Iran's Sudden Support for Iraq-US Security Pact
Omid Memarian explains Iran's turnaround on the Iraqi-US security agreement, which it was rejecting only last month:
'Obama's victory disarms leaders such as Ahmadinejad, who for decades have used inefficient American foreign policies as excuses to justify their own failures, mismanagement and corruption. Earlier this year, Ahmadinejad said that the "U.S. (political) establishment will not let Obama win the presidential election." This was believed because in none of the Muslim countries, including Iran, does a man of a minority ethnicity like Obama have even a slim chance of getting a position in a high office. But American democracy allow this.'
McClatchy has more: "Reports from Iran's state news agency called an Iraqi Cabinet vote that advanced the security compact a "victory for the ruling party and its Kurdish partners," referring to the Shiite lawmakers who supported the agreement."
Me, I agree with Memarian that the turning point was the election Obama. The Iranians would never have trusted McCain enough to hope for any good outcome from a security pact. But I think they are convinced that Obama really does want US troops out of Iraq, and that he wants to talk to Iran.
The Iranians haven't changed their minds about the goal,of getting US troops out of Iraq,but they can now afford to be a little patient.

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13 Comments:
Me, I agree with Memarian that the turning point was the election Obama. The Iranians would never have trusted McCain enough to hope for any good outcome from a security pact. But I think they are convinced that Obama really does want US troops out of Iraq, and that he wants to talk to Iran.
I think you're projecting your own wishful thinking onto the Iranians. It is hard for me to imagine any country in the Middle East fantasizing about the US good intentions in the area.
It does seem clear to me that you have been on a flight of fantasy yourself for the months leading up to and now including Obama's election.
You may be right. I may be the one who's reading the situation incorrectly.
Time will tell.
Iran is currently ruled by a member of an ethnic minority, Sayyid Ali Khamenei is an Azeri, not a Persian. In addition Ayatollah Khomeini was one quarter Indian. Before the Persian Pahlavi dynasty (1924-79), Iran was ruled by ethnic minorities for hundreds of years.
I don't think the comment about the lack of opportunity for ethnic minorities in Iran holds much water.
"in none of the Muslim countries, including Iran, does a man of a minority ethnicity like Obama have even a slim chance of getting a position in a high office."
What a load of crap. Muslim countries have elected women. In Pakistan alone, all the Bhottos and Zardaris are ethnic (Sindhi) and religious (Shia) minorities. Benazir being a tripple minority (woman).
Even among military strong men who have won sham elections in Pakistan, minorities are well represented. Ayub and Yahya were Pashtun, while Musharraf is a mohajir (Urdu speaking immigrant from India). Only Zia came from the Punjabi majority in this gang. I am sure other countries have their examples also.
Its not the fault of the Muslim countries that race and minority are shuch bogus constructs. Obama is not the first US minority president. Kennedy came from the minority Catholics.
Sadat was probably more black than Nasir or Mubarak.
Just for the record: Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is an Iranian Azeri.
This is funny. Mr. Memarian, an Iranian expert (expert in what?), writes:
"in none of the Muslim countries, including Iran, does a man of a minority ethnicity like Obama have even a slim chance of getting a position in a high office."
Well, let's see. How about Iran? Iran's Supreme Leader is of the Turkish ethnicity.
Religious minorities attain high offices too:
How about Syria? Its leader belongs to the Alawi sect.
How about Iraq? It had a Christian as a foreign minister, and a Sunni Muslim for president.
How about Lebanon? It's a Muslim-majority country with a Christian president.
The Bush administration, with Admiral Mullen in tow, is turning this "security pact" into a toothless nonentity, a minor bump on the continuing road US military world dominance. Iran isn't going to like it.
It seems that since Obama's victory a day doesn't go by without hearing some nonsense form a "expert" trying to justify his opinions by citing the election result. Take this for example: This was believed because in none of the Muslim countries, including Iran, does a man of a minority ethnicity like Obama have even a slim chance of getting a position in a high office. But American democracy allow this.
May be "This was believed" because Iranian president doesn't quite understand the level of discontent that Americans feel toward their politicians.
Otherwise, Ahmadinejad himself was a son of blacksmith that rose to be the mayor of Tehran and then elected as President of Iran. The "supreme leader" has Azeri background. Some of the top officials are rumored to have had Iraqi background. The argument doesn't hold water in Muslim countries.
If you take into account the religious affiliation then you have to see that Iraq was ruled by its Sunni minority group for years. Christians are still controlling power in Majority Muslim Lebanon.
If you go to say Soviet Union, Stalin was from a tiny state of Georgia, clearly an ethnic minority that became the leader of the Soviet Union.
The idea of a Black president is unique and interesting in context of US history. Trying it takes the phony experts to try to extrapolate from it and make irrelevant conclusions. But that is what we expect from our "experts"!
"in none of the Muslim countries, including Iran, does a man of a minority ethnicity like Obama have even a slim chance of getting a position in a high office."
Demonstrably contra factual rubbish.
Among the Muslim countries in which minorities have obtained positions in high office are:
- Iran (Ooooooops! Isn't Memarian supposed to be an expert on Iran?! Not so much Iranian politics, it seems)
- Pakistan
- Iraq
- Syria
- Lebanon
Those are the ones that come immediately to mind, and there most likely are others I have not thought of yet.
Specifics available on request.
For one of the above Anonymous persons.
Please study some history before proclaiming that Azaris were not Persians. Many years ago, Ahmad Kasravi (an Azari himself) wrote the book*
Azari or the Ancient Language of Azarbaijan
("Azari ya Zaban-e Bastan-e Azarbaijan")
in which he unequivocally shows that Azari minus the Turkic influences is indeed an ancient Persian language. He demonstrates, by giving a wealth of examples, how the pronunciation of exactly the same Persian word varied in ancient times as one went from North to South and from East to West, and how by applying a set of rigid rules one can arrive at Azari words by starting from words that are undisputably Persian.
Three further issues, the understanding of which does not require familiarity with Ahmad Kasravi's above-mentioned book. Firstly, almost all place-names in the Eastern and Western Azarbaijani provinces are purely Persian names. Secondly, one needs only to go to Absheron (a peninsula to the East of Baku), to realise that the most pure form of Persian, that is Tat, is being spoken there. Thirdly, the city Ganja (or Ganjeh) in the Eastern part of Republic of Azarbaijan** is the birthplace of Nezami Ganjavi (Nezami of Ganjeh, who lived between 1141 and 1209); those who know Nezami's poetry (such as Khosrow and Shirin) will realise that the present-day Persian almost identically coincides with the Persian as written by Nezami. Some familiarity with, e.g., the Treaty of Golestan (and of the subsequent Treaty of Turkmenchaiy)*** suffices for making one appreciate the reason why Tat is being spoken in Absheron, or why the people of South Osetia have the same genetic make-up as the people of Yazd in central Iran. Incidentally, the name Baku consists of the Old Persian words Bagh (as in Baghdad, meaning God) and Kaufa (meaning Mountain; the Modern Persian word Kuh originates from Kaufa). For details I refer the interested to:
Linguistic Research Center
of University of Texas at Austin:
http://www.utexas.edu/cola/centers/lrc/
As an aside, the interested should consider to listen to (or watch) Uzeyir Hajibeyov's epic opera Köro?lu. This opera's libretto is in pure Persian. Here is a short part of this most delightful opera:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=related&v=kydP4e6xS3Y
As for the etymology of Azarbaijan, the interested may consult the following Wikipedia entry:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azarbaijan
I leave the matter regarding Ayatollah Khomeini being supposedly for 1/4 Indian to more qualified individuals.**** I take however the opportunity and mention that there is very good reason to believe that at least from his father's side, Ayatollah Khomeini is of Jewish heritage: his father's name was Mustafa Musavi, where Musavi means of, or pertaining to Musa, in which Musa refers to Moses. All Musavis, Persian and non-Persians, are of Jewish heritage. Interestingly, Ayatollah Khomeini's full name, namely Ruhollah Musavi Khomeini contains also a reference to Christianity; Ruhollah (consisting of Ruh, Spirit, Soul, and Allah --- God's [Holly] Spirit) is Jesus Christ's title in Persian. It is remarkable that the Christian and Jewish communities of the world are so much critical of Iran, neglecting so blatantly the fact that Ayatollah Khomeini is lineally so closely related to them! I hasten to add that that infamous "Wipe off the Map" statement is due to Ayatollah Khomeini, merely quoted by President Ahmadinejad.
BF.
_____
* This book can be downloaded, free of charge, from the bibliography section of the following site:
http://www.kasravi.info/
Since long I have been considering to translate this book from Persian into English, however I have been held back by the fact that I am in truth not the most qualified person for this task.
** Those who are familiar with the history of the region will know that the choice of the name Republic of Azarbaijan was a political ploy for separating Iran's Azarbaijan from Iran. This is alluded to by Mr Bahram Moshiri in his following short video:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=304775902151936247
*** Regarding treaties of Golestan and Turkmenchaiy, one may consult the following Wikipedia entries:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulistan_Treaty
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Turkmenchay
**** Ayatollah Khomeini's paternal grandfather was Sayyed Ahmad Musavi Hendi, where Hendi (or even Hindi) stands for from or related to Hend, in which Hend is the Persian word for India (Sayyed Ahmad Musavi Hendi used to live in India before moving to Khomein, a county in the Markazi Province of Iran). This seems to be the origin of the claim that Ayatollah Khomeini were for 1/4 Indian.
Correction
In my above comment, "Eastern" in
"Ganja (or Ganjeh) in the Eastern part of Republic of Azarbaijan"
should have been "Western".
I take this opportunity and mention that English Wikipedia has the following entry on Nezami Ganjavi:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nezami_Ganjavi
BF.
BF wrote: "Azari minus the Turkic influences is indeed an ancient Persian language."
Azeri is a Turkic language. To speak of "Azeri minus the Turkic element" is like saying "the language of Americans minus the English part."
This is just Persian nationalist fantasy. It's just like Turkish nationalists calling the Kurds "Mountain Turks."
I don't think in this post Prof. Cole shows any wishful thinking. It is a fact that Obama had called for the troops to be pulled out. This gives both the Iraqis and Iranians reason to trust the American promise that they will pull out.
Behnam
"It is a fact that Obama had called for the troops to be pulled out."
What is a fact is that Obama has NEVER said he would end the occupation. What he has said, very clearly, is that he would leave tens of thousands of "residual forces" for an indefinite period. He has also indicated that he is inclined to continue the use of mercenary forces - e.g. the death-dealers of Blackwater in Iraq. And in addition, he has made it apparent that he intends to keep Bush imperial citadel in Baghdad fully staffed and functional.
In other words, his plan has always been to reconfigure the occupation.
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