Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Sunday, July 09, 2006

National Unity Government on Verge
of Collapse As Sunnis Threaten Pull-out;
A Million Sadrists Prepare for Samarra Trek


Guerrillas killed 3 US troops and a female Iraqi translator for the US military on Saturday.

Guerrillas detonated a car bomb outside a Shiite mosque in Baghdad Saturday evening, killing 3 persons.

Also late Saturday evening, Iraqi troops backed by a US military force surrounded the Sadrain Mosque in Zaafaraniyah, which is loyal to Muqtada, and arrested 20 persons. The army received a tip that the mosque as a center of guerrilla activity.

Iraqis are speculating that the US was after Abu Deraa, known as the "Shiite Zarqawi" for his violence against Sunni Arabs. The Sadrists deny that he is connected to the Mahdi Army.

On Friday, Alex Rodriguez of the Chicago Tribune reported on Saturday,

' Adnan al-Unaybi, a top Mahdi Army leader, was arrested at his home near the central city of Hillah. Unaybi reportedly engineered two roadside bomb attacks against multinational forces this spring, spied for Iran and smuggled weapons into Iraq, including surface-to-air missiles, the U.S. military said. '


The Iraqi Accord Front (Sunni fundamentalist), with 44 members of parliament, suspended its participation in parliament last weekend over the kidnapping of one of its members, Taysir Mashhadani. Now it is considering withdrawing its cabinet members from the Maliki government (it only has 4), as a symbolic protest that the missing MP still has not been found. These Sunni religious parties enterain dark suspicions that Shiite militiamen took the female member of parliament. In any case, the so-called "national unity government" that took six months to cobble together appears to be on the verge of collapse.

Meanwhile, Dr. Salih Mutlak, leader of the (Sunni Arab) National Dialogue Party (secularists and ex-Baathists) tells al-Sharq al-Awsat that his prerequisite for national reconciliation is the abrogation of the laws passed by US civil administrator Paul Bremer. Mutlak's party has 11 seats in parliament, but declined to join the "national unity" government.

Al-Hayat says that Sadrists are complaining about the US military operations in their areas of Baghdad and the arrest of Sadrist leaders. Al-Hayat correspondents in Najaf reported that on Saturday, thousands of followers of Muqtada al-Sadr came to Najaf from East Baghdad, gathering before Muqtada's house and shouting his name, asking that he give the order for them to confront the American sources. Sadrist observers believe that the US is conducting the military operations against the Sadrists in order to put pressure on Muqtada, who has been vocally calling for them to depart Iraq on a short timetable.

Shaikh Sabah al-Saaedi, an MP and spokesman for the Fadhila Party, a rival Sadrist movement that is often critical of Muqtada, nevertheless blamed US forces for provoking a conflict and trying to draw the Sadrists into an armed confrontation. Al-Saaedi charged, "America wants to cause the Maliki government and the political project in Iraq to fail altogether, so that a government of national salvation can be installed."

Sources high in the Iraqi Ministry of Defense told al-Hayat that the American operation against the Sadrists in Baghdad had been launched without the knowledge of the Iraqi government and that Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki was not happy about it!

Al-Hayat also says that Sahib al-Aamiri, a spokesman for the puritanical Shiite Sadrist movement, is predicting that a million persons will head for Samarra next week to rebuid the Askariyah shrine, the tomb of the tenth and eleventh Imams or divinely-appointed leaders of Islam according to the Twelver Shiites. One third of these persons will guard the others from attack, one-third will do the rebuilding, and one-third will provide services to the rest. He said the that the funding and preparation for the project are secured. He maintained that the Iraqi government had not objected, but had rather offered protection to the volunteers. Samarra is a largely Sunni Arab stronghold where the guerrilla movement has been strong, so there is substantial risk of sectarian clashes if a million Shiites show up there.

The Los Angeles Times has a real scoop today, having gotten hold of 400 documents regarding the investigation of the Interior Ministry and the Iraqi police. They demonstrate extensive corruption and violations. Solomon Moore writes,

' Brutality and corruption are rampant in Iraq's police force, with abuses ranging from the widespread rape of female prisoners and the release of terrorism suspects in exchange for bribes to assassinations of police officers and participation in insurgent bombings, according to confidential Iraqi government documents detailing more than 400 police corruption investigations. '


A pro-Bush Iranian-American film-maker, Cyrus Kar, is suing Donald Rumsfeld and the Department of Defense over being held in detention in Iraq without charges for nearly 2 months, and sometimes abused. This lawsuit may be the first tangible outcome of the recent Supreme Court ruling that George W. Bush is not above the Geneva Conventions, which were signed into US law by treaty. Bush and his officials and lawyers argue that he has "inherent powers" to just arrest people on suspicion and hold them indefinitely, with only an occasional military "review" of the case. The 15,000 prisoners detained by the US in Iraq are likewise being held with no access to counsel, no formal charges, or any basic legal process, with some having been tortured, and some having been held in this way for a year.

3 Comments:

At 9:52 AM, Blogger colefan101 said...

FYI, Mr. Kar is also a US military veteran (ABC last year and BBC this year confirm that he was a Navy SEAL). His repeated statements that he was an American and a former military man were met with incredulity and abuse.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4659175.stm

Wikipedia has a growing article too.

 
At 1:38 PM, Blogger Rick said...

Juan,
Not sure if you read these comments, but can you tell me if "National Unity Government" sounds right in arabic? To me it sounds too much like something an American marketing team would come up with. All the other names of the different factions don't really sound right to me, but i just figured that it was "in the translation", anyway, just askin.

Rick

 
At 3:09 PM, Blogger james_speaks said...

Cole: "This (Cyrus Kar) lawsuit may be the first tangible outcome of the recent Supreme Court ruling that George W. Bush is not above the Geneva Conventions, which were signed into US law by treaty. Bush and his officials and lawyers argue that he has "inherent powers" to just arrest people on suspicion and hold them indefinitely, with only an occasional military "review" of the case."

Bush justifies his lordly powers as necessary to wage war against a noun. We should not be surprised. Bush and Company have waged war against language and thought all along.

Cheney wages war against Truth. There was one interview, Meet the Press I think, where he uttered not a single truth unless you believe he was, in fact, glad to see Tim Russert.

Dr. Condoleeza Rice wages war on Reality. Donald Rumsfeld wages war against Decency and Personal Responsibility. Paul Wolfowitz wages War against utter non-ickiness and he and Douglas Feith wage War against Intelligence.

I think the more serious matter is not that these people wage war against Nouns, but that they employ the US military to do so with ordnance. Take away the ordnance and they are no more dangerous than Ann Coulter or Jonah Goldberg, who together wage war on Journalism.

Yet, we have a President who uses military might to kill Iraqis and to allow Iraqis to kill Americans in a war against a noun. This is problem number one.

Problem number two is that this is an undeclared war against a noun. Had Congress declared that specific nouns are anathema to the American way and that the President was empowered to deploy unpleasant-sound seeking missles to destroy them, then he would be on firmer legal ground. But Congress did not and he is not.

Problem three is that our military actions are provoking otherwise non-violent people to act out their (justified) rage against the US, thus providing a (flimsy) excuse after the fact.

Problem number four poses, in my perspective, the major problem, and it is that the effect of pseudo-lawful military action is indistinguishable from terrorist actions.

An Iraqi girl is dead and it does not matter whether it was from Sunni on Shia violence or from a premediated rape and murder.

A building destroyed by a US made bomb is as destroyed as the WTC towers.

A man decapitated by indiscriminate M-60 fire is as mutilated as a man decapitated by the late al-Zarqawi, if not more so.

The means are irrelevant. To the victims and their families, the US activities cause more terror than the purported cause which, in case one forgets, was Osama bin Laden's network, not Saddam Hussein's.

This phony war on nouns exposes the quicksand which our President has led the nation. He may believe that he has Lordly powers and that he can walk on water, but he cannot.

May he not drag us down with him as he sinks.

 

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