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Israel/ Palestine

Trump’s Gaza Initiative: Chance for Peace or Empty Words?

Middle East Monitor 10/07/2025

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by Azmat Ali

( Middle East Monitor ) – After nearly two years of war in Gaza, a sudden and surprising development has emerged. Hamas has issued a statement agreeing in principle to release all Israeli captives it holds — both the living and the remains of the dead — and to hand over the administration of Gaza to a Palestinian technocratic body.

The concession came in response to US President Donald Trump’s 20-point peace plan, unveiled in Washington alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Trump had warned in typically stark terms: ‘If this LAST CHANCE agreement is not reached, all HELL, like no one has ever seen before, will break out against Hamas. THERE WILL BE PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST ONE WAY OR THE OTHER.’

On his Truth Social account, he pressed further: ‘RELEASE THE HOSTAGES, ALL OF THEM, INCLUDING THE BODIES OF THOSE THAT ARE DEAD, NOW! An Agreement must be reached with Hamas by Sunday evening at SIX (6) P.M., Washington, D.C. time.’

Hamas’s reply was cautiously affirmative. ‘The movement announces its approval of releasing all occupation prisoners — both living and remains — according to the exchange formula contained in President Trump’s proposal, with the necessary field conditions for implementing the exchange,’ it said.

Trump hailed this as vindication of his approach. ‘Based on the statement just issued by Hamas, I believe they are ready for a lasting PEACE. Israel must immediately stop the bombing of Gaza, so that we can get the Hostages out safely and quickly! Right now, it’s far too dangerous to do that. We are already in discussions on details to be worked out. This is not about Gaza alone; this is about long sought PEACE in the Middle East.’

An opening — but not a deal

For the first time in nearly two years of war, both Israel and Hamas face narrowing options. Neither can simply reject Trump’s proposal outright without incurring costs. Families of Israeli hostages, long desperate, see the latest developments as a sliver of hope. Anat Angres, the mother of Israeli soldier Matan Angres, 22, wrote on X: ‘Thank you President Trump. After two years of suffering, I feel closer than ever to hug my son Matan again.’

Palestinians in Gaza, enduring immense suffering, see the potential for at least a pause in the bombardment. International mediators, including Qatar and Egypt, are already working on mechanisms for implementation.

Israel’s position

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s office released a statement: ‘In light of Hamas’s response, Israel is preparing to immediately implement the first phase of Trump’s plan for the immediate release of all hostages.’ Netanyahu also affirmed his cooperation with the US president’s initiative, saying: ‘We will continue to work in full cooperation with the President and his team to end the war in accordance with the principles set forth by Israel that are consistent with President Trump’s vision.’

Speaking in Hebrew to a domestic audience, however, Netanyahu underlined that he had not agreed to the establishment of a Palestinian state and insisted Israeli forces would remain in most of Gaza. In the meantime, Israeli bombardment of Gaza has continued. At least 72 Palestinians were killed in strikes on Friday, according to medical sources.

Sticking points

Three issues stand out as potential deal-breakers:

First is sequencing. Trump has demanded that hostages be freed quickly, within a 72-hour window, under a suspension of Israeli military operations. But who will monitor the ceasefire? Who guarantees safe passage in an active war zone? Without clarity, even small violations could unravel the process.

Second is governance. Hamas reiterated: ‘The movement also reaffirms its approval to hand over the administration of the Gaza Strip to a Palestinian body of independents (technocrats) based on Palestinian national consensus and supported by Arab and Islamic backing.’

Trump’s idea of an external ‘Board of Peace’ with international figures was rejected bluntly. ‘We will never accept anyone who is not Palestinian to control the Palestinians,’ Hamas official Mousa Abu Marzouk told Al Jazeera, adding that the appointment of Tony Blair would be particularly unwelcome because of his role in the Iraq war. The tension between external oversight and internal legitimacy remains unresolved.

Third is disarmament. Trump’s 20-point peace plan calls for Hamas and other factions to be demilitarised and barred from any role in Gaza’s governance. For Netanyahu and his allies, Hamas must be stripped of its military capacity. Yet Hamas’s statement made no reference to disarmament, leaving the issue for future discussion. For the group, observers note, surrendering arms without political guarantees would be tantamount to capitulation.

Justice and accountability

The humanitarian toll provides the stark backdrop to these manoeuvres. According to Gaza health officials, more than 66,000 Palestinians have been killed since October 2023, with tens of thousands more injured and massive displacement across the territory.

Human rights groups, including Amnesty International, Israeli organisations such as B’Tselem and Physicians for Human Rights and the UN Human Rights Council have accused Israel of crimes against humanity and genocide.

Trump’s plan, however, is silent on accountability for Gaza’s devastation. It promises reconstruction funds and a ‘redeveloped’ territory but avoids naming responsibility for the destruction. Critics warn that rebuilding without justice risks entrenching control rather than delivering peace. As Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority, has long insisted: ‘We are a people under occupation, and our rights are inalienable. Peace without our rights is no peace at all.’


Photo by Emad El Byed on Unsplash

A fragile opening

Despite its flaws, the exchange of statements between Trump and Hamas has shifted the political landscape. Hamas has approved the release of captives and the transfer of governance to a Palestinian consensus-based body. Trump has demanded Israel halt bombing to enable a peace plan. Netanyahu, under pressure from all sides, has agreed to cooperate with Trump’s initiative.

It would be premature to call this a turning point. Past efforts have collapsed on the rocks of mistrust, asymmetry, and maximalist demands. Disarmament, sequencing, and sovereignty remain unresolved. But the significance of this moment lies in the fact that all parties are, however reluctantly, engaging with the same text.

Breakthrough or False dawn?

Whether this proves to be a genuine breakthrough or another false dawn depends on the coming days. If hostages are returned, bombardment suspended, and a neutral administration begins to take shape, then the trajectory of the war could shift. If not, recriminations will deepen and violence may escalate further.

Palestine peace efforts fail not because they lack plans or funds, but because they lack trust, credible enforcement, and political will. Unless this moment delivers those, Trump’s 20-point plan will join the long list of abandoned initiatives. If it succeeds, he may renew his claim for the Nobel Peace Prize, presenting himself as the mediator who brought peace not only to Gaza but to the wider Middle East.

For now, the world is watching. Trump has forced new words onto the page. Both parties Hamas and Israel, reluctantly, agree. On further initiative rests not only the fate of hostages and civilians in Gaza, but the peaceful co-existence of the entire region.

The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor.

Via Middle East Monitor

Creative Commons License Unless otherwise stated in the article above, this work by Middle East Monitor is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Filed Under: Israel/ Palestine

About the Author

Middle East Monitor is a not-for-profit press monitoring organization, founded on 1 July 2009, and based in London. Journalists who have written for it include Amelia Smith, Diana Alghoul, Ben White, Jehan Alfarra and Jessica Purkiss. The editorial line straddles the British left and the British Muslim religious Right.

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