NOTHING trump (vaguely) proposes will create a single job, let alone thousands nor will trump be able to reverse or even slow down the loss of power of white males.
The people of the "rust belt" and the "bible belt" south have two very real problems:
- Loss of power
- Loss of economic stability.
Unfortunately, even though trump waves his magic wand and hypnotizes them with meaningless phrases, the REALITY is, if trump gets elected he can do ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to fix the problem. In fact after trump is done, the people that voted for him as their "white knight" will be WORSE OFF.
- Power - sociological power is never static, but constantly changing. No single group of humans can retain power for very long and it is just human nature to resent the inevitable loss of power. BUT . . . 10000 years of recorded history shows that power can not be retained for very long. For most of the USA history, white males had a majority of the power, but as the inevitable demographic changes happen (women, non-whites, aging, etc.), this power is being diffused throughout the population groupings and it will NEVER return to the white males. Sure they are angry about the loss of power, but there is NOTHING they can do about it and fighting the change will just make things worse for the white males. The lessons of history are perfectly clear, the white males will eventually have to just accept the loss of power. The can not win, so should just have a graceful loss. Of course, humans don't do that, so we should expect more anger and fighting until the older generation dies off.
- Economics - While the job loses are real, their cause is much more related to technology than transfer to lower wage locations. As I noted in another post, when technology can deliver high quality products and services 24 hours a day for less than US$25/day, why employ any humans?
Because technology labor replacement has been subtle and silent, few realize just how much it has changed the way everything used by humans is produced. Sure, unions have tried to limit technology, but the economics are so compelling, the unions have no real defense.
Strikes (withholding of human labor) no longer works for two reasons (1) there are an excessive number of human workers so strikers can easily be replaced and (2) striking workers can usually be replaced by even less costly technology and once jobs are eliminated by technology there is zero economic incentive to hire any humans.
One of the symptoms of this, is the fact most USA companies are floating on a sea of cash and selling lots of products and services, but they have no need to hire more humans (USA or non-USA) because their current level of technology is adequate to meet all their customer needs. In fact the trend is to more technology and fewer workers, not the other way.
So even if trump were to put up huge trade barriers, there will NOT be any additional jobs. Companies will simply buy more technology (made by robots, not humans).
Technology change is exponential, NOT linear which means humans can never catch up once they are surpassed. Right now technology functionality is increasing exponentially and technology costs are decreasing exponentially. As a technologist that has helped invent some of this stuff, I am all too aware of just how far technology has changed over just the last 50 year.
Basically, trump is a bald faced liar that can NEVER "fix" any of the problems the "rust belt" and the "bible belt" have, but the people in those areas are so damaged emotionally, they will grasp at any con-job coming their way.
What these people should be doing is developing new skills that are needed in the real world, abandoning their childhood areas and moving to where the few remaining jobs are because the old jobs are PERMANENTLY GONE and their childhood areas have no resources to tempt a company to move there. Basically they have to completely re-start their lives and walk away from their past. Few humans are emotionally capable of doing that. I did six start-ups and in the process saw lots of people that could not adapt to the new world. To me, start-ups are exciting and intellectually challenging, but to many humans that type of environment is emotionally devastating.
I wish the people in the "rust belt" and "bible belt" well, but KNOW that their way of life is OVER and can NEVER return, so they need to either accept that and build new lives or suffer the rest of their lives. Life as a human is often cruel and trump is deliberately torturing them for his personal gain.
NOTHING trump (vaguely) proposes will create a single job, let alone thousands nor will trump be able to reverse or even slow down the loss of power of white males.
The people of the "rust belt" and the "bible belt" south have two very real problems:
- Loss of power
- Loss of economic stability.
Unfortunately, even though trump waves his magic wand and hypnotizes them with meaningless phrases, the REALITY is, if trump gets elected he can do ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to fix the problem. In fact after trump is done, the people that voted for him as their "white knight" will be WORSE OFF.
- Power - sociological power is never static, but constantly changing. No single group of humans can retain power for very long and it is just human nature to resent the inevitable loss of power. BUT . . . 10000 years of recorded history shows that power can not be retained for very long. For most of the USA history, white males had a majority of the power, but as the inevitable demographic changes happen (women, non-whites, aging, etc.), this power is being diffused throughout the population groupings and it will NEVER return to the white males. Sure they are angry about the loss of power, but there is NOTHING they can do about it and fighting the change will just make things worse for the white males. The lessons of history are perfectly clear, the white males will eventually have to just accept the loss of power. The can not win, so should just have a graceful loss. Of course, humans don't do that, so we should expect more anger and fighting until the older generation dies off.
- Economics - While the job loses are real, their cause is much more related to technology than transfer to lower wage locations. As I noted in another post, when technology can deliver high quality products and services 24 hours a day for less than US$25/day, why employ any humans?
https://www.juancole.com/2016/07/ditched-workers-professionals.html
Because technology labor replacement has been subtle and silent, few realize just how much it has changed the way everything used by humans is produced. Sure, unions have tried to limit technology, but the economics are so compelling, the unions have no real defense.
Strikes (withholding of human labor) no longer works for two reasons (1) there are an excessive number of human workers so strikers can easily be replaced and (2) striking workers can usually be replaced by even less costly technology and once jobs are eliminated by technology there is zero economic incentive to hire any humans.
One of the symptoms of this, is the fact most USA companies are floating on a sea of cash and selling lots of products and services, but they have no need to hire more humans (USA or non-USA) because their current level of technology is adequate to meet all their customer needs. In fact the trend is to more technology and fewer workers, not the other way.
So even if trump were to put up huge trade barriers, there will NOT be any additional jobs. Companies will simply buy more technology (made by robots, not humans).
Technology change is exponential, NOT linear which means humans can never catch up once they are surpassed. Right now technology functionality is increasing exponentially and technology costs are decreasing exponentially. As a technologist that has helped invent some of this stuff, I am all too aware of just how far technology has changed over just the last 50 year.
Basically, trump is a bald faced liar that can NEVER "fix" any of the problems the "rust belt" and the "bible belt" have, but the people in those areas are so damaged emotionally, they will grasp at any con-job coming their way.
What these people should be doing is developing new skills that are needed in the real world, abandoning their childhood areas and moving to where the few remaining jobs are because the old jobs are PERMANENTLY GONE and their childhood areas have no resources to tempt a company to move there. Basically they have to completely re-start their lives and walk away from their past. Few humans are emotionally capable of doing that. I did six start-ups and in the process saw lots of people that could not adapt to the new world. To me, start-ups are exciting and intellectually challenging, but to many humans that type of environment is emotionally devastating.
I wish the people in the "rust belt" and "bible belt" well, but KNOW that their way of life is OVER and can NEVER return, so they need to either accept that and build new lives or suffer the rest of their lives. Life as a human is often cruel and trump is deliberately torturing them for his personal gain.