Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

McKiernan Steps Down in Afghanistan;
Pakistan Offensive continues in Swat

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced on Monday that he had fired Gen. David McKiernan. Time reports that Gates was impatient with McKiernan's failure to take charge and solve logistical and tactical problems himself.

The allegations may well be unfair to McKiernan, who maintained that his army was way too small for its task. But the fact is that the Taliban insurgency has grown from 3-4000 fighters to something closer to 15,000 during the past 3 years, and that since McKiernan took over a year or so ago, the situation has gotten worse yet. even if that is not his fault, Gates no doubt figures that the buck stops with the in-country commander.

Ironically, McKiernan, who is being tagged as an old-time tank commander, was among the first officers in Iraq in 2003 to recognize that some of Iraq's army and security forces had reverted to being irregulars determined to fight an unconventional guerrilla war. Then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld dismissed McKiernan's observations on that score.

Time also implies that McKiernan was not bold enough in challenging the Karzai government on the poppy/ heroin trade. We'll see if his successor, Lieutenant General Stanley McChrystal, really can make a dent there. Note that past forcible eradication campaigns appear to have aided the recruitment efforts of the Taliban.

Meanwhile, McChrystal has caught a potential big break, since Uzbekistan has just agreed to allow one of its air bases to be used for shipping in non-lethal materiel. South Korea apparently brokered the deal. The US lost its Kyrgyzstan air facilities recently, and had been kicked out of Uzbekistan earlier for allegedly sponsoring democratic forces aiming to overthrown the ruler, Islam Karimov. Uzbekistan is an economic basket case because the policies of the left-over commisars, and it is alleged that 5 million of its 25 million citizens have emigrated in search of work. In other words, Uzbekistan needs whatever money the US is proffering for the use of the base.

On the Pakistan side of the border, the Taliban are funded in some part by emerald mining, timber and marble (they usurp a billion dollars a year in timber income).

As Pakistani Taliban flee the advancing Pakistan army, , many appear to be moving into Peshawar and its environs and taking members of middle class families hostage for ransom.

End/ (Not Continued)

5 Comments:

At 2:39 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

.
there is more insight on the firing of LTG McKiernan over at the Washington Post.
You can skip the article. The insight is in the comments. Unfortunately, the nuggets of wisdom are buried in an avalanche of senseless finger-wagging.

The rare smart comment has insight on McKiernan's relationships with Petraeus and Eikenberry, or background on McChrystal.

I salute the Post for allowing both the wheat and the chaff. Its up to you to sort them out.
.

 
At 3:42 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Finally, the Pakistani government is standing up against the Taliban, it is going to be a long road, but at least it has started. Take a look at a video I found about the progress.
http://www.newsy.com/videos/pakistan_unites_against_taliban/

 
At 6:38 PM, Blogger Walking Wounded said...

Re McChrystal and the rise of secret army ops
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanley_A._McChrystal

Special Operations Command (SOCOM) activities have stayed pretty well under wraps, even as SpecOps budgets and billets keep multiplying.

McChrystal's secret war in Iraq was outted by Pres. Bush after Zarqawi was hit. His team took some damage for convictions on prisoner abuse at Camp Nama. Woodward has written about the importance of the SOCOM campaign in parallel with Petraeus' surge. Fallon was relieved of CENTCOM command before he could get a handle on SOCOM ops in his area of operations. The sabotage ops in Iran were a special bone of contention.

If Petraeus is reaching back and pulling SOCOM-style kinetic war into the forefront in Afghanistan, does that kind of support Woodward's take on what was working, or at least deemed transferrable to the Af-Pak mess?

Kabul certainly lacks the infrastructure to fabricate and place blast walls down the length of every valley road. It won't be that kind of 'surge'.

 
At 7:19 PM, Blogger InplainviewMonitor said...

White phosphorus for the masses?Sure, it is really hard to say for sure whether Afgani Taliban uses white phosphorus. However, with all due respect for the common sense of half-literate peasants, the idea of them using high tech weapons of this kind does not sound particularly plausible.

So, the US military has a long way to go to prove that Taliban, not US Army, actually uses WP against the civilians.

Needless to say, this bizarre theory won't ever work in the Muslim world, so its main target appears to be the Western public.

 
At 2:28 PM, Blogger Walking Wounded said...

One of the few critical pieces that I've seen on McChrystal's JSOC history is at Asia Times, by Gareth Porter.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/KE14Df01.html

Porter reports that there have been 60 disciplinary actions and prosecution/convictions for prisoner abuse among McChrystal's Special Ops troops. He also points out that the Green Beret/SF mission of training was pushed to the side in favor of the 'manhunter' operations favored by McChrystal during his unusual 5 year stint in command of Team W's secret war JSOC command.

The 1-2 timing of McChrystal's takeover of the Af-Pak mess, and the Obama admins surprising reversal, contesting release of prisoner abuse photos under an ACLU-FOIA suit makes me wonder if there is a connection.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0509/22470.html

 

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