egypt look more like the run-up to the French Revolution than to the Iranian Revolution. The same type of confusion in government, a crumbling economy, increasing poverty, significant unemployment, a large, educated, bourgeoisie extremely dissatisfied with both the government and the economy, exterior powers demanding "order and stability", increasing heavy handed suppression of dissent, a complicated array of opposition groups and leaders in yet to be defined cooperation/competition, a desire for democracy and human rights, a strong presence of rural and working class in the body of protesters, etc... There are, of course, significant differences as well not least being religion not being seen as in collusion with the ruling class and, as Mr. Cole observes, a huge dependence on exterior sources of revenue at ALL levels of society. Still, I'm betting, if the CIA, the Mossad and their counterparts keep out of the mix, that what is likely to evolve in Egypt will look more like pre-Bonaparte France (but without The Terror) than Iran. But what then? Well, as far as I can see, a Bonaparte is not on the horizon and there is no empire to build. Egypt will eventually have to stagger back into the club of nations and maintain cordial economic ties with the rest of the world which means some form of working government that can commit to coming to terms with a new political reality at home. It won’t be pretty but there is just an outside chance that the Egyptian public can forge a new model of governance that respects all its people and is less susceptible to US misdirection. But then again what do I know?

Showing comments 3 - 1
Page: 1

Tweet
Share
Reddit
Email

Primary Sidebar

Support Independent Journalism

Click here to donate via PayPal.

Personal checks should be made out to Juan Cole and sent to me at:

Juan Cole
P. O. Box 4218,
Ann Arbor, MI 48104-2548
USA
(Remember, make the checks out to “Juan Cole” or they can’t be cashed)

STAY INFORMED

Join our newsletter to have sharp analysis delivered to your inbox every day.
Warning! Social media will not reliably deliver Informed Comment to you. They are shadowbanning news sites, especially if "controversial."
To see new IC posts, please sign up for our email Newsletter.

Social Media

Bluesky | Instagram

Popular

  • Regime Change: From Thomas Jefferson to Donald Trump
  • War Criminal Netanyahu nominates Felon Trump for the Nobel Prize
  • Why Faith Leaders are standing up to the Largest pro-Israel Christian Lobby
  • Albanese Sanctions: Marco Rubio now Acting just Like Putin, Charging Human Rights Officials
  • Grok's MechaHitler Antisemitic Rant shows how Generative AI can be Weaponized

Gaza Yet Stands


Juan Cole's New Ebook at Amazon. Click Here to Buy
__________________________

Muhammad: Prophet of Peace amid the Clash of Empires



Click here to Buy Muhammad: Prophet of Peace amid the Clash of Empires.

The Rubaiyat of Omar Khayyam


Click here to Buy The Rubaiyat.
Sign up for our newsletter

Informed Comment © 2025 All Rights Reserved