Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, April 30, 2005

50 Killed, 114 Wounded in Coordinated Series of 17 Bombings
3 Americans Killed, 7 wounded


The guerrilla movement pulled off a spectacular set of bombings in Iraq on Friday, as though responding decisively to President Bush's news conference Thursday night in which he said, " "I believe we're making really good progress in Iraq . . ." In Azamiyah, a relatively well-off Sunni Arab neighborhood in Baghdad known for its Sunni fundamentalism, guerillas detonated 4 bombs in quick succession, mainly targeting police and military. This set of attacks alone left 20 dead.

Another coordinated set of bombing attacks was carried out in Mada'in near Baghdad, where an initial explosion was set off as bait to attact peolice and army troops, then when they arrived they were targeted with bombs. These attacks killed 13.

Guerrillas stressed their ability to strike all over the country, also hitting targets in Baquba, Irbil, Basra and elsewhere. (Irbil is in the far northern Kurdish region, Basra a largely Shiite city in the far south.

On another front, Adnan Dulaimi, head of the Sunni Board of Pious Endowments, announced that one Sunni prayer leader was killed and 4 were arrested in separate incidents over the previous 24 hours. He said, "Shaikh Rahim Ali Jum`ah, prayer leader at the Nawfal Mosque in the village of Sakhr [an hour's drive north of Baghdad] was killed when a mortar shell landed on his house." He added that forces from the Interior Ministry and the National Guards carried out a campaign of arresting Sunni prayer leaders on Thursday, in Baghdad and its surroundings, in the course of which 4 were taken into custody.

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat says that the Journalists' Guild in Jordan has praised the "resistance" in Iraq for standing against "US military occupation" of that county. In all the worst case scenarios so far put forward, a future war between Shiite Iraqis and Sunni Jordan is the most under-rated.

In the US, a freedom of information request led the Pentagon to release photos of flag-draped coffins of US miitary personnel killed in Iraq. The Bush administration has gone to unprecedented lengths to keep such images out of the press. Indeed, it seems to me that Bush has violated the first amendment with these restrictions.
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Friday, April 29, 2005

Parliament Approves Cabinet
Interior Ministry goes to Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq


Al-Jazirah is reporting, early Friday morning, several car bombs in the al-Azamiyah and Salikh neighborhoods of Iraq, which killed at least 10 and wounded dozens.

The new Iraqi government was approved by parliament on Thursday, by 180 of 185 MPs in attendance. About a third of parliamentarians did not show up for the vote. These probably included the 39 remaining members of Iyad Allawi's Iraqiya List, which was not awarded any cabinet posts. The Sunni Arabs weren't happy, either, though they only have 17 seats anyway.

Ghazi al-Yawir, now a vice president, termed the cabinet "disappointing" and complained about its sectarian character. Tariq al-Hashimi of the Iraqi Islamic Party complained that the new cabinet did not represent Iraq and would not bring national reconciliation. (- Ash-Sharq al-Awsat). He said that none of the persons suggested for cabinet posts by the IIP had been chosen, and blasted the current cabinet line-up as "racist."

It turns out that the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) did get the Interior Ministry (domestic intelligence) in the new government. The new minister is Bayan Sulagh, whose nom de guerre is Bayan Jabr [not Jubur as CNN gave it].

Jabr barely escaped being assassinated on Wednesday. Knight Ridder wrote,

"Another attack on an Iraqi lawmaker was foiled Wednesday, authorities said. Bayan Jabr, said to be al Jaafari's top choice for interior minister, survived the attack on his home in the Shiite enclave of Kadhemiya. Jabr is a member of the Badr Brigade, the armed wing of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq - the dominant member of the Shiite alliance. A car tried to overrun the heavy security outside Jabr's home after sunset Wednesday, but guards shot at the driver and stopped the attack, said Hadi al Ameri, the commander of the Badr Brigade. Jabr was unharmed and the suspect was detained and turned over to police, he added. "


Jabr is originally Turkmen. He headed the Syrian and Lebanese offices of SCIRI in exile and served as its Political and Arab Affairs chief. It is possibly significant that Interior went to a political operative of SCIRI rather than to the paramilitary Badr Corps, which had been angling for the ministry itself. The Badr Corps fighters were trained by Iran's Revolutionary Guards.

Jabr's earlier activities can be seen in this Radio Free Europe/ Radio Liberty report from May, 2000:

' SCIRI TARGETS BAGHDAD PRESIDENTIAL PALACE. The Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) fired as many as nine Katyusha rockets at a presidential palace in the Al-Karkh district of Baghdad, killing a number of officials, according to Al-Jazirah Satellite Television on 13 May . . . "Al-Jazira" on 13 May interviewed Bayan Jabr, a member of the Central Committee of SCIRI in Beirut. He confirmed that the attack was a SCIRI operation and that the group which had undertaken it operates from the Al-Ahwar region. He also stressed that, despite Iraqi claims, civilians were not targeted in the attack, but instead targeted the Republican Guard and Special Forces, which recently "destroyed the Salin village in southern Iraq, where they killed more than 120 Iraqi citizens over three days." Bayan Jabr pointed out that the attack fell on the 20th anniversary "of the martyrdom of the nationalist and Islamic Iraqi figure Ayatollah Muhammad Baqir Al-Sadr." And he explained that the operation itself was part of operations carried out over the last three years targeting key regime figures, "starting with Udayy, Izzat Al-Duri, Muhammad Hamza Al-Zubaydi, and, finally, the presidential palace today." '


Bayan Jabr is clearly an old-time revolutionary deeply committed to SCIRI's paramilitary actions. I'd say there is likely to be some trepidation among Iraqi moderates about his now taking over Interior, which is a mixture of what in the US would be the FBI, Secret Service, and Homeland Security.

US troops searched Ramadi hospital Wednesday on hearing rumors that Abu Musab al-Zarqawi had been there.
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Thursday, April 28, 2005

US Soldier, 4 Policemen Killed in Afghanistan by Neo-Taliban

Resurgent Taliban forces attacked Afghan police and a US patrol on Wednesday, leaving one American soldier and 4 policemen dead.

CNN says the US has 18,000 troops in harm's way in Afghanistan as well as substantial NATO forces. Bin Laden and al-Zawahiri are at large. Parliamentary elections are due. The US was struck from there. It is a story.

The US media are not covering this story, and it is shameful. What is more shameful is what they are covering, essentially human-interest stories, with long stretches of valuable airtime wasted with bloviation on trivial legal maneuvers. I looked at the transcripts in Lexis, and there is virtually no mention of Afghanistan except on the drug issue. This is shameful and the US public should demand better coverage of Afghanistan as long as we have that many troops there.

Afghannews.net is a good place to follow the story. You'll note there that the neo-Taliban stormed a district HQ just recently.

For a US National Guard's experiences in Afghanistan, see Jean-Paul Borda's Blog.
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Racism in Israel

The increasing racial tension inside Israel is a worrisome development. But what really struck me is the Israeli government projection that in 2025 inside current Israeli borders, 30 percent of the population will be Arab, and only 70 percent Jewish. That's only twenty years from now, i.e. as near to us on the other side as Gorbachev becoming Premier of the Soviet Union was in the past. And if that is true in 2025, what will be the situation in 2050? What will happen if Russia's economy takes off and any substantial number of the one million Russian immigrants to Israel who came in the early 1990s (and about half of which were not Jewish) go back to Russia? Barring very major changes in population growth statistics or large-scale movements of people, don't you end up with a bi-national state in 50 years?

That is, is there an analogy between the Lebanese Christians, who went from a majority to only 40 percent during the past century, and the Jews in Israel? (Lebanese Christians became upscale, had smaller families, and emigrated abroad more frequently, whereas Shiites had large families and mostly stayed home.) There are about 100,000 self-reported Israelis in the US according to the 2000 census, and retention of new immigrants in Israel has fallen somewhat during the most recent Intifada. The likelihood of any further major Jewish population flows to Israel is low barring some global catastrophe. The likelihood of substantial Israeli-Arab emigration is also low, unless the Far Right implements its dreams of Transfer. The latter development, however, would end any chance of continued Israeli relations with Europe, economic, scientific and political, which would deeply hurt the Israelis.
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Iraqi Cabinet

More details of the new Iraqi cabinet are now out. The big and rather ominous surprise is that Ahmad Chalabi is the temporary Petroleum Minister. It has not in the past been easy to pry him out of positions once in them. And, in the past, whenever he has been around big money, a lot of it has mysteriously disappeared. Some are saying that at least he has the background to deal with foreign oil companies. But lots of Iraqis have such a background. The point is that Chalabi doesn't know anything about the petroleum industry and also has a poor business reputation to put it lightly.

I wonder if this appointment was a sop to the more secular-leaning members of the United Iraqi Alliance, who must have been extremely alarmed that the fundamentalist Fadila Party was making a bid for petroleum minister. It should be remembered that in contemporary Iraq, as in Jacksonian America, cabinet posts are sources of patronage and wealth, since there is a sort of spoils system. Chalabi will place his Iraqi National Congress members throughout the ministry.

It seems clear that Jaafari was in fact unable to form a complete cabinet, and punted by leaving several cabinet positions open, leaving final negotiations with the Sunni Arab faction, e.g., to the future.

CNN gives the posts this way:


"Top jobs

# Prime minister: Ibrahim al-Jaafari, Shiite Arab

# Deputy prime minister: Rowsch Shaways, Kurd

# Deputy prime minister: Ahmed Chalabi, Shiite Arab

# Two deputy prime minister posts: unfilled.

Shiites

# Interior minister: Baqir Jabbur

# Construction and housing minister: Jassim Jaafar

# Finance minister: Ali Allawi

# Education minister: Abdul Falah Hassan

# Higher education minister: Sami al-Mudhaffar

# Health minister: Abdul Mottalib Ali

# Agriculture minister: Ali al-Bahadli

# Justice minister: Abdul Hussein Shandal

# Minister of transport: Salam al-Maliki

# Migration and displacement minister: Suhaila Jaafar, female

# Minister of state for national security affairs: Abdul Karim al-Inizy

# Minister of state for civil community affairs: Alaa Kadhim

# Minister of state for tourism and archaeology affairs: Hashim al-Hashimi

# Minister of state for national assembly affairs: Safa al-Din al-Safi

Kurds

# Foreign minister: Hoshyar Zebari

# Planning and development cooperation minister: Barham Salih

# Communications minister: Jwan Maasoum, female

# Labor and social affairs minister: Idris Hadi

# Water resources minister: Abdul Latif Rashid

# Municipalities and public works minister: Nasreen Berwari, female

# Environmental minister, Narmin Othman, female

Sunni Arabs

# Trade minister: Abdul Bassit Mawloud

# Culture minister: Nouri Farhan al-Rawi

# Minister of state for women affairs: Azhar al-Sheikhli, female

# Minister of state for provinces affairs: Saad al-Hardan

Christian

# Science and technology minister: Bassima Boutros, female

Turkmen

# Youth and sports minister: Talib Aziz Zayni

Temporary positions

# Acting defense minister: al-Jaafari (expected to go to a Sunni)

# Acting electricity minister: Shaways (expected to go to a Shiite)

# Acting oil minister: Chalabi (expected to go to a Shiite)

# Acting human rights minister: Othman

# Acting industry and minerals minister: Muslih al-Jubburi, a Sunni."


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New Cabinet

Al-Hayat says that Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani had pressed for 10 of the cabinet posts in the new government of Ibrahim Jaafari to go to Sunni Arabs. In the end, only 6 did, with 8 for the Kurds and some 16 or 17 (reports differ) for Shiites. Some 7 are women.

Al-Hayat was told by insiders that the negotiations with the Sunni Arabs were made more difficult because they insisted on an end to debaathification and the adoption of a stronger Arab nationalist line by the new government. Apparently two possible candidates for minister of defense, which went to the Sunni Arabs, were dropped because of Shiite suspicions that they had Baath party links.

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat says that there are 32 cabinet members, while wire service reports give as many as 36. SA identifies some cabinet members, which other sources do not:
Bayan Sulagh, Minister of Interior [Sulagh is a Turkmen and former minister of housing, and I'd be shocked if he was really given Interior, which the Badr Organization wanted); Ali Abdul Amir Allawi, Finance; Ra`d al-Haris, Electricity; Abdul Falah al-Sudani, Education; Sami al-Muzaffar, Higher Education; Abdul Mutallib al-Rubai`i, Health; Abdul Husain Shandal, Justice; Salam Awdah al-Maliki, Transportation; Suhail Abid Jaafar al-Faili [Kurdish Shiite], Immigrants and Immigration; Talib `Aziz, Youth and Sports; Abdul Karim al-Anizi [Islamic Dawa], National Security; Hashim al-Hashimi, Provincial Affairs; Alaa al-Safi, Parliamentary Affairs; Ali al-Bahadili, Agriculture; Hushyar Zibari, Foreign Ministry; Latif Rashid, Water; Abd al-Basit Turki, Trade; Bakhtiar Amin, Human Rights; Narmin Uthman, Labor and Social Affairs; Javan Fuad Masoum, Communications; Nasrin Barwari, Municipalities and Public Works; Fadil Abbas, Housing and Reconstruction. Jaafari's choices for a number of ministries, especially those to be filled by Sunni Arabs, still have not been announced or discovered by the press. Some ministries, such as petroleum, remain controversial, and may be filled by an interim appointment until the issue can be resolved (the Sadrist Fadila Party wants the petroleum ministry).
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Iraq News Round-Up

Guerrillas assassinated an Iraqi female member of parliament Wednesday, women's rights activist Lamia Abid Khadduri Sakri. Al-Zaman says she was a member of the Iraqiya List of Iyad Allawi, which is dominated by secularists and ex-Baathists. Earlier, failed assassination attempts were made against Iyad Allawi and Mishaan Juburi, both of whom are MPs. There is no specification in the interim constitution as to how a vacant seat is to be filled. The Iraqi press had earlier reported at least on resignation by an MP, so there appear now only to be 273.

Not only are deaths from terrorism way up in 2004, but Iraq alone topped the terrorism charts compared to the year before.

There are still 400 guerrilla strikes a week in Iraq.

Al-Zaman: President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt said Wednesday that he expects violence to go on in Iraq for some time, in part because of the country's ethnic diversity. He advised the Americans to withdraw their troops from the cities to outposts in the desert. Mubarak maintained that the US dissolution of the Iraqi army had been a "true national catastrophe."

Amnesty International says that, incredibly enough, torture and abuse of prisoners has continued in Iraq even during the past year after the Abu Ghraib revelations: 'In February, three men died in custody after being arrested at a police checkpoint, the rights body said. The bodies "were found three days later, bearing clear marks of torture from beatings and electric shocks", it said. '

The number of babies born in Iraq with birth defects has risen by 20 percent in the past two years. Iraqi physicians are blaming the increase on pollution and on depleted uranium shells used by the US military and still unrecovered in the Iraqi south. (My scientist contacts suggest to me that the pollution explanation is plausible, the uranium one not.)

Sunni-Shiite tensions and violence are increasing daily in Iraq.

Many US bureaucrats in the Coalition Provisional Authority did not bother to do proper paperwork when giving out contracts to civilian contractors. The new Iraqi government is baulking at the big bills being presented, provoking at least one major riot.

Now their physicians are fleeing abroad.


Al-Hayat also says that Najaf governor As`ad Abu Kalal is continuing to press Sunni clerics to condemn openly the terrorist attacks on Shiites. He said that the Shiite tribes of the Middle Euphrates are perfectly capable to raising levies to deal with the (Sunni Arab) terrorists, but have been restrained by the Shiite religious leaders so far.

Meanwhile, the head of the Sunni pious endowments office has called for a national conference in which Iraqis would pledge never to take the lives of other Iraqis.

Helena Cobban's weblog has had a number of excellent Iraq-related entries recently. She is always worth reading.

Tidbits from BBC World Monitoring of the Iraqi Press April 27:


"Al-Manarah dated 26 April publishes on page 3 a 150-word report citing Habib al-Khatib, Al-Sistani speaker in Kut, as saying that Ali al-Sistani has called on all Iraqis to resist attempts fuelling sectarian sedition in Iraq . . ."

"Al-Dustur publishes on the front page a 100-word report citing Mufid al-Jaza'iri, outgoing Cultural Minister demanding th[at] Iraqi academics [be able] to participate in the drafting of the constitution . . ."

"Al-Zaman publishes on page 2 a 200-word report stating that approximately 300 people staged a demonstration in front of the headquarters of the Dhi Qar Governorate Administration, demanding the inclusion of a newly formed commandos' brigade by the Interior Ministry in the governorate . . ."

"Al-Bayan publishes on page 2 a 100-word report citing an official source at the Health Ministry as saying that the rate of cancer patients in Iraq has increased to 7,000 patients a year as a result of war-related radiation . . . "

"Al-Dustur publishes on page 17 a 2,000-word report on the lack of medicines in most pharmacies. The report adds that while many medicines, including those for chronic diseases were not available in governmental hospitals and pharmacies, they were being sold on the streets without medical prescriptions.

Al-Mashriq publishes on page 4 a 100-word report stating that medical sources had revealed some cases of serious skin disease in Baghdad.

Al-Mashriq publishes on page 4 a 100-word report saying that 12 private pharmacies and eight laboratories in Baghdad and other governorates had been closed by the Ministry of Health as they did not adhere to the prescribed rules and conditions and also because they were involved in the sale of medicines that had been smuggled out of government hospitals.

"Al-Mada publishes on page 3 a 1,000-word report commenting on the bad condition of Al-Sadr city. The report says that unemployment, which has reached 60%, is one of the major problems facing the residents of the city, and this has created circumstances for increase in crime and terrorism . . ."

" Al-Furat publishes on page 5 a 1,300-word article by Ghalib al-Rikabi entitled "The Oppressive Democracy in New Iraq." The article strongly criticizes the electoral system that was adopted in the election for the transitional assembly which was designed to serve the interests of the political parties rather than those of the Iraqi people. The writer says that for example, Basra Governorate, where 2.7 million Iraqis live, is represented by a single member in the assembly who was elected because he belongs to a certain political party . . ."

"Al-Furat publishes on page 5 a 700-word article by Abd-al-Fattah Fayid strongly criticizing the clearing US Army commanders in Iraq who were involved in the mistreatment of the Iraqi detainees by the US . . ."

"Ishraqat al-Sadr runs on page 3 a 1,200-word letter delivered by Muqtada al-Sadr to the Iraqi university students, calling on them to "stick to Islamic principles and not be deluded by political games."

Ishraqat al-Sadr publishes on page 3 a 1,500-word article by Rasim al-Marwani criticizing those who "hate" the Al-Sadr Trend followers. The writer says that the Al-Sadr Trend followers are "loyal, honest, and brave Iraqis," adding that the people who hate them, including those who are great religious authorities, are "full of spite and envy."

Ishraqat al-Sadr carries on page 6 a 1,500-word article by Dr Adil Rida discussing the "ability" of the Al-Sadr Trend to spread "awareness" among Iraqis and "enlighten" them on the "US conspiracy against Islam and Iraq."

Ishraqat al-Sadr runs on page 6 a 400-word unattributed article saying that the West is working to spread "corruption and love of sensuality" among Muslims and others, in order to "neutralize" religious outlook and hence dominate the nations of the world . . ."

' Al-Mada publishes on the back page a 600-word article by Adil al-Amil who strongly criticizes a National Assembly women member who made a statement to the Free Iraqi Radio saying: "It is better for the Iraqi woman to stay at home and not to go out to work as this will cause an increase in her expenses on clothes and transportation." The writer sarcastically says that "it seems that this member will do her work at the National Assembly from home." '


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Abu Muslim Rebels Against al-Mansur

When we left the story, it was perhaps late 754, and a conflict was brewing between the second caliph of the Abbasid dynasty, al-Mansur, and his minister, the old revolutionary Abu Muslim. Al-Mansur had his seat in Anbar in Iraq about a decade before the founding of Baghdad. He also ruled what is now Iran, including its eastern reaches of Khurasan (stretching into what is now Uzbekistan and Central Asia, as well as parts of Afghanistan).

Al-Mas'udi, a later historian and traveler who grew up in Baghdad ("the Herodotus of the Arabs"), tells the rest of the tale:



When he had resolved to revolt against Al-Mansur, Abu Muslim left Iraq, and set out for Khurasan [eastern Iran, as governor]; while on his part Al-Mansur left Anbar, and encamped near the city of Rumiyah. From thence he sent the following message to Abu Muslim: "I wish to consult you on matters which can not be confided to a letter; come here, and I shall not detain you long."

Abu Muslim read the letter, but would not go. Al-Mansur then sent to him Jarir, son of Yazid, the most accomplished diplomat of his time, who had already made the acquaintance of Abu Muslim in Khurasan.

When Jarir came into Abu Muslim's presence, he addressed him as follows: "My lord, you have fought hitherto faithfully for the Abbasids (Al-Mansur's family); why should you now turn against them? No information has reached the Caliph which should inspire you with any sort of fear; you have really, in my belief, no reason to pursue this line of conduct."

Abu Muslim was on the point of promising to return with him, when one of his intimates pressed him not to do so. "My friend," the chief answered him, "I can resist the suggestions of the devil, but not those of a man like this." And in fact Jarir did not cease his persuasions till he had induced him to proceed to the Caliph.

Abu Muslim had consulted astrologers, who told him that he was to destroy a dynasty, create a dynasty, and be slain in the land of Rum [Rome, i.e. the Byzantine Empire]. Al-Mansur was then at Rumaiyat al-Mada’in, a place founded by one of the Persian kings, and Abu Muslim never suspected that he should meet with his death there, as he fancied that it was Asia Minor which was meant by the oracle. On entering into Al-Mansur's presence, he met with a most favorable reception, and was then told to retire to his tent;

But the Caliph only waited a favorable opportunity to take him unawares. Abu Muslim then rode a number of times to visit Al-Mansur, whose manner appeared less cordial than before. At last he went to the palace one day, and, being informed that the Caliph was making his ablutions prior to his prayers, sat down in an antechamber. In the meanwhile Al-Mansur had posted some persons behind a curtain near to the sofa where Abu Muslim was sitting, with the orders not to appear 'till the Caliph clapped his hands. On this signal they were to strike off Abu Muslim's head.

Al-Mansur then took his seat on the throne, and Abu Muslim, being introduced, made his salutation, which the Caliph returned. Al-Mansur then permitted him to sit, and, having commenced the conversation, proceeded to level sundry reproaches against him. "You have done this," said he, "and you have done that."

"Why does my lord speak so to me," replied Abu Muslim, "after all my efforts and services?"

"Son of a prostitute!" exclaimed Al-Mansur, "you owe your success to our own good fortune. Had an Abyssinian slave been in your place, she would have done as much as you! Was it not you who sought to obtain in marriage my aunt, Aasiya, pretending indeed that you were a descendant of Salit, the son of Abdallah Ibn Abbas? You have undertaken, infamous wretch to rise to a level you cannot reach.”

On this Abu Muslim seized him by the hand, which he kissed and pressed, offering excuses for his conduct; but Al-Mansur shouted: "May God not spare me if I spare you!" He then clapped his hands, on which the assassins rushed out upon Abu Muslim and cut him to pieces with their swords, Al-Mansur exclaiming all the time: "God cut your hands off, rascals! Strike!"

On receiving the first blow Abu Muslim said: "Commander of the Faithful, spare me that I may be useful against your enemies."

The Caliph replied: "May God never spare me if I do! Where have I a greater enemy than you?"

When Abu Muslim was slain, his body was rolled up in a carpet, and soon after Al-Mansur's general, Jafar Ibn Hanzala, entered.

"What think you of Abu Muslim?" the Caliph said to him.

"Commander of the Faithful," answered the other, "if you have ever the misfortune to pull a single hair out of his head, there is no resource for you but to kill him, and to kill him, and to kill him again."

"God has given you understanding," replied Al-Mansur: "here he is in the carpet."

On seeing him dead, Hanzala said: "Commander of the Faithful, count this as the first day of your reign."

Al-Mansur then recited this verse: "He threw away his staff of travel, and found repose after a long journey." After this he turned toward the persons present, and recited these lines over the prostrate body: "You pretended that our debt to you could never be paid! Receive now your account in full, O Abu Mujrim [father of the criminal]. Drink of that draught which you so often served to others---a draught more bitter to the throat than gall." '


Abu Muslim was killed in A.D. 755.

This story of the perfidious minister, Abu Muslim, who plots against his master, the ruler of Iraq, but is found out and destroyed by his sovereign, reminds me of the saga of Paul Bremer and Ahmad Chalabi.

Both Abu Muslim (d. 755) and Chalabi were revolutionaries. Abu Muslim helped overthrow the Umayyad kingdom (which ruled most of the Middle East, including what is now Iraq). Chalabi helped overthrow the Baath regime in Iraq. The early Abbasids ruled both what is now Iraq and what is now Afghanistan, and so does George W. Bush (the last ruler to have both, briefly, was Nadir Shah of Iran, d. 1749).

Paul Bremer inherited Chalabi from the Pentagon and the Garner ORHA operation, but clearly did not like him and mistrusted him. Likewise, al-Mansur had inherited Abu Muslim from his elder brother, al-Saffah.

Chalabi appears to have given the Iranians intelligence on American Iraq and to have undermined Bremer in some ways. Finally, in spring of 2004, Bremer struck. Chalabi's house was searched and he was accused of espionage for the Iranians.

Bremer, however, was no al-Mansur. He was ultimately unable to destroy Chalabi. Indeed, Bremer was forced to flee Iraq for his life on June 28, 2004. Chalabi gradually maneuvered to get the charges against him dismissed, and allied with the religious Shiites. He has now emerged as a powerful parliamentarian. Bremer is gone, and Chalabi is still standing.

Chalabi turns out to be more politically astute than was Abu Muslim, another old-time revolutionary with links to Iran.

[Note the familiar place names. Abu Muslim had fought a campaign in Basra against a rebel. Al-Mansur is at Anbar, then moves to Mada'in (Madaen), the place where the Shiite hostages were allegedly taken recently. Mada'in had been the site of the ancient city of Ctesiphon, a Persian capital when Iran had what is now Iraq under the Sasanid dynasty before the rise of Islam.]
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Wednesday, April 27, 2005

Guest Comment: "Bush is Lying" by Kevin McMillan

Kevin McMillan of Columbia University writes:


"I'd suggest a friendly amendment to today's post on many Americans' view that President Bush actively lied to them about WMD in Iraq. You appear to be trying to offer an "interpretation" of that view that "makes sense" of it. This isn't necessary, however. They are reporting their view that Bush and his Administration lied to them, and they would be entirely right.

"It is a simple, incontrovertible and easily demonstrable fact that the Bush Administration carried out a massive and systematic campaign of deception with respect to its case for war in Iraq and with respect to alleged WMDs in particular. Administration officials, and indeed Bush himself, engaged over and over again in:

"(1) outright lies (even in the "lawyer's" sense of the term);

"(2) serious distortions and deliberate obfuscations with respect to known facts and existing evidence;

"(3) claims which strictly/literally were true but which were crafted with a deliberate intent to deceive and to suggest something quite different;

"(4) deliberate omission of critical information when presenting claims (information that would seriously undermine the force of those claims);

"(5) deliberate ambiguity about verb-tense in order to create a false impression that current facts were being referred to when in fact only long-past ones -- invariably pre-1991 -- were;

"(6) false assertions of certainty about matters that were anything but certain (in many cases highly controversial or purely speculative);

"(7) deliberate and systematic misrepresentation of others' claims (most notably UNSCOM and UNMOVIC reports);

"(8) unequivocal assertions about matters for which no evidence was ever provided; and so on and on.

"I would be happy to provide myriad examples of each of these and more. And none of this has anything to do with that favourite excuse of war apologists, "bad intelligence" -- of which of course there was tons, most of it served up by Iraqi "defectors" coached by the Iraqi National Congress (and Allawi's Iraqi National Accord).

"Unfortunately, the "mainstream media" (!!) is both unwilling and unable -- out of ignorance, for example, of technical matters regarding WMD or of the history of weapons inspections in Iraq -- to come out and say this. Equally unfortunately, the "alternative media", while more than willing, shares this ignorance. The result is that -- incredibly -- more than two years afterward people are still able to get away with the claim that the Bush Administration didn't actually *lie* in making its case for war in Iraq (it only, as people like to say, "exaggerated" or "sexed up" their case).

"One salient exception to all of this is the series of impeccable analyses produced by Dr. Glen Rangwala of Cambridge University, the person known for exposing the UK government's "dodgy dossier" and for releasing the leaked transcript of Hussein Kamel's 1995 interview with UNSCOM. His meticulously informed and rigorous work on allegations about WMD in Iraq is available online at:

Iraq Weapons

and

Writings

"There's no need to play softball with this Administration. Its case for war was fraudulent or ludicrous in virtually every respect, and so many of its deceptions were demonstrably so at the time they were made.

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Talabani Fears Baath Military
Pentagon: No Military Progress in Iraq in Past Year


Jalal Talabani told al-Hayat that he feared that the concerns among the Shiite religious parties about Sunni Arab cabinet ministers being completely free of any Baath association would cause the baby to be thrown out with the bath water. It is this issue of vetting the Sunni Arab ministers that appears to have delayed the finalization of the cabinet, along with continued Sunni Arab demands for some important ministries. Talabani warned against any purge of ex-Baathists, pointing out that there there are a million and a half Baathists in Iraq. He said it was important to distinguish between ordinary party members and the Baath military. The latter had to be kept away from the levers of power, he said, lest it make another coup similar to the one in 1968.

Talabani also warned that for foreign troops to be withdrawn at this point risked provoking civil war. He insisted that Iraq is not occupied.

Al-Hayat also says that the Sadr Movement has charged Iyad Allawi with implementing "an American game" in attempting to obstruct the formation of a government. Ahmad al-Qurayshi, head of the higher council for the Sadrists, told al-Hayat that "the goal of Allawi is to rob the Shiite alliance in order to make them withdraw the names of cabinet ministers who are not liked in Washington."

A high-ranking member of the Shiite Dawa Party told the newspaper that he intended to resort to "demonstrations and a popular uprising to force the formation of a government if the Americans continued to intervene behind the scenes to derail the process."

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat reports that the Fadila bloc in the United Iraqi Alliance (the Shiite religious parties) is extremely upset at attempts to deny them any ministries. Fadila is loyal to the memory of Muhammad Sadiq al-Sadr, but led by Shaikh Muhammad Yaqubi, a rival of Muqtada al-Sadr (the son of the movement's founder). Fadila has 28 seats in parliament and wants the lucrative ministry of petroleum. The party also wants the ministry of provincial affairs (Sadrists control Basra, Maysan and perhaps Wasit provinces, in all of which they did well in the Jan. 30 polls for provincial councils). It is rumored that Ibrahim Jaafari rejected the Fadila candidate for oil minister, Karim Khattab, on the grounds that he is unqualified for the post. Fadila maintains that he has college degrees and is a specialist in the petroleum industry. It was rumored that Jaafari would meet Tuesday evening with Abdul Aziz al-Hakim (leader of the United Iraqi Alliance) and Nadim al-Jabiri, the secretary-general of the Fadila Party, about Fadila's candidate for oil minister.

The Dawa Party's Ali al-Adib told the newspaper that the Kurds have now given up trying to get Iyad Allawi into the new government. He will therefore lead an opposition party in parliament, of 40 MPs and may form a shadow government (as the opposition often does in parliamentary systems).

I found the admission by Gen. Richard Myers on Tuesday that the number of attacks in Iraq was about 50 to 60, and was about the same as in April of 2004. It should be remembered that in April of 2004, Iraq was in flames, and there was heavy fighting going on between US forces and the Mahdi Army, as well as an aborted action at Fallujah. It is still like that? On NPR, I heard Rumsfeld try to suggest that things are pretty good in Iraq, given that the US forces have for the most part stopped even engaging the guerrillas and have turned to training Iraqi forces instead. He said what? The US troops probably can't carry out any big missions against the guerrillas, because the new Iraqi government would not put up with another Fallujah-type operation. So apparently they are just fighting a holding action while Gen. Petraeus frantically tries to stand up an Iraqi army (which would probably take at least 5 years). If Myers and Rumsfeld were trying to reassure us, they dismally failed, at least in my case.
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"Bush is a Liar": 50% of Americans

Gallup has found that half of Americans believe that President George W. Bush actively lied to them about Iraq's possession of weapons of mass destruction in the year leading up to the Iraq War.

I am sure that Bush & Co. exercised poor judgment, jumped to conclusions, exaggerated threats on the basis of thin evidence. All that is well documented. But it seems to me remarkable that so many in the public think they actively lied.

It is easy to see why the public so concludes.

Tuesday's addendum to the Duelfer report concludes that there not only were no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, but that the rumors put around by the Bush administration and by Fox Cable News that the WMD was sent to Syria are unsubstantiated. (By this point in the story, we may take that to mean flatly "false," or perhaps "lies.") I never thought the Syria story made any sense. You can't truck off thousands of tons of chemical weapons to Syria without being observed (we do have satellites that take a pretty good picture). And the Iraqi nuclear program was dismantled by the UN inspectors from 1991. There's no evidence of a biological weapons program after about 1995. So what exactly was transported to Syria? It was just a pretext put about by the crowd that wants American boys to die fighting in Syria for some vague geopolitical or economic goal (or just to give Ariel Sharon the elbow room to annex ever more Arab territory).

And, we all remember the false claims about Iraqi uranium purchases in Niger, based on documents some intelligence professionals believe were forged in the United States by persons with a close relationship to Italian military intelligence. That story was false, and even George Tenet told the White House he would not sign off on it. But Bush and his people clearly wanted to put it before the American public. If they weren't lying, they were at the least reckless with regard to the truth.

The Bush team clearly came into office having decided on having a war. Indeed, Bush told Osama Siblani in a hotel room in Troy, Michigan, in May of 2000 that he was going to get Saddam. So he came in with this plan, and former Secretary of the Treasury Paul O'Neill thought that Cheney and others in the administration did, as well.


"And what happened at President Bush's very first National Security Council meeting is one of O'Neill's most startling revelations. “From the very beginning, there was a conviction, that Saddam Hussein was a bad person and that he needed to go,” says O’Neill, who adds that going after Saddam was topic "A" 10 days after the inauguration - eight months before Sept. 11. “From the very first instance, it was about Iraq. It was about what we can do to change this regime,” says Suskind. “Day one, these things were laid and sealed.” As treasury secretary, O'Neill was a permanent member of the National Security Council. He says in the book he was surprised at the meeting that questions such as "Why Saddam?" and "Why now?" were never asked. "It" was all about finding a way to do it. That was the tone of it. The president saying ‘Go find me a way to do this,’" says O’Neill. “For me, the notion of pre-emption, that the U.S. has the unilateral right to do whatever we decide to do, is a really huge leap.” And that came up at this first meeting, says O’Neill, who adds that the discussion of Iraq continued at the next National Security Council meeting two days later. He got briefing materials under this cover sheet. “There are memos. One of them marked, secret, says, ‘Plan for post-Saddam Iraq,’" adds Suskind, who says that they discussed an occupation of Iraq in January and February of 2001.


I think this is what the public means when they report that Bush lied. They know that there was a pre-existing policy, and that the administration cut and pasted the evidence to push that policy.

The question is whether the increasing lack of trust in Bush's veracity, in his ability to handle Iraq (54% say he can't), in his domestic policies such as social security privatization, etc., will cost him control of the Senate in 2006. The tide is beginning to run in that direction.
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Postcript on Blogging

Matthew Haughey says his posting about being tired of seeing the phrase "mainstream media" used by bloggers was "tongue-in-cheek" and that we should "unclench." I should say that I think Matthew's work at metafilter and his postings are thought provoking and progressive and I am grateful for them, and I meant nothing personal at all in my own critique of his insistence that there is no distinction between the MSM and bloggers. We academics are used to debating ideas without (usually) taking it personally, so I hope he understands that I was just responding to a posting, not to him. And, for my purposes, it doesn't matter how serious he was, since the view expressed is widespread and needs to be interrogated. It is about the ideas. Still friends?
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History of Baghdad: Abu Muslim and al-Mansur

It is actually quite odd that despite the United States being in military occupation of Baghdad, there doesn't seem to be much interest among Americans in . . . Baghdad.

I thought it might be nice to have some entries on its history and glories from time to time.

The first story I will tell is about the conflict between the Abbasid Caliph Abu Ja`far al-Mansur (who founded Baghdad) and the Persian revolutionary Abu Muslim. (A caliph was sort of a mixture of a pope and an emperor).

The first Muslim empire after the reign of the four Orthodox Caliphs (632-661) was actually an Arab kingdom, that of the Umayyads. The Damascus-based Umayyads were overthrown by a revolution that began in eastern Iran (Khurasan) in the late 740s, a revolution that brought the new dynasty of the Abbasids to power. The Abbasids claimed descent from the uncle of the Prophet Muhammad, Abbas. They made what is now Iraq their base, and founded the round city of Baghdad, one of the great capitals of the medieval world.

The Medieval Sourcebook has put up an early translation of some of al-Mas`udi's chronicle of this period, and I have slightly cleaned up and modified the text.


Abu Muslim was one of the chief generals of As-Saffah, Al-Mansur's brother and predecessor.

On his accession [to the throne in Iraq in 754 A.D.], al-Mansur became jealous of Abu Muslim's great power and influence, but sent him notwithstanding to put down a revolt raised by Abdallah, the son of Ali. After several battles, Abdallah fled and took refuge in Basra, the whole of his camp and treasure falling into the hands of Abu Muslim.

Al-Mansur sent Yaqtin bin Musa to take charge of the treasure. On appearing before Abu Muslim, Yaqtin said to him: "Peace be to you, Emir!"

"A plague on you, son of a prostitute!" answered the general. "They can use me to shed my blood, but not to guard a treasure."

"My lord," answered the messenger, "what has put such thoughts into your head?"

"Has not your master," answered Abu Muslim, "sent you to confiscate all the treasure which has come into my possession?"

"May my wife be divorced forever," said the Caliph's agent, "if he has not sent me simply and solely to congratulate you upon your victory and success!"

On these words Abu Muslim embraced him and made him sit by his side. Notwithstanding this, however, when he had bidden him farewell, he said to his officers: "By Allah! I know this man will divorce his wife, simply out of fidelity to his master."


This first story shows the distrust and jealousies that plagued the new caliph and the retainer he inherited from his brother, as-Saffah. It has often been the case that the qualities that make for a good revolutionary are not those that make for a great bureaucrat. Abu Muslim comes across as ambitious and paranoid, guaranteeing that he would come into conflict with al-Mansur. Al-Mansur trusts him with an important mission-- putting down a rebellion by Abdallah bin Ali and chasing the latter down to Basra. But Abu Muslim feels insecure and is unsure the sultan will actually allow him to share in the treasure he has recovered.
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Tuesday, April 26, 2005

Unbreaking News

Just saw al-Jazeerah's evening news and now they are reporting that there has been a last-minute glitch in Jaafari's presentation of his cabinet to the presidency council.

The presidency council is President Jalal Talabani (Kurd), VP Adil Abdul Mahdi (Shiite) and VP Ghazi al-Yawir (Sunni Arab). Al-Yawir is apparently dissatisfied with the final Sunni Arab participation in the parliament, and wants some specific ministries for the Sunni Arabs, including Education, which had not been reserved for them.

The cabinet has to be approved by all three members of the presidency council, so al-Yawir can hold it up.

This dynamic, of the three presidents, each representing one of the major ethnic groups, was set up by the Bush administration, and it is having predictable effects. It has allowed the religious Shiites to cut the minority secular Shiites out of the deal, since they don't have a representative on the presidency council.

I suspect the hold-up is fairly temporary. But maybe Condi Rice should call Ghazi al-Yawir, too, just to be on the safe side.
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Breaking News: Jaafari presents Cabinet to Talabani

The Scotsman reports that prospective Prime Minister Ibrahim Jaafari has presented his cabinet to President Jalal Talabani. Jaafari, a religious Shiite from the Dawa Party, gave 17 cabinet posts to Shiites, including the sensitive one of Interior (which includes domestic intelligence). Sunni Arabs will get the Ministry of Defense and a vice-premiership, as well as at least 3 other cabinet posts. Ex-Baathists among the Sunni Arabs have been excluded.

The president and his two vice presidents (these are Kurdish leader Jalal Talabani, Sunni Arab Ghazi al-Yawir, and Shiite member of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq, Adil Abdul Mahdi) will now approve the cabinet. If they give the go-ahead, Jaafari will submit it for a vote in parliament. He needs a 2/3s majority or about 182 votes in the 275-member parliament. The Shiite list has about 145 and the Kurds have 77, so they alone can approve the government if they like. (update: A reader just alleged to me that the new government requires only a simple majority in parliament. If so, and if the presidency council does not balk, Jaafari is assured of getting his government through.)

The al-Jazeerah crawl says that the three Sunni Arab members of the Shiite coalition, the United Iraqi Alliance, have resigned from the list. I presume that they were not given any high posts and are angry. The other Sunnis in parliament had declined to consider them legitimate representatives of the Sunni Arab community.

The NYT is now saying that Condi Rice called Massoud Barzani Sunday, not Jalal Talabani. Since the NYT had reported on Saturday that Barzani was trying to prevent Ibrahim Jaafari from becoming prime minister and attempting to install Iyad Allawi, Rice's call now makes some sense. She was ordering Barzani to knock it off. She knows that if Jaafari were shunted aside, the Shiites would come out into the streets in their hundreds of thousands. This lesson will have been impressed on her by Adil Abdul Mahdi, the new Shiite vice president of Iraq, who has been in Washington lately.

Cast of players:

Massoud Barzani: Leader of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, mainly based in Irbil in the far north. During the Kurdish mini-civil war of 1996, Barzani allied with Saddam Hussein and helped bring Baathist tanks north. Barzani was fighting Jalal Talabani's Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. The two have now made up, more or less.

Iyad Allawi: ex-Baathist and CIA asset who long attempted to organize former Baathists and Iraqi officers to overthrow Saddam. A secularist, he was installed as interim prime minister on June 28, 2004, by the US and the UN. His list only got 14% of the seats in parliament. Barzani and elements in the US government, including presumably the CIA, had been trying to install Allawi as continuing prime minister even though he had badly lost the Jan. 30, 2005 election. Allawi continues to champion ex-Baathists (especially in the new intelligence apparatus) and to warn of the dangers of Iran and of the pro-Iranian Shiite religious parties (who did win the election).

Ibrahim Jaafari is a physician and long-time member of the Dawa Party, a utopian Shiite religious revolutionary party with positive ties to Iran and to Lebanon's AMAL and Hizbullah Shiite parties. He is the new prime minister of Iraq, which is apparently driving Barzani and Allawi crazy.
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Negotiations on Government

Al-Zaman/ AFP /DPA says that the new Iraqi military exchanged fire with the Syrians Monday at the Iraqi-Syrian border. The outgoing Iraqi government had accused Syria of allowing guerrillas to infiltrate Iraq from its territory. Syria denied the allegations.

A huge fire broke out in the field of the giant Bay Hasan oil field.

Guerrillas struck at northern pipelines in Iraq on Monday, and killed a US serviceman with a roadside bomb northwest of Baghdad.

The Financial Times reports from Baghdad that the Shiite bloc, the United Iraqi Alliance, has agreed to give the Defense Ministry to the Sunni Arabs. A dispute remains as to whether Sunnis also get 5 other cabinet posts and a vice premiership, or whether they only get a total of 4 cabinet posts. AP says that the Sunni Arabs, for their part, have dropped a demand that ex-Baathists be given high posts (something to which the Dawa Party and the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq have pronounced themselves unalterably opposed).

Al-Zaman/ Reuters conveys to the Iraqi audience in Arabic the story from the New York Times that Secretary of State Condi Rice called up President Jalal Talabani and urged him to hurry up the process of forming a government. (Since the government has to be formed in conjunction with prime minister-designate Ibrahim Jaafari, Rice was probably calling the wrong person.) Al-Zaman quotes Dawa Party official Jawad al-Maliki as saying that there remained substantial disputes among Iraqi leaders over the formation of the government, despite US pressure. He said he thought the Sunni Arabs would end up with five or six cabinet posts, including Defense and Culture, as well as possibly a vice-premiership.

Maliki said that each list included in the government will put forward three names for each cabinet post that it is allotted, and Jaafari will choose the one he wants. He said much of the competition for posts at the moment is not between lists but within them. The Iraqiya List of Iyad Allawi appears most unlikely to form part of the government, Maliki said.

This wire service report suggests that the deliberations of the Iraqi parliament Monday were silly, concentrating on whether imported flour was too metallic, and on whether the Koran was being quoted exactly. Actually, the quality of flour and the precise quotation of the Koran might well be rather more important to most Iraqis than which Sunni Arab is appointed to be minister of sports.

It isn't really news, but the Christian Science Monitor reminds us that the road to the airport from downtown Baghdad is extremely dangerous. The supposed American manufacturers of Reality in other peoples' countries at the US embassy cannot travel it and have to be helicoptered in and out.

Earth to the Kansas City Star: They don't speak Arabic in Afghanistan.
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Mainstream Media and Bloggers

Matthew Haughey says he won't read our blogs if we use the term "mainstream media" (a.k.a. MSM).

A news flash for Matt: We don't care.

We don't care if you read our web logs.

The difference, Matt, is that we are independent actors, not part of a small set of multi-billion dollar corporations. The difference is that we are not under the constraints of making a 15% profit. The difference is that we are a distributed information system, whereas MSM is like a set of stand-alone mainframes. The difference is that we can say what we damn well please.

If we were the mainstream media (perhaps better thought of as corporate media), we would care if you threatened to stop reading us. Because although we might be professional news people, we would have the misfortune to be working for corporations that are mainly be about making money.

We would be ordered to try to avoid saying anything too controversial (and I don't mean "Crossfire" controversial), because we would be calculating what would bring in 15% profits per annum on our operating capital. Would hours and hours of television "reportage" and discussion of Michael Jackson or of Terri Schiavo or Scott Peterson (remember?) bring in viewers and advertising dollars? Then that is what we would be giving the public. Bread and circuses.

Would giving airtime to Iraq, where we Americans have 138,000 troops and are spending $300 billion that we don't have, be too depressing to bring in the audience and advertising and the 15% profit? Then we would dump it in favor of bread and circuses. We'd dump Afghanistan as a story even faster, since there are "only" 17,000 US troops in that country, and it is only a place where Ben Laden may be hiding out and from which the US was struck on 9/11, leaving 3,000 dead and the Pentagon and World Trade Center smouldering.

If we were the mainstream media as Ashleigh Banfield was, our careers would be over if we mentioned a little thing like the replacement of journalism with patriotism in the coverage of the Iraq War. Or if we said things like Ashley did of March-April 2003,

"You didn't see where those bullets landed. You didn't see what happened when the mortar landed. A puff of smoke is not what a mortar looks like when it explodes, believe me. There are horrors that were completely left out of this war. So was this journalism or was this coverage-? There is a grand difference between journalism and coverage, and getting access does not mean you're getting the story, it just means you're getting one more arm or leg of the story . . . I can't tell you how bad the civilian casualties were. I saw a couple of pictures. I saw French television pictures, I saw a few things here and there, but to truly understand what war is all about you've got to be on both sides. You've got to be a unilateral, someone who's able to cover from outside of both front lines, which, by the way, is the most dangerous way to cover a war, which is the way most of us covered Afghanistan. There were no front lines, they were all over the place. They were caves, they were mountains, they were cobbled, they were everything. But we really don't know from this latest adventure from the American military what this thing looked like and why perhaps we should never do it again. The other thing is that so many voices were silent in this war. We all know what happened to Susan Sarandon for speaking out, and her husband, and we all know that this is not the way Americans truly want to be. Free speech is a wonderful thing, it's what we fight for, but the minute it's unpalatable we fight against it for some reason."


If we were mainstream media we would be wholly owned subsidiaries of General Electric, the Disney Corporation, Time Warner, Rupert Murdoch, Viacom and so on and so forth. Ninety percent of cable channels are owned by the same companies that own the big television networks.

It isn't a matter of journalism being a business. How good journalism is when practiced in the service of a business depends on the owner's philosophy and economic goals. Ted Turner writes,

"When CNN reported to me, if we needed more money for Kosovo or Baghdad, we'd find it. If we had to bust the budget, we busted the budget. We put journalism first, and that's how we built CNN into something the world wanted to watch. I had the power to make these budget decisions because they were my companies. I was an independent entrepreneur who controlled the majority of the votes and could run my company for the long term. Top managers in these huge media conglomerates run their companies for the short term. After we sold Turner Broadcasting to Time Warner, we came under such earnings pressure that we had to cut our promotion budget every year at CNN to make our numbers. Media mega-mergers inevitably lead to an overemphasis on short-term earnings."


If we were the mainstream media, we would be accountable to CEOs and editors and advertisers, all of whom have motives for suppressing some pieces of news and highlighting others. You might think to yourself that this is a diverse enough group that the story would still get through. But with media consolidation, fewer and fewer persons make the decisions.

Turner adds:

"These big companies are not antagonistic; they do billions of dollars in business with each other. They don't compete; they cooperate to inhibit competition. You and I have both felt the impact. I felt it in 1981, when CBS, NBC, and ABC all came together to try to keep CNN from covering the White House. You've felt the impact over the past two years, as you saw little news from ABC, CBS, NBC, MSNBC, Fox, or CNN on the FCC's actions. In early 2003, the Pew Research Center found that 72 percent of Americans had heard "nothing at all" about the proposed FCC rule changes. Why? One never knows for sure, but it must have been clear to news directors that the more they covered this issue, the harder it would be for their corporate bosses to get the policy result they wanted. A few media conglomerates now exercise a near-monopoly over television news. There is always a risk that news organizations can emphasize or ignore stories to serve their corporate purpose. But the risk is far greater when there are no independent competitors to air the side of the story the corporation wants to ignore. More consolidation has often meant more news-sharing. But closing bureaus and downsizing staff have more than economic consequences. A smaller press is less capable of holding our leaders accountable. When Viacom merged two news stations it owned in Los Angeles, reports The American Journalism Review, "field reporters began carrying microphones labeled KCBS on one side and KCAL on the other." This was no accident. As the Viacom executive in charge told The Los Angeles Business Journal: "In this duopoly, we should be able to control the news in the marketplace." This ability to control the news is especially worrisome when a large media organization is itself the subject of a news story. Disney's boss, after buying ABC in 1995, was quoted in LA Weekly as saying, "I would prefer ABC not cover Disney." A few days later, ABC killed a "20/20" story critical of the parent company."


Matt thinks it matters that he and other bloggers have been on television, or that mainstream media now maintains blogs. Neither thing matters. Blogs operate in a different political economy than does mainstream media. Bloggers' "editors" are the readers and the Daily Kos and Eschaton commentators who use collective intelligence to improve them. Their motive is not the profit motive for the most part. Most bloggers are hobbyists.

So, yes, Matt. There is a difference between these little dog and pony shows we post from our homes, with no editor, no CEO, no boss, and no resources beyond our personal experiences, talent and acumen. If Josh Marshall's Talking Points Memo was published by mainstream media, would he still be allowed to say everything he now says? Would Tom Engelhardt be allowed to discuss the ways in which the Iraq quagmire suggests the limits of superpowerdom if he were working for the Big Six? If Bill Montgomery worked for The Weather Channel, would he be allowed to criticize Senator Rick Sanatarium for trying to keep Federal forecasters from "competing" with private weather forecasting companies? Would Riverbend be allowed to be so incisive if she worked for a big Iraqi computer firm? Remember the famous question, "Can blogging get you fired?"

And this difference, my friends, accounts for why bloggers get vilified. Journalists can be switched to another story, or fired, or their stories can be buried on page 36. We can't be fired. So if Martin Peretz doesn't like what we have to say, he will publish a hatchet job on us in The New Republic, seeking to make us taboo. If you can't shut people up, and you really don't want their voices heard, then all you can do is try to persuade others not to listen to them or give them a platform. The easiest way to do this is to falsely accuse them of racism or Communism some other character flaw unacceptable to polite society. Because of the distributed character of blogging "computing," however, such tactics are probably doomed to fail.

We are not the mainstream media, and we are here. Get used to it.
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Badr Corps Will Accept Ex-Baathists

BBC Monitoring translates comments of Hadi al-Amiri in ash-Sharq al-Awsat for April 24:



April 25, 2005

HEADLINE: HEAD OF IRAQI SHI'I GROUP OFFERS UNITY TO EX-BA'THISTS

"The following is the text of the interview with Al-Amiri, conducted in Baghdad by Al-Sharq al-Awsat correspondent Huda Jasim, published by London-based newspaper Al-Sharq al-Awsat web site on 24 April:

[Al-Amiri]: We have supporters from all sections of the Iraqi people. We have Muslim, Christian, Kurdish, Shi'i, and Sunni followers. We achieved victories in elections for provincial councils. In Baghdad alone, we secured 700,000 votes and won 28 of the council's 51 seats . . .

With regard to the source of weapons, we negotiated with the Iranian government at the time and obtained weapons that were seized during the Iraq-Iran war . . .

Also, Iran provided support. It supported us when we were there. It also supported Jalal Talabani, Mas'ud Barzani, and everyone who needed support for their causes . . .

[Al-Amiri] We are not a military wing. Rather, we are a group of mujahidin against injustice. We were forced to resort to military means to rid ourselves of this injustice. The SCIRI serves as a framework of a group of parties and movements, and Badr is one of them.

Badr is a jihadist movement, not a military unit. There are doctors, engineers, university professors, and women who are members of this organization. Besides, we have women associations in all parts of Iraq. Our organization represents all sects, ethnic groups, and religions in Iraq . . .

We agreed to incorporate Badr forces into the army and police and other state agencies . . .

[Jasim] There are ongoing negotiations on who should take charge of the interior ministry. Some circles say that the most likely candidates for the post are Hadi al-Amiri and Bayan Jabr. What about these negotiations and how will you deal with the situation in Iraq amid these difficult circumstances?

[Al-Amiri] The interior ministry has been given to the coalition list. The coalition list insists that we take charge of the security issue in Iraq at this stage. Before taking this job, I say that the governors of six Iraqi provinces belong to the Badr organizations. These provinces are: Babil, Al-Qadisiyah, Al-Najaf, Karbala, Dhi Qar, and Al-Muthanna, in addition to the capital Baghdad.

Also, the Badr organization has a strong presence in most other Iraqi provinces . . .

[Jasim] And what about rooting out the Ba'th Party and liquidating its members?

[Al-Amiri] We support the dissolution of the Ba'th party. However, we never were against its members who were forced to join the party organizations. Through you, we announce that the doors are open for them to return to the Iraqi people. We should unite to defend the Iraqi people.

Anyone who committed a crime, be he a Ba'thist or non-Ba'thist, will be referred to the Iraqi judiciary that will rule on his case. We always say and repeat that we oppose acts of liquidation and support people's right to defend themselves. The door to repentance is always open to those who want to repent.

Source: Al-Sharq al-Awsat web site, London, in Arabic 24 Apr 05

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NYT Coverage of Palestinian Deaths Criticized

Alison Weir maintains that a statistical study of the New York Times's coverage of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict shows that the killing of Israeli children is highlighted and fully reported in a way that the killing of Palestinian children is not.
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Monday, April 25, 2005

4 Carbombings Kill 23, Wound at Least 80
2 US Troops Killed


Thomas Wagner of the Associated Press reports that on Sunday, guerrillas detonated 4 car bombs in Baghdad and Tikrit, leaving a trail of death and mayhem behind them. Wagner writes,


A vehicle packed with explosives was driven into a crowd gathered in front of a popular ice cream shop in Baghdad's western [Shiite] al-Shoulah neighborhood Sunday, police Maj. Mousa Abdul Karim said. Minutes later, as police and residents rushed to help the victims, a second suicide car bomber plowed into the crowd. At least 15 people were killed and 40 wounded. Shattered glass, pools of blood, and pieces of flesh littered the scene.

The bomb killed at least 11 and wounded 40.

In Tikrit, guerrillas exploded car bombs in front of a police academy, killing at least 6 and wounding 33.

Late reports put the total death toll for Sunday at 25, with over 100 wounded.

Knight Ridder reports on more aggressive military tactics among the guerrillas, including platoon-size attacks on US military facilities. See also on this subject This report in the Washington Post.

Allegations have been made on Iraqi television that some Shiites have been recruited by Zarqawi's Tawhid wa Jihad terrorist organization. Motivated by greed, they receive $1500 a month, a small fortune in contemporary Iraq, and have participated in bombings of their Shiite coreligionists. Ordinarily I take the Iraq television show trials with a large grain of salt, but this report seems credible to me. It should be remembered that 10% of the Phalangist militia in Lebanon in the 1970s consisted of poor Shiite footsoldiers who were in it for the money.
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Jaafari Decides to Exclude Allawi

Al-Zaman/ Reuters reports that prospective Prime Minister Ibrahim Jaafari has decided to give up attempting to form a government of national unity that would include the Iraqiya list of outgoing PM Iyad Allawi, which consists in significant part of secularist ex-Baathists. It has been reported that Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani had pressed vehemently for Allawi's inclusion in the new government. In the end, however, it appears to be the case that an essential difference of opinion has made it impossible. Jaafari and his Dawa Party are determined to purge ex-Baathists from the Interior Ministry, something Allawi was attempting to halt.

Adil Abdul Mahdi, an Iraqi vice president, has been in Washington for the past few days. This report says that US sources have revealed that he has been pressing the White House for permission to give the Ministry of the Interior to the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq (Abdul Mahdi's own party). Interior in Iraq is something like the FBI plus Homeland Security. Abdul Mahdi is said to have given the Americans assurances that SCIRI at Interior would not adopt policies that contradicted the security plans of the US military in Iraq.

I am told by a Washington contact that the SCIRI and Dawa representatives in Washington have indeed begun getting a warm reception at the White House, and that the Bush team is so pragmatic that they are willing to deal with these Shiite religious parties despite the concerns of some that they are too close to Iran.

The negotiations between Jaafari and the Sunni bloc led by Ghazi al-Yawir collapsed on Sunday. The Sunni Arabs began by demanding 10 ministries, but then said they would accept 7, with one of them being a central cabinet post such as Interior. Jaafari declined to offer them what they demanded. They then said they recognized Jaafari's right to form a government based on the Shiite majority in parliament rather than a government of national unity.

Likewise, al-Zaman says that the most recent round of negotiations between Jaafari and Allawi's Iraqiyah list also collapsed. Allawi will not serve in the new government nor will his bloc have any cabinet posts. Allawi did not confirm this news.

Another source told al-Zaman that the leaks to the press about parties being excluded were deliberate attempts to put pressure on one party or another. (This is my impression, as well).

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat/ DPA are reporting that Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani is insisting that Sunnis be included in the new government (a report coming via Muhammad Bahr al-Ulum, a former member of the Interim Governing Council).

Fareed Zakariya profiles Jaafari.

Actually, Shiite governments have ruled what is now Iraq in the past, including the Buyids and, in the South later on, the Musha`sha`. The Shiite Safavids ruled Iraq in the late 1500s and early 1600s under Shah Abbas. A mixed Sunni-Shiite government conquered and ruled Iraq under Nadir Shah in the mid-18th century.
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Sunday, April 24, 2005

Guerrillas Kill 16 in Iraq

Associated Press reports that a 'series of explosions shook the Iraqi capital Saturday. The deadliest was a roadside bomb that exploded near an Iraqi army convoy on the outskirts of Baghdad, killing nine soldiers and wounding 20 . . . The attack occurred near the Abu Ghraib prison . . ." Also, an explosion in Mosul left a cameraman dead among others.

Ellen Knickmeyer of the Washington Post reports, that the security situation is deteriorating in palpable ways. "In city after city . . . security forces who had signed up to secure Iraq and replace U.S. forces appear to have abandoned posts or taken refuge inside them for fear of attacks. ''We joined the police, and after this, the job became a way of committing suicide,'' said Jasim Khadar Harki, a 28-year-old policeman in Mosul, where residents say patrols are dropping off noticeably, often appearing only in response to attacks. Tips from Mosul's residents have dropped off as well, with residents doubtful that police can protect informants from retaliation."

Al-Hayat reports that Shiite-Sunni tensions in Iraq are boiling over. The new governor of Najaf, Asad Abu Kalal, threatened the Sunni Arabs with reprisals, during the funeral Saturday for victims of an attack on congregatnts at a Shiite mosque in Baghdad on Friday. He demanded that the Association for Muslim Scholars (a hardline Sunni group that often functions as the political wing of the guerrilla movement) "dissociate itself from the criminals." Th governor of Najaf is from the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq, a Shiite, fairly hardline group long in exile in Iran.

Abu Kalal said, "We hold responsible the members of the Sunni branch . . . and demand that they issue statements and halt these criminal actions, so that we are not constrained to react . . ."

Ghazi al-Yawir, the Sunni vice president, formed a Sunni Arab committee to negotiate with prospective prime minister Ibrahim Jaafari. They are asking for 7 cabinet posts, at least one of them a powerful one like Defense.
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Saturday, April 23, 2005

11 Killed, 26 Wounded in Bombing of Shiite Mosque

AFP reports that a bomb killed 9 and wounded 26 at a Shiite mosque in Baghdad on Friday. Other sources put the death toll at 11. Shaikh Sadruddin al-Qubanji, the clerical representative of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq in Najaf, said in his own Friday sermon, ' warned the faithful at prayers in the Shiite holy city of Najaf that they faced “calculated terrorist acts aimed at dividing Shiites and Sunnis." '

You have to wonder how long the Shiite leadership can restrain the faithful in the face of these repeated, monstrous provocations.

A roadside bomb in Yusufiya left 2 Iraqi soldiers dead and four wounded.

With regard to US casualties, AFP writes, "A US soldier was killed and another wounded when a bomb exploded close to their patrol vehicle near the northwestern town of Tall Afar, the military said. The death followed the loss of two marines in a bomb blast west of Baghdad Wednesday and brought the overall toll since the 2003 invasion to 1,556, according to an AFP tally based on Pentagon figures."

Shaikh Abdul Mu'min Abdul Jabbar, brother of a prominent leader of the Association of Muslim Scholars, was assassinated on Thursday. His brother, Abdul Sattar Abdul Jabbar, has been in US custody for 6 months.

The story put out by many in the Western press, that the guerrilla war was winding down after the successful elections, was never true. The guerrillas are unaffected by the elections, and work on their own timetable, in hopes of destabilizing Iraq and ultimately taking it over. Judging the intensity of the war by a week or a month's worth of statistics is poor methodology. The guerrilla war will go on for several years at least, and the political process has nothing to do with it.

Still no sign of a government in Baghdad. The Allawi faction is demanding 5 cabinet posts and a deputy premiership. I personally cannot understand why Ibrahim Jaafari is bothering with the Iraqiya list. It only got 14 percent of the vote, and it is not needed for the United Iraqi Alliance to pass rules and laws in parliament, where it has 53% of the vote or so. Some observers have suggested that the Kurds are insisting on bringing Allawi in.

The New York Times even speculates that the Kurds are deliberately obstructing the formation of a government in hopes of running out the clock on Ibrahim Jaafari (a leader of the religious Shiite Dawa Party) and bringing Iyad Allawi back in as prime minister. I suppose there may be Kurdish politicians stupid enough or perverse enough to try this trick (though I doubt President Jalal Talabani is among them). Talabani expressed his concern about the failure to appoint a cabinet on Friday. If the Shiite religious majority in parliament is thwarted in this way, I am sure that Shiite leaders will bring tens of thousands of protesters into the streets, and the country will end up even more destabilized than it is.

The press keeps saying that the failure to finalize the government may be giving momentum to the guerrillas. Again, there is no particular connection between the guerrilla war and the political process. No one is blowing up a Shiite mosque because Ibrahim Jaafari hasn't appointed a minister of public works yet. They are blowing up the mosques in hopes of making Iraq ungovernable, chasing the Americans out, killing Jaafari et al., and then making a putsch.
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Moussaoui Pleads Guilty
Trial Begins in Spain


Zacarias Moussaoui pled guilty Friday to September 11- related charges. But he appears actually to have been envisaged as a "second wave", and wanted to hijack a plane and fly it into the White House. Moussaoui is clearly mentally disturbed and his being unbalanced led to his arrest. He told the instructor at his flight school that he only wanted to learn to fly the plane, and was uninterested in knowing out to land!

The trial has begun in Spain of suspects there who may have been helping al-Qaeda.
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Friday, April 22, 2005

Guerrillas Shoot down Helicopter, Killing 11 (6 Americans)

AP reports that guerrillas shot down a helicopter carrying civilian security guards on Thursday. A jihadi website claimed that the guerrillas executed the one survivor of the crash, a Bulgarian. There are thousands of civilian security guards in Iraq of various nationalities. If the Iraqi guerrillas are now able to import more sophisticated shoulder-fired missile launchers, like SA-14s, they could become extremely deadly to US military helicopters, as well. (I don't know what weapon they used to down this helicopter.)

AP adds:


On Thursday, a roadside bomb exploded on the highway leading to Baghdad's airport, severely damaging three SUVs carrying civilians. Police Capt Hamid Ali said two foreigners were killed and three were wounded . . . In Ramadi, a roadside bomb wounded one soldier in a U.S. convoy. Another American soldier fired his machine gun at a suspected Iraqi ambush site, killing a female Iraqi civilian, U.S. officials said in a statement. Soldiers found an electronic device near the woman that may have been used to trigger the explosion, the statement said.


Ash-Sharq al-Awsat reports a string of further violent incidents not covered by most Western news services, mainly involving Iraqi police or civilians, in Mahawil, Baiji and elsewhere.

The newly elected politicians of Iraq failed again on Thursday to form a government, over 2 1/2 months after the January 30 election. Part of the problem is that the Shiite majority is only offering Iyad Allawi's list, al-Iraqiya, 2 cabinet posts, when Allawi wants 4. Likewise there appear to be difficulties in getting the Sunni Arabs aboard. The wire service report just linked to quotes an anonymous well-connected source in Baghdad as saying "There was also continued disagreement over what ministries the Sunnis should get. The question really is whether the Shiites want to create a government of national unity, or just a Shiite-Kurd government . . ." Some Iraqis maintain that the political gridlock is contributing to a worsening of the security situation.

With the Senate passage of another emergency appropriation of $81 billion, the cost of the Iraq War and aftermath now approaches $300 billion. (It is already $300 billion if we throw in Afghanistan, on which relatively little has been spent in comparison to Iraq).

The Christian Science Monitor's Jill Carroll, courageously reporting from Salman Pak, examines the continued and worsening problem of kidnapping for ransom in Iraq.

Resistance to seeing Australian troops come in to attempt to provide security in Samawah, al-Muthanna Province, continues to be expressed by local Iraqi officials. Samawah police chief Brig. Karim al-Zayadi is quoted by the Herald Sun as saying ' "My people need electricity and running water, not more security." ' The article ends,

Brig. Kareem warned that one of the most testing challenges for the Australians would be the complex and often-violent rivalries between local tribal groups. There were 12 main tribes, each of which could have up to six clan groups.

Everyone should please read this paragraph several times and think about what it means for US troops fighting these clans in the Sunni Arab heartland.

USA Today reports that Iraqis face shortages in clean drinking water, a problem it has been difficult to address because security needs have drained off funds for fixing it.

Iraq's oil industry is plagued by corruption and smuggling from within, in addition to the problems of sabotage carried out by guerrillas.

The BBC attempts to clear up the mystery of the bodies found in the Tigris River near al-Suwayra, and their connection, if any, to the charges that guerrillas took Shiites captive in Madaen. It appears that President Jalal Talabani may have been incorrect to link these bodies to that incident. But the story by now has become a rollercoaster, and I am an agnostic until someone nails it down. (Everyone should remember that journalists trying to get to the bottom of the story are risking their lives because of the poor security in the country, and that it shouldn't be any surprise that events in Iraq are murky). My own suspicion is that the jihadis want to provoke Sunni-Shiite violence, and that spreading rumors of a big kidnapping of Shiites is almost as useful for their purpose as actually committing it (and a lot less dangerous for them). That is, the story may be a black psy-ops operation of Baathist military intelligence. But the story could still turn out to have something to it.

Anthony Cordesman thinks the US military is stuck in Iraq for a while.

Tidbits from the Iraqi press from the BBC World Monitor:

' Al-Mu'tamar [Baghdad, daily newspaper in Arabic published by the Iraqi National Congress] 20 April: [MP] Mudar Shawkat suspends his National Assembly membership, demands departure of multinational forces as condition for return; US soldier insults National Assembly member, grabs his throat, ties his hands with cuffs; consensus on summoning US ambassador to offer formal apology ...'

'Al-Shahid [Baghdad, weekly independent newspaper in Arabic] 20 April: Conspiracy against Al-Ja'fari; Arab political parties try to prevent Al-Ja'fari from forming new government; Rumsfeld conveyed four US messages to Al-Ja'fari ... Where did [former parliament Speaker] Sa'dun Hammadi disappear? ... Allawi demands deputy PM post, defence portfolio, three other ministries to agree on joining new government ...'


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The New McCarthyism at Columbia

My extended op-ed on the Columbia affair ("The new McCarthyism: A witch hunt against a Columbia professor, and the New York Times' disgraceful support for it, represent the gravest threat to academic freedom in decades") is out in Salon.com.

I had earlier addressed the controversy briefly here.
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Al-Qaeda Fights on in Mecca

Two Muslim radicals and two policemen died Thursday in a running gun battle between the authorities and the jihadis in the Muslim holy city of Mecca. The Saudis said that the gunmen were linked to al-Qaeda. There has been a string of such violent incidents between the Saudi military and the jihadis during the past 4 years.
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Thursday, April 21, 2005

Assassination Attempt on Allawi
70 Bodies Recovered in Iraqi Massacres


Retired Gen. John Keane, back from a fact-finding trip to Iraq, told The Hill that he thinks the Iraqi guerrilla opposition is planning "spectacular" attacks to derail th political process in the country. His thesis was given some support by events on Wednesday.

A suicide bomber attempted but failed to assassinate outgoing prime minister, Iyad Allawi, on Wednesday, detonating his car bomb near Allawi's convoy.

A booby-trapped tanker was detonated in Ramadi near a US army base, and a lively firefight between guerrillas and US forces ensued in the largely Sunni Arab city.

In the on-again, off-again saga of the Shiite hostages of Madaen, evidence surfaced Wednesday that the hostages had indeed been taken. The guerrillas who captured them appear to have executed them and dumped the bodies in the Tigris, according to Iraqi President Jalal Talabani.

It seems likely that this tragedy in part implicates the heavy-handed response of Iraqi and US forces to the hostage crisis. They just dispatched troops to Madaen, which is always a good way to send the hostage-takers into a panic and get the hostages killed.

Also on Wednesday, guerrillas in the city of Haditha captured 19 National Guards and executed them in a soccer stadium.

Al-Zaman reports further attacks in Basra and Amara in the South.

Two US soldiers were killed Tuesday by a car bomb in southern Baghdad.

Over 400 Iranian young Revolutionary Guards signed up to commit suicide bombings against Americans in Iraq and against Israelis, at the urging of Ayatollah Husain Nuri Hamadani (al-Zaman). The group included 150 young women. This fatwa is despicable. Israeli civilians deserve to live in peace like everybody else. If the Revolutionary Guards had any courage, they'd fight soldiers face to face, not hide sneakily in cars with hidden bombs. The only good news in the whole affair is that almost no Iranian youth are any longer interested in what ayatollahs think. Give it 20 years and the mullas' regime would likely just fade away for lack of interest among the public. But in the short term, you have a handful of monstrous fanatics warping the lives of those young people who will still listen to them.

Violence is "off the charts" in the Iraqi border town of Husayba (pop.: 100,000), says the USA Today. The guerrillas there have the support of the townspeople, and criminal gangs and jihadis move freely, keeping the Marines pinned down. I doubt the article's optimism that things are different in Ramadi and elsewhere in the Sunni Arab heartland is actually warranted (see above).

AFP reports that, "The head of the Turkish army hit out at the United States Wednesday for failing to curb Turkish Kurdish rebels hiding in northern Iraq and warned that Iraqi Kurdish attempts to take control of the oil-rich city of Kirkuk could throw the entire region into turmoil." General Hilmi Ozkok, the chief of general staff, launched a bitter attack on the US for failing to curb the PKK, the Marxist guerrilla movement, some members of which have taken refuge in northern Iraq. He also opposed sole Kurdish control of the oil city of Kirkuk, warning that if that city's ethnic tensions flare up, it could throw the whole region into turmoil.

Bill Gertz of the Washington Times reports that US intelligence officials are afraid that Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is trying to get a "dirty bomb" (a conventional bomb laced with radioactive materials). I find this report hard to believe, and find the likelihood that Zarqawi could do it low. But I guess it is alarming that anyone is even talking about it. Iraqi guerrilla groups have begun speaking of the need to hit the United States on its own soil in revenge for Fallujah and other operations.
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Wednesday, April 20, 2005

20 Killed, 42 Wounded
US Troops Humiliate Member of Parliament


Guerrillas killed some 20 persons in Iraq on Tuesday and late Monday night, according to ash-Sharq al-Awsat. In the upscale Sunni Azamiyah district of Baghdad, a suicide bomber killed 4 National Guards and wounded 38 persons when he attacked a police recruitment center. Gunmen assassinated Baghdad University professor Fu'ad al-Bayati. In Khalidiyah west of Baghdad, guerrillas fired on National Guard members, killing 5 and wounding 4.

A tearful member of the Iraqi parliament, Fattah al-Shaikh, stood up before other MPs and told the story of how he was attacked and detained by US troops when he attempted to enter the Green Zone, the heavily fortified area near downtown Baghdad where parliament is held and the US embassy is situated. Wire services report that he said, '“I don’t speak English and so I said to the Iraqi translator with them, ‘Tell them that I am a member of parliament’, and he replied, ‘To hell with you, we are Americans.'" '

Al-Hayat reported that al-Shaikh, a member of the Muqtada al-Sadr bloc, said the US troops put their boots on his neck and handcuffed him. The Iraqi parliament was thrown into an uproar by the account, and demanded a US apology from the highest levels of government. Others demanded that the site of parliament meetings be changed. (This is not the first complaint by a parliamentarian of being manhandled).

Parliament speaker Hajim al-Hasani condemned the assault, saying that members of parliament are symbols of national honor and must be respected.

Parliament adjourned on hearing the news.



The incident will seem minor to most Americans and few will see this Reuters photograph reprinted from al-Hayat (which is not the one featured at the Reuters story on the incident on the Web). But such an incident is a serious affront to national honor, and Iraqi male politicians don't often weep.

It should be remembered that someday not so far from now, the US will come to the Iraqi parliament for a status of forces agreement (SOFA), and Fattah al-Shaikh and his friend will vote on it.

Meanwhile back in Washington, the US Senate showed disdain for Bush's attempt to keep the Iraq funding requests, now totaling over $200 billion, out of the budget deficit figures.
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Outgoing Interior Minister Warns on Iran, Badr Corps

Falah al-Naqib, the interior minister in the expiring government of Iyad Allawi, warned Tuesday that melding the Shiite Badr Corps into the new Iraqi security forces would be a mistake. He also blamed Iranian intelligence for the rumors that Sunni guerrillas had taken over 100 Shiites hostage at Mada'in (a charge that is completely implausible, by the way).

Al-Naqib is a relic of the old Iraq. His father had been a high Baath official who broke with Saddam in the late 1970s and went to Scandinavia. A Sunni, Falah al-Naqib was brought in as interior minister by the ex-Baathist Iyad Allawi, a long-time CIA asset. The central officials of the Allawi government were secular ex-Baathists, many of whom sounded alarums about Iran.

In fact, Iran supported the recent elections and claims to have encouraged Iraqis to vote in them.

Al-Naqib said of the Badr Corps, "We are against multiplying security forces in Iraq. " He said that the entry of distinct units like the Badr Corps into the ministry of the interior would constitute a danger to the police force and other security agencies."
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Tuesday, April 19, 2005

Badr: Foreign Troops Unneeded

The Badr Corps claims to be in military control of Muthanna province, including the city of Samawah. Regional Badr leader Hadi al-Amiri said Monday that Samawah is secure, and there is no need for Australian troops to be deployed there. The Dutch used to be stationed in Samawah but have gone home, and are due to be replaced by 450 Australian troops. In fact, local policing in Samawah has been supplied by the Badr Corps of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq for some time. At one point the Dawa Party militia was also patrolling there. Al-Amiri's comment is the opening salvo in a struggle for control of the Iraqi south, where Shiite religious parties now control the provincial councils and therefore the police and bureaucracy.

In a related development, Shiite cleric Sayyid Mahmud al-Hasani, a supporter of Muqtada al-Sadr in Karbala, led a demonstration on Monday in Baghdad demanding that US troops withdraw to camps outside the cities and establish a timeline for US withdrawal from Iraq. Some 2,000 persons gathered in West Baghdad. Monday was the commemoration day for the death of the 11th Imam or descendant of the Prophet. They said they wanted a complete withdrawal of US and coalition troops. Al-Hasani's representative in the holy city of Karbala, Sayyid Diya' al-Musawi, said, "We do not accept the presence of the Occupier on the land of the Fertile Crescent . . . They have been in our land for more than two years with no justification." He added, "We reject the sectarian conflict that the Occupier attempts to provoke." He noted that many Sunni Arabs accused the Shiites of supporting the American occupation, but said that he is now calling for a US withdrawal.

Iraqi president Jalal Talabani, a Kurd, is also a socialist who has opposed the death penalty on progressive grounds for decades. He doesn't want to execute Saddam Hussein. The Shiite religious parties that now dominate parliament, however, very much want Saddam dead. It looks as though the Shiites will win this one.

The Financial Times reports on the situation in Ramadi, where the town notables are split over whether to cooperate with the new government in Baghdad. The mayor and the notables and police around him condemn attacks by guerrillas on other Iraqis. The preacher at the Khalid b. Walid Mosque and the residents of 17 Tammuz Street and environs favor continued guerrilla resistance. Ramadi is an important city in Anbar province, the largely Sunni Arab center of resistance activities. The FT illuminates some of the tensions among social groups there, and is therefore superior as reportage.

Some 8 Iraqi military and police were killed in violence on Monday, with 7 civilians killed in separate incidents, according to ash-Sharq al-Awsat.
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Monday, April 18, 2005

Ex-Baathists Excluded
Police Poorly Trained


The United Iraqi Alliance (Shiite religious parties) who now dominate the Iraqi government are insisting on purging the Iraqi government of former members of the Baath Party and trying any who might be associated with crimes. They are also dismissive of attempts to reach out to Sunni guerrilla movements. The interim government of Iyad Allawi, himself an ex-Baathist, had appointed to intelligence and military positions a number of former Baath officers associated with the Iraqi National Accord, who had worked with the US CIA against Saddam after breaking with him. Since most ex-Baathists are Sunni, and since most Sunni Arabs who amount to anything in Iraq had at least some tenuous relationship to the Baath party, the upshot of deputy speaker Hussein Shahristani's vindictive comments is actually a long-term and massive marginalization of the Sunni Arab community. This marginalization will likely prolong and deepen the guerrilla war.

It turns out the story that Sunni guerrillas had kidnapped 100 Shiites in Mada'in and were threatening to kill them may have little or even nothing to it. Iraq is prime ground for the spread of poisonous rumors, since the poor security situation makes it difficult for journalists to check stories, and the battling factions have every reason to circulate falsehoods.

Iraqi President Jalal Talabani favors using Kurdish and Shiite militias against the Sunni Arab guerrillas. The problem with this plan is that it ethnicizes the conflict even further. Creating an Iraqi military that could fight for the nation rather than, as militias do, for a section of it, is the only good option.

Busines Week expresses the most severe reservations about the Iraqi police. Poorly trained, often corrupt or ineffective, and with tens of thousands accused of taking their salaries and just staying home, they may be more of a problem than a solution in the short to medium term.
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Sunday, April 17, 2005

17 Killed in Iraq, including 2 US Troops

The guerrilla war rolled along on Saturday, claiming at least 17 victims dead and more wounded.

Guerrillas detonated a bomb in the eastern city of Baquba, killing 7 persons, including police, and wounding 5. Guerrillas assassinated a policeman in southern Baghdad. Police were also killed in violent incidents in Kirkuk, Tuz, and Baiji. A bomb near Samarra killed one Iraqi soldier and wounded another, and injured 4 civilians.

2 US troops were killed, one in north Baghdad and the other in Tikrit.

Iraqi troops assembled at Mada'in in preparation for an attempt to rescue some 100 Shiite hostages held by Sunni Arab militants.

Patrick Cockburn dismantles claims by the Pentagon brass that Iraq's guerrilla insurgencey is on the decline.

The Los Angeles Times points out that the new Iraqi government is likely to show greater independence from Washington.

I'd say that the chances the US will get a green light to do another Fallujah-type operations are slim to none. PM Ibrahim Jaafari opposed the spring, 2004, Fallujah campaign.

Iraqi female politicians are pressing Jaafari to appoint more women to head ministries.
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News Roundup

Bush and his agendas (social security privatization, the Iraq War) continue to slide in the polls. Americans turn out to want a timetable for withdrawal of US troops just as much as Iraq's Sunni Arabs do! (69 percent want a clear goal and don't think Bush has articulated one.)
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Saturday, April 16, 2005

7 Iraqis Killed, 16 Wounded Friday in String of Bombings
Two Marines Killed


Guerrillas in a town near Baghdad took 60 local Shiites hostage and are threatening to kill them, unless Shiite inhabitants leave the area.

This incident is the most worrying explicit Sunni-Shiite conflict I can remember, and I find it alarming. Shiites could lash out at Sunni Arabs over it.

Robert Worth of the NYT reports that on Friday, a suicide bomber targetted Iraqi police in the city of Mahawil near al-Hillah south of Baghdad, killing 4 of them. [Al-Zaman reports 7 dead, 9 wounded, in this incident.] In Baghdad itself, guerrillas set off three bombs, wounding 9 persons. In the upscale neighborhood of al-Mansur, one of the bombs had targeted a passing US military convoy, but wounded Iraqis instead. The US military announced the killing of two Marines earlier this week, one near Hit and the other in Ramadi.

Al-Zaman/ DPA report that Thursday night/ Friday morning a huge fire broke out in al-Shurjah Market, the biggest market in Baghdad, located in the heart of the capital. Fifty fire fighters attempted to extinguish the blaze, which devoured most of shops and warehouses in the visinity of the market. One three-story building collapsed altogether. Al-Zaman was told by experts that the losses in the conflagration will amount to $100 million. The losses are exacerbated because few shopkeepers had insurance. The loss of this market will affect markets throughout Iraq, insofar as it did wholesaling to the others. The fire was blamed by experts on problems with electrical wiring, but the Iraqi government alleged that terrorists were behind it.

A pamphlet distributed in Samarra and surrounding areas claimed to be from Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, and it reported that Abu Saif Qaisar Abbasi, a key Zarqawi aide, had been killed in a battle with the Americans near Samarra. The US military declined to comment.

In Kirkuk, guerrillas assassinated Saman Abdullah Izzuddin, a television anchor for the Kurdistan Patriotic Union. In the southern US military prison of Bucca, one Iraqi was killed and 12 were wounded in a prison riot among prisoners.
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Sistani Discourages Shiite MPs from joining Cabinet

Al-Zaman/ AFP: An aide close to Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani said Friday that Sistani prefers it if the members of parliament from the United Iraqi Alliance decline posts as cabinet ministers. He says that they should instead concentrate on drafting the permanent constitution. The aide gave the interview to al-Zaman but declined to be identified.

Cabinet ministers do not have to be drawn from elected members of parliament. Sistani is probably worried that if 17 UIA MPs step down in order to serve in the executive, the religious Shiites will lose their majority and will then be unable to shape the constitution in the direction of Shiite religious law. Also, there is the problem that competition for cabinet posts among the coalition partners in the UIA is causing friction among them. The aide says that Sistani was only expressing a preference, rather than laying an absolute duty on the members of parliament.

Al-Hayat says that Abdul Karim al-Anizi, leader of a branch of the Dawa Party (The Organization of Dawa in Iraq), is competing for the interieor ministry against Bayan Jabir of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq.

Meanwhile, hard line Sunni cleric Abdul Ghafur al-Samarra'i, of the Association of Muslim Scholars, called for President Jalal Talabani to follow through on his pledge of offering amnesty to Sunni Arabs in prison, and to disregard the cautions of US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld.
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Disputes Prevent Selection of Tamim Governor (Kirkuk)

al-Zaman/ AFP: An Iraqi official in Tamim province describes the situation in the city of Kirkuk. Disputes among Kurds, Turkmen and Arabs have prevented the newly elected provincial council from being seated, and therefore they have been unable to select a governor. He said that Kirkuk is a microcosm of Iraq, and that the current tensions make the situation dangerous. The person on the street derides the politicians over the squabbling, complaining that they should be addressing problems of services such as water and electricity.

The Kurdistan list got 26 seats in the Tamim governing council, whereas the Turkmen took 9 seats and the Arabs received 6. They have so far been unable to agree on a governor for the province.
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Friday, April 15, 2005

Guerrilla War Leaves 24 Dead in Iraq

The Financial Times reports that guerrilla actions, including bombings and ambushes, left at least 24 persons dead on Thursday in Iraq. There were bombs in Baghdad, as well as shootings and assassinations elsewhere. Police were killed near Kirkuk and a bomb exploded in Basra, hurting two civilian passersby (the target was a police vehicle)

One official took comfort from the evidence that the suicide bombings in Baghdad mainly killed motorists and street sweepers, rather than more strategic personnel, leading to the conclusion that today's suicide bombers are not as well-trained.

The aim of the bombers is to destabilize society by making everyone feel insecure. My Iraqi contacts say you still hear bombings and machine gun fire all night in Baghdad. Those bombs on Thursday added to the atmosphere of insecurity, making it less likely that the new Iraq can pull itself together. You don't need a lot of training for that.

Patrick Cockburn reveals the insecurity that still plagues the northern city of Mosul. He says the current deputy governor can't trust the police of Ninevah province, many of whom are actually working for the guerrillas. The police may have helped in the assassination of the previous governor! The Kurdish deputy governor says, "I tell my bodyguards not to trust the police and don't tell them our movements."

The next time you hear Bush or Rumsfeld say that 140,000 Iraqi police and troops have been trained, remember what Khasro Goran said about the 14,000 in Ninevah province.

Al-Hayat reports today vice-president Ghazi al-Yawir's complaints that Sunni Arabs are being discriminated against. He said that mere Baath party members not guilty of crimes should not be denied positions. He also blamed the Shiite leadership for not doing more to draw in the Sunni Arabs, and rejected the idea of reducing the number of the 31 cabinet posts set aside for the Sunni Arabs from 6 to 4.

Two Fallujah updates:

at the Associated Press and

at MSNBC.com

Eric's critique of the Michael Ware piece on Iran is here.
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Secret Service Still Hasn't Caught Bin Laden

Shouldn't the Secret Service be out trying to find Bin Laden and al-Zawahiri?. The most prominent organized group that I know of trying to kill the president is at large, its leaders taunting us.



So how are we using our Secret Service to best effect? The Chicago Sun-Times tells us:


"Organizers of a politically charged art exhibit at Columbia College's Glass Curtain Gallery thought their show might draw controversy. But they didn't expect two U.S. Secret Service agents would be among the show's first visitors. The agents turned up Thursday evening, just before the public opening of "Axis of Evil, the Secret History of Sin," and took pictures of some of the art pieces -- including "Patriot Act," showing President Bush on a mock 37-cent stamp with a revolver pointed at his head."


It's art, guys.



If they have a travel budget, I suggest they check out this Guernica painting in Madrid, too. It is widely rumored to be anti-war, to support the Basques (ETA has been involved in terrorism), and to have been painted by a Communist.

I think we can all sleep more safely tonight here in the Midwest, I'll tell you that.
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Oil for Food Scandal taints (gasp!) Houston

We've had to put up for months with blowhards like Senator Norm Coleman of Minnesota jumping up and down about the Iraq food for oil scandal at the United Nations. Coleman even called for the resignation of Kofi Annan, who hasn't been shown to have behaved improperly himself. Of course, it was clear all along that if fully investigated, the scandal would touch all kinds of oilmen in the United States, as well.

Meet David B. Chalmers, of Bayoil, in Houston, Texas.

Let's see if Norm Coleman calls for sanctions against US businessmen and petroleum companies tainted by the scandal.
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Thursday, April 14, 2005

At least 17 Killed by Bombs, 4 US Contractors Wounded

AP reports that guerrillas detonated a car bomb near a US convoy, killing five Iraqis and wounding 4 US contractors. Two other explosions in the capital did little damage. A fourth set a fuel tanker ablaze near two US Humvees. AP adds:


"Near Kirkuk, 12 policemen gathered to help dismantle an apparent decoy bomb were killed by another explosion Wednesday, police said. Three others were injured."


Ghazi al-Yawir, a vice president of Iraq, is complaining that the new elected government (dominated by religious Shiites and by Kurds) is not doing enough to reach out to the alienated Sunni Arabs. He is incensed by the decision to reduce the number of ministries going to Sunnis from 6 to only 4. Further alienating the Sunni Arabs could deepen and prolong the civil war.

Al-Zaman says that Ibrahim Jaafari is offering Iyad Allawi's Iraqiya bloc only 4 ministries, and no central ones. Allawi had wanted Interior, but it seems likely to go to the religious Shiites. (Interior in Iraq is concerned with domestic spying and security).

The same newspaper, depending on an AFP report, says that a prime candidate to head Interior is Hadi al-Amiri, the leader of the Badr Organization. (The Badr Corps, trained by Iran's revolutionary guards, was the paramilitary of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq when they were in exile in Iran. Badr is now evolving into a political party in its own right, the Badr Organization.)

Al-Amiri says that if he became Minister of Interior, he would meld the Badr Corps fighters into the regular Iraqi army and police.

Many are suspicious that if he got the ministry, he would immediately purge it of ex-Baathists appointed in the interim regime of Iyad Allawi. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld's recent warning against a purge of the ex-Baathists was believed directed at al-Amiri.

The increasing prominence of the Badr Organization has triggered criticism from Iraqis who had been taken prisoner of war by Iran during the Iran-Iraq War of 1980-1988, and who maintain that the Iranians turned them over to Badr to be interrogated and tortured. Al-Amiri denies the allegations.

Al-Zaman says many Iraqis are suspicious of the Badr Organization, being aware that it spent 20 years in exile in Tehran and was close there to the hardliners.

Al-Amiri is complaining that fundamentalist Muslim militias such as his are increasingly marginized and have been fired from their jobs in the ministries.

President Jalal Talabani said Wednesday that an independent Kurdish state would not be viable.

Telling tidbits from the Iraqi Press (via BBC world monitoring):

"Al-Manarah publishes on page 3 a 100-word report citing Maysan Governorate Council chairman as saying that the council has decided unanimously to make Thursday a holiday instead of Saturday . . ."


This is the influence in Maysan of the Sadr Movement, which objects to Saturday as a day of rest, saying it isn't traditional in Islam.


"Al-Furat publishes on the front page a 500-word article by Hayyan al-Baghdadi commenting on recent calls by members of the United Iraqi Alliance during the National Assembly's meeting, for eliminating all former Ba'thists from various state institutions. The writer criticizes the deba'thification process and calls for presenting all Ba'thists before courts of law in order for those who committed crimes against the Iraqi people, most of whom managed to escape the country, to be punished; and to clear the innocent . . .

Al-Mada publishes on page 2 a 100-word report saying that Ayatollah Ali-al-Sistani has issued a fatwa prohibiting the stealing of electrical power and exchanging it among neighbourhoods, because such actions put people's lives at risk.

Al-Mada publishes on page 2 a 100-word report saying that Misan Governorate Council has dismissed the head of the Misan Education Directorate, Layth Hatim, because he was a member in al-Ba'th dissolved party . . .


Reading Matter:

Michael Klare on Blood, Oil and the Coming War on Iran.

Mark Danner on the real Iraqi elections.
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Neoconning the Media

Eric Alterman's "Neoconning the Media: A Short History of Neoconservatism" is a must-read account of the movement and its main institutions and media outlets.

Alterman lists "half of the New Republic" as among the assets of the Neocons. That's about right, though I suspect that the other half (In the Barefoot And Naked Blog accounting that would be: John Judis, Spencer Ackerman, Michelle Cottle, Mike Crowley) is not as connected to the editorial direction and especially ownership of TNR as the Neocon half.

Michelle Goldberg at Salon.com isn't so generous.

This was after all the same TNR that beat the drums in fall of 2001 to get 100,000 American boots on the ground in Afghanistan. (That is my recollection, from the interface of their online website of the time, and it is the tenor of this editorial from those days.) But we didn't need that kind of troop force there, and, indeed, it would have been counterproductive. What was this mania to occupy other people? Wasn't it treasonous to want to put our servicemen in harm's way when the Northern Alliance was perfectly capable of taking Kabul with our close air support? What philosophy of life would cause you to want such a thing? (What ignorance of mountainous, rugged, Afghanistan would cause you to imagine such a thing possible?) Surely it was just a colonial power fantasy, a dream of subjecting brown men to the will of TNR's editors. You could see Lawrence Kaplan chomping at the bit to go on to occupying Iraq, Syria, and et cetera.

That is the thing nowadays often forgotten about colonialism--its psychological benefits to the colonizing society. There are often material benefits as well, but sometimes those don't materialize. The psychological ones are a sure bet if the conqueror prevails. Racism functions to give the dominant "races" in society cheap self-esteem ('at least we are better than those people'). That is why "whiteness" is so powerful as an American construct. Everyone can hope to join the category and become "white" except African-Americans, who must remain Black to keep the system of racial hierarchy going, ensuring that the lowliest of "whites" can feel good about themselves. It is now often forgotten that Irish, Poles, Italians and Jews were not considered "white" when they first immigrated. But gradually they joined the club.

Likewise, colonial occupation gives the occupiers an easy sense of self-worth and powerfulness. Thus the appeal of occupying other countries precisely for those sections of the dominant "whites" in US society that are least secure in their whiteness (e.g. lower middle class Southerners). Much about the Abu Ghuraib torture scandal can most easily be explained in these colonialist/racist terms. Likewise, the sex and power fantasy of white men saving brown women from brown men, which has figured so prominently in the new discourse of American empire, is best explained in this way.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2005

At least 10 Dead in Deadly blasts in Mosul, Telafar

Wire services report that a suicide bomber killed five Iraqis in Mosul, and another killed five Iraqis in the largely Turkmen city of Telafar. Guerrillas attempted to assassinate a deputy interior minister, but killed his bodyguard and injured three others, while he escaped.

On Monday, a suicide pickup truck blew up in Samarra near American troops, killing three Iraqis and wounding 20. One US soldier was seriously wounded, and three were lightly wounded and returned to duty.

In volatile Kirkuk the Ansar al-Sunna terrorist group ambushed police, injuring two. (Most Kirkuk policemen are Kurds).

A window on the guerrillas was opened by an important arrest. “Fadhil Ibrahim Mahmud Al-Mashadani, the former leader of the Military Bureau in Baghdad during the Saddam Hussein regime, was apprehended by security forces in a military operation conducted at a farm in the northeast of Baghdad,” a government statement said. It said he was suspected of being a crucial link between former senior Baath party leaders hiding in Syria and guerrillas in Iraq."

I am skeptical about formal Syria support for the guerrilla war, which could easily boomerang on Damascus. But that al-Mashadani sorts of former military officials are liasons among guerrilla factions is probably pretty typical.
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Demonstration in Samarra

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat/ AFP: Hundreds of Iraqis demonstrated Tuesday in Samarra, demanding the withdrawal of American troops from their city. Clan elders and school and university students participated in the rally, which came in response to a call from the municipal council and the Association of Muslim Scholars. The demonstrators gathered close to the Malwiyah Mosque, among the most famous and recognizable of Iraq's early Islamic monuments. They carried placards reading, "Leave our sacred city, you strangers!" and "Let the Prisoners Go!" and "No, no to enmity . . . Leave, leave, America!" They burned an American flag. Police and Iraqi army men fanned out around the site of the demonstration. No American troops showed up, and they stayed at some distance from the demonstration.

Samarra is a city of about 200,000 that lies about an hour's drive north of Baghdad. It is largely Sunni Arab, but has a Shiite neighborhood and hosts a major Shiite shrine. Both that shrine and the famed Malwiyah Mosque have been damaged in the fighting of the past year.

A different sort of demonstration was held in Kut, according to BBC world monitoring.


Al-Mashriq publishes on page 4 a 100-word report saying that hundreds of policemen and emergency patrols demonstrated in Al-Kut in Wasit, calling on the new governorate council not to interfere with police work . . .


What this demonstration may have been about is suggested by another report:


Al-Sabah al-Jadid publishes on page 2 a 150-word report stating that the Interior Ministry has rejected the decision issued by the Wasit Governorate Council regarding the dismissal of the Wasit police chief and his assistant . . .


(A similat struggle has roiled Najaf recently.)

Meanwhile, Mohammad Bazzi of Newsday points out that Muqtada al-Sadr ordered his followers to wave only Iraqi flags in the massive demonstrations held last weekend, and that he may be trying to reach out to other anti-American communities. Bazzi speculates that Sadr is using street demonstrations to make the point that he cannot be ignored as the constitution is forged. (Muqtada actually probably has over 20 supporters in parliament, more than the Sunni Arabs).
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Iraq News Roundup

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat does a report on Fallujah in which it alleges that of the residents who have returned after the US assault, many are living in tents because their homes are uninhabitable.

It also says that Iraq is asking the UN Security Council formally to lift the sanctions and restrictions imposed on Iraq in the Saddam period.

The same newspaper says that the Turkish military raided the Kurdish area of Eastern Anatolia near Iraq, in its continued fight against the leftist PKK.

Telling tidbits from the Iraqi press via BBC world monitoring:


"Al-Furat publishes on page 2 a 140-word report citing Nisrin Barwari, member of the Kurdistan Coalition and National Assembly member, calling for a larger role for the assembly's female members. In a statement issued by the Kurdistan Women's Committee yesterday, 11 April, Barwari demanded that the seats allocated for women in the assembly be increased to 40%." . . .

"Al-Furat publishes on the front page a 100-word report citing a member of the Independent Democrats Grouping as saying that Grouping leader Adnan Pachachi plans to close the Grouping newspaper, Al-Nahdah, for financial reasons.

Al-Furat publishes on the front page a 1,000-word editorial by Chief Editor Shakir al-Juburi praising President Jalal Talabani'sre-assuring statements, especially his statement: "if the Iraqis decide to keepthe current Iraqi flag, we will bow before it."

Al-Furat publishes on the front page a 100-word "exclusive" report citing news reports affirming that an Israeli company is exporting caravans through Jordan to Iraq.

Al-Ufuq publishes on the front page a 300-word editorial strongly criticizing the incomprehensible political dealings among Iraqi political forces in the formation of the new government . . .

Al-Mashriq publishes on the front page an 80-word report saying that Vice President Ghazi Ajil al-Yawir met yesterday, 11 April, with the four important religious scholars in Al-Najaf during his visit to the "sacred" governorate. The report added that the vice president met with Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, Muhammed Sa'id al-Hakim, Bashir al-Najafi, and Muhammed Ishaq al-Fayyaz . . .

Al-Zaman publishes on page 3 a 600-word report citing the Iraqi Humanitarian League of Human Rights as saying that the prisoners in the Al-Diwaniyah prison were severely tortured to make them confess. The report cites a source at the Diwaniyah Health Office as saying that some prisoners suffered food poisoning.

Al-Sabah al-Jadid runs on page 2 a 200-word report citing an official source at the Trade Ministry on the theft of 20 trucks laden with food on the Baghdad-Al-Kut road , . .

Al-Adalah publishes on page 3 a 75-word report citing Education Minister Dr Sami al-Muzafar on plans to appoint new teachers of all grades in Baghdad and the governorates. The minister adds that his ministry recently appointed 50,000 teachers.

Al-Adalah carries on page 3 a 100-word report citing a source at the Municipality and Public Works Ministry as saying that the ministry will adopt a new modern design in the construction of Al-Najaf.

Al-Bayan publishes on page 3 a 300-word article by Dr Hamid Abdallah saying that "the Hawasim" [in reference to those who took advantage of the chaos following the former regime's fall to loot public properties] is of two kinds, the private sector Hawasim who looted banks and other state institutions, and the public servants who made their wealth by corruption. The writer says that they now form a new social class in Iraq which began expanding to neighbouring countries where some of them have established themselves

Al-Mada publishes on page 6 a 1,500 word column commenting on the suffering of Iraqi women throughout modern history in all aspects of life. The writer urges Iraqi officials to change laws that oppressed women and pass new laws that protect women's political and economic rights.

Al-Mada publishes on page 12 a 1,000 word column by Mu'ayad Ni'mah strongly criticizing the decision of the dissolved Interim Council which granted pensions to all its members.

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Tuesday, April 12, 2005

Competent Intelligence Urged by Rumsfeld

Ironies of Iraq today:

Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld is afraid that the new Shiite religious government in Iraq will purge ex-Baathists placed in the army and intelligence services by US ally Iyad Allawi, a long-term CIA asset. Rumsfeld said that competent persons should be retained. This is the same Rumsfeld whose own deputy, Douglas Feith, set up a grossly incompetent cell in the Pentagon to cherry-pick intelligence and produce a false image of Iraq as bristling with weapons of mass destruction and in league with al-Qaeda.

Halliburton, Dick Cheney's old firm, has been accused of doing shoddy work on the oil facilities in southern Iraq. After yesterday's admission by Bechtel that its work on energy and water facilities was now falling apart, this report raises the question of whether US reconstruction billions tossed to the private sector have bought anything useful at all for Iraq.

There were a string of violent incidents in Iraq on Monday, including three suicide bombings at a US base near Qaim, which wounded at least 3 US troops. Another suicide bombing at Samarra killed 3 Iraqis and wounded 20.

Some 400 university students in Baquba from the Sadr Movement demonstrated against the US on Monday, chanting "No, no to Jews!" Religious demography doesn't appear to be their strong suit, or they'd have complained about Baptists and Catholics.

An Iraqi newspaper, according to BBC world monitoring, is reporting that the unemployment rate in Maysan province is 48 percent.
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Sharon Defies Bush

The AP headline gets it right: Sharon dismisses Bush Warning on Settlement Expansion.

I would have called it "large-scale land theft" rather than "settlement expansion," but it comes to the same thing.

Wait a second. Isn't that Ariel Sharon, whose government gets billions of dollars a year from the United States (who even gets some from your household if you are an American, whether you like it or not)? Doesn't he owe us anything?

He doesn't think so.

On September 11, the United States was struck a grievous and unexpected blow by a handful of fanatics. Their stated purpose was to punish the U.S. for its support of Israel's crackdown on the Palestinians. Khalid Shaik Muhammad, among the masterminds of the operation, had wanted it moved up to April of 2001 to make the point that Israel's actions of that spring were being punished.

What was the reaction of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon to this horrific attack on the US? Was it at least caution, given the price Americans had paid for supporting his colonization and theft of land in the Occupied Territories? Was it a cooling-off period while we dug the bodies out of the rubble and assessed the likelihood of a further attack? Was it any show of respect at all for the needs of the United States at that parlous moment?

No.

It was a "stepping up" of Israeli attacks on Palestinians!


The Advertiser, September 14, 2001

"Three die as tank raids stepped up"

ISRAELI tanks and bulldozers rolled into Jenin and Jericho in the West Bank early yesterday, shelling buildings and triggering gunfights that killed three Palestinians and wounded 18 . . . Amid the tensions, US Secretary of State Colin Powell called Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat late on Wednesday. Mr Arafat agreed to Mr Powell's request that he meet Israeli Foreign Minister Shimon Peres, but no date was set for a meeting.


Well, then, you might think, at least Sharon would agree to talk and show some flexibility if he insisted on killing more Palestinians just days after the US was attacked?

No.


September 15, 2001, The Washington Post:

HEADLINE: Sharon Defies Bush's Request for Peace Talks;
Foreign Minister Is Ordered Not to Meet With Arafat as Planned on Sunday

Defying a request from the Bush administration, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon today forbade his foreign minister, Shimon Peres, to meet Sunday with Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat. President Bush had telephoned Sharon earlier today urging him to renew talks with the Palestinians to end the year-long Middle East violence. Secretary of State Colin L. Powell also had called with a similar message. But Sharon, under pressure from hard-liners in his government, ruled out the meeting that Peres has been trying for weeks to arrange to discuss a cease-fire with Arafat.


But what would happen if Bush continued to press Sharon to cool it? What if Bush swung around and declared for a Palestinian state, in an attempt to outflank al-Qaeda in the Muslim world? Surely Sharon would see the light and accommodate an old ally, which had transferred tens of billions of dollars and lots of high-tech weaponry to Israel over the years?

No.


The Scotsman, October 5, 2001

SHARON IN OUTBURST OVER US 'APPEASING' OF ARABS

THE Israeli prime minister, Ariel Sharon, last night fired an angry broadside at the United States, likening its efforts to enlist moderate Arab countries in Washington's war on terrorism to appeasement of Nazi Germany in 1938.

In caustic language seldom heard between the two allies, Mr Sharon charged that Washington, which has pressed his government to adhere to a ceasefire with the Palestinian leader, Yasser Arafat, was being soft on Palestinian terrorism, which he defines as including attacks in the occupied territories, even as it pursues Osama bin Laden.

"We can only rely on ourselves and from now on we will only rely on ourselves," Mr Sharon said, adding security forces would "take all necessary steps" to defend Israeli citizens and implying that US pressure for army restraint would be of no consequence.

"I turn to the United States and say don't go back on the same mistakes as the democracies made in 1938. That is when Czechoslovakia was sacrificed for a convenient, temporary solution.

"Do not appease the Arabs on our account. Israel will not be Czechoslovakia. We will defend ourselves."


So Sharon branded Bush a Chamberlain and the United States an appeaser because it pressured him to make peace with the Palestinians. You see, he didn't think that his grabbiness had caused enough trouble in the world yet. He wanted to go on grabbing other people's land and he wasn't going to let the mere fact that he had helped drag the United States into a hot war with terrorists give him pause.

I remind you that Sharon bad-mouthed the United States just after September 11. It wasn't any old time. The country was reeling. We were trying to understand what had happened. We were reaching out to Muslims who would be allies, like Pakistan and Egypt and Jordan. They were all telling us that the Muslim rank and file was angry about the Israeli predations in Palestine. Sharon in essence accused the 9/11 families who argued for the need to seek Middle East peace of being Chamberlains and appeasers.

Ariel Sharon must be among the most odious elected prime ministers now serving in the world. Guilty of numerous war crimes, from the 1982 invasion of Lebanon (which killed nearly 20,000), to ultimate responsibility for the massacre of unarmed Palestinian civilians by his Phalangist allies at Sabra and Shatila, to his recent policy of simply murdering persons he suspected of crimes, such as Sheikh Ahmad Yasin, the wheelchair-riding old clerical leader of Hamas. (Yasin may have deserved the death penalty, but there is no reason he could not have been arrested and tried. Just murdering people sets a bad example, aside from being illegal and a capital crime.)

Asking him nicely to abide by the US-backed road map for peace is not enough, obviously. Congress should cut him off without a dime until he stops stabbing the United States of America in the back with his aggressive expansionism.

And he should stop making enemies for the US among one billion Muslims who care about the fate of the Palestinians, just as 19th-century Americans cared about the fate of the Texans at the Alamo.
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What the Muslims think is Really Happening in Jerusalem

The far-right Israeli extremists who demonstrated in Jerusalem were not just protesting the plan to remove Israeli colonists from Gaza, as was reported in the Western press.

Rather, they were threatening to invade the al-Aqsa Mosque. The Muslim world understood this threat as an intention to destroy the third-holiest shrine in the Islamic world.

For historical background on the Temple Mount or al-Haram al-Sharif, see this excellent piece by Oleg Grabar.

(Grabar notes the traditional association of the Haram complex with the "city of David," but it is worth noting that the Assyrian and other ancient scribes, who wrote down everything that happened in the Middle East in the 900s BC, even mentioning obscure little rulers, never heard of David or his kingdom, and for all we know he was actually a bedouin chieftain later mythologized into a king with a city).

What we do know is that Jerusalem was under Muslim rule for nearly 14 centuries, longer than it was under the rule of anyone else, and Muslims consider the mosque on the Haram Sharif to be the third holiest site in the world.

It was to protect the shrine that Palestinians rallied on Sunday.

They were not alone. The entire Muslim world was alarmed by word of the threats, including:

King Abdullah II of Jordan, whom Israel formally recognized as guardian of the shrine in 1994. He warned of a destabilization that would completely destroy the peace process, if the shrine were harmed.

Yemen warned of a destruction of the peace process if the shrine came under attack. Especially vocal was the fundamentalist Muslim Islah or Reform Party.

The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt exploited the Israeli extremists' actions to rally their supporters against President Mubarak.

The Palestinian refugees in Lebanon (whose families had been expelled from their homeland and displaced to squalid camps in someone else's country by the Israelis in 1948-49).

Saudi Arabia.

Iran issued the same warning.

So an issue that stirred Muslim fundamentalists to fury and might be a recruitment tool for al-Qaeda was surely intensively covered by the Western press, right?

Wrong.

The Washington Post said that the Palestinians were protesting plans by the Jewish fundamentalists to "rally at the site." That wasn't what they were afraid of at all. They were afraid that the extremists were bringing dynamite to blow up the mosque (a widespread rumor).

The New York Times likewise did not report that the Muslims understood the extremist group, Revava, to have sinister designs on the shrine. The NYT even put scare quotes around the word "defend" when it reported that young Muslim men were going to the Aqsa Mosque over the weekend, saying they wanted to defend it. I don't understand the scare quotes. Why not just report that they said they wanted to defend the shrine?

The Los Angeles Times reported that some Palestinians pledged violence against the Revava members if they came into the Aqsa Mosque. But the paper never explained why the Palestinians might have been that exercised. They thought Revava was coming in with sticks of dynamite.

Now, maybe Revava never threatened to destroy the mosque. I don't know. They don't appear to be humane, level-headed people, so maybe they did make the threat. But it is a gross dereliction of duty for the US press to neglect to even report that this threat is what had alarmed the Muslims around the world.

How can we possibly fight al-Qaeda and understand the Muslim world if our press does not even report what Muslims think is at issue in incidents like this? And note that no Western press article appears even to have rounded up the reaction in the Muslim world. They are invisible to our public, even when they are outraged.
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Monday, April 11, 2005

Life Imprisonment for Saddam?


Are the guerrillas fighting in Iraq demanding
that Saddam not be executed as one of their conditions for coming in from the cold? Adrian Blomfield reports from Baghdad that leaders of the Fidayi Saddam and Jaish Muhammad (Sunnis, including some former military officers who adopted political Islam) have been in back-channel communications with the new Iraqi government about the grounds on which they might give up their fight. One stipulation is that Saddam not be executed.

This demand would anyway be easy for Jalal Talabani to grant, since he is a long-time opponent of the death penalty (a lot of Iraqis feel that the country has seen enough executions, anyway).

But my sense of the religious Shiites and most Kurds is that they want to see a hanging.

Personally, I am still afraid that a media trial of Saddam will provoke a lot of communal violence as the crimes of the regime are rehearsed. Although most Sunnis are not implicated in those crimes, they were disproportionately committed by Sunni Arabs, and it is not clear we really want to draw the attention of the people of Kirkuk to them at this juncture.

Meanwhile, the new vice president, Ghazi al-Yawir (a Sunni), held consultations Sunday with Hareth al-Dhari, the leader of the fundamentalist Association of Muslim Scholars. Al-Dhari continued to refuse to have anything to do with the new government, according to al-Zaman.
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US Millions in Iraq Wasted

I saw Lewis Black, the comedian, in Detroit last month. Lewis does angry humor. But at one point he went on a rant about how you just had to look around Detroit to see how the Congress was allowing our cities to deteriorate, and he flew into a genuine rage. A little sheepish, he admitted, "That was a private moment, and I'm sorry you had to see it. Note to self: just getting mad without a joke is not cool."

It is such a shame that there is virtually nothing going on on the streets downtown Detroit in the evening. Even the Borders closes at 7 pm. A single block in Greektown and the casinos are the only exceptions, as far as downtown shops go. An entertainment venue like Cobo Hall is designed so that the suburbanites can actually exit into its parking lot from the freeway, and never have to deal with the city at all. Because Detroit fell below a million in population with the last census, it even lost a good deal of Federal aid.

The true cost of the Iraq misadventure is consistently underestimated by the Bush administration, which does not even include the extra funds in the budget deficit! They even sneak the wounded soldiers back into this country so that the public does not get an accurate sense of the war's human costs for Americans.

So in light of the complete uninterest of the US government in the quality of life in much of the United States, an item like the below is especially maddening.

T. Christian Miller of the Los Angeles Times reports that:

"Iraqi officials have crippled scores of water, sewage and electrical plants refurbished with U.S. funds by failing to maintain and operate them properly, wasting millions of American taxpayer dollars, according to interviews and documents.

Hardest hit has been the effort to rebuild Iraq's water and sewage systems, a multibillion-dollar task considered to be among the most crucial components of the effort to improve daily life for Iraqis. Of more than 40 such plants run by the Iraqis, not one is being operated properly, according to the Bechtel Group, the contractor at work on the project.

The power grid faces similar problems.


Miller quotes Bechtel and others as saying that Iraqis lack training and are lazy, explaining why the refurbished plants are not being kept up.

But there is another possible explanation. The American contractors that did the work, did it in the American way. The Iraqi engineers and technicians had their own techniques and equipment and spare parts. After the Gulf War in 1991, they were able to get the electricity grid back up, using indigenous methods, in less than a year.

It was widely alleged that the Americans spent far too much on the work done, and that local Iraqi firms could have done it better, cheaper and more quickly. And the problem of putting in a lot of unfamiliar American equipment may well be that Iraqi technicians don't know how to work it or keep it up without special training.

Miller doesn't appear to have spoken to any of the Iraqi engineers at the plants, who might have been able to say something about all this. The Iraqi bureaucrats to whom he spoke complained that they did not have the money it took to keep up the facilities. (Since sabotage of oil pipelines has been very successful, this excuse may well be true).

Someone with knowledge of the matter also suggested to me that some problems may derive from just jerry-rigging a patchwork of old, dilapidated French, German and Russian equipment, hastily and somewhate haphazardly, and that this method, too, might be producing the subsequent failures.

Imagine what a few billion dollars from US AID could do for downtown Detroit. Bush is wasting it instead on plants in Iraq that probably can't even be kept up afterwards.

Note to self: Just getting angry without a joke is not cool.
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Allawi resigns, Joins New Government

Iyad Allawi has consented to join the new Iraqi government. He is demanding 4 of 31 cabinet posts for his Iraqiya Party, which only has 40 seats in the 275-member parliament, including at least one important cabinet post.

Allawi has now submitted his resignation as prime minister and is dissolving his government, in accordance with the interim constitution, according to al-Zaman.

BBC world monitoring for April 10 reported:


"Al-Dustur publishes on the front page a 50-word report quoting Sa'd Jawad, official spokesman of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq, as announcing that it is expected that the National Assembly will discuss today, 10 April, a number of issues related to "violations" committed by Iyad Allawi's former government."


NPR, April 7, reported on corruption scandals in the Allawi government as well:

Mr. RADHI AL-RADHI (Commission on Public Integrity): (Through Translator) The Allawi government used secrecy in all its financial proceedings, and this is against the transparency principle which was adopted in the new Iraq. In the coming days, Iraq will witness many prosecutions concerning the corruption that happened in the ministries.

GARCIA-NAVARRO: Radhi says that almost no ministry in Iraq has clean hands, but the most egregious examples of corruption have come from the ministries of housing, electricity and health.


Makes you wonder if Allawi decided to join the government because if he remained in the opposition he was open to being investigated by his religious Shiite enemies, who were already threatening to proceed in that way.

Allawi was the candidate backed by the CIA and US ambassador John Negroponte. Despite his enormous advantages of incumbency, and his blanket presence on Iraqi television and radio in the run-up to the election, his Iraqiya list got only 14 percent of seats in parliament and did even worse in provincial elections. His only signfificant support appears to have been the secular-leaning middle classes of Baghdad and Basra, who were easily outvoted by the religious Right among the Shiites. Allawi shot himself in the foot by becoming too associated with the Americans, who are no longer popular in Arab Iraq, and by enthusiastically endorsing the destruction of Fallujah late last fall.

Allawi's crushing defeat in the open elections engineered by Grand Ayatollah ended President George W. Bush's forward policy in the Middle East. The religious Shiite parties would never put up with a US attack on Iran, and they are likely to find ways of supporting Amal and Hizbullah in Lebanon over time. Nor is it likely that they will moderate Hizbullah.

Initially Allawi had decided to remain in the opposition, which would have been just fine with the religious Shiites who won the election. But the Kurds and the Americans wanted to see a government of national unity where Allawi and the secular, largely ex-Baathist Shiites retained at least a little influence inside the new state.

Al-Zaman reports that the cabinet posts set aside for Sunnis have been reduced from 6 to 4 (to accommodate Allawi's list?) This is not good news for national reconciliation.

The change came in part because the religious Shiites and Kurds have decided that the distribution of cabinet posts will be in accordance with the percentage of seats each major bloc gained in parliament. Thus, 27% will go to the Kurds, 53% to the religious Shiites, etc. Allawi's list would get about 4 or 14%, and the Sunni Arabs if they also got four would actually be much over-represented (they won't see it that way).

In addition to the prime minister, there will now be two vice premiers, according to the same newspaper. One will be Ahmad Chalabi, as vice premier for security affairs. The other will be a Kurd, Barham Saleh. The interim constitution had not specified any office such as vice premier.

Jalal Talabani was on Wolf Blitzer on Sunday on CNN. He seemed constantly confused. He referred to the new prime minister as "Ibrahim Allawi" (He meant Ibrahim Jaafari, whose name he forgot when he was nominating him as PM last week!) And he clearly confused Abu Musab al-Zarqawi with Muqtada al-Sadr for a while. Blitzer pressed him on Muqtada and Talabani at length said he was also a criminal like Zarqawi. Since Muqtada has something close to 30 supporters in parliament, and since Talabani may at some point need their votes, this equation of Muqtada with Zarqawi might have been unwise. I couldn't even tell if that is what Talabani really meant to say.
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Sunday, April 10, 2005

Of Bents and Teaching

Daniel Drezner maintains that there are virtually no political science courses that deal with the Arab-Israeli conflict in the United States that have a "Zionist bent."

Well, I disagree, and I have lots of evidence for disagreeing.

But anyway, Drezner has misunderstood my point. I don't give a rat's ass whether those courses have a Zionist bent or not. I am saying that "bent" is not a relevant category of analysis when evaluating university teaching. Everybody has some bent. The question is, whether students come out of the class having learned to reason about a set of problems or not. The content is not as important, since they'll forget a lot of the content anyway, and will receive it selectively, both during and after the class. But if you teach them to take things apart and see how they work, to think about social and political causation, to see how things work together, in a particular field, then they can produce their own knowledge and understanding about it thereafter. They can also question their own and the professor's premises because they will have learned about hidden premises and how to bring them out in the open and interrogate them.

All this is as true of left/right issues, as well.
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Up to 300,000 Demonstrate in Baghdad

Edmund Sanders reports that the crowds in downtown Baghdad protesting the US troop presence in the country may have been as large as 300,000. If it were even half that, these would be the largest popular demonstrations in Iraq since 1958! To any extent that they show popular sentiment shifting in Shiite areas to Muqtada al-Sadr's position on the American presence, they would indicate that he is winning politically even though the US defeated his militia militarily.

Big demonstrations were also held in Ramadi and in Najaf.

In Baghad, Shaikh Mu'ayyad al-Khazraji, a Sadr aide, said that the demonstrations would continue, to pressure the parliament to demand a US withdrawal.

Al-Hayat reports that Muqtada urged his followers not to bear arms and were not to reply with gunfire if they were shot at by the Americans, saying that God would be responsible for defeating the Occupiers." The demonstrators demanded a swift trial of Saddam Hussein, a timetable for US withdrawal, the release of Iraqis detained by the US, and an end to the marginalization of the opposition. The demonstrators carried effigies of Saddam Hussein, President Bush and UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, each labeled "International Terrorist." Ash-Sharq al-Awsat says that the crowds also demanded an end to torture in Iraqi prisons.

Off to the side a small crowd of Iraqi Christians joined in the demonstration, with placards saying, "We support the call of Sayyid Muqtada for national unity."

In a sermon read for him, Muqtada accused the United States of double standards-- allowing Israel to have the bomb but bothering Muslim powers who have a nuclear program.

The demonstration's magnitude appears to have convinced prime minister designate, Ibrahim Jaafari of the Dawa Party, to begin speaking once again of a timetable for the withdrawal of foreign troops.

The United Arab Front in Kirkuk demanded the creation of a militia to protect the Arabs of that city from the Kurdish "security militias" [i.e. the Kurdish-dominated police force in the city]. Shaikh Wasfi al-Asi, the leader of the Front, said that Iraq is an Arab country and an inseparable part of the Arab world, and that it is inappropriate for Jalal Talabani to be president, because he is a Kurd and is trying to evict Arabs from Kirkuk. (Al-Asi is a good representative of the peculiar Iraqi Baath racism that ran wild in the Saddam era).

Telling Tidbits from Iraqi newspapers via BBC World Monitoring for April 5:



"Al-Mu'tamar publishes on the front page a 120-word report citing a source as saying that Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani expressed reservations about giving ministerial posts to the members of the United Iraqi Alliance because they will be distracted from the most important task - drafting the constitution." . . .

Al-Adalah carries on page 1 a 300-word report citing National Assembly member Ali al-Dabbagh as saying that Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani called on the assembly members to grant the Sunni Arabs "complete freedom" in nominating their candidate for the vice-presidential post . . .

Al-Da'wah carries on the front page a 100-word report citing Ahmad al-Safi, Al-Sistani's representative and National Assembly member, as calling for taking into consideration the minorities' rights in drafting the constitution . . .

Al-Da'wah publishes on page 2 a 75-word report citing National Assembly member Maytham Hanzal in Dhi Qar as resigning from the National Assembly and that he wants to dedicate his time to teaching . . .

Al-Zaman publishes on the front page a 220-word report citing Khalid al-Marsumi, member of the Iraqi Communist Party's Central Committee, describing the attack on his party's headquarters in Al-Sadr City in Baghdad on 3 April as "ideological terrorism".

Al-Zaman publishes on the front page a 200-word report citing Sunni Waqf Chairman Dr Adnan Muhammad Salman al-Dulaymi urging the Iraqi government and US forces to release the more than 80 mosque imams, who have been detained since 9 April 2003 . . .

Al-Furat publishes on the front page a 120-word "exclusive" report citing a Saudi national, a former detainee at Abu Ghurayb Prison, describing the killing of a baby in front of his mother in the prison . . .

Al-Ufuq runs on page 4 a 200-word report citing Dr Hasan al-Janabi, the former adviser in the Water Resources Ministry, as saying that there is a shortage of drinking water, especially in the southern governorates.

Al-Ufuq publishes on page 5 a 100-word report stating that the cabinet has issued a resolution that bans dealing with 74 international pharmaceutical companies because they did not fulfil their commitments towards Iraq . . .

Al-Dustur publishes on page 6 a 1,000-word report describing life in Al-Batawiyyin District in central Baghdad. The report says that it is the main centre for criminal gangs, drug trafficking, prostitution, the trafficking of human organs, and other organized crimes . . .

Al-Da'wah runs on page 2 a 100-word report citing Karbala Municipality Director Abd Un as saying that the delay in municipality services in Karbala is due to the absence of the allocations for carrying out a campaign for removing the trash in the governorate . . .

Al-Bayan publishes on page 2 a 100-word report citing Municipality and Public Works Minister Nisrin Mustafa Barwari as saying that the ministry has reinstated 2,800 persons, who were dismissed for political reasons during the former regime . . ."

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Friedman's Slander of Middle East Studies and How it is Wrong and Ignorant

On April 7, 2005, in his New York Times op-ed piece, Thomas Friedman wrote:


' Until the recent elections in Iraq and among the Palestinians, the modern Arab world was largely immune to the winds of democracy that have blown everywhere else in the world. Why? That's a pretty important question. For years, though, it was avoided in both the East and the West.

In the West, it was avoided because a toxic political correctness infected the academic field of Middle Eastern studies -- to such a degree that anyone focusing on the absence of freedom in the Arab world ran the risk of being labeled an "Orientalist" or an "essentialist." '


I don't know Tom Friedman well. I once had dinner with him and Lee Bollinger, just after September 11, at the university president's house here at the University of Michigan, so I can say I've met him. I remember some of our conversation at that time. I argued, at a time when it seemed clear that the US would go to war with Afghanistan, that simply bombing the Taliban and al-Qaeda would not be enough. I said that the US had a responsibility to do nation-building in Afghanistan. Not only did we owe the country for helping devastate it by using it in as a proxy in our war with the Soviets, but if we did not help it out, it might well fall back into chaos and generate forces that might hit us again. Tom absolutely disagreed and, on free market grounds, argued that no attempt at government state building should ever be undertaken. I explained why I thought it was not only desirable but inevitable. He said, "Well, someone would have to show me how it could be done." I am glad to say that I clearly won this argument after the fact, and Tom seemed rather more enthusiastic about US nation-building a year later, when considering Iraq. Indeed, he now seems to want the US government to engage in vast social-engineering projects throughout the Middle East. Tom, I was just talking about Afghanistan. Even if I convinced you, I didn't mean you to go quite this far.

In the friendliest of ways, I would now like to address the two paragraphs above, in which Tom rather surprisingly lashed out at the field to which he himself belongs. (He has a master's degree in Middle East studies from St. Anthony's at Oxford University, and surely that training-- with some of the same people who trained or influenced the rest of us in the field-- is part of the secret of Tom's success as a journalist of the area).

He begins by wondering why the winds of democracy have not blown in "the Arab world" except recently "in Iraq and among Palestinians" (sic) (why not "and in Palestine"?). He says it is an important question that has been avoided by the academic Middle East studies field in the West, because that field was "infected" with a "political correctness" that made it impossible to speak of the problem of authoritarianism in the Middle East without risking being branded an "essentialist."

Now, there are at least four things wrong with these assertions.

First, it is not true that the recent elections in Palestine and Iraq were so unique. Lebanon had regular elections from 1943 until the civil war of the mid-1970s, which resumed in the 1990s. The Palestinians had what were widely regarded as relatively free and fair elections in 1996. And, important steps toward democratization were begun in Jordan in 1989, in Yemen after unification, in Morocco in 2002, and in Bahrain in 2002. Tom himself praised some of these developments at the time. These parliamentary elections were all flawed in important ways, and marred by continued aspects of authoritarianism, but they can't be dismissed as insignificant. And, the elections in Palestine and Iraq, both held under conditions of foreign military occupation with substantial portions of the electorate engaged in a boycott and poor security conditions, were also deeply flawed. (In Iraq, where the very names of the candidates were largely kept secret for fear they would be assassinated, the election was anonymous and therefore in some real sense not a democratic election at all, but a sort of national referendum on a set of party lists.)

So Tom's premises here are, well, downright weird, and contradict other things he has said in the past.

Then there is the inconvenient fact that political scientists such as Michael Hudson and others have in fact attempted to understand why the Arab world was an exception to the "third wave" of democratization. There is a fair literature on the subject by political scientists, of which Friedman seems, to my astonishment, completely unaware. Tom might enjoy reading Michael Hudson's "Obstacles to democratization in the Middle East," Contention, vol. 5, no. ii, pp. 81-105, 1995, which took up the subject he says has been absent, and did it ten years ago! Then there is Tim Niblock, "Democratization: a theoretical and practical debate," British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, vol. 25, no. ii, pp. 221-233, 1998. Or how about Fred Lawson's "Syria resists the end of history," Middle East and North Africa: governance, democratization, human rights. Ed. P.J.Magnarella. Aldershot: Ashgate, 1999, pp. 67-82. Then there is Raymond Hinnebusch, "Liberalization without democratization in "post-populist" authoritarian states: evidence from Syria and Egypt," in Citizenship and the state in the Middle East: approaches and applications. Ed. N.A.Butenschon, Uri Davis, & M.Hassassian. Syracuse (USA): Syracuse University Press, 2000, pp. 123-145. Try Curtis Ryan and Jillian Schwedler's "Return to democratization or new hybrid regime? The 2003 elections in Jordan," Middle East Policy, vol. 11, no. ii, pp. 138-151, 2004. This is just a small sample of an enormous scholarly literature. Is it really true that Tom has departed so far from his earlier training that he can't even look articles up in Index Islamicus online, much less bother to read them?

Third, the way you would get accused of essentialism is to engage in it. This fancy word just means that you say things that depend on there being eternal essences of things. So, for instance, if you said, "Palestinians are now and always have been a violent, fanatical, and duplicitous race." -- that would be essentialism (also racism). You would be assuming that Palestinians have a shared and unvarying essence. If you said, "Arabs are incapable of democracy because their political instincts are always authoritarian"-- that would be essentialism. If you said that most Arab governments are authoritarian, and tried to explain why that was with reference to changing political, social or economic factors, then that would not be essentialist. It would be social science.

The fourth problem is that what Friedman has alleged about lack of critiques of authoritarianism in the region is completely untrue. I am going to be charitable and attribute his lapse of judgment to ignorance, or to listening to the wrong people and not reading enough in the field.

But I just did a few keyword searches in Lexis Nexis and on google, putting in the names of a few random major American scholars of Middle East studies. I tried to go back in time a bit, before the most recent controversies stemming from 9/11, so as to show that critiques have been being offered all along. I'll let readers judge if "political correctness" deterred the persons below, who are central to the field, from critiquing authoritarian governance in the Middle East. Most academics mainly write journal articles and books, rather than op-eds, and relatively few get quoted in the press. So if I could keyword search the books written by Middle East studies scholars, I could give many more examples. But even what is below is enough to show that Tom is dead wrong.

Michael Hudson, Political Science, Georgetown University, and a past president of the Middle East Studies Association, quoted in The Toronto Star May 12, 1994, "Killing an Arabic dream The civil war in Yemen is destroying the region's experiment in democracy and unity"


"Basically what you have in Yemen that's causing it to fall apart are two regimes that never really were able to shake off their exclusivist, dictatorial mentality even though unity was, and still is, something that on the popular level Yemenis wanted and still want," Michael Hudson, professor of international relations at Georgetown University in Washington, told The Star.

Along with thousands of other foreigners, including Canadian oil company workers, Hudson was evacuated from San'a just a few days ago."



Rashid Khalidi (a past president of the Middle East Studies Association and professor of history at Columbia University) et al., The New York Times, January 20, 1994, Thursday, Late Edition - Final



Human Rights Activist Disappears in Cairo

To the Editor:

Last Dec. 10, Mansour Kikhia, former Libyan Foreign Minister and twice Libya's United Nations representative, disappeared while in Cairo for the annual meeting of the Arab Organization of Human Rights, of which he was a founder and director. The evidence suggests he was abducted and is alive but detained in Libya.

Since he left his United Nations post in 1980, Mr. Kikhia, a distinguished jurist and human rights activist, has been a prominent member of the Libyan opposition. In 1984 he joined other well-known Arab opponents of despots and oligarchies to establish the human rights organization, placing himself on the front line of the battle for democracy and decent government in the Middle East.

Now his enemies have struck back at him in a lawless and cowardly fashion. We call on the Egyptian authorities -- from whose territory Mr. Kikhia disappeared -- to mount a vigorous investigation of this breach of human decency. We call on the Libyan Government to cooperate fully in the search for him.

As friends and colleagues of Mansour Kikhia, whose bravery and principles we have long admired, we urge Arabs, Americans with an interest in the Arab world and human rights organizations not to rest until he regains his freedom. Nothing could be worse than to let the governments concerned think he will be forgotten.

EDWARD W. SAID, CLOVIS MAKSOUD
RASHID KHALIDI, SAMIH FARSOUN"
New York, Jan. 12, 1994



Joel Beinin, Professor of History, Stanford, former president of the Middle East Studies Association, from his 2002 MESA Presidential Address:


' The holders of state power have always tried to impose an intellectual agenda compatible with their interests, as students of Middle East history know from the attempts of the `Abbasid Caliphs al-Ma’mun (813-33) and al-Mu`tasim (833-42) to impose the rationalist mu`tazili doctrine on their subjects. And there have always been those who have struggled against the imposition of doctrines associated with state power, as we know from the ardent resistance of Ahmad ibn Hanbal (780-855) to the mu`tazili doctrine. As some would have it, the victory of ibn Hanbal in this confrontation is part of "what went wrong" in Islamic societies. We could just as easily draw a different lesson: that when states attempt to impose an intellectual orthodoxy – even an "enlightened" one such as rationalism, secularism, modernization, Arab socialism, Marxism-Leninism, or neo-liberal economics and "freedom" – they inevitably generate a resistance, which may or may not itself be enlightened. And in combating that resistance they may very likely adopt cruel and authoritarian measures that will undermine the legitimacy of whatever "enlightened" ideas they espoused. The recent histories of Iraq, Syria, Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria, Iran, and Turkey offer volumes of evidence for this proposition. '


Andrew J. Pierre and William B. Quandt, "The 'Contract' With Algeria; One Last Chance for the West to Help Stop the Civil War" The Washington Post, January 22, 1995, Sunday.

Quandt is a Vice Provost for International Affairs and professor of government at the University of Virginia, and long-time member of the Middle East Studies Association.


. . . leverage exists precisely because any Algerian regime will depend on solid relations with France and Europe, and to a lesser extent with the United States. Thus, a coordinated policy among all these external parties could help to strengthen the chance of Algerian democracy.

As the United States stakes out its position, several points are of particular importance:

A high-level American official should convey to Paris, the Algerian regime and opposition groups the United States' strong support for the end of violence through political dialogue between the military government and opposition forces. Algerians should be urged to begin a transitional process designed to create a legitimate government through free presidential and parliamentary elections. The Sant'Egidio document represents one step in this direction, and the regime's own commitment to early elections is another potentially positive element. One may doubt the sincerity of some in the opposition and some in the regime who have spoken of democratic processes, but each side should now put the other to the test by engaging in serious talks."


Lisa Anderson, Dean and Political Scientist, Columbia University and a past president of the Middle East Studies Association, in Jane Perlez, "A Middle East Choice: Peace or Democracy," The New York Times, November 28, 1999, Sunday, Late Edition - Final

(- on the rise of a new generation of Arab leaders:)


' One common thread runs through the process: the new leaders are likely to emerge for reasons of bloodline rather than merit, and it gives some analysts pause, no matter how pro-Western or pro-peace these leaders are.

"These people are not being chosen for competence in modern society but for loyalty and kinship," said Lisa Anderson, the dean of the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University. "There is not a layer of technocrats who appear to be poised to take the reins of power." '


That should be enough to show that Friedman's statement is not only wrong but bizarre. Let me just add two other documents. Although Edward Said was trained in literary criticism and mainly taught and wrote about literature, and was not trained as or employed as a Middle East studies academic, he is clearly one of Friedman's targets in the quote above, since he wrote against "Orientalism." But Said himself was a consistent and harsh critic of the lack of democracy in the Arab world.

Edward Said in The Guardian (London), January 12, 1991


"Because of this lopsided state of affairs militarism asumed far too privileged a place in the Arab world's moral economy. Much of it goes back to the sense of being unjustly treated, for which Palestine was not only a metaphor but a reality. But, I ask myself, was the only answer military force of one sort of another: huge armies, brassy slogans, bloody promises, and, alas, a massive series of concrete instances, starting with wars at the top and working down to such things as physical punishment and menacing gestures at the bottom? I speak superficially and even irresponsibly
here, since I cannot have all the facts at my command, and I perhaps have no right to be passing judgments such as these.

BUT I do not know a single Arab who would disagree with these impressions in private, or who would not readily agree that the monopoly on coercion given the state and its army and police have almost completely eliminated democracy in the Arab world, introduced immense hostility between rulers and ruled, placed a much higher value on conformity, opportunism, flattery and getting along than on risking new ideas, criticism or dissent.

Taken far enough this produces exterminism, a notion that if you don't get your way or something displeases you it is possible simply to blot it out. I do not doubt that that notion is behind Iraq's aggression against Kuwait. What sort of muddled and anachronistic idea of Bismarckian 'integration' is this, that wipes out an entire country and smashes its society with 'Arab unity' as its goal? The most disheartening thing is that so many people, many of them victims of exactly the same brutal logic, appear to have identified with Iraq and not Kuwait. Even if one grants that Kuwaitis were unpopular (does one have to be popular not to be exterminated?) and even if Iraq claims to champion Palestine in standing up to Israel and the US, surely the very idea that a nation should be obliterated along the way is a murderous proposition, unfit for a great civilisation like ours. It is a measure of the dreadful state of political culture in the Arab world today that such exterminism is current, maybe even prevalent."


Although Iran is not an Arab country, you never know what the unit of analysis is in American journalism. So here's something I wrote about Iran fully 15 years ago for a wide-circulation popular magazine.

Juan Cole writing in History Today, Mar., 1990:


"As measured by the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, the Islamic Republic of
Iran has for the past decade achieved one of the worst human rights records of any country in the world. Of course, many of the government-sponsored summary arrests and executions carried out have targeted political groupings that posed an alternative to the clerical state. But the Khomeini regime has also persecuted communities that posed no particular threat to the Islamic Republic's stability, most prominently the Baha'is."

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Saturday, April 09, 2005

Breaking News: Tens of Thousands Protest Americans in Baghdad

Tens of thousands of Shiites came out Saturday to Firdaws Square in downtown Baghdad to protest the continued US military presence in Iraq. It is the largest demonstration ever achieved by the Sadr Movement, who are Shiite nationalists. The crowds reenacted the pulling down of the statue of Saddam Hussein two years ago by pulling down effigies of George W. Bush and Tony Blair, dressed in orange jumpsuits to recall torture of prisoners at Abu Ghraib and elsewhere.

They chanted, "Yes, yes to Islam, No, no to America!".

Thousands of Sunnis gathered in downtown Ramadi to protest, as well. The Association of Muslim Scholars declined to have their Sunni Arab followers join the Shiites at Firdaws Square, which points to continued sharp ethnic divisions that have made it difficult for Iraqi nationalists to unite against the American presence.
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Protests Called for Saturday Against US Troop Presence

Wire services and Arab News report:

"In the main southern city of Basra, three masked men shot dead an officer in the new Iraqi Army as he was dining Thursday, an army spokesman said. The same night, four US soldiers were wounded in the northern town of Shurgat when insurgents hurled a hand grenade at them, a US military statement said. Another US military statement yesterday said a US Marine died two days ago in a vehicle accident during combat operations in the former rebel stronghold of Fallujah, west of the capital. Also, a US soldier was killed by a bomb in northern Iraq yesterday, the US Army said. The soldier was killed around noon when a homemade bomb exploded near Hawijah, in Kirkuk province, a statement said without providing further details.


Newly installed Iraqi Prime Minister Ibrahim Jaafari said Friday that Iraq needed technocrats and nationalists in high office. According to another official from the United Iraqi Alliance, Jawad al-Maliki, the Shiite religious parties will get the ministries of finance, petroleum, and interior. (The Interior ministry is like the US Homeland Security plus FBI, i.e. domestic security). The Sunni Arabs will be given the defense ministry, but ex-Baathists will be purged from it. The Kurds had badly wanted the petroleum ministry, but appeared to have lost out and have been offered the ministry of planning as a consolation prize.

Shiite religious nationalist Muqtada al-Sadr and some Sunni clerics have called for a demonstration at Firdaws Square in downtown Baghdad for Saturday against the continued presence of US troops in Iraq 2 years after the fall of Saddam Hussein on April 9, 2003.

As Sadrist clerics traveled Friday from the Shiite shrine cities of Najaf and Karbala up to Baghdad, they came under sniper attack just south of Baghdad, and one was killed and two wounded killed. Sunni guerrillas have targeted many Shiites in the region south of Baghdad.
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Friday, April 08, 2005

Jaafari Appointed Prime Minister

Jalal Talabani appears to have had a senior moment of some magnitude. In the course of announcing that Ibrahim Jaafari will be Iraq's new prime minister, he says he suffered a memory lapse and had to leave the podium so an aide could remind him of Jaafari's name. The superstitious took it as an ill omen.

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat reports that Jaafari pledged to make headway on Iraq's poor security, and that he sharply criticized the outgoing government of Iyad Allawi for letting Baathists serve in the security and intelligence forces. Jaafari appears set to purge them.

The same newspaper says that 10 Iraqis were killed in separate incidents in the ongoing guerrilla war on Thursday, and another 11 corpses were discovered near Ramadi (usually these turn out to be police or police recruits).
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Mahdi Army still a Factor

Anthony Shadid of the Washington Post continues his world-beating coverage of Iraq with an article on the reemergence of the Mahdi Army in the south, in places like Nasiriyah and Basrah.

Look, if all the Mahdi Army amounts to is angry young men with guns persuaded to support puritanical morality and to give their political loyalty to Muqtada al-Sadr, then it can never be "defeated" by the US military. It is just an urban social movement. You'd have to change the character of the Shiite slums to make an impact on it, which won't happen tomorrow.

The US military thought that it had defeated the Mahdi Army by late May 2004. Then when fighting broke out again in August, the militia fought tenaciously in Najaf and seemed to come from nowhere. One reporter told me that the US generals in Iraq were frantically trying to discover how Muqtada had recruited so many new fighters in only a couple of months. But that's easy. The fighters in August were the angry cousins of the ones killed in May. In Iraq you can't let a thing like foreigners killing your cousin pass without action. Young men who had been on the fence now picked up guns and rpg launchers. Their lack of professional fighting skills ensured their military defeat, but by holing up in the shrine of Ali they gained political capital outside Najaf itself. If Sistani had not intervened, and had Allawi gone ahead with plans to invade the shrine of Ali, it could well have provoked a Shiite social revolution against the interim government and against the Americans. Mahdi Army militiamen are easy to kill, hard to defeat.

So far the Badr Corps militia of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq has gotten a pass from the Americans, on the whole. But its fighters can be just as thuggish and intrusive as Sadr's.
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Cairo Blast at Khan al-Khalili

The analysis of the bombing of a tourist area of Cairo, which killed 4 and wounded 18 on Thursday given by the Egyptian social scientists interviewed by China's Xinhuanet seems to me quite sophisticated. They pointed to increased wealth stratification (social contradictions) in Egypt-- where the poor have stayed poor and the rich have gotten a bit better off during the past 25 years. They also pointed to the destabilizing effect on the region of the Iraq War and other American policies.

The bombing was likey the work of Ayman al-Zawahiri's al-Jihad al-Islami, which
is part of al-Qaeda. That Bush wimped out on destroying Bin Laden and al-Zawahiri and instead poured $300 billion into the Iraq quagmire has left the jihadis free to plot and act. Egypt gets billions of dollars every year in revenue from tourism, which helps prop up the Egyptian government. The al-Jihad al-Islami wants to overthrow the Egyptian government, so it is trying to deprive it of the tourist revenue. The tactic works, but it has the disadvantage of making all the other Egyptians, who depend on the tourist revenue, angry at the jihadis and unwilling to support them politically.
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New York Times Supports McCarthyite Witch Hunt

I am cancelling my subscription to the New York Times, and I urge others to do the same.

The New York Times editorial board went over to the Dark Side on Thursday, with an editorial that blasted the end results of a panel at Columbia University that investigated whether students had been intimidated by professors at Columbia University. The panel found that there was no evidence of any such thing, that no students had been punished for their views by lowered grades, that there was no evidence of racial bigotry.

The NYT nevertheless praised the neo-McCarthyite "film" (actually it is large numbers of films that are constantly re-edited and have never been publicly shown) produced by the shadowy anti-Palestinian "David Project." But the "film" is not an objective document. I could interview on film lots of people who ascribed all sorts of bad behavior to the editors of the New York Times and call it a "damning documentary." Students, including Israelis, who have actually taken classes in Middle East studies at Columbia dispute the films' allegations.

The real question here is whether it is all right to dispute the Zionist version of history. The David Project, AIPAC, the American Jewish Congress, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, the Middle East Forum, Campus Watch, MEMRI, the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs, the Zionist Organization of America, etc., etc., maintain that it is not all right. Some of them have even been known to maintain that disputing Zionist historiography is a form of hate speech.

Historians are unkind to nationalism of any sort. Nineteenth century romantic nationalism of the Zionist sort posits eternal "peoples" through history, who have a blood relationship (i.e. are a "race") and who have a mystical relationship with some particular territory. The Germans, who were very good at this game, called it "blood and soil." Nationalism casts about for some ancient exemplar of the "nation" to glorify as a predecessor to the modern nation. (Since nations actually did not exist in the modern sense before the late 1700s, the relationship is fictive. To explain what happened between ancient glory and modern nationalism, nationalists often say that the "nation" "fell asleep" or "went into centuries of decline. My colleague Ron Suny calls this the "sleeping beauty" theory of nationalism.)

But there are no eternal nations through history. People get all mixed up genetically over time, except for tiny parts of the genome like the mitochondria or the Y chromosome, on which too much emphasis is now put. Since there are no eternal nations based in "blood," they cannot have a mystical connection to the "land." People get moved around. The Turks now in Anatolia once lived in Mongolia (and most Turks anyway are just Greeks who converted to Islam and began speaking Turkish).

The David Project wants Middle East historians to reproduce faithfully in the classroom the Zionist master narrative as the "true" version of history. We aren't going to do that, and nobody can make us do it, and if anyone did make us do it, it would be destructive of academic, analytical understandings of history. Next the Serbs will be demanding that we explain why the Bosnians had to be suppressed, and the Russians will object to any attempt to understand the roots of Chechen terrorism, and the Chinese will object to our teaching about Taiwan. The American Nazi Party will maintain that the Third Reich is presented unsympathetically in university history classes, etc. etc. Ethnic nationalisms if allowed to dictate the teaching of history would destroy the entire discipline.

The NYT editorial concludes:


"But in the end, the report is deeply unsatisfactory because the panel's mandate was so limited. Most student complaints were not really about intimidation, but about allegations of stridently pro-Palestinian, anti-Israeli bias on the part of several professors. The panel had no mandate to examine the quality and fairness of teaching. That leaves the university to follow up on complaints about politicized courses and a lack of scholarly rigor as part of its effort to upgrade the department. One can only hope that Columbia will proceed with more determination and care than it has heretofore."


What the editors mean by "anti-Israeli" is not spelled out. But generally the term means any criticism of Israel. (You can criticize Argentina all day every day till the cows come home and nobody cares in the US, but make a mild objection to Ariel Sharon putting another 3500 settlers onto Palestinian territory in contravention of all international law and of the road map to which the Bush administration says it is committed, and boom!, you are branded a racist bigot. And if you dare point out that Sharon's brutality and expansionism end up harming America and Americans by unnecessarily making enemies for us (because we are Sharon's sycophants), then you are really in trouble.

Personally, I think that the master narrative of Zionist historiography is dominant in the American academy. Mostly this sort of thing is taught by International Relations specialists in political science departments, and a lot of them are Zionists, whether Christian or Jewish. Usually the narrative blames the Palestinians for their having been kicked off their own land, and then blames them again for not going quietly. It is not a balanced point of view, and if we take the NYT seriously (which we could stop doing after they let Judith Miller channel Ahmad Chalabi on the front page every day before the war), then the IR professors should be made to teach a module on the Palestinian point of view, as well. That is seldom done.

Academic teaching is not about balance or "fairness" or presenting "both sides" of an issue. It is about teaching people to reason analytically and synthetically about problems. The NYT approach would ruin our ability to do this and would impose a particular version of history on us all by fiat. It even implies that some committee should sanction anyone critical of Israel.

Universities are about skewering sacred cows. Anyone who doesn't want their views challenged or their feelings hurt should stay away from them. If you can't handle an intellectual challenge, you shouldn't be on campus. And you certainly shouldn't be editing a major newspaper.

Links:

Rashid Khalidi on Democracy Now..

Links to the report and to Joseph Massad's response.

Baruch Kimmerling, the eminent Israeli sociologist, denounces the witch hunt at Columbia. The Chronicle of Higher Education, which hasn't done squat for professors faced with the New McCarthyism, rejected Kimmerling's piece, and they are another good candidate for cancelled subscriptions.

Scott Sherman in the Nation, "The Mideast Comes to Columbia."

Note: The links aren't "balanced." You'll have to find the McCarthyites on your own.
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Thursday, April 07, 2005

Bush Less Popular than Dick Nixon

Could Iraq be the undoing of both major political parties that backed the war in the West?

President Bush is suffering from the worst poll numbers of any second-term president in the spring after his reelection since World War II. If the rest of his second term goes like this, it could hand the Democrats the White House in 2008.

Editor and Publisher put the poll in historical context and found that Bush is relatively unpopular.

Mark Murray gives some of the reasons for the fall in Bush's popularity, but sees Bush's pitiful 45-48 percent poll numbers as solid or good. The whole picture looks much worse in historical context, which is further proof that judgment about contemporary affairs made in a historical vacuum is always flawed.

Murray points to public dislike of Bush's plan for privatizing social security and its disgust at the Republicans' grave-robbing grandstanding in the Schiavo case, as well as a general feeling that the country is going in the wrong direction (51%), as explanations for Bush's poor showing.

Murray mysteriously leaves out the petroleum factor. I have been amazed that a doubling of gas prices was just accepted by Americans as a matter of course and did not become an issue in last year's presidential campaign. The public still hates Jimmy Carter for allowing such a thing (as if he could have done anything about it). I presume that stoicism over petroleum prices was a by-product of the war mentality. Maybe Americans felt that their country had come under attack on September 11, and the subsequent wars and gas price hikes just had to be borne.

But the issue is finally emerging. In a recent poll, 58 % said the gas prices were creating a serious financial hardship for them. USA Today reports, "Nearly half of those polled — 48% — said they already have cut driving to reduce their fuel bills, and 38% say they've trimmed other household spending." People are also buying fewer SUVs, which isn't going to help the US auto industry. The present concern probably comes because the public has begun to suspect that prices are not going back down. About $10 a barrel of the current $57 a barrel for petroleum probably derives from speculation and anxiety in the oil markets resulting from the Iraq war and ongoing crisis. Prices at the pump might be $1.80 rather than $2.20 if it weren't for Iraq.

And then there is Iraq. In a recent poll, "53 percent of Americans said the war was not worth fighting, 57 percent said they disapprove of the president's handling of Iraq and 70 percent said the number of U.S. casualties, including more than 1,500 deaths, is an unacceptable price to pay there."

My American readers seem completely uninterested in British politics, to my amazement. But it is worth noting that Tony Blair has called for elections May 5, isn't doing well in the polls, and admits that the Iraq debacle has hurt him. His government has been dogged by questions of whether Blair knew the war to be illegal before he helped launch it, whether he promised Bush to support such a war early in Bush's presidency, and whether he knew or should have known how bad was the intelligence on the basis of which it was set in motion. The British public, unlike the American, actually cares, moreover, about things like the Geneva Conventions and international law, and the Iraq prison abuse scandals have hurt Blair's image, as well. (Bush, on the other hand, has been teflon in the US in the face of torture, intelligence failures, and gross mismanagement of the country he conquered, apparently because a majority of Americans just doesn't care).

Italy's Silvio Berlusconi is also running away from the Iraq issue by announcing he'll start pulling out troops in September, for the purposes of positioning himself in his own upcoming election. He knows what happened to Aznar in Spain.

Is Iraq becoming an electoral albatross around the necks of the victors?
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Provincial Elections Stir Trouble

My comments on the Lehrer News Hour about the implications of the formation of a presidency council are now online.

I was challenged by Dr. Karim on some facts. But I stand by what I said. 1) Adnan al-Janabi was in fact rejected as speaker by the Shiites and Kurds because they said his brother had Baath connections. 2) Mishaan al-Juburi was in fact put forward by the Sunni caucus in parliament. 3) The man who became speaker, Hajem al-Hassani, was thrown out of the Iraqi Islamic Party for declining to resign when that party withdrew from the interim government in protest against the Fallujah campaign, and he does not have grass roots among the Sunni Arabs on the ground in Iraq.

Karim's insistence that Sunnis with any Baath links at all be ostracized and that the Kurds absolutely must have Kirkuk is a good illustration of the nationalist passions that threaten the stability of Iraq. Nationalism is always very selfish. By the way, Kirkuk was "historically" a Turkmen city probably until the 1950s. And we haven't lost over 1500 US troops killed and 11,000 wounded to make sure the Kurds can grab Kirkuk. They owe us the basic decency of being willing to compromise for the sake of social peace in Iraq.

Edmund Sanders of the Los Angeles Times has gotten the story. This piece is to my knowledge the first major article in the American press on the story of the provincial elections and all the problems attending them.

He reveals that the struggles over who controls the Najaf police in part involve former American-appointed governor Adnan Zurfi, who was displaced by the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq but has attempted to maintain control of the security forces. Al-Zaman, the reports from which I had earlier summarized, had cast the struggle as one between federal Interior Minister Falah al-Naqib and the local Najaf politicians, and had not see Zurfi as a player in the disturbances.

Sanders' version raises the question of whether the Americans and the Iranians are fighting a proxy war for control of Najaf, with Zurfi acting with Rumsfeld's backing, while SCIRI is close to Tehran. Najaf province has a population of over half a million, and is home to the extremely important religious pilgrimage site of the Tomb of Ali (the Prophet's cousin and son-in-law).

Sanders also reveals that SCIRI, which has 20 out of 41 seats on the Basra council, has been outmaneuvered by the Fadila Party, which has made alliances with smaller groups allowing it to come to power. Fadila is an offshoot of the Sadr Movement and is loyal to Shaikh Muhammad Yaqubi, a rival of Muqtada al-Sadr, who studied with Muqtada's father, Muhammad Sadiq al-Sadr. Yaqubi can claim to be a fully fledged jurisprudent, unlike Muqtada, and has picked up the support of Qom-based Grand Ayatollah Kadhim al-Haeri. All the Sadrists are puritanical Shiite extremists aiming for an Islamic state not so different from what is in Iran. The Sadrist attacks on more secular students at Basra University, Sanders says, may be related to Fadila's ascendancy in Basra politics. Basra has a strong secular middle class, but its politics has ended up being dominated by Fadila and SCIRI, both of them aspects of political Islam.

Al-Zaman reported on Tuesday that the Diyala city council had finally been elected, tithout giving a breakdown by party or saying who the new governor is. Sanders reveals that the Diyala council is afraid to hold a meeting for fear of being assassinated, as 8 of the members of the previous council were.

And, the Tamim council can't meet because the Turkmen and Arab members are boycotting, to protest what they see as the victorious Kurds' high-handedness. Tamim is the province in which Kirkuk is now situated, and the Kurds are making a play for dominance in that city, where they are not the majority and haven't traditionally been the majority (in the early 20th century it was a Turkmen city).

I have been telling anyone who would listen that the provincial councils are a big story not being covered by the US press, and send Kudos to Sanders for nailing it.

But what about Sadrist dominance in Maysan and Wasit? Did that pan out. And what is this "Wolves" militia that is attacking "terrorists" in Maysan according to the Iraqi press. It is like a noir movie. There are a million stories in the cities of Iraq.

Thanks to Christine Prince for the tip.
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Yalla Ya Jama'ah (Hurry up, folks!)

The Department of Defense is having difficulty, according to Fred Kaplan at Slate, in coming up with a policy on teaching Arabic to Pentagon personnel. Not a program, not a class. A policy.

The University of Michigan and other Title VI (federally-supported) centers, in contrast, are training thousands of Americans in Arabic every year, and doing the language teaching at a very high level, with great professionalism and innovation. The critics of those Centers would have you believe that they aren't serving the interests of the United States, but in fact they are at the vanguard of helping Americans understand the Middle East at this fateful juncture.
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Oil Workers and Privatization of Iraqi Petroleum

An oil workers union in Basra, organized after the fall of the Baath regime, may be the strongest guarantee against the privatization of the Iraqi oil industry.

But given how broke the Iraqi government would be without the petroleum income, I don't think there is any chance it will privatize, anyway. That particular dream of the Washington consensus people was always a fantasy.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2005

Services Have "Gotten Worse"

A returning aid worker for the AFSC says of Iraq:


Finally, the city grew too dangerous for Westerners and they left, concerned that they were putting not only their lives in danger but also the lives of the Iraqis that they interacted with.

McDowell's job had been to assess the conditions in Iraq and see how humanitarian resources were being used, as well as to work with new Iraqi non-governmental organizations and help with larger projects such as water sanitation.

What he saw wasn't good.

"In the past two years, rather than seeing an improvement in services, (Iraqis are) seeing a continual decline in those services," McDowell said.

That's gone hand in hand with a decline in security.

The American invasion, unfortunately, was undertaken in a manner that allowed chaos to take over.

On one hand, people were thrilled that Saddam's regime was overthrown. On the other hand, McDowell said, "I don't know anybody that would tell you conditions are better. They are worse. Obviously, there were problems under the regime. But they could walk the streets. Their kids could go to school. They felt safe - as long as they didn't engage in politics."


Thanks to Henry Myers for the tip.
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Talabani President

The Iraqi National Assembly is set to announce the formation of a presidential council on Wednesday, selecting Kurdish leader Jalal Talabani as president, Adil Abdul Mahdi as a vice president, and Ghazi al-Yawar as the other vice president. Abdul Mahdi is a member of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq who has gravitated toward a faith in the free market (he is rumored to have been a Maoist in his youth). Yawir is the current president, and is from the powerful Shamar tribe.

Reuter adds


' A U.S. soldier was killed in Baghdad when guerrillas ambushed a patrol with a roadside bomb and then opened fire, the American military said. On Tuesday, the military announced that four U.S. soldiers had been killed in attacks in Iraq.'


The tactics of the guerrillas in Iraq continue to evolve.
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Huhn? The Real Iraq

The unfortunate tendency in the United States to evaluate all statements about Iraq with regard to whether they are "optimistic" (i.e. pro-Bush) or "pessimistic" (i.e. anti-Bush) makes it difficult for those who just want to understand what is going on. I get slammed by the Jeff Jarvis's for reporting bad news (shouldn't it be reported?) or I get cited by rightwing bloggers when I say things like that the Sunni Arab guerrilla movement cannot win.

If you spend any time reading Arabic newspapers, the main conclusion you draw about Iraq is that it just isn't like the typical American imagination of it. I've extracted a few paras. (from a long set of summaries) from the BBC World Monitoring for April 3 and 4 from the Iraqi press below. Each of the entries has a "what in the world?" factor as I read them, just because you don't see this sort of thing in the US media.

April 4:


Al-Furat publishes on page 3 a 1,200-word report citing a number of people expressing their opinion on the "occupation" of Iraq at its 2nd anniversary. Most people interviewed believe that the "occupation" forces plan to remain in Iraq as long as possible and that disputes among Iraqis prolong their presence in the country.


When and if the divisions lessen, I expect to see a popular movement to get US troops out of Iraq.

Al-Ufuq reveals that there was a serious assassination attempt on Jalal Talabani (the new president) on March 9.

April 3:

'Al-Da'wah publishes on the front page a 300-word report on the statement issued by the Al-Da'wah Party, Iraq Organization, on the 40th anniversary of the Imam Al-Husayn martyrdom saying that our people are being subjected to a large scale conspiracy by the US allies and agents in the region . . .'


The new prime minister, Ibrahim Jaafari, is the leader of the Dawa Party. He is well spoken in English, and says mollifying things to the US and the UK, but the Dawa Party which he leads is an old-time revolutionary Shiite Party, and here is the statement of the Party organization itself, on the front page of the party newspaper. I don't think they like us very much. If you read between the lines, they are clearly afraid that the Kurds have a tacit alliance with the Israelis.

'Al-Ufuq publishes on the front page a 250-word follow-up report citing the Association of Muslim Scholars denying that it has issued a fatwa permitting recruitment in the Iraqi Army and police . . .'


Well, we saw the original announcement in the US press, prominently displayed alongside talking head comments about tipping points. But somehow we missed the subsequent disavowal (no doubt by a different section of AMS).


Al-Ittijah al-Akhar on 2 April publishes on page 4 a 700-word report citing Habib Jabir Habib, an Iranian researcher, as saying, in a seminar organized by the Strategic and Political Researches Gulf Centre in Dubai, that his country still regards Iraq as a possible enemy, adding that it has been working to prevent the US from controlling Iraq . . . '


D'oh.


'Al-Ittijah al-Akhar on 2 April publishes on page 7 a 750-word letter by an Islamic group to National Assembly Sunni member Misha'n al-Juburi accusing him of liberalism and secularism and urging him to adopt Islam teachings . . . '


Ex-Baathists are caught between the hatred for them of religious Shiites and of Kurds, and the hatred of them by Sunni fundamentalists within their own ethnic group.


Al-Manarah publishes on the front page a 750-word editorial by Khalaf al-Munshidi in which he criticizes the British forces in Basra for launching raids on the Tamim Tribe in Basra.


If it can't be found at google.news, did it happen?


' Al-Bayan carries on page 4 a 1,200-word report citing a number of university professors who returned home after the downfall of the former regime to contribute to the construction of Iraq, complaining that they are unable to find jobs.

Al-Ufuq publishes on page 4 a 150-word report citing an official source at the Health Ministry informing the newspaper that according to the latest survey conducted by his ministry in cooperation with an international organization there are over one million handicapped in Iraq.

Al-Ufuq devotes all of page 6 to a report discussing the poor emergency health care services in Iraq.

Al-Ittijah al-Akhar on 2 April publishes on page 9 a 150-word letter by an Iraqi citizen criticizing the US forces for torturing Iraqi detainees in Mosul. The letter includes pictures of tortured Iraqi prisoners . . .

Al-Bayan publishes on page 4 a 400-word column by Zaynab al-Khafaji commenting on the Pentagon's recent announcement that it plans to reevaluate the US military presence in Iraq next summer. The writer urges the Iraqi Government to boost the capabilities, training and performance of the Iraqi security forces, which have proved their efficiency in confronting terrorism, in order to provide the appropriate grounds for the departure of foreign forces from Iraq.

Al-Ittijah al-Akhar on 2 April publishes on page 6 a 750-word article by Abd-al-Sattar Ramadan criticizing the US for not punishing the US soldiers responsible for abusing Iraqi detainees in a US-run prison in Mosul . . .

Al-Mashriq runs on page 2 a 1000-word article saying that the "lukewarm" relations between Gulf Cooperation Council member countries and Iraq are due to the fact that these countries have fears from the Shi'i identity of the new Iraqi political system and the prominent role being played by the religious authority in the political life of Iraq.

Al-Mashriq runs on page 2 a 200-word commentary saying that the military experts' emphasis on the current situation in Iraq has created tension in the relations between Iraq and Saudi Arabia and as the latter fears that Al-Qa'idah may make of Iraq a new bases, thus countering Saudi Arabia's efforts to destroy Al-Qa'idah . . .

Al-Furat carries on page 5 a 700-word article by Ahmad al-Murshid in which he comments on the US question that has recently been raised: "Why do they hate us in the Arab and Islamic world?" The writer says that not only people in the Middle East hate the United States, but people all over the world.

Al-Zaman publishes on page 13 a 400-word article by Mundir al-A'sam warning against adopting federalism and dividing Iraq into small states. The writer says that this is an "imperialistic and Israeli scheme". '

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Tuesday, April 05, 2005

Another Bombing at Abu Ghraib
Sunni Meeting Collapses in Acrimony


Guerrillas mounted another bombing attack on Abu Ghuraib prison (this one involving a tractor), leaving 5 Iraqi civilians wounded. On Sunday, a combination of car bombings and mortar attacks wounded dozens of Americans and Iraqis. The NYT reveals that a rumor is going around that Iraqi women are being held at Abu Ghraib and raped. (Given the evidence that surfaced last year, of sexual humiliation of prisoners and the rape of at least one woman, these rumors are found plausible by Sunni Arabs).

At Camp Bucca, inmates staged a major riot last Friday, leaving twelve prisoners and 4 guards slightly wounded, according to the International Committee of the Red Cross.

Al-Zaman reports that masked gunmen attacked the Communist Party HQ in a Baghdad neighborhood of Sadr City or Shiite east Baghdad.. The CPI officials said they did not know who was behind the attack.

A meeting of Sunni Arabs at the house of Adnan Pachachi ended in shouting and curses on Monday, according to AFP:


' The meeting of the National Front, a loose affiliation of Sunni clerics, politicians and civic leaders, took place at the villa of veteran politician Adnan Pachachi to try to agree on a vice presidential candidate . . .

Pachachi announced his candidacy two days ago as outgoing president Ghazi al-Yawar, who is part of the front, is believed to be working out a deal directly with the Shiites and Kurds. He is favoured by the Kurds.

Another Sunni interested in the vice presidency is Sherif Ali bin Hussein, the heir to the deposed monarchy. He, like Pachachi, ran in the elections but failed to win any seats in parliament . . .

The meeting in Pachachi’s house ended in a heated exchange between controversial politician Mishaan al-Juburi and Banyan al-Jarba, the envoy of Sherif Ali.

“The Shiite alliance wants Sherif Ali, but they are trying to hijack the will of the Sunnis,” charged Juburi, who was defeated by the Shiites as candidate for the speakership. They accused him of ties to Saddam Hussein’s ousted regime.

The front was expected to meet again Tuesday.


AlertNet provides an update on Fallujah. The article says that 70 percent of homes in the city have been destroyed. Something between 160,000 and 210,000 residents, out of 250,000 - 300,000 before last November's assault, are still living in tents or with relatives elsewhere. The article says,

' Doctor Hafid al-Dulaimi, director of the Commission for the Compensation of Fallujah Citizens (CCFC), established by the government, told IRIN that a study had been carried to assess the scale of destruction. He reported 36,000 destroyed homes in all districts of Fallujah, along with 8,400 shops.

Al-Dulaimi pointed out that 60 children's nurseries, primary and secondary schools and colleges were destroyed and 65 mosques and religious sanctuaries were almost demolished by the attack, with 13 government buildings requiring new infrastructure.

"Most of the houses need to be rebuilt from scratch . . ." '

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Monday, April 04, 2005

Wesley Clark Conference Call

Wesley Clark held a conference call on the situation in Iraq with some bloggers Monday afternoon, in advance of testifying in Washington on the situation.

He began by pointing out that the US military made an assessment in September of 2002 that it could hold Iraq with 70,000 troops.

[I had not heard this before, and if it is true, and if the assessment came from the officer corps, it means that the typical opposition set up between Gen. Shinseki and others who wanted more troops, and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, who wanted a small force--might actually reflect a dispute within the officer corps itself, with Rumsfeld siding with the minimalist faction in the brass.]

I asked Gen. Clark how the US attains a "soft landing" in Iraq. I pointed out that the conventional wisdom is that if we just stay the course we will eventually be able to put down the guerrilla insurgency and stand up an Iraqi force that can keep them down.

But the problem is that if we over-stay our welcome, and if we do in fact weaken the Sunni guerrillas sufficiently, there is a danger that at that point the Shiites (no longer afraid of the Sunnis and by then very tired of our military presence) will just toss us out unceremoniously.

Clark replied with words to this effect:



He said that this way of posing the problem suggests the need to bring in Arab troops from regional countries, to have Arab advisers in the field with the Iraqi troops, and to continue train the Iraqi forces.

But the success of this enterprise requires that the government in Iraq have political legitimacy.

He went on to imply that it also requires the cooperation of Iraq's neighbors. He saw a key contradiction in Bush administration policy in Iraq, which is that the operation in Iraq was seen as only a stepping stone to also overthrowing the regimes in Syria and Iran.

He located this policy in part in the Neoconservative circle of Richard Perle and Douglas Feith (Undersecretary of Defense for Policy).

He said the aim was to punish Asad's regime and topple it, and likewise with Iran.

The problem with this idea of using Iraq as a springboard to finish off the regimes in Damascus and Tehran is that Bush has given Syria and Iran every reason to interfere with a soft landing of the US-- indeed, there is a danger of a wider entanglement of the US in the region. [This is all loose paraphrase, not verbatim, but I think I've caught the implications.]



I said I saw no evidence that the guerrilla war was winding down.



Clark: You can't tell where you are with this. If there is a way out, this is the way [i.e. that the Sunni Arabs would gradually give allegiance to the new elected government in Iraq]. There is no basis for the administration to crow that the guerrilla war is winding down.

Clark also made clear that he is not seeing military reports from the ground in Iraq, is not speaking from there, and so his assessment of the military situation is from a distance and not that of an insider. He did insist, nevertheless, that the Iraq crisis differs significantly from Vietnam in that the guerrillas in Iraq are so over-matched that they can never hope to engage in more than hit-and-run operations.
Those operations, however, could go on a long time if the political situation is not handled well.


Cole: I thought Clark put his finger on a key contradiction in the Bush administration "forward policy" in the Middle East, of targeting the governments of Syria and Iran for destruction even while the US needs their cooperation to avoid widening disaster in Iraq. This policy is not rational if it were intended solely for the benefit of the United States, and he thinks it derives from a concern to bolster regional allies even at the expense of US interests.

Clark was asked if this conference call was a sign of his interest in a 2008 presidential bid. He replied that he had supported John Kerry and John Edwards.

If the Democratic Party has any sense, it will indeed go for someone like Clark (who you could imagine winning Arkansas and West Virginia against the Republican candidate) in 2008. If the Dems go for Hilary or someone else with that profile, the red/blue split will look in 2008 exactly as it did in 2004, barring some huge disaster that befalls the Bush administration in the meantime. Plus Hilary has started giving that disgusting standard AIPAC stump speach that Fritz Hollings told us is distributed to you as soon as you get elected to Congress. Now that AIPAC is under investigation for espionage for the Likud Party, maybe someone in the US political establishment can finally start standing up to them and pointing out that what's good for Likud isn't necessarily good for Peoria (or even for Israel, more to the point).

Addendum:

Other bloggings of the confernce call:

Daily Kos.

MyDD

Jonathan Singer.

PPS:

The transcript of the 2002 congressional hearing that Gen. Clark referred to is here.
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Speaker of Parliament Elected amid Rancor

Two more US servicemen were killed by guerrilla attacks over the weekend, and the Green Zone took mortar fire near the Iraqi parliament again, during a recess, on Sunday. This news comes a day after a car bomb and mortar attack on Abu Ghraib prison, left 44 US troops wounded along with over a dozen Iraqis.

Enough security to allow a meeting of the parliament was achieved, however, only by closing major bridges in and out of Baghdad and placing restrictions on the circulation of drivers in the capital. Member of parliament and cleric, Shaikh Hussein al-Sadr, warned that such measures invonvenience Baghdadi shopkeepers and others and could produce dislike for the parliament if they continued (ash-Sharq al-Awsat). Meanwhile, journalists complained about being locked out of the proceedings. And women deputies, a little less than a third of the total, complained that they were not being offered any important cabinet or executive posts in the negotiations for the formation of a government.

The Guardian reports that the Iraqi parliament finally decided on a Sunni Arab speaker, Hajem al-Hassani, on Sunday. Although this step does break the logjam to some extent, it is not exactly a huge breakthrough in and of itself. It is now forgotten that it was supposed to be a pro forma decision taken the very first time the parliament met. There is also some evidence that the selection of speaker has alienated the Sunni community rather than pleasing them.

If the parliament stays deadlocked very much longer, the intrepid Anthony Shadid reveals, there is serious talk among the grand ayatollahs in Najaf about bringing millions of protesters out into the streets to force the politicians' hands. (Actually the subtext here is that such massive Shiite protests would put pressure on the Kurds to give up some of their maximalist demands and come to a compromise. Such an ultimatum in the streets would be extremely dangerous, especially if it threw Kirkuk into chaos).

The voting patterns for the two deputy speakers are analyzed by Al-Zaman in Arabic. Although the parliament members were supposed to vote for three slots, a Sunni Arab, a Shiite and a Kurd, for speaker and 2 deputy speakers, it appears that many deputies just voted for two candidates, the Sunni and the Shiite, not bothering about the Kurd. The person with the second most votes after al-Hassani was Hussein Shahristani, a Shiite nuclear engineer close to Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani. Shahristani only received 171 votes out of the 241 representatives in attendance. He was supported by the United Iraqi Alliance, which has 146 reliable votes. So some proportion of the Kurds, secular Shiites, and Sunni Arabs who make up the rest of parliament declined to support him.

The person with the third greatest number of votes was Arif Tayfur, a member of Massoud Barzani's Kurdistan Democratic Party, who received 96 ballots in his favor. Since the 77 Kurds in parliament will have voted for him to a person, it seems clear that he got almost no votes from the religious Shiites of the UIA.

As for al-Hassani and the speaker position: The problem is that there are only 17 Sunni Arabs in the parliament. Three of them ran on the largely religious-Shiite United Iraqi Alliance list, and so were unacceptable to the Sunnis. Of the remaining 14, all but two had served in parliament under Saddam Hussein, or had other links to the Baath Party, and they were therefore unacceptable to the Shiites (and probably the Kurds as well).

Despite their Baath connections, two prominent Sunnis from this group made a bid for the position of speaker, backed by Sunni Arab parties and notables. The first was Adnan al-Janabi, supported by interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi. He was rejected by the UIA on the grounds that his brother had been close to Saddam. Allawi, a secular figure who had been attempting to rehabilitate the more moderate Baathists, was furious at this rebuff.

Then last Wednesday, the Sunni Arab caucus met and put forward Mishaan al-Juburi (Jiburi). The UIA viewed him as having been close to Saddam's sons, Uday and Qusay, however, and flatly rejected him.

BBC World Monitoring translated an al-Arabiya report on what happened next:


' Text of report by Iraqi Al-Sharqiyah TV on 2 April

Groups supporting Mish'an al-Juburi, member of the Iraqi National Assembly, have continued their popular activities for nominating him for the post of the National Assembly Speaker.

The demonstrators in Tikrit north of Baghdad demanded that their choice of Deputy Mish'an al-Juburi as the candidate for this post be respected. Al-Sharqiyah TV correspondent said that the Iraqi forces provided protection at the demonstration in which thousands of people took part, including political and religious figures, in addition to tribal chiefs in Salah al-Din and other governorates.

This was followed by a two-minute video report on the demonstration by Ahamd Fadil, Al-Sharqiyah TV correspondent in Tikrit, who said: "In response to the objection announced by the United Iraqi Alliance to the nomination of Deputy Mish'an al-Juburi by the national dialogue council which represents Sunnis in Iraq, for the post of Speaker of the National Assembly, a demonstration kicked off in Tikrit in which many of those who demanded that their choice be respected took part."

The report included short interviews with Al-Juburi's supporters who called for Al-Juburi's nomination to be endorsed and rejected what they described as partitioning of Iraq.

The correspondent added: "In the slogans they shouted, the demonstrators called for the rejection of sectarianism and urged safeguarding the interests of Iraq in completing the structuring of the National Assembly and moving ahead with serving Iraq." '


Once those 15 were excluded, only two possibilities were left in parliament. They had both been expatriates in the Saddam years, and on the outs with the Baath. One was Ghazi al-Yawir, the interim president, who was at first thought a shoe-in for the job. But he withdrew from consideration, making a play for a position of vice president instead.

That left Hajem al-Hassani. He had been a member of the Iraqi Islamic Party, a successor of the Iraqi Muslim Brotherhood. The Iraqi government web site says of him:


"Minister of Industry & Minerals

Dr. Hajem Al-Hassani

Dr. Al-Hassani was born in Kirkuk in 1954 and graduated from Mosul University. In 1979 he moved to the U.S. to study international trade at the University of Nebraska and earned a doctorate in industrial organization from the University of Connecticut. He has lectured at a number of American universities, managed an Internet company and worked most recently as head of the American Investment and Trading Company in Los Angeles. He has been a member of the board of a number of NGOs. Dr. Al-Hassani worked in the Iraqi Opposition for a number of years and became a member of the Politburo and then official spokesman of the Iraqi Islamic Party. He was elected to the follow up committee of the London Conference and has served as a Deputy Member of the Iraqi Governing Council and the Deputy Chair of its Finance Committee."


Al-Hassani was appointed by Allawi to oversee the disbursement of compensation money to inhabitants of Fallujah who suffered property losses during the American assault on the city in November and December.

Why al-Hassani wasn't the first choice of the Sunni Arab caucus in parliament is obvious-- he was considered an outsider, a long-term expatriate. The Allawi secular ex-Baathists are no doubt suspicious of him as a Muslim fundamentalist.

As for the Iraqi Islamic Party itself, its leader, Muhsin Abdul Hamid, had angrily withdrawn from the interim government to protest the November assault on Fallujah. Al-Hassani represented the IIP on the cabinet, but he refused to resign. As a result, he was expelled from the party.

Al-Hassani had to run for parliament on the small Iraqiyyun Party of Ghazi al-Yawir, since he had broken with the IIP.

So if ordinary politics were happening in Iraq, al-Hassani would be the skunk at the tea party as far as Sunni Arabs were concerned. He declined to do anything practical to protest the attack on Fallujah, and flagrantly disregarded party discipline in his own party.

But as it transpires, al-Hassani is one of only two non-UIA Sunnis in parliament who are acceptable to the Shiites, and the only one of the two who would accept the job.

The whole sorry episode is a matter for some alarm, in my view.

Choosing a speaker of the house should not have taken so long or been so acrimonious.

The punitive attitude of the Shiites toward Sunni Arabs who had had anything at all to do with the Baath Party is scary, since most Sunni Arabs who amount to anything inside the country, did. The rule ought not to be guilt by association but actual guilt of some crime.

Twelve of the Sunni Arab members of parliament have been put on notice by the new deputy speaker, Hussein Shahristani, that they are nothing but Baathist lackeys in his view. That isn't much incentive for them to reach back out to their community to join them in cooperating with the Shiites and ending the guerrilla war.

The demonstration in Tikrit for al-Juburi shows that Sunni Arabs feel that fanatical Shiite sectarianism is blocking their respected leaders. Since the whole point of giving the Sunnis symbolic posts like speaker of the house was to mollify them and draw them into the new government, I'd say it was counter-productive to drive the Sunnis to popular protest about the process.

For the Sunni Arabs of Iraq, who had been at the pinnacle of government and society, having the post of speaker of the house is not exactly the most thrilling thing to ever happen to them, anyway. That they are represented by a long-time expatriate who has no local grass roots and was expelled by his own party is pretty ominous.

The Allawi secularists and the Kurds may well be a little alarmed at the possibility of a fundamentalist Shiite-Sunni alliance at their expense. Al-Hassani won 215 votes out of 241 deputies present, in a secret ballot. Since he was favored by the United Iraqi Alliance, I am puzzled. Who were the 26 deputies that opposed him? Al-Zaman says that Iyad Allawi was absent for the vote. Did he and the 33 other deputies who were absent deliberately boycott the vote? We know that the Iraqiya list was furious over the rejection of al-Janabi for the post. Did his fellow Sunni Arabs even vote for him? Were any Kurds (75 seats) nervous about a fundamentalist Sunni Arab from Kirkuk? Since the ballot was secret, there is no way of knowing.

That is, you might well be able to construct an alternative headline for this story saying "Angry Secularists and Sunni Arabs boycott Shiite Shoe-Horning of Fundamentalist Expatriate Sunni in as Speaker."

So all the celebratory prose you will read on Monday from Western analysts about how this election of a Sunni Arab speaker is such a great leap forward and a sign of building communal harmony will need to be leavened with a little realism if the development is to be understood in its Iraqi context. Not everything in Iraq can be reduced to the issue of whether it is good or bad for the Bush administration or the Blair government.
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Sunday, April 03, 2005

The Other Pope

John Paul II was a complex man and among the more intellectual popes in history. Because of his admirable stance against Stalinism in Eastern Europe (which did not in fact involve any denunciation of communism or socialism per se) and his anti-abortion stance, he is often claimed as an ally by the American Right (which is mainly Protestant and mainly about the best interests of wealthy business people).

But John Paul II was often an inconvenient man, whose moral vision would be upsetting to the US Republican establishment if it were taken seriously. He opposed the death penalty, to which George W. Bush is so attached. He opposed the Iraq War. He condemned laissez-faire capitalism and cared about the exploitation of workers, who he felt should have a dignity that is seldom bestowed upon them by the Walmarts and other firms in the US. And he cared about the rights and welfare of the Palestinian people in a way that virtually no one in the American political establishment does. He symbolically blessed the Palestinian claim that Jerusalem is the eternal capital of the Palestinian people.

That is, the Pope's message sometimes had a strong progressive content, and he was in some important ways on our side. That progressives might have had differences with him on some issues should not forestall our celebrating his progressive legacy. The American Right appropriates shamelessly anyone who even halfway agrees with them. We on the left must learn to make sectional alliances and commemorate those areas of agreement we have with people like John Paul II.

In honor of his passing I am posting some of his challenging statements.


"The Pope’s Speech at the Dehaisheh refugee camp." (2000)

“The message of Bethlehem is good news of reconciliation among men, of peace at every level of relations between individuals and nations. Bethlehem is a universal crossroads where all peoples can meet to build a together a world worthy of our human dignity and destiny. The recently inaugurated Museum of the Nativity shows how the celebration of Christ's birth has become part of the culture and art of peoples in all parts of the world.

“Mr. Arafat, as I thank you for the warm welcome you have given me in the name of the Palestinian Authority and people, I express all my happiness at being here today. How can I fail to pray that the divine gift of peace will become more and more a reality for all who live in this land, uniquely marked by God's intentions? Peace for the Palestinian people! Peace for all peoples of the region! No one can ignore how much the Palestinian people have had to suffer in recent decades. Your torment is before the eyes of the world, and it has gone on too long.

“The Holy See has always recognized that the Palestinian people have the natural right to a homeland, and the right to be able to live in peace and tranquility with the other peoples of this area. In the international forum, my predecessors and I have repeatedly claimed that there would be no end to the sad conflict in the Holy Land without stable guarantees for the rights of all the peoples involved, on the basis of international law and the relevant United Nations resolutions and declarations.

“We must all continue to work and pray for the success of every genuine effort to bring peace to this land. Only with a just and lasting peace -- not imposed but secured through negotiation -- will legitimate Palestinian aspirations be fulfilled. Only then will the Holy Land see the possibility of a bright new future, no longer dissipated by rivalry and conflict, but firmly based on understanding and cooperation. The outcome depends on the courageous readiness for those responsible for the destiny of this part of the world to move to new attitudes of compromise and compliance with the demands of justice.

“Dear friends, I am fully aware of the great challenges facing the Palestinian Authority and people in every field of economic and cultural development. In a particular way my prayers are with the Palestinians -- Muslim and Christian -- who are still without a home of their own, their proper place in society and the possibility of a normal working life. My hope is that my visit today to the Dheisheh Refugee Camp will serve to remind the international community that decisive action is needed to improve the situation of the Palestinian people. I was particularly pleased at the unanimous acceptance by the United Nations of Resolution on Bethlehem 2000, which commits the international community to help in developing this area and in improving conditions of peace and reconciliation in one of the most cherished and significant places on earth.

“The promise of peace made at Bethlehem will become a reality for the world only when dignity and rights of all human beings made in the image of God are acknowledged and respected.

“Today and always the Palestinian people are in my prayers to the One who holds the destiny of the world in his hands. May the Most High God enlighten, sustain and guide in the path of peace the whole Palestinian people.”


Here is another anecdote from that trip:


"Dressing the wounds as bitter hatreds persist"

"The pope’s first brush with the zero sum politics of the Middle East came almost as soon as he landed near Tel Aviv on Tuesday on a flight from Jordan. After being presented by Israeli children with a jar of sacred soil to kiss, the pope was told by President Ezer Weizman that Jerusalem is “the eternal capital” of Israel.

In receiving the pope in Bethlehem, Arafat rebutted by terming Jerusalem “the eternal capital” of Palestine. There too the pope kissed a bowl of soil, a potent symbol for Palestinians since the gesture is generally reserved for sovereign nations."


Then there was his opposition to war as a tool of international diplomacy, his respect for the United Nations Charter, his concern for the impact of an Iraq war on ordinary people (in which he was prophetic). I somehow don't think he was actually on the same page as John Bolton.


"Pope: Iraq War Must be Last Resort." (Jan. 13, 2003)

""NO TO WAR"! War is not always inevitable. It is always a defeat for humanity. International law, honest dialogue, solidarity between States, the noble exercise of diplomacy: these are methods worthy of individuals and nations in resolving their differences. I say this as I think of those who still place their trust in nuclear weapons and of the all-too-numerous conflicts which continue to hold hostage our brothers and sisters in humanity. At Christmas, Bethlehem reminded us of the unresolved crisis in the Middle East, where two peoples, Israeli and Palestinian, are called to live side-by-side, equally free and sovereign, in mutual respect. Without needing to repeat what I said to you last year on this occasion, I will simply add today, faced with the constant degeneration of the crisis in the Middle East, that the solution will never be imposed by recourse to terrorism or armed conflict, as if
military victories could be the solution. And what are we to say of the threat of a war which could strike the people of Iraq, the land of the Prophets, a people already sorely tried by more than twelve years of embargo? War is never just another means that one can choose to employ for settling differences between nations. As the Charter of the United Nations Organization and international law itself remind us, war cannot be decided upon, even when it is a matter of ensuring the common good, except as the very last option and in accordance with very strict conditions, without ignoring the consequences for the civilian population both during and after the military operations."


Then there is his position on the death penalty, from a 1995 encyclical. He did not shrink from openly intervening in Irish, Filipino and other national politics to push for an abolition of the death penalty.


The Pope on the Death Penalty":

" "This is the context in which to place the problem of the death penalty. On this matter there is a growing tendency, both in the Church and in civil society, to demand that it be applied in a very limited way or even that it be abolished completely. The problem must be viewed in the context of a system of penal justice ever more in line with human dignity and thus, in the end, with God's plan for man and society. The primary purpose of the punishment which society inflicts is "to redress the disorder caused by the offence."(46) Public authority must redress the violation of personal and social rights by imposing on the offender an adequate punishment for the crime, as a condition for the offender to regain the exercise of his or her freedom. In this way authority also fulfills the purpose of defending public order and ensuring people's safety, while at the same time offering the offender an incentive and help to change his or her behaviour and be rehabilitated.(47)

It is clear that, for these purposes to be achieved, the nature and extent of the punishment must be carefully evaluated and decided upon, and ought not go to the extreme of executing the offender except in cases of absolute necessity: in other words, when it would not be possible otherwise to defend society. Today however, as a result of steady improvements in the organization of the penal system, such cases are very rare, if not practically non-existent."


The American Right is unalterably hostile to the environment, and to international treaties which might interfere in a rapacious exploitation of it. John Paul II was of a different view:


Quotes from John Paul II:

'In Tertio Millennio Adveniente, the Pope had already called for "a livelier sense of responsibility regarding the environment." Quoting from that apostolic letter today, he went on to observe: "Today, mankind has discovered-- largely in reaction to the indiscriminate exploitation of natural resources which has often accompanied industrial development-- the significance and the value of an environment which remains a hospitable home for man, where mankind is destined to live."

The Holy Father said that environmental dangers force world leaders in science, industry, and government to find new ways to use the earth's resources responsibly. The key challenge, he said, is "not only to limit the damage which has already been done, and apply remedies, but especially to find approaches to development which are in harmony with respect and protection for the natural environment." '


Pope John Paul II took a dim view indeed of unbridled capitalism of the sort that has come to dominate every aspect of life in the United States.




the danger of treating work as "merchandise" -or as an impersonal "work force"-remains as long as economics is understood in a materialistic way. It is this one-sided approach that concentrates on work as the prime thing, leaving the worker in a secondary place. This is a reversal of the order laid down in the book of Genesis. The worker is treated as a tool whereas the worker ought to be treated as the subject of work, as its maker and creator. This reversal - whatever other name it gives itself- should be called 'capitalism"- an economic and social system that historically has been known as opposed to "socialism" or "communism." The error of early capitalism can be repeated wherever the worker is treated as a mere means of production, as a tool and not as a subject. To consider work and the worker in the light of humanity's dominion over the earth goes to the very heart of the ethical and social question. It is in insight that should be applied to all social and economic policy, within each country, but also internationally, to the tensions between East and West, North and South."


and then it becomes clear that Pope John Paul II was actually pro-Union and pro-cooperative and pro-workers' rights. All those corporate fat cats holding seminars on "how to bust a union before it gets going in your company" and who fund the Republican Far Right, which turns around and trades on the Pope's moral authority in the culture wars, must be pretty upset by statements such as this:


"On Human Work" (everyday language version):

"It is useful to recall the changes of the last ninety years. Although the "worker" remained the same, "work" changed. New forms of work appeared and disappeared. Though this is normal, it is necessary to watch out for ethical and social irregularities. It was such an irregularity that gave rise -in the last century-
to the "worker question" or the "proletariat question," provoking a great burst of solidarity among workers, mainly in industry. It was a reaction against the degradation of the workers, their exploitation with regard to their working conditions and security; against an unjust system that safeguarded the economic initiative of the owners but did not pay attention to the rights of the workers.
This reaction is in line with the church's teaching and justified from a social morality point of view. Worker solidarity has brought profound changes. Various new systems have been thought out Workers often share in running and controlling businesses, influencing working conditions, wages, and social legislation. But new systems have arisen that allow old injustices to continue and new injustices to appear. New developments and communication reveal forms of injustices more extensive than the ones that aroused workers' solidarity in the last century, not only in industrialized societies but also in agricultural countries. Solidarity movements can also be needed for social groups not previously mentioned but who find themselves in a "proletariat" situation. It can be true of the working "intelligentsia," people with degrees and diplomas, who cannot find work- a situation that arises when education is unsuited to the needs of society, or when there is less demand and less pay for work that requires education. We must consequently continue to study the situation of the worker. There is a need for solidarity movements among and with the workers. The church is firmly committed to this cause, in fidelity to Christ, and to be truly the "church of the poor."


Note the concern for the needs of poorly paid or unemployed academics and knowledge workers. David Horowitz, eat your heart out!

Finally for today, it is worthwhile noting that John Paul II declined ot enter into the frenzy of Islamophobia that is unfortunately so common among the US Religious Right. He was the first Pope to visit a mosque and address a Muslim congregation, in Damascus.



"Address to the Muslims of Damascus"

"Dear Muslim Friends,

As-salámu ‘aláikum!

1. I give heartfelt praise to Almighty God for the grace of this meeting. I am most grateful for your warm welcome, in the tradition of hospitality so cherished by the people of this region. I thank especially the Minister of the Waqf and the Grand Mufti for their gracious greetings, which put into words the great yearning for peace which fills the hearts of all people of good will. My Jubilee Pilgrimage has been marked by important meetings with Muslim leaders in Cairo and Jerusalem, and now I am deeply moved to be your guest here in the great Umayyad Mosque, so rich in religious history. Your land is dear to Christians: here our religion has known vital moments of its growth and doctrinal development, and here are found Christian communities which have lived in peace and harmony with their Muslim neighbours for many centuries.

2. We are meeting close to what both Christians and Muslims regard as the tomb of John the Baptist, known as Yahya in the Muslim tradition. The son of Zechariah is a figure of prime importance in the history of Christianity, for he was the Precursor who prepared the way for Christ. John’s life, wholly dedicated to God, was crowned by martyrdom. May his witness enlighten all who venerate his memory here, so that they – and we too – may understand that life’s great task is to seek God’s truth and justice.

The fact that we are meeting in this renowned place of prayer reminds us that man is a spiritual being, called to acknowledge and respect the absolute priority of God in all things. Christians and Muslims agree that the encounter with God in prayer is the necessary nourishment of our souls, without which our hearts wither and our will no longer strives for good but succumbs to evil.

3. Both Muslims and Christians prize their places of prayer, as oases where they meet the All Merciful God on the journey to eternal life, and where they meet their brothers and sisters in the bond of religion. When, on the occasion of weddings or funerals or other celebrations, Christians and Muslims remain in silent respect at the other’s prayer, they bear witness to what unites them, without disguising or denying the things that separate.

It is in mosques and churches that the Muslim and Christian communities shape their religious identity, and it is there that the young receive a significant part of their religious education. What sense of identity is instilled in young Christians and young Muslims in our churches and mosques? It is my ardent hope that Muslim and Christian religious leaders and teachers will present our two great religious communities as communities in respectful dialogue, never more as communities in conflict. It is crucial for the young to be taught the ways of respect and understanding, so that they will not be led to misuse religion itself to promote or justify hatred and violence. Violence destroys the image of the Creator in his creatures, and should never be considered as the fruit of religious conviction.

4. I truly hope that our meeting today in the Umayyad Mosque will signal our determination to advance interreligious dialogue between the Catholic Church and Islam. This dialogue has gained momentum in recent decades; and today we can be grateful for the road we have travelled together so far. At the highest level, the Pontifical Council for Interreligious Dialogue represents the Catholic Church in this task. For more than thirty years the Council has sent a message to Muslims on the occasion of Îd al-Fitr at the close of Ramadan, and I am very happy that this gesture has been welcomed by many Muslims as a sign of growing friendship between us. In recent years the Council has established a liaison committee with international Islamic Organizations, and also with al-Azhar in Egypt, which I had the pleasure of visiting last year.

It is important that Muslims and Christians continue to explore philosophical and theological questions together, in order to come to a more objective and comprehensive knowledge of each others’ religious beliefs. Better mutual understanding will surely lead, at the practical level, to a new way of presenting our two religions not in opposition, as has happened too often in the past, but in partnership for the good of the human family.

Interreligious dialogue is most effective when it springs from the experience of "living with each other" from day to day within the same community and culture. In Syria, Christians and Muslims have lived side by side for centuries, and a rich dialogue of life has gone on unceasingly. Every individual and every family knows moments of harmony, and other moments when dialogue has broken down. The positive experiences must strengthen our communities in the hope of peace; and the negative experiences should not be allowed to undermine that hope. For all the times that Muslims and Christians have offended one another, we need to seek forgiveness from the Almighty and to offer each other forgiveness. Jesus teaches us that we must pardon others’ offences if God is to pardon us our sins (cf. Mt 6:14).

As members of the one human family and as believers, we have obligations to the common good, to justice and to solidarity. Interreligious dialogue will lead to many forms of cooperation, especially in responding to the duty to care for the poor and the weak. These are the signs that our worship of God is genuine.

5. As we make our way through life towards our heavenly destiny, Christians feel the company of Mary, the Mother of Jesus; and Islam too pays tribute to Mary and hails her as "chosen above the women of the world" (Quran, III:42). The Virgin of Nazareth, the Lady of Saydnâya, has taught us that God protects the humble and "scatters the proud in the imagination of their hearts" (Lk 1:51). May the hearts of Christians and Muslims turn to one another with feelings of brotherhood and friendship, so that the Almighty may bless us with the peace which heaven alone can give. To the One, Merciful God be praise and glory for ever. Amen. "


God rest his soul.
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Saturday, April 02, 2005

44 US Troops Injured in Abu Ghraib Attack, Some Seriously
12 Iraqis Wounded
6 Iraqis killed in Separate Incidents


An organized platoon of some 40 guerrillas launched mortar attacks on Abu Ghrain prison on Saturday, wounding 44 US troops, some seriously, and 12 Iraqis. The US holds 10,500 Iraqis prisoner, suspecting them of being active in the anti-US guerrilla movement. Mariam Fam of AP adds:


' Early Saturday, gunmen opened fire from a car in Baghdad, killing local official Hassib Zamil outside of the Education Ministry offices in the Sadr City neighborhood. In the central city of Khan Bani Saad, a car bomb killed five people, including four police officers on patrol. Two police officers and three civilians also were wounded . . . A car bomb also injured six Iraqis and set a house on fire in the northern city of Mosul, the U.S. military said. The attack happened Saturday as coalition soldiers, acting on a citizens' tip, were arriving to investigate, the U.S. military said. It also reported that a U.S. Marine was killed by enemy fire while conducting security operations in Ramadi on Friday. '


The trope in the American media of the "winding down" of the guerrilla war is without foundation. At 60 attacks a day, it is extremely active.
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Friday, April 01, 2005

Sistani Fatwa on Security

Al-Hayat: Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani gave a fatwa Friday saying that cooperation with the forces charged with safeguarding security in Iraq is "obligatory" on all Iraqis, "as long as the principles of Islamic law are observed."

Sistani was replying to a letter sent him, which asked if it was required to cooperate with security forces aiming at keeping the country safe, at a time when it was threatened by former regime elements and those who came from abroad to throw the country into turmoil. The new fatwa does not change anything, since Sistani was known to have this position. But it does reinforce the legitimacy of the new Iraqi military and police forces, being trained by the US.

At the same time, 64 Sunni clerics gave a fatwa that for Iraqis to join the military and police is permitted. Indeed, they called for Iraqis to join these forces, saying that they are national in character and not a militia pertaining to a particular sect. The signatories included prominent members of the Association of Muslim Scholars and the Iraqi Islamic Party, including Shaikh Abd al-Ghafur al-Samarra'i, the prayer leader at the Umm al-Qura Mosque in Baghdad, Shaikh Ahmad Hasan al-Taha, leader of the Abu Hanifa mosque and a member of AMS, and Shaikh Ziyad Mahmud al-Ani, rector of the Islamic College in Baghdad and a member if the IIP.

Unlike Sistani's this ruling does potentially change things. The Sunni clerics seem to have figured out that boycotting the new government is just a form of self-marginalization, and if Sunnis aren't in the army and police, then those forces will be largely Shiite and Kurdish.

US and coalition military casualties were down substantially in March. While this is wonderful news, it is not clear why exactly this change occurred, and therefore it is difficult to assess. The US has not be doing much in the way of large-scale assaults, a la Fallujah or Najaf, since the Iraqi election. The new elected government has made it clear that it does not want any more Fallujah type operations. When US troops aren't out fighting, they are less vulnerable. The US military is a hard target, whereas the guerrillas consider Iraqi police and army units to be soft targets. There are still 60 attacks a day in Iraq, many of them quite bloody, so the guerrilla war has hardly wound down.

Al-Hayat adds that the bid by Sunni parliamentarian Mishaan al-Juburi to become speaker of the house was criticized by Sadr al-Din al-Qubanji, a member of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq (a Shiite group). Al-Qubanji said that al-Juburi had been a close friend of Uday and Qusay, the sons of Saddam Hussein. The religious Shiites seem convinced that all Sunnis in the parliament with the exception of the 3 in the United Iraqi Alliance are ex-Baathists, and they want to make them ineligible to be speaker. That would throw the office to Fawaz al-Jarba, a Shamar notable who ran on the UIA ticket.

In contrast, ash-Sharq al-Awsat reports that the young Shiite preacher Muqtada al-Sadr is calling for demonstrations on April 9, the day Saddam fell from power in 2003. He says the rallies should protest the delay in trying Saddam and should demand that US troops leave the country immediately.

The Bush administration has been holding a US citizen, who was naturalized and lived here 20 years, prisoner as an "enemy combatant" without legal counsel for several months in Iraq. The prisoner is said to have provided logistical aid to the network of Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. If true, this imprisonment without legal counsel directly contravenes a US Supreme Court ruling that the Bush administration cannot hold some US citizens outside the law and the judiciary.

The minaret of one of the oldest surviving mosques in the world, an architectural treasure, was damaged by heavy weaponry. The US military blamed "terrorists."

I have loved that building for decades, and am sick to my stomach about it being damaged. It influenced Islamic architecture in Cairo and Andalusia.

Ash-Sharq al-Awsat reports that many women trying to run beauty parlors in Iraq are harassed by religious militias.

In what is potentially very bad news for US contractors in Iraq, the US Justice Department argued that they can be sued in US courts for fraud.
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