Sunni Arab Guerrillas Massacre 155 Shiites, Wound 305
Sunni Guerrillas Kill 4 US GIs
A Majority of Americans Wants Troops out within Year
The US military announced on Saturday the killing of 4 more US GIs. A fifth died of a heart attack.
Sunni Arab guerrillas drove a truck packed with a ton of explosives into a busy Shiite market, al-Sadriya, and detonated it. The enormous fireball brought down 10 surrounding buildings and scattered blood and charred body parts over the street, leaving a deep crater. Bodies are still being pulled out of the buildings. The bombing took place on the eve of the beginning of a new security sweep by the al-Maliki government.
This market has been hit several times before. So I cannot understand why they don't cordon it off and make it a walking-only market. It wouldn't stop terrorists using belt bombs, but you couldn't get a truckful of explosives there any more. And while getting supplies into the shops and delis might be harder, it could still be done with dollies. I'd put the incoming goods through an inspection regime. Unemployment is high in Iraq. It would be worth spending some money on local Shiites as guards and inspectors.
As it is, the Shiites keep being hit. People are pointing out darkly that Sunni neighborhoods like Adhamiya are not being bombed. The Shiite clans will have to take revenge on some Sunnis somewhere, since this bombing started hundreds of feuds. That was the point of it.
In fact, Al-Hayat reports in Arabic that after the bombing, mortar shells fell on a number of Sunni neighborhoods.
That wasn't even the only major violence in Iraq on Saturday, bad as it was. McClatchy reports that police found 19 bodies around the capital (mostly in Sunni Arab neighborhoods) on Saturday. There were several other deadly bombings and mortar attacks in Baghdad.
Sunni Arab guerrillas also set off a string of 8 bombs in the northern oil city of Kirkuk, targeting the HQs of the two major Kurdish parties that are trying to annex Kirkuk to the Kurdistan Regional Government. A handful of people were killed. Kurds complained that the guerrillas are attempting to derail the December referendum on the status of Kirkuk, which the Kurds will win since they have flooded into the province in the past 3 years. Annexation is resisted by many Turkmen and Arab residents, who together are probably nearly half the population. Because Turkmen speak a language akin to Turkish, the Turkish public and government is deeply concerned with their fate. Kirkuk is the next powderkeg, which the referendum could set off.
In the northern Sunni Arab city of Mosul, neighborhood clashes between guerrillas and local police and army caused the municipal government to declare a curfew.
In the southern oil port of Basra, al-Sharq al-Awsat reports in Arabic, a group calling itself the Imam al-Husayn Brigades plastered leaflets all over the city warning Iraqis not to have dealings with the British and not to go near their bases.
Some 52 percent of Americans want their troops out of Iraq by January, 2008. Actually that number includes 12 percent who want them out now, ahora, immediatamente. Only 9 percent think we should send more troops.
Rupert Murdoch, who gives you Bill O'Reilly, Daniel Pipes, and other fantasists of the hard Right, by his ownership of a vast media empire, admitted at the Davos conference that his companies had "tried" to propagandize for Bush's Iraq War. He said that they were critical of the execution of the war, though. He doesn't watch or read his own media if he thinks that. It is never a discouraging word and 'what were the RNC talking points today?' over there in Foxland.
Murdoch's remarks are a good reason for which the news conglomerates should be broken up so that a wider range of views can be published. While Murdoch complains about competition from the internet, the fact is that far more people watch television than get their news from any blogger.
Murdoch's media have done more to cheapen American values and drive the country toward fascistic ways of thinking than anything since the McCarthy period in the 1950s. The airwaves belong to the public, and this man only licenses them. When will the public take them back and use them for purposes of which Washington, Jefferson, Madison and Franklin would have approved?
Tom Lasseter discovers that the boots on the ground are not that optimistic about Bush's plan for an escalation of the Iraq War by putting in an extra 20,500 troops:
' "Once more raids start happening, they'll (insurgents) melt away," said Gill, who serves with the 1st Infantry Division in east Baghdad. "And then two or three months later, when we leave and say it was a success, they'll come back." '
Ain't it the truth.
Babak Dehghanpisheh of Newsweek tried to make sense of last week's millenarian uprising at Najaf.
This Reuters photograph of a burned out, captured truck belonging to the cult shows that it is mounted with a machine gun
Update: Rob Collier of the San Francisco Chronicle writes:
' The truck in the photo you mentioned today looks exactly like those that I saw in a big militia parade in Baghdad of the "Quds Army," which mainly comprised the Fedayeen Saddam, on March 15, 2003. I'm quite sure the truck in your photo is of that vintage. I very vividly recall seeing those trucks in the parade and thinking the mounted machineguns were ridiculous and would be of no use in a real battle against U.S. helicopters.
Rob '
So it was more equipment looted from the old Baath bases and depots.
Check out his A primer from the Past for Iraq Diplomacy" part III.
Radio Sawa also presents evidence that the millenarian group had extreme views, and interviews several principals, including a cult member and the governor of Najaf.
Al-Sharq al-Awsat alleges that it was told by a Shiite parliamentarian from the ruling United Iraqi Alliance that the death toll from the Army of Heaven uprising was 2500 and that it included women and children (presumably at the cult compound at Zarqa). This number sounds improbably high to me.
Japanese Foreign Minister Taro Aso called US post-war policy in Iraq, set by former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, "immature." The comments come on the heels of remarks by Defense Minister Fumio Kyuma that going to war in Iraq had been a "mistake" on the part of the US. I was told that Kyuma was probably not speaking for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. But if Aso is also saying these things, it is hard not to conclude that Abe, who is sinking in the polls, has decided to distance his government from the policies of his predecessor, Junichiro Koizumi, which supported the US invasion and occupation of Iraq. Either that or Abe isn't in control of his cabinet, in which case he can't last long. The Bush administration expressed its displeasure with Kyuma's remarks. Bush seemed to encourage Koizumi toward greater Japanese nationalism and remilitarization. He is finding out that nationalism is a two-edged sword.

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15 Comments:
Sometime round about the end of the first quarter of the 21st century a new Gloria Emerson will publish a Winners and Losers* book for this fiasco.
And even from this "in the thick of it" vantage point you know who many of the "losers" (and indeed some of the "winners") will be.
Losers-wise...well, the 21st century Ms. Emerson will certainly be speaking to a couple of terribly, permanently mutilated vets. It'll be 20 years on then - they'll be in their 40s - the country will have moved on - the war will be a fading, distant memory for many Americans and "ancient history" for everyone under 30 - the centrifugal pull of life in general will have carried comrades and some friends and yes some loved ones far away. And as the times and people and events "pull away" what will steadily come into that vacuum is an ever increasing awareness of having been used and thrown away and forgotten. Of a life wasted. In short, a cud of bitterness that "keeps on giving" - that gets perceptibly worse with each passing day.
And of course she'll also talk to - and write about - vets who weren't physically hurt but who bear terrible psychological scars. Because of what they saw. Perhaps what they did.
Other "losers" of course will be spouses and children and parents and friends of dead and wounded GIs.
And it'll ripple out from that center.
And winners? Well, perhaps if she's very good and very lucky the latter day Ms. Emerson will be able to get through to - i.e., get them to talk - someone who was close enough to know about Haliburton's millions and Cheney's millions. And maybe a journalistic career that got a "boost" from this catastrophe.
Well, it's an as yet unwritten book...not an early 2007 comment on a blog. But the broad general outline is surely already discernible.
While I understand the point about public ownership of the airwaves, I hope you can articulate a solid reasoning in political philosophy for why you wish to break up the Murdoch empire. It has to be more than just errors or slants, which require some sort of judgement. This is the slippery slope of government deciding the boundaries of acceptable journalism. The region we study sees too many media outlets shut down for me to feel comfortable calling for something similar in the U.S.
We all have our special follies. A peculiarly American idiocy is the complete confidence that we can manipulate anybody to work our devices with no danger to ourselves - fools trying to manipulate Satan, as Bob Dylan once put it.
So the US trained and equipped Muslim jihadists in Afghanistan to harm the Soviet Union, and then provided them taxi service to Bosnia. They used Nazis and their fascist collaborators in Eastern Europe and brought them to the US to work in our missile programs and to corrupt American politics. They used the Mafia on the Marseilles docks against the Communists and created the French Connection heroin cartel. In Burma and Laos the CIA ran heroin for a Kuomintang warlord, even flying it to Saigon where it was sold to American troops and contributed to that army's disintegration.
Not everyone is stupid in just that way. Americans believed Saddam Hussein would give help to terrorists that hated him, because that is the American way. But he wasn't that dumb in that way, although he was in others.
So it's in character for the US to incite Japanese nationalism with no thought to the effect on all of Japan's victims in East Asia when they see the Americans doing this. And if Japanese nationalism bites us again as Afghan Islamism has that will be nothing new either.
It happened before Bush, and it will happen after Bush.
The Reuters cation says, "A machine gun mounted on top of a burnt vehicle which is said to have belonged to a Shi'ite cult..."
A machine gun is not an AA battery.
So most of yesterday's violence can be attributed to the Sunnis? Bush must be disappointed that the hand of Iran is not more visible.
While many were debating whether the country had fallen into civil war, we did not notice that the best description is anarchy. Inspectors aren't hired to check vehicles entering the market, because there is no one in charge.
Partition now, reunification talks later. Our military involvement should be limited to enforcing the division of oil royalties.
Tony Judt quotes Milovan Djilas in Postwar: "the manipulation of fervor is the germ of bondage." A lot of that goin' around, these days.
"This Reuters photograph of a burned out, captured truck belonging to the cult shows that it is mounted with an anti-aircraft battery!" In fact, the photograph shows, and the caption identifies, a truck mounted with a machine gun.
A physician from Najaf who works with us is as confused by the Soldiers of Heaven incident as anyone. This physician, who is a very rational and well-connected man, claims that Soldiers of Heaven leader al-Sarkhi was a student of Mohammed Mohammed Sadiq al-Sadr, but split with the al-Sadr family after M.M.'s death. He intensely dislikes Muqtada al-Sadr - and that his personal enmity provided the opening the Ba'ath security services needed to establish a close but clandestine relationship.
Our doctor says that the other Najafi elite believe that Dhia Abdul Zahra, the commander who was killed in the fighting, was armed by Ba'athists. Although it's hard to imagine Sunni insurgents or Ba'athists arming Shia' militias, this actually could be possible. If former regime loyalists were intent on creating discord in Najaf, arming al-Sarkhi and his thug Dhia Abdul Zahra would be a very good way to do it. The US din't arm them, and neither did Iran, but they had some serious weapons.
From what I hear, the Sadr Movement and SCIRI are avoiding blaming each other for this mess. The doctor called his relatives, who told him that followers of al-Sarkhi are being hunted in Najaf now, but most disappeared soon after the battle.
I wish our doctor luck and safety, as he is passing through Baghdad today.
On an unrelated issue, the use of the term "flooded into Kirkuk" when used to describe Kurds who returned to the city, is slightly loaded. Those who returned were actually former residents, and they returned legitimately. They have as much fear of central control under any future Baghdad government as do the Kirkuki Turkmen and Arabs of the KRG in Erbil. The fear on both sides is well-founded, and plan B needs to include an adminstrative division of the governorate, with some revenue guarantees for both sides and Kurdish control over at least some of the oil resources. That's not going to make Turkey happy, but the Kurds will fight Turkey before they will give up Kirkuk. And judging by the Israeli debacle versus Hizbullah, Turkey should be very cautious about initiating that fight.
The bottom line of the Newsweek article is that the allied forces did not use excessive force, while other media have used the word "massacre". Not a word of the Hawatim tribe and whether the Soldiers of Heaven were drawn into the battle accidentally or whether this had all been planned in advance. While it's interesting to know that there are many apocalypse sects around, it would be even more interesting to shed light on the military aspect...
Concerning ongoing US tensions with Iran, the Wash Post in Jan reported that, "Though U.S. forces are not known to have used lethal force against any Iranian to date, Bush administration officials have been urging top military commanders to exercise the authority."
Today, 5th Feb, the UK Telegraph writes,"Angered by the mounting toll of troops killed by ever-more sophisticated devices, US commanders insisted last month that the White House give them authority to target and kill Iranian operatives in Iraq"
So who exactly is pushing this confrontation with Iran within Iraq? 'Bush administration officials', according to WaPo, or 'US commanders', according to the Telegraph?
I'm a soft-hearted liberal whose idea of defensive weaponry, as defined on the Praire Home Companion show, is a squirt gun and a sparkler. Still, my memories of Han Solo defending the Millenium Falcon recall a "battery" with multiple barrels. Do machine guns "double up" as shown in that Reuters photo? http://news.yahoo.com/photos/ss/events/iraq/082701iraqplane/im:/070203/ids_photos_wl/r2681305594.jpg;_ylt=AgrnksDkUX6VSuXMDojQbsiaK8MA;_ylu=X3oDMTA5bGcyMWMzBHNlYwNzc25hdg
SenorK, during WW2, the US had 4 .50 caliber machineguns mounted on a variety of platforms to serve as AA guns, but often they were used as infantry support weapons, http://www.2ndrangers.org/Unit%20Photos/WWII%20Weekend%2004/Quad_50.JPG The Germans had a similar device using 20mm "cannon", which is a weapon more usually associated with AA, http://www.navweaps.com/Weapons/WNUS_2cm-70_mk234_quad_pic.jpg
For anyone watching any USA WW2 film, machine guns of all sorts are shown being used against aircraft. The current crop of close defense weapons used for ships are gattling guns, which is just a sophisticated machine gun.
Further, the gun as mounted on the pictured truck would be next to useless against aircraft as it's staticly mounted. If you look at this picture, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:DShK_on_T-55_DD-SD-01-05147.JPEG
you can see that this MG can attack aircraft or ground targets.
Lastly about this, In "To Hell and Back," there's the great scene with Audie Murphy firing the .50 from the burning Sherman tank with the same sort of dualpurpose mount as the picture linked above, http://www.wwiilectureinstitute.com/films/murphy.jpg
As for Rob Collier's comment about an MG being useless against helicopters, he's full of it--with armor piercing rounds, any .50 mg can bring down a helicopter, and UH-1s of the type that Blackwater is using can be brought down with the standard .223 M-16 round, even easier with the 7.62mm NATO/Russian bullets.
See this article for a fuller discusion, http://www.ausairpower.net/TE-Helo-Mar-05-P.pdf
I should be embarrassed. I'm a former heavy weapons specialist from US Army SF, and I cannot identify the machine gun in the picture. But I can point out that many modern military assault rifles and light machine guns are "gas operated." The expanding combustion gases that propel the projectile downrange are diverted into a gas tube, returned to the action [bolt, chamber, sear, etc.]and allow the repeated cycle of fire. So, the M-16, AK-47 and SAW all have these gas tubes.
So, maybe that second "barrel" is actually the gas tube. This weapon appears to use belt-fed ammo, and there only appears to be room for one ammo can.
also, to my memory, "battery" is an artillery and ADA term for a unit comparable in size to an infantry company or a cav squadron. For example, a Chapparral ADA battery had I think 8 launch vehicles, and a towed 155 FA battery had three tubes.
Unfortunately, Murdoch is cable, not broadcast, and cable is privately owned.
I'm trying to search my brain and remember which deregulated industry didn't end up a train wreck.
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