US Dilemma in Syria: Moderate Stronghold Falls to al-Qaeda, Fighters desert to Extremists

By Juan Cole

In a big setback for the Obama administration’s Syria policy, the al-Qaeda affiliate Succor Front (Jabhat al-Nusra) took the town of Deir Sunbul and its environs this weekend away from the Syria Revolutionaries Front, a relatively secular-minded group viewed as “moderates” by the United States. Deir Sunbul lies in the Jabal al-Zawiya region of the northwestern province of Idlib. The pan-Arab London daily al-Quds al-Arabi (Arab Jerusalem) says that the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Damascus is rubbing its hands with glee at the prospect of the rebels fighting one another to exhaustion.

Not only did Syria Revolutionaries Front leader Jamal Marouf have to flee his hometown, but some of his fighters actually turned on him and joined the Succor Front.

The Succor Front launched its attack with an armored convoy coming from the eastern desert and deployed tanks and armored vehicles against Deir Sunbul’s pitiful little machine gun batteries. This operation raises the question of why the US did not bomb the convoy.

Jamal Marouf pledged to return to the region of Jabal al-Zawiya. The Succor Front/ Nusra directed a broadside at him, on hearing of this intention, saying: “Jamal, you were a revolutionary fighter. But you deviated from that path and entered the wastelands of politics and were tempted by money and arms. Today you consider us infidels and you accuse us of being agents and being foreigners. The holy warriors of the Succor Front who battle you, however, are in fact the inhabitants of Jabal Zawiya, and they fight in the ranks of the brigades and the people there. It is not the Succor Front alone that fights you.”

The incident is disturbing because the Obama administration plans to train and arm fighters of the Syria Revolutionaries Front sort, on the theory that they are “moderates.” But a present Syrian moderate is all too often a future al-Qaeda member; many of these affiliations are not particularly ideological, but have to do with who is winning and who has more money. Last July, the Daoud Brigade of the Free Syrian Army joined ISIL.

Jamal Marouf’s group in any case had sometimes fought alongside Syria’s al-Qaeda and last April said al-Qaeda was the West’s problem, not his. (Ouch!) He complained that aside from a one time payment some time ago of $250,000, he hadn’t received any appreciable aid from the West.

The loyalties of fighters may also have to do with which group is seen as more indigenous and which as foreign agents. The Succor Front response to Jamal Marouf rebukes him for trying to code the al-Qaeda affiliate as foreign agents. But now that the US is openly siding with the Free Syrian Army and conducting bombing raids against ISIL and the Succor Front, it is moderates such as he that are in danger of being tagged as agents of Western imperialism. If he in fact hasn’t gotten much help from the US, this outcome would be unfortunate.

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Even more disturbing, McClatchy correspondents reported that the Succor Front (Jabhat al-Nusra) attack on Deir Sunbul was aided by ISIL fighters. ISIL and Succor, despite both being radical fundamentalists, have been alienated from one another and fighting one another for the past 18 months. ISIL has had a policy of attacking its fellow rebels more than it attacks the Syrian army, which has made it the skunk at the rebel Syrian party. But if it actually learns to be an ally, it could widen its coalition. A joint al-Qaeda – ISIL campaign against the Free Syrian Army groups in the northwest could cripple them.

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The infighting between the rebels has given hope to the Syrian Army. It has advanced on Khan Shaikhun in Rif Idlib, and has is eye on expanding its sway in Idlib and breaking the siege of its strategic Wadi al-Dayf military base. It now serves as a forward operating base in the region controlled by the Succor Front.

ISIL itself has faced a setback in the past few days, however, as a mini-civil war broke out among its ranks in its capital of al-Raqqa. There, says al-Quds al-Arabi, the Uzbek foreign fighters have been clashing with the Chechens over control of key buildings. The Uzbeks appear to have the upper hand because they are more numerous. ISIL leader Ibrahim al-Samarra’i, who styles himself a caliph, is said to have been forced to leave Mosul and return to Raqqa because of this crisis.


From Reuters a week ago: Idlib under attack

7 Responses

  1. Thanks; this helps explain a confusing situation. For the past two years, whenever I read such discussions from people like you who actually seem to understand the situation, I’m left confused by America’s policy and actions.

    • It’s like Iraq or Afghanistan where you need a scorecard to find out who is fighting who at what time.

      Other questions:

      Who is CIA-backed?

      Who is getting arms support from the Russians or the Saudis or other Persian Gulf sponsors?

      Who is on the State Department list of terror organizations?

      Who has representation in the Syrian National Coalition?

      Which Kurdish groups are involved – PKK?

      Who is allied with the Baathists? Hezbollah? Local militias?

      How many Americans are in combat? How many Brits? Who are they fighting for? Who pays them?

      Where are other foreign fighters coming from? Chechnya? Iraq? Lebanon? Which side are they on?

      Ahhh!! The Great Game!!!

  2. The US dilemma in Syria is that US policy is determined by people who don’t know what they are doing unless, in some cases, the object is to drag the US into another quagmire … or, would that be the same quagmire they got into years ago?

  3. The dilemma is an artificial dilemma of the West’s own making, at the urging of the Saudists and Lesser Gulfies and the Erdogists of Turkey.
    The West including America should simply switch sides and back the Syrian Arab Government, Hezbollah, Iran and Iraqi Shiistan in helping the SAG crush the cannibal headchopper rebellion by all means necessary and/or convenient. Let the Saudi/Gulfie/Tayippi investment in the so-called “moderate” so-called “opposition” be completely destroyed and incinerated.

  4. More evidence that the US is not committing much in the way of resources to Syria. But that’s not surprising. After all, Iraq is the one with the valuable minerals.

  5. The sooner the Moderate Rebels are supported with adequate money and training, the better.

    The longer the extremists and terrorists rule territory, the more they will brainwash teenage boys and young men with their evil thoughts which will God forbid bring up another generation with such thoughts and behaviors. These evil thoughts are clearly against the Qur’an in numerous ways. For instance Chapter 60, verse 8 says Muslims should be just and kind to non-Muslims who do not initiate persecution or expel Muslims from their homes. I beg God that Jabhat Nusra, ISIL are defeated. I am sure we all wish this. But God helps only those who help themselves. And the way to help people is thus to adequately fund, arm, and train the moderate rebels to the point that they can defeat all these extremists, terrorists, and also the terrorist regime of Assad.

  6. The ISIS leader who had to leave Mosul and return to Syria is missing out on the good times. Lining people up and executing them as well as a female sex slave market. If they still have their teeth, green and blue eyed young females sell for the highest price. They are for real BARBARIANS.

    It’s much tougher in Syria.

    Supporting the moderate rebel forces in Syria as well as arming the Sunnis in Iraq is still the best option. If that doesn’t happen, ISIS and the Succor Front will continue to roll.

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