Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Wednesday, May 17, 2006

George W. Nixon

George W. Bush's Iraq misadventure has made him among the least-liked presidents in modern history, according to an ABC News/ Washington Post poll. Even Lyndon B. Johnson in the dark days of 1967-1968 was at 43 percent! And he had to decline to seek a second term over it! With regard to public approval of him, Bush is down to 33%. And only 17% say they strongly approve of his performance. (And probably they aren't being entirely honest with us, either.) More important may be that 65 percent disapprove of his handling of the presidency. Aside from Richard Nixon, who would have been impeached if he had not resigned, this is the highest disapproval number for any president since the Great Depression, when 25 percent of the working population was unemployed. That's what they call in the business "high negatives."

ABC says that Bush has not yet fallen to the lows in approval ratings of three modern presidents: "Harry Truman saw 22 percent in 1952, Richard Nixon 23 percent in 1974 and Jimmy Carter 28 percent in 1979 . . ."

But let's think about this. Bush is very nearly as hated as Nixon was in his darkest days. And, let's face it, Bush's crimes-- from manipulating intelligence to get up a war of choice, to authorizing torture, to spying on Americans without a warrant-- dwarf a minor political burglary by an order of magnitude.



And Bush is now within striking distance of being Carterized! In 2002 few could have imagined him falling in approval ratings to the level of Carter, who had the misfortune to be president during the Islamic Revolution in Iran, the taking of US hostages, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, gasoline shortages and high fuel prices, a stagnant economy, high unemployment, and double-digit inflation! Indeed, Bush's disapproval rating is now higher than Carter's!

These are the findings on Bush's handling of issues:

Bush's Handling of
the Issues


Terrorism     Approve: 53%   Disapprove: 43%
Privacy Rights     Approve 52   Disapprove: 45
Taxes      Approve: 42   Disapprove: 54
Ethics      Approve: 39   Disapprove: 54
Economy      Approve: 38   Disapprove: 60
Immigration      Approve: 34   Disapprove:56
Overall job      Approve: 33   Disapprove:65
Iraq       Approve: 32   Disapprove: 66
Deficit       Approve: 27   Disapprove: 67
Gas Prices       Approve: 20   Disapprove: 76

I fear that the ire of the public with Bush is obviously owing more to annoyance with high gasoline prices (76% disapprove) than with his entire lack of ethics (54% disapprove) or his violation of privacy rights (only 45 percent disapprove)! In fact, the high oil prices are even more annoying to them than the quagmire in Iraq (66 percent disapprove)!

The lesson is once again driven home, which should have been learned from the twentieth century presidencies: You can steal from the people and spy on the people, and they don't mind that much. But waste their blood and treasure on an inconclusive Asian land war and allow their gasoline and heating bills to rise significantly, and they will hate you passionately.

8 Comments:

At 2:23 AM, Blogger michael said...

We can gloat about polls all we want, but the fact is Bush and his fellow treasonous war criminals will continue to do their damage until Jan 2009 or - deity willing - impeachment.

 
At 2:36 AM, Blogger Frank said...

Dear Professor Cole

Well the solution is obvious. Pull the troops out of Iraq, Invade Venezuela (they dont have suicide bombers!!) and capture their oil fields and sell some of them to the Chinese.

This fixes the gas price problem, the deficit problem and the iraq policy.

Then Jeb Bush is a shoo in in 2008.

 
At 7:23 AM, Blogger aarrgghh said...

you said:

"You can steal from the people and spy on the people, and they don't mind that much."

about spying: john q. public still hasn't had an honest chance (read: been given a spin-free assessment of the scandal by the mainstream media) to fully absorb the issue.

but with bush's credibility at zero, as each day brings a new revelation which destroys the administration's preceding "reclarification" of the nature and breadth of the spying as well as its justification, we'll be seeing the numbers on this issue continue on the same hellbound trajectory as those on the other issues.

 
At 9:24 AM, Blogger John Koch said...

Does W's sink in the polls translate to anyone's gain? How would Hillary, Al, Ralph, Jeb, or McCain handle Muqtada, los indocumentados, or OPEC?

Without any neat alternative solutions at hand, candidates might opt for the "cultural values" route, whipping up passions over death penalty, school vouchers, same-sex unions, abortion, evilution, and welfare queens. Fear remains a potent weapon. Opponents of NSA surveillance or gas conservation may be targets of attack ads.

 
At 2:01 PM, Blogger 21st Century Kashmiri Nomad said...

Unfortunately the polls show a common factor in all humans namely greed. The higher principles of ethics and foreign policy pale into insignificance when compared to the average size of ones wallet.

 
At 3:26 PM, Blogger fatbear said...

Not to disagree about W, but Nixon's crimes were far greater than a burglary - at the very least, the plumbers wrote the book for Poindexter and Negroponte, lest we forget.

 
At 8:57 AM, Blogger Colin Brace said...

Bush and the Texas mafia may be down, but they are not out. Can you spell D-I-E-B-O-L-D? Do you have any doubt that fix will be in for the mid-terms?

 
At 1:40 AM, Blogger buermann said...

"from manipulating intelligence to get up a war of choice, to authorizing torture, to spying on Americans without a warrant"

Impeachment Article 2, section 2:

"He misused the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Secret Service, and other executive personnel, in violation or disregard of the constitutional rights of citizens, by directing or authorizing such agencies or personnel to conduct or continue electronic surveillance or other investigations for purposes unrelated to national security..."

The "secret" invasion of Cambodia didn't make it, niether did the numerous torture programs aided and abetted by the Nixon administration throughout Latin America, but they managed to find a little room at least for the illegal wiretaps.

 

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